Preselection latest

As the Victorian Liberals get candidates in place for target Labor seats, a new vacancy opens in a marginal of their own.

Recent developments relevant to the looming federal election, mostly involving the Liberals in Victoria:

• House of Representatives Speaker Tony Smith announced this week he would retire from politics at the election, after holding the seat of Casey on Melbourne’s eastern fringe since 2001. Phillip Coorey of the Financial Review reports “leading contenders” for the Liberal preselection are David Lau, a manager with medical supplies company Ebos Group, and Aaron Violi, a manager with a company that provides online ordering services to restaurants. Both have form as political staffers, Lau with Senator Sarah Henderson and Violi with Senator James Patterson. The “controversial comments on Facebook related to abortion” that caused Lau to quit his job with Henderson appear not to have done him any harm with the party membership. Smith retained Casey by a margin of 4.6% in 2019, which has not changed with the redistribution.

• The Victorian Liberals have preselected former Geelong mayor Stephanie Asher for Corangamite, where Labor’s Libby Coker unseated Sarah Henderson in 2019, and lawyer and one-time Survivor contestant Sharn Coombes for Dunkley in Melbourne’s south-east, which Labor gained after a favourable redistribution in 2019. Brodie Cowburn of Bayside News reports other candidates for Dunkley included Chris Crewther, who held the seat for the Liberals from 2016 until his defeat in 2019, and Donna Hope, who as Donna Bauer held the marginal local state seat of Carrum for a term from 2010 to 2014.

• Queensland’s Liberal National party has preselected Colin Boyce, who has held the state seat of Callide since 2017, as its new candidate for the central Queensland seat of Flynn, held for the party on a margin of 8.7% and to be vacated at the election with the retirement of Ken O’Dowd. Matthew Killoran of the Courier-Mail reports Boyce “convincingly” won a local party ballot over Mitchell Brownlie, Ron English and Tracie Newitt.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,299 thoughts on “Preselection latest”

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  1. Yes, Boerwar and Rex, the situation in Sydney is frightening. The government seems to think that being tough on areas that mainly vote Labor or have high migrant numbers is all that is needed. Bondi? Nah, doesn’t matter. Madness.

  2. ‘BK says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 2:50 pm

    Three weeks ago the Netherlands did what the UK is going to do tomorrow.
    Covid infections increased by 500%.
    _____
    Boerwar
    I have just sent a message to some friends both well into their eighties in the Netherlands to see how they are faring over there what with that and the floods.’
    ____________________________
    FWIW, the floods are well to the south. Covid is everywhere.

    The Dutch have had dykes on both sides of the main inland rivers for quite a long time. In line with Global Warming predictions, they have been shifting these dykes further from the rivers to allow for bigger peak floods during extreme rainfall events. The latest floods were at record flow levels and still did some damage. They only just managed to prevent a major dyke breakage which would have been big trouble.

  3. I am reflecting on the NSW media conference this morning. Rex Douglas has raised an important point.

    A person died yesterday with COVID19 – as reported by NSW Health media release. Is this the first time that the NSW Premier or anyone else at the media conference did not express condolences to friends and loved ones?

    Why the change? I hope they rediscover empathy for the bereaved.

  4. Griff

    Is this the first time that the NSW Premier or anyone else at the media conference did not express condolences to friends and loved ones?

    Why the change? I hope they rediscover empathy for the bereaved.

    Have some sympathy Gladys has had a hard day too ya know.

    Berejiklian laments her ‘most difficult day’ as NSW seeks to ease burden on community

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-18/covid-live-updates-coronavirus-melbourne-lockdown-sydney-qld/100302266

  5. poroti,

    I didn’t pick up that the NSW Premier said that. That explains the lack of empathy, as a result of what she is focussed on.

    Herself.

  6. Okay, back to Covid-19 news (sorry):

    NSW Police are taking greater steps to ensure people are complying with lockdown restrictions.

    In a statement, NSW Police have said general duties police will be out in force undertaking high visibility patrols, while specialist officers will patrol roadways and transport hubs.

    Minister for Police and Emergency Services David Elliot said:

    “I share the community’s disgust in the selfish behaviour of a small minority of who wilfully continue to flout the public health orders. In the past 24 hours, more than 20 people have been charged and will be before the courts for criminal breaches.

    Police do not want to have to have interactions with people who won’t comply but make no mistake if people do not abide by the public health order, we will not shy away from enforcing the orders.

    In the last 24 hours police attended just over 1325 COVID-related jobs, about 860 of those were reports from members of the community to Crime Stoppers. This highlights that police are responding to the widespread concerns being raised by the community about breaches of the health orders.


  7. ItzaDreamsays:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 11:17 am
    No sign of the Health Minister on the weekend? Monday to Friday job?

    UK Health Secretary tested positive to COVID two days before ‘Freedom day’ in UK ( Hello Credlin). Is NSW Health Minister keeping good health? Already one NSW Cabinet Minister ( who is in his 30s) tested positive to COVID at the start of this current outbreak as some sort of bad omen and in his own words suffered the ill effects of it.

  8. Yeah empathy. Didn’t it ever occur to you that the family of the deceased may have asked that no mention of the deceased be made ?

  9. Griff @ #1128 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 3:04 pm

    I am reflecting on the NSW media conference this morning. Rex Douglas has raised an important point.

    A person died yesterday with COVID19 – as reported by NSW Health media release. Is this the first time that the NSW Premier or anyone else at the media conference did not express condolences to friends and loved ones?

    Why the change? I hope they rediscover empathy for the bereaved.

    It just screams out that they’re only interested in saving their own political lives.

  10. Fauci: US might ‘still have polio’ if right-wing media back then opposed vaccines

    Top US scientist Anthony Fauci on Saturday blasted commentators who sound an anti-vaccination theme, saying America might still be battling smallpox and polio if today’s kind of misinformation existed back then.

    The comments from the country’s leading infectious disease expert reflected mounting frustration over the sharp slowdown in the Covid-19 vaccination rate in the United States, even as the disease has been surging in states with low rates.

    Initial vaccine skepticism in many areas has increasingly evolved into outright hostility, a message magnified by baseless conspiracy theories regularly aired on Fox and other conservative networks.

    Fauci was asked on CNN about T-shirts being sold by a political action group linked to Florida governor Ron DeSantis that say “Don’t Fauci My Florida.”

    He appeared genuinely perplexed.

    “Taking an individual who stands for public health, for truth… and to use my name in a derogatory way to prevent people from doing things that’s for the benefit of their own health, go figure that one out.

    “That doesn’t make any sense at all,” he said, shaking his head.

    https://www.rawstory.com/fauci-polio-disinformation/

  11. How bad is the Rum Corp State ? Bad enough that professional bigoted trash is considered a “critical skill’ .
    .
    “These travel exemptions were approved based on support by the NSW Government as they met the critical skills category for inwards travel,” she said.
    https://www.news.com.au/entertainment/tv/reality-tv/katie-hopkins-under-investigation-by-australian-border-force-after-possible-hotel-quarantine-breach/news-story/2f8ee572b333ee31fcd8e383463ff2b5

  12. Lars
    I misread one of Steve777’s comments.
    Looking back now I realize I was wrong in comment and wish to take this opportunity to apologise to Steve 777.

  13. Lars Von Trier says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 3:29 pm
    Yeah empathy. Didn’t it ever occur to you that the family of the deceased may have asked that no mention of the deceased be made ?

    —————-
    NSW health already made it public

  14. Jaala Pulford MP
    @JaalaPulford
    ·
    4m
    This may be the most irresponsible thing the state opposition has said yet… (big call I know)
    _________________
    Personally I think Jaala Pulford is a bit wasted as roads minister. Andrews should give her a more prominent portfolio. I think she’s a star.

  15. I wouldn’t be surprise if the majority of the Victorian Liberal party shadow ministers, may not return to parliament after the Victorian state election

  16. Lars is concerned that people die from Covid.

    It destroys his narrative that it will be sunshine, lollipops and rainbows at some yet to be determined moment in time.

    The bottom line is that the public has right to know there are people passing due to Covid infections.

    The fact that the NSW Government won’t talk about it tells you they are in denial about their totally botched approach to Covid.

  17. Lars Von Triersays:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 3:29 pm

    Yeah empathy. Didn’t it ever occur to you that the family of the deceased may have asked that no mention of the deceased be made?

    .

    You simply make stuff up for no reason other than contrarianism.

  18. Matt Canavan with foot in mouth again.

    I support these truckies … end the lockdowns,” Senator Canavan said in the tweet, which was re-tweeted by former Senator David Leyonhjelm.

    The Transport Workers Union responded by saying that if he supported truckies he should help ensure their businesses were supported, they had access to paid pandemic leave and there were more testing hubs to reduce queues.

  19. Player One @ #1991 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 12:47 pm

    Amazing as it sounds, there are some people that are even below Channel 7’s standards …

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jul/18/far-right-commentator-katie-hopkins-to-be-dumped-by-channel-seven-after-sydney-hotel-quarantine-claims

    No, they just wish to create that perception, after all the negative publicity.

    Nothing has new has been added to what was already well known about her.

  20. Recon @ #1146 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 3:41 pm

    Jaala Pulford MP
    @JaalaPulford
    ·
    4m
    This may be the most irresponsible thing the state opposition has said yet… (big call I know)
    _________________
    Personally I think Jaala Pulford is a bit wasted as roads minister. Andrews should give her a more prominent portfolio. I think she’s a star.

    She’s as tough as they come given what she’s had to deal with in her life.

  21. Lars Von Trier says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:03 pm

    Oliver = Arthur
    ____________
    I thought I detected his odiousness with that attack on my dear great grandfather.

  22. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:08 pm

    She’s as tough as they come given what she’s had to deal with in her life.
    _________
    Yes, but also she’s believable, and that’s hard to find in a pollie. I don’t know what her administrative prowess is but in terms of pure communication skills, she’s terrific.

  23. Recon @ #1157 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 4:10 pm

    Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:08 pm

    She’s as tough as they come given what she’s had to deal with in her life.
    _________
    Yes, but also she’s believable, and that’s hard to find in a pollie. I don’t know what her administrative prowess is but in terms of pure communication skills, she’s terrific.

    She is Minister for Employment, Minister for Innovation, Medical Research and the Digital Economy
    Minister for Small Business.

    She’s obviously very capable.

  24. Funnily enough when ‘Oliver’ was going on about his ‘honor’ yesterday I responded with a great quote from Ralph Waldo Emerson:

    The more he talked of his honor, the faster we counted our spoons,

    It seems that old Waldo was right, as usual.

  25. Zero…
    Pointing out the inconsistencies/bias/slant of Western news media is one thing. Using this as some kind of argument that Chinese media is no different is a weak stance.
    For all its faults – whether from government run or privately owned news services in the West – the media in the West is a hurly-burly of market driven news….
    Chinese news is carefully crafted and shaped to reflect well of China……..both for domestic and foreign consumption.
    Showing possible photoshopping from the BBC is one thing. On the other, Chinese media speaks only with one voice.
    You are okay in China if you do not criticise anything the CCP says or does, and you are okay if you just get on with life and don’t cause a fuss.
    As a weather vane…..When things between Oz and China were going well not so very long ago, the staff at the local Chinese consulate were friendly and helpful. More recently they are cold, un-cooperative and nit-picking.
    China does not take kindly to little Oz calling China out…..and they make their displeasure apparent….

  26. Rex Douglas says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:14 pm

    She is Minister for Employment, Minister for Innovation, Medical Research and the Digital Economy
    Minister for Small Business.

    She’s obviously very capable.
    ____________
    Oh ok. I had missed her getting that promotion. See, I was right about her needing to be promoted!

  27. zoomster says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:17 pm

    Once knelt at Jaala’s feet at Conference so that she could text her members which way I needed them to vote.
    ____
    Any proof of that? A Citation from a superior commander?

  28. Greensborough Growler @ #1464 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 3:33 pm

    Jaala Pulford MP
    @JaalaPulford
    ·
    4m
    This may be the most irresponsible thing the state opposition has said yet… (big call I know)

    Ladies, mammogram services are open. Do not reschedule.

    And please Victoria, please don’t let this person ever be your Health Minister.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E6aVfUWVUAEpk57?format=jpg&name=small

    The Victorian Liberals not covering themselves in glory. Again.

    Can they end up with even less seats at the next Victorian State election?

  29. Jill Stark
    @jillastark
    I don’t understand the way Gladys reports the numbers. It’s not 27 cases who weren’t in isolation, it’s 34. Seven people being in the community for “part of their infectious period” means they were still out and about while infectious. Just like you can’t be a little bit pregnant

    Spin spin & more spin… or obscufucatson

  30. Tricot says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:17 pm

    “Carefully crafted” but West is not ? lol.

    Isn’t using “Carefully crafted” like how they did with Detention Centres, immigration matters, and the war on so called Terror ? Not to mention the big fat lie about WOMD in Iraq? So they left a handful of countries in total shithouse? With millions in less than 3rd word status?

  31. Mexicanbeemer @ #1491 Sunday, July 18th, 2021 – 4:28 pm

    C@T
    The Liberals should pick up 4 to 6 seats by default but it wont be an endorsement of Michael O`Brien.

    That’s an interesting proposition because the last election was held before Covid and the next one, you might think, would be an endorsement of how Dan Andrews has handled things and how poorly the Liberals have responded. I was tending to think that they needed to be busted back to WA levels.

  32. Greensborough Growler says:
    Sunday, July 18, 2021 at 4:31 pm

    Nath,

    Thanks.
    _______
    My pleasure. Family is everything after all. Oh, must ask my wife what’s for dinner.

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