Essential Research: leadership ratings, ICAC, emissions targets

An improvement in both leaders’ personal ratings from Essential Research, plus strong support for a federal ICAC and more ambitious emissions targets.

The Guardian reports the fortnightly Essential Research survey includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which find significant improvement in both leaders’ ratings. Scott Morrison is up four on approval to 54% and down three on disapproval to 37%, while Anthony Albanese is up four to 41% and down two to 34%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 45-29, down from 47-26.

The poll also finds 78% would support a federal anti-corruption body, with only 11% opposed. Contrary to suggestions Gladys Berejiklian’s resignation would sap enthusiasm for the idea, 47% said it had made them more supportive, compared with 21% for less supportive.

Other questions focus on carbon emissions targets and climate change, including a finding that 68% support of a more ambitious target for 2030 and net zero by 2050, compared with 13% who did not favour targets and 19% who were unsure. Fifty-nine per cent agreed climate change was caused by human activity while 30% favoured the alternative of a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate, which in both cases is up three since June (Essential asks this question on a semi-regular basis), presumably reflecting a drop in an uncommitted response. Forty-two per cent said Australia was not doing enough (down three) compared with 31% for enough (up one) and 15% for too much (up three).

The Guardian’s report relates further results on climate change, and the poll presumably included the regular questions on federal and state government COVID-19 management. All will be laid out neatly in Essential Research’s report later today.

UPDATE: Full release here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,105 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings, ICAC, emissions targets”

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  1. Taylormade @ #50 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 8:48 am

    Lurkersays:
    Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 8:23 am
    I wonder what IBAC will bring us today. Apparently it’s just ministerial staffers, electorate officers for the rest of the week. But I will be watching closely and will comment on relevant matters raised throughout the day.
    ________________
    Good work. Please keep the blog updated.
    I will be checking in throughout the day.

    And there you have it. Bedfellows the Liberals and The Greens.

  2. Farmers feel that the rest of the country, largely latte sippers and women in bib-and – brace overalls (so 70s but that was the last time they looked), don’t espect them. Watch Beetrooter every time he needs to make a statement that gathers the rural voters behind his miners’ party…it will involve making a generalised smear that rings true in the rural voters mind and that’s all it takes.
    Tell them they aren’t appreciated, that a person needs a doctor or lawyer every so often but needs a farmer three times a day; that resonates and maintains the myth that rural folk are under appreciated and the power that the Nats have over the country is quite warranted.
    Gabriel Chan writes about it eloquently (From rural Harden) in “Rusted Off”.
    Interestingly though, I note that R.M.Williams is advertising towards a very different market lately: abandoning the rugged farm worker/cute farm kids in big hats and work shirts, in favour of a hybrid city slicker/ rural escape to Bowral type. Maybe the world west of the sandstone curtain is evolving…even Parott Tits was wearing RMs while getting sprayed with beer the other day,

  3. How desperate are The Victorian Greens and the Victorian Liberals to take some paint off Dan Andrews? Desperate enough to ignore their own branch stacking.

  4. Victoria has recorded 1,466 new locally acquired COVID-19 cases and eight deaths as the state tries to bring its Delta outbreak under control.

    There are now 19,627 active cases of the virus in the state, and 101 people have died in Victoria during the current outbreak.

    The new cases were identified from 68,509 test results received yesterday.

    Meanwhile, 36,383 doses of vaccine were administered at state-run sites and thousands more doses were given at GP clinics and other venues.

    According to the latest figures, 85.8 per cent of people over the age of 16 in Victoria have received at least one dose of vaccine, and 59.3 per cent are fully vaccinated

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-12/victoria-records-new-local-covid-cases/100531182

  5. VicGovDH (@VicGovDH)

    Reported yesterday: 1,466 new local cases and 0 cases acquired overseas.
    – 36,383 vaccines administered
    – 68,509 test results received
    – Sadly, 8 people with COVID-19 have died

  6. It seems Taylormade is itching for Morrison and his cronies to bring in a strong independent Federal ICAC , to clean out the federal Lib/nats corruption

  7. With respect to Perrottet and co drinking beer standing in breach of health orders, I cannot help but bring to mind, “Four legs good, two legs better.”

  8. James Dunstan
    @snowycats
    ·
    7m
    Herald Sun runs with a story attacking Andrews that was dealt with years ago. It’s a rehash allegations from disgruntled Adam Somyurek. H Sun so hugely biased it’s embarrassing.

  9. Victoria looking like it might have peaked in case numbers, barring further protests or super spreader events.

    Opponents of Dan Andrews are getting those punches in while the going is good.

  10. The 10 Year Bond Yield in Australia is at 1.75% (the market closed in the USA this morning)

    The higher the yield the less the price hence impacting on (more) particularly the performance of Conservative superannuation holdings – those returns now about flat financial YTD

    And there is at least a 6 month wait for the new car you have put on order

    What the old one will be worth in 6 months or more is anyone’s guess!!!

    Absent the games the Right Wing of politics eternally play with such as the debt ceiling (which is aggregate debt), Biden’s investment into American society is awaited, initially its progress as legislation

    Some would have that it is more beneficial than tax cuts for Corporations


  11. The federal agriculture minister, David Littleproud, has rejected demands from farmers for compensation for emissions reductions agreed more than two decades ago, saying the states should be responsible for compensating farmers over land clearing laws.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/oct/12/david-littleproud-says-states-should-compensate-farmers-for-past-emissions-reductions

    If the Nats expect farmers to be compensated by State Governments, then why do they need $250 billion for rural and regional Australia?

  12. NSW cases are going down nicely, although we won’t see any impacts from partial reopening until next week.

    Victoria might have peaked. We won’t know for another week or so. There were a few plateaus on the way up before infections started rising again, but hopefully this time it marks the beginning of a real turnaround.

  13. Murdoch’s Oz today is extremely excited over IBAC. Perrottet not being fined by police for breaking health directions doesn’t seem to rate a mention.

  14. ‘Katherine Murphy looks at the latest Essential poll that shows most Australians want Morrison to set a higher emissions reduction target.’

    Why don’t the dumbfucks want a new government instead.
    See what I mean, it’s as though the Morrison government is THE government forever.
    There’s no alternative.
    We just have to hope something positive will come.
    Be patient.
    \When Scotty’s ready he’ll let us know.
    Scotty’s not ready yet.

  15. One more brief comment before a day of work (sigh). I noted several references to ICAC or IBAC as a “Kangaroo Court” in this mornings media (Murdoch Fishwraps, ABC Radio with Fran Kelly). No doubt this was to justify still not having a Federal ICAC. The source of the idea was not hard to find.
    https://ipa.org.au/publications-ipa/government-must-reject-nsw-icac-style-kangaroo-court

    This really is an outrageous lie. ICAC, IBAC and the CJC all permit legal representations of the accused, have strict rules of evidence, are run by current or former judges, and at the end only make a finding, without imposing a sentence. For anyone accused of a crime there would still be a full trial to go, as the years long Obeid process demonstrated. How is that a Kangaroo Court? It is instead very slow justice.

  16. After this is over and Miracle Man 2.0 is crowned we’ll be lamenting Labor’s lack of ticker.
    Why didn’t they go hard when they had the chance we’ll be saying.
    How did they let him off the hook.
    How many cream puffs does it take to roll a Labor leader we’ll be joking.

  17. So NSW have ANOTHER Freedom Day in a couple of weeks

    One a week until the Federal Election?

    The uneducated telling their fellow uneducated what they do not know

    And what exactly is “freedom”

    For who and from what?

    Speeding infringements?

  18. Professor Adrian Esterman
    @profesterman
    ·
    1m
    Another cloudy day in Adelaide with a top of 23. There were 1466 new local cases for Victoria with sadly 8 deaths. The 5-day moving average is down to 1743, the first drop in about 7 weeks, and the Reff is down to 1.10. Definitely a hint of peak in the air.

  19. Panahi in the Hun last evening and today.
    Obviously did not get the memo about climate change

    A good start would be the sidelining of chief health officer Brett Sutton, who has been granted dictatorial powers through the pandemic. Before Victoria’s disaster-prone Covid response thrust the CHO into the limelight he was penning catastrophist papers on “the critical role of public health in driving action on climate change”.

    This is typical of the way the Hun has undermined the health response and they wonder why people are no longer complying

  20. The West Australian
    @westaustralian
    ·
    34m
    A WA man allegedly caught a great white shark, removed its monitoring tag then deliberately used the tag to set off shark warnings for nearly a month.

  21. In regard the figures in Victoria

    The analysis should be the bending of the curve in the epicentre locations, so the West and North of Melbourne (and replicating Sydney)

    The concern is the spread of the virus to other locations, including Regional, and the catalyst for that spread

    So we now have to see the bend in these other locations

    What is and was the catalyst?

    Protest marches and Grand Final “celebrations” (noting the place AFL plays in Victoria, well over and above the NRL in NSW)?

    So the meaningful analysis is like for like, and the bending of the curve in the North and West of Melbourne (where the outbreak commenced in a high rise apartment building and removalists from NSW).

    That is OUR confidence, as citizens of Australia

    The interruption protocols and vaccination rates are delivering the result

    Noting that tragically deaths continue across the Nation’s landscape

  22. Terminator,

    Farmers are notorious whingers. They’re like cab drivers – you never meet a happy one. And they always have their hands out no matter the season, no matter the commodity price, no matter the crop yield.

    They’re basically landed Boomers, they’re that sooky and entitled.

    Re Essential. Your regular reminder that questions on climate change and what needs to be done are completely irrelevant unless you ask people whether they are prepared to pay for it by way of lost income, higher prices, industries potentially shutting down etc. Otherwise the questions are psephological motherhood statements.

  23. Observer @ Tuesday, October 12, 2021 at 9:39 am

    This is helpful to monitor: https://chrisbillington.net/COVID_VIC_2021.html#lga

    Hume has peaked and we are seeing spread, just like in NSW as you say. Victoria should benefit from the delay in that spread of COVID, allowing an increased proportion vaccinated. There will be transmission clusters due to pockets of lower vaccination rates, just like NSW. But the overall news is promising.

  24. Hunt proudly announcing “A world-leading initiative in terms of 15 national clinics which will then be backed up by our support through the Medicare system for family visits.”

    A pregnant mother of two children has been killed in Melbourne by her husband. The two children have no doubt been traumatised and are now left with no carer (I do hope the court does not grant custody to the husband).

    I’d rather see that $317m go towards services to mitigate domestic violence.

  25. Vic, yes Hughesy, Ed and Erin are on Sydney’s 2DAYFM – don’t know how wide this goes, but is more of a ‘hits and memories’ format targeting 20-40 demographic.

    The woke crowd are tut-tutting away Albo having a beer on day one. Most people think he’s a normal bloke for doing this.

  26. Taylormade @ 8.48,
    ________________
    “Good work. Please keep the blog updated.
    I will be checking in throughout the day.”

    Thanks Bruce.

  27. The DoPe waves a white flag at Neonorth Korea’s Kim Jong Mark. Will this be the end of NSW Coalition’s campaigning for the Labor Party in WA ?

    “He rang me. It was a very good conversation,” Mr McGowan said.“We talked about the GST and agreed to disagree on it.”

    Such was the bonhomie Kim Jong Mark let the Plague State Premier into some of our State Secrets. Information that seems unknown to the peasantry of his benighted land.

    Mr McGowan said the pair also discussed the ongoing COVID-19 situation in NSW and the state opening up………..and I explained that to him (Mr Perrottet) … They’re all getting excited about drinking a beer and getting a haircut when we’ve been able to get haircuts and drink beers for a long time.”

    https://www.perthnow.com.au/news/agree-to-disagree-mark-mcgowan-dominic-perrottets-uneasy-truce-on-gst-feud-c-4206199

  28. For those who have been following the detail, the pattern is that China grabs a bit here and a bit there. Sometimes, after talks, it backtracks a bit. But the pattern is one of a steady bits and pieces grab of Indian-claimed territory.

    The reverse has not happened. India has not grabbed numerous bits and pieces of Chinese-claimed territory.

    Over time, it is a one-way street.

    The basic defence and foreign policy question for India is this. How to deal with a huge neighbour that is eating your territory away a bit at a time?

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-12/india-china-army-talks-fail-to-defuse-border-tensions/100531168

  29. Greensborough Growler @ #29 Tuesday, October 12th, 2021 – 7:56 am

    I see, that once again, some people are getting excited about polls showing majority support for decisive action on Climate Change. This is has been so for many years. Yet those same polled voters seem to be afflicted with Climate Change amnesia as soon as they walk towards an actual polling booth.

    You wish.

    Labor’s #MehToo attitude to climate change policy was a big contributor to why they lost last time.

  30. Watching the first swell of the tsunami of media propaganda that’ll convince the voting public that of course Mr Morrison & the BCA have always been active proponents of climate change mitigation, & then learning the NSW police have “applied discretion” to their own Premier’s rule breaking is depressing me. Reminding me that our supposed rights to elect the governments of our choice are so much fantasy. These bastards intend to stay in power forever. I already knew that, of course, but it nonetheless hurts to have it rammed home so blatantly.

  31. There is no ‘farmers’. There are numerous subsets of people who make their living from growing and harvesting crops and animals.
    More and more of the really big production units, and conglomorates of production units, are corporatized.
    ‘Farmers’ is a cultural construct that is handy for unscrupulous politicians like Joyce and Bandt.

  32. Labor lost in the regions where there are mining and fossil fuel jobs – to the point they barely hold a seat north of Brisbane, but Player One says they lost because they didn’t go hard enough on Climate Change at the last election.
    That conclusion literally goes against every piece of available evidence from the last election result. People do not care about CC enough for it to lead to a change in govt. If they do care about it, they are already not voting for the LNP.

  33. Further to Boerwar’s comment. The ‘farmers’ the Nats care about are these guys.

    Hectares
    Rinehart-controlled companies 9,206,121
    Australian Agricultural Company 6,427,224
    Crown Point Pastoral Company 5,212,768
    North Australian Pastoral Company 4,891,389
    Williams Cattle Company 4,647,276
    Paraway Pastoral Company 3,801,022
    Jumbuck Pastoral Company 3,593,170
    Brook Pastoral Company 3,269,160
    Consolidated Pastoral Company 3,226,077
    MDH Pty Ltd 2,786,538

  34. Andrews has spent half the time correcting journalists’ incorrect assertions re his past roles/actions.
    “No Rachel, I don’t want to argue with you, but…”

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