Roy Morgan and Essential Research polls

A new federal poll from Roy Morgan records a narrower Labor lead than Newspoll, but an apparently wider gender gap.

Two further polls in the wake of the weekend Newspoll, including voting intention numbers from Roy Morgan and its regularly conducted but irregularly published federal polling series. This shows Labor with a 50.5-49.5 lead on two-party preferred, unchanged from the last such poll a month ago, from primary votes of Coalition 41% (up one), Labor 34.5% (unchanged), Greens 12.5% (down half a point) and One Nation 2.5% (down one). The poll was conducted online and by telephone over the previous two weekends, from a sample of 2747.

The accompanying release takes a deep dive into gender breakdowns in light of recent events, as The Australian did yesterday with recent Newspoll data, which you can read about as an update at the bottom of this post. Whereas The Australian came up empty, Morgan tells us of a 4.3% differential in Coalition two-party preferred between April 2020 and early February (53.5% among men, 49.3% among women), but a 6.2% differential since late February (52.8% among men, 46.5% among women).

There is also the regular fortnightly Essential Research poll which includes the pollster’s monthly reading of leadership ratings. These have Scott Morrison down three on approval to 62% and up one on approval to 29%, Anthony Albanese up one to 41% and down one to 32%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister narrowing slightly from 52-24 to 52-26.

Concerning recent rape allegations, 37% agree with Scott Morrison’s contention that an inquiry into the Christian Porter matter would “say the rule of law and our police are not competent to deal with these issues”, with 33% disagreeing. Sixty-seven per cent felt it was “time women were believed when they say they have been assaulted”, but 62% also felt that “because the charge of rape is so serious, the burden of proof needs to be high” – a difficult circle to square. Fifty-five per cent felt there needed to be an independent investigation compared with 45% who favoured an alternative proposition that “the police has said they will not be pressing charges and that should be the end of the matter”.

Regular questions on COVID-19 management find federal and state governments recovering ground that most had lost in the previous result a fortnight ago. The federal government’s good rating is up eight to 70% and its poor rating is down two to 12%. For the state governments, New South Wales’ good rating is up three to 75%, Victoria’s is up thirteen to 62%, Queensland is up two to 75%, Western Australia is up six to 91% and South Australia is up to 85%. For the small states especially, caution is required due to small sample sizes (though the WA result may be the highest yet recorded anywhere, which would be neat timing if so).

Also featured is an occasional suite of questions on trust in institutions, which finds 66% expressing a lot of or some trust in state and territory governments, up six points six August, and 72% doing so for border security agencies, up five. Other institutions record little change except the print media, which already rated poorly and is now down four points to 35%. The poll also found 38% support for an aged care levy with 30% opposed. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1124.

Newspoll, Essential and Roy Morgan between them have amounted to a healthy infusion of data for the BludgerTrack poll aggregates, which you can see summarised on the sidebar and in much greater detail here. Labor is now credited with a 51.2-48.8 lead on two-party preferred, following a dead heat when the numbers were last updated three weeks ago.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,519 comments on “Roy Morgan and Essential Research polls”

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  1. Porter-ABC
    ABC did not finger Porter.
    They also didn’t publish the accusation, that was left to Porter’s friend PvO and the Australian.
    Perhaps that is why PvO deleted his tweets and had his name taken off the article.

    For truth ABC only have to show that the accusation existed and it was directed at a cabinet minster. Seems a pretty low bar.

  2. I’d prefer it was Senator Patrick Dodson, the Father of Reconciliation, to be our next Governor General. He never stood behind ‘Juliar’ signs.

  3. William Bowe says:
    Wednesday, March 17, 2021 at 6:47 am
    The West Australian reports “a campaign is building for Ken Wyatt to be installed as the next governor-general of Australia at the end of incumbent David Hurley’s term in 2024”,

    —————-

    The same Ken Wyatt who stood with Abbott and the other cronies in front of the insulting signs Burn the witch and Bob Brown’s bitch attacking Julia Gillard .

  4. Verrry interesting:

    The FBI is facing new scrutiny for its 2018 background check of Brett Kavanaugh, the supreme court justice, after a lawmaker suggested that the investigation may have been “fake”.

    Sheldon Whitehouse, a Democratic senator and former prosecutor who serves on the judiciary committee, is calling on the newly-confirmed attorney general, Merrick Garland, to help facilitate “proper oversight” by the Senate into questions about how thoroughly the FBI investigated Kavanaugh during his confirmation hearing.

    Among the concerns listed in Whitehouse’s letter to Garland are allegations that some witnesses who wanted to share their accounts with the FBI could not find anyone at the bureau who would accept their testimony and that it had not assigned any individual to accept or gather evidence.

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/mar/16/fbi-brett-kavanaugh-background-check-fake

  5. Not to mention nominating a guy, during this period of Womens’ heartache, to be GG, who stood alongside disgusting signs about our first female PM, but Morrison is nominating Wyatt apparently so he can keep Christian Porter!

    No wonder support among Women for the federal government is evaporating.

  6. Morning all. Like others, I agree that Ken Wyatt is far too partisan a figure to be appointed to what is supposed to be a symbolic role for the nation.

  7. WIlliam caught me nicely this time!
    ________
    Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    David Crowe reports that Scott Morrison has urged his colleagues to stick together during a testing time for the government as it faces a political storm over the treatment of women and internal anxiety over whether the issue will drive voters to Labor. Not to mention the efforts of idiots like Canavan.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/narrow-path-ahead-morrison-warns-mps-on-tough-challenges-20210316-p57b6o.html
    There’s nothing but bad news from the west for Scott Morrison says Chris Uhlmann who reckons no one is talking about an early election now.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/there-s-nothing-but-bad-news-from-the-west-for-scott-morrison-20210316-p57b3l.html
    The Liberal Party needs more women in Parliament – and that means quotas, urges former Howard government ministerial adviser, Fiona Menzies.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-liberal-party-needs-more-women-in-parliament-and-that-means-quotas-20210315-p57azr.html
    “Yes, the economy is back but what are we recovering to?”, asks economist Alex Joiner who says that, in the wake of this recession, policymakers will need to do better, or we will have to accept the consequence that the growth in our living standards will remain modest.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/planning-and-budgeting/yes-the-economy-is-back-but-what-are-we-recovering-to-20210316-p57b6h.html
    As the Coalition’s stimulus package draws to a close, some are already asking why a Cabinet that harboured a “big swinging dicks club” has such a small ongoing assistance package, writes Tarric Brooker.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/aussies-on-their-own-as-jobkeeper-ends,14894
    John Lord amusingly takes apart Michael McCormack’s disastrous interview on Insiders.
    https://theaimn.com/what-is-it-like-being-interviewed-by-david-speers-ask-the-deputy-prime-minister/
    Samantha Dick reports that the Morrison government is being pressed to urgently send COVID vaccines to Papua New Guinea, as the Pacific nation battles a massive rise in cases.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/coronavirus/2021/03/17/papua-new-guinea-coronavirus-vaccine-push/
    The Age’s Investigations Editor, Michael Bachelard, contends that Christian Porter’s defamation case is no sure-fire way to find the truth. This is well worth reading.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/christian-porter-s-defamation-case-is-no-sure-fire-way-to-find-the-truth-20210315-p57aze.html
    The ABC is expected to push for a jury trial in its defamation battle with Attorney-General Christian Porter in the belief that it stands a better chance of winning than before a judge sitting alone, writes Michael Pelly.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/judge-only-trial-for-porter-case-won-t-pass-pass-pub-test-20210316-p57b5c
    Christian Porter’s defamation action threatens to further chill public interest journalism, argues senior law lecturer, Daniel Joyce.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/16/christian-porters-defamation-action-threatens-to-further-chill-public-interest-journalism
    Sunita Bose writes that we have an opportunity to get online safety laws right but is concerned that we are rushing them.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/we-have-an-opportunity-to-get-online-safety-laws-right-why-rush-them-20210316-p57b7h.html
    Nick Bonyhady reports that lobbyists swarmed the corridors of Parliament yesterday, trying to convince three key crossbenchers to pick their side on industrial relations.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/business-warns-crossbench-of-job-losses-if-industrial-bill-dies-20210316-p57b5n.html
    Josh Frydenberg has told a joint Coalition party room meeting to “be prepared for a rough couple of months” when JobKeeper ends in two weeks and said the government would “respond with targeted programs where appropriate”, writes Patrick Commins in The Australian.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/mps-brace-for-rough-jobkeeper-landing/news-story/e485336e05af44802a599df59ad2a073
    People looking for work say they will be left starving and at risk of homelessness when the JobSeeker welfare payment is slashed by $100 a fortnight, with a Labor senator calling the government’s proposed changes “disgusting”, reports Josh Butler.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2021/03/17/jobseeker-welfare-cuts-parliament-canberra/
    Europe’s drug regulator says it is “firmly convinced” the benefits of the AstraZeneca vaccine far outweigh any risks, as it attempts to head off an unproven and highly damaging suspicion that the jab may cause blood clots. The credulous have been lining up to consume the BS, all to the detriment of the vaccination program.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/no-evidence-europe-s-vaccine-regulator-moves-to-shut-down-unproven-astrazeneca-fears-20210317-p57bca.html
    If a couple of lonely and contrarian backbenchers dispossessed of medical insight can panic Australians out of vaccination, the collective sanity of the nation is deeply imperilled, despairs Simon Benson.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/coronavirus-vaccine-misinformation-drive-will-develop-no-traction/news-story/2ead1837c9a1337cb9f84f77c64b8cfe
    Rachel Clun tells us that Aged care homes will lose up to $12 per bed per day by the end of the year, causing a catastrophe in the already failing system, if the government does not make immediate funding changes that operators and the opposition say are necessary to keep the sector afloat.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/diabolical-state-aged-care-providers-heading-for-loss-of-12-per-bed-per-day-20210315-p57aq6.html
    Violence and sexual assault are fundamentally a ‘men’s issue’, says Darren Chester in an op-ed in The Age.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/violence-and-sexual-assault-are-fundamentally-a-men-s-issue-20210316-p57b53.html
    On Tuesday, tens of thousands of Australians marched across the country in 42 rallies. They marched against violence and they marched against complacency, writes Michelle Pini.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/morrison-tells-women-protesting-violence-theyre-lucky-not-to-be-shot,14895
    Katherine Murphy reports that the shadow minister for women, Tanya Plibersek, has urged women inside Labor to come forward with any complaints about sexual assault or harassment, and has flagged efforts to ensure any submissions to the Jenkins inquiry will remain confidential.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/mar/17/tanya-plibersek-urges-labor-staffers-to-come-forward-with-complaints-of-sexual-assault-or-harassment
    Higgins and Tame can’t do it alone: Men must step up, urges Jennifer Wilson.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/higgins-and-tame-cant-do-it-alone-men-must-step-up,14897
    “If laughter is the best medicine, Daniel Andrews will be taking the stairs three at a time within days”, writes Timy Wright after the attempted Victorian Liberal leadership spill.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/libs-serve-up-a-dose-of-slapstick-to-tickle-daniel-andrews-ribs-20210316-p57b7x.html
    Paul Kelly waxes lyrical, saying Scott Morrison’s soft-power diplomacy triumphs.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/scott-morrisons-softpower-diplomacy-triumphs/news-story/383b4ecac1396670306503e464c781dc
    The SMH editorial believes that the Biden administration in Washington is showing strong signs it will go into bat for Australian exporters if China continues to pursue punitive trade measures.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/us-shows-solidarity-with-australia-over-china-trade-war-20210316-p57ba2.html
    Jennifer Duke writes that a group of chief investment officers collectively managing $620 billion of superannuation savings warn policymakers are overreaching with proposed rules that could hand the government the power to block major investments by the funds.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/super-fund-investment-chiefs-warn-of-government-overreach-in-rules-overhaul-20210316-p57b2r.html
    Investments focusing on environmental, social and governance factors have achieved market-beating returns. But can the strategy itself and its practitioners really take credit, asks the AFR’s wealth editor Aleks Vickovich.
    https://www.afr.com/wealth/investing/2-2-trillion-fund-of-true-believers-20210310-p579jo
    Rachel Lane explains how pensioners would emerge winners from potential aged-care reforms.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-retirement/pensioners-would-emerge-winners-from-aged-care-reforms-20210315-p57ayr.html
    The prize for the most ill-conceived idea of the year might well be calls for first-home buyers to be allowed access to part of their superannuation for a house deposit, proclaims Noel Whittaker.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-retirement/why-withdrawing-super-cash-for-housing-is-a-dumb-idea-20210316-p57b7t.html
    Lending to highly-geared home buyers rose in the December quarter as the property market also rebounded, sparking debate over whether riskier lending is starting to re-emerge, reports Clancy Yeates.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/rise-in-higher-risk-loans-as-housing-market-surges-20210316-p57b9x.html
    Stephen Bartholomeusz reckons the debate about the Morrison government’s proposed repeal of responsible lending laws is being framed in a context that no longer exists.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/responsible-lending-debate-is-based-on-false-premises-20210316-p57b4t.html
    Electricity has become a jigsaw, and coal is unable to provide the missing pieces argues Peter Martin in an informative contribution.
    https://theconversation.com/electricity-has-become-a-jigsaw-coal-is-unable-to-provide-the-missing-pieces-157139
    In The Conversation, four professors say, “Wake up, Mr Morrison: Australia’s slack climate effort leaves our children 10 times more work to do”.
    https://theconversation.com/wake-up-mr-morrison-australias-slack-climate-effort-leaves-our-children-10-times-more-work-to-do-157136
    Legal uncertainty over building contracts hit by the pandemic has the construction sector warning of a disastrous wave of disputes, explains Noel Towell.
    https://www.theage.com.au/business/the-economy/legal-minefield-builders-fear-wave-of-post-covid-litigation-20210316-p57b3c.html
    An agreement obliging French submarine builder Naval Group to spend 60 per cent of its funding with local suppliers will be kept secret, angering the defence industry that would like to track progress against the company’s promises, reveals Andrew Tillett. What else would we expect?
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/submarine-local-content-deal-to-remain-secret-20210315-p57ar9
    Wendy Touhy reports that the principal of one of Melbourne’s largest independent schools says he is “deeply disappointed” by allegations some of his students made misogynistic comments on public transport hours after Monday’s March 4 Justice. Charming!
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/wesley-college-boys-accused-of-disgusting-misogyny-20210316-p57b7c.html
    Australia could wipe out 80% of its greenhouse gas emissions – all of those from fossil fuel energy – in two decades by doubling the pace at which solar and wind power is being rolled out, academic analysis suggests.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/mar/17/doubling-uptake-of-wind-and-solar-power-could-set-up-australia-for-net-zero-emissions-by-2040
    It has been 10 years since the Fukushima nuclear disaster that was fuelled by Australian uranium but neither the mining industry nor the nation’s leaders have heeded any of the lessons, instead continuing to export uranium to countries with inadequate regulation and nations beset by corruption. David Noonan and Dr Jim Green report.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/bhp-rio-tinto-given-carte-blanche-to-export-uranium-to-global-hotspots/
    According to Dominic Powell, a consortium of high-profile companies including Coles and Nestle is planning to build a soft plastics recycling plant where chocolate bar wrappers or chip bags can be broken down and remade into new food-safe wrappings. He says this Australian first-ever ‘circular’ soft plastics recycling plant is set to be built in Victoria, with the consortium preparing to kickstart the project in the coming months.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/coles-nestle-in-plans-to-build-first-ever-soft-plastics-recycling-plant-20210316-p57b8j.html
    The freight industry has slammed a double-digit hike in import and export charges by the country’s largest port operator, saying it is unjustified during a global trade slump.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/economics/freight-sector-slams-port-charges/news-story/4099427973637b644e8056bdb636fed7
    Britain will seek more trade and direct investment from Beijing, despite a major review of its foreign and defence policy describing China as the “biggest state-based threat to the UK’s economic security.” It will also seek a “transformation” of its relationship with India over the next decade, as part of a major tilt towards the Indo-Pacific region, writes Latika Bourke.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/britain-has-one-eye-on-trade-with-china-the-other-on-its-threats-20210316-p57b0m.html
    “Maybe I was wrong about Joe Biden – is he actually the progressive president I was waiting for?”, says Arwa Mahdawi.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/mar/16/maybe-i-was-wrong-about-joe-biden-is-he-the-progressive-president-i-was-waiting-for
    I reckon today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week” should go to Jarryd Hayne’s lawyer who, in closing remarks said, “The presence of injuries on a woman who was allegedly sexually assaulted by Jarryd Hayne proves “absolutely nothing” about whether she gave consent to the former footballer.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/presence-of-injury-on-hayne-complainant-says-nothing-about-consent-jury-told-20210316-p57b9k.html
    This wonderful NRL specimen also deserves nomination.
    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/nrl/it-was-a-no-brainer-for-the-nrl-to-warn-toby-rudolf-over-post-match-interview-20210316-p57b8a.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Pope
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/images/transform/v1/crop/frm/kDqE8LvSwvU8fyZkrZC97F/4abcbd25-7cb4-4998-a0e1-979fa80a43a0.jpg/r8_0_1010_668_w600_h400_fmax.jpg
    Cathy Wilcox
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/1edacc9f7609c8bcdbf72317cbf6f3c5488778f8.jpg
    Mark David
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwlUJY1VIAc1E1A.jpg
    Fiona Katauskas
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ewj6TxjVEAA8FiW.jpg
    Glen Le Lievre
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwkpDd-VEAAURrJ.jpg
    David Rowe
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwlGqa4U8AkyzU3.jpg
    Mark Knight
    https://content.api.news/v3/images/bin/498aae3d3e78c9a882dc09735facd463?width=1024#image.jpg
    Simon Letch
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/717a22d870dc6199b8f99c468988499b0cf12a71.jpg
    Matt Golding
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/f80d20398ef89ba605561da1ed3b9fd4023e2a73.jpg
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/8f23423c085a69302a667fb2098d8fe8dd61d3ef.jpg
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/e47c1f306c8e87bb96022d56e0c56dbc5e217e4f.jpg
    https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/q_86%2Cf_auto/a39241dfd77516dde5b9223f91e57d8d2f5945a8.jpg
    John Spooner
    https://content.api.news/v3/images/bin/a4324566b4421fa1ebccad9d391b1ee9?width=1024#image.jpg

    From the US

    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/lk031621dapr.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/cb031621dapr.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/20210315edbbc-a.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/20210315edwas-a.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/mrz031621dapr.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/249600_rgb_768.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/mrz031421dapr.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/sbr031321dapr.jpg
    https://images.theweek.com/sites/default/files/jd031421dapr_0.jpg

  8. I think some of the bubbles on the graph are in the wrong place, the recent with a 50.5 for labor displays a liberal lead in the poll ?

  9. The same Ken Wyatt who stood with Abbott and the other cronies in front of the insulting signs Burn the witch and Bob Brown’s bitch attacking Julia Gillard

    That to me disqualifies him. In any case it would just be the Coalition stacking the Governor-Generalship like they stacked all other appointed positions.

  10. Thanks BK. Good to see at least some in the fourth estate (outside Newscorp) are calling Morrison out on corruption and misogyny.

    Noting that it hasn’t occurred to Scomo to choose a woman as the next GG, this WA story also highlights another thing he needs to be reminded of: quotas for female candidates in parliament work. Labor now has 50% women in WA parliament. Why don’t the Liberals have one? Would it wreck the boys club vibe?
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-15/record-number-of-women-to-enter-wa-parliament/13247972

    PS I particularly like the Knight and Golding cartoons this morning.
    Have a good day all.

  11. That Crikey article last night pulled together the many aspects of Christian Porter’s actions which make him completely unsuitable to be a Minister, much less Attorney-General, without even venturing near his attitude to women. That’s why I think a conviction of sexual assault is of minor importance in the big picture. He is not worthy of any high position.

  12. ‘Socrates says:
    Wednesday, March 17, 2021 at 7:29 am

    Thanks BK. Good to see at least some in the fourth estate (outside Newscorp) are calling Morrison out on corruption and misogyny.

    Noting that it hasn’t occurred to Scomo to choose a woman as the next GG, this WA story also highlights another thing he needs to be reminded of: quotas for female candidates in parliament work. Labor now has 50% women in WA parliament. Why don’t the Liberals have one? Would it wreck the boys club vibe?’

    There is another deep current in the braided river of misogyny: Christian fundies, including among the various sects that are penetrating liberal state branches.

  13. For reasons best know to themselves, sections of the Left supported Brexit.

    This was mimicked by sections of the Left in Australia. They simply ignored traditional tenets of Left ideology among which internationalism and multilateralism. When warned that Brexit would be used by the doctrinaire right to undercut workers rights, asylum seekers rights, and the environment, these wayward sections of the Left simply went Corybyn good. Blair bad. As if.

    What the Left completely missed was the commonality between Johnson, Trump and Morrison: the Far Right harnessed racism and xenophobia to enable its ambitions to fuck over workers and the environment.

    Corbyn and British Labor completely lost is traditional way. It sold out its core values to try to meet the Brexiteers on their own terms. And then British Labour went the extra yard by fiddle faddling with anti-semitism.

    And so it has come to pass:

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/mar/16/ministers-watering-down-green-pledges-post-brexit-study-finds

  14. @broomstick33
    ·
    8m
    … Penny Wong’s substantial rebuttal apparently not of interest to
    @RNBreakfast
    and
    @BreakfastNews
    both leading with Nicole Flint blaming the Labor Party for sexual harassment, and conflating it with the serious crime of rape in the Liberal Party, still not addressed

  15. “The same Ken Wyatt who stood with Abbott and the other cronies in front of the insulting signs Burn the witch and Bob Brown’s bitch attacking Julia Gillard .”

    Not only was that sign deeply sexist and misogynistic, it was also quite homophobic. It crassly implied that Bob Brown – Australia’s first openly gay federal parliamentarian – was in a heterosexual relationship with a woman, when it was well known that he was and is in a loving and committed relationship with a man. It was a disgusting and abhorrent attack against both of them. And you are right, Wyatt should be named and shamed for attending that protest.

  16. The first step towards “Respect for Women” might be an order by the Speaker and the Pres of the Senate that men should not turn their back on women who are speaking in the chambers. Just a small start.

  17. We need clarification regarding the astra zeneca vaccine. Many countries have suspended its use at present.

    What about Australia?

  18. Victoria

    We are being assured that statistically there is no proof that A-Z has any more incidence of blood clotting than is normal for any population.

    The only question I would like answered is whether those whose injections resulted in clots were already vulnerable to them, or whether it came out of the blue. That seems significant to me.

  19. “The first step towards “Respect for Women” might be an order by the Speaker and the Pres of the Senate that men should not turn their back on women who are speaking in the chambers. Just a small start.”

    Bit hard to enforce that one. I mean, they often start walking out of the chambers altogether when their opponents begin speaking.

    Those from the duopoly often walk out when the Greens begin speaking, not to be sexist, but just to avoid hearing the truth.

    On the other hand, I remember the Greens famously walked out on Pauline Hanson when she gave her first speech in the Senate. “Turning their backs” on her wasn’t sexist, it was a statement against disgusting racism.

    If you were to enforce a rule that said that nobody could turn their backs on a woman while they were speaking, it would force people to be subjected to the likes of Hanson’s vile tirades simply because she is a woman.

  20. Theo Andelini

    I half agree with you. You are confirming that turning the back is a deliberate insult. Perhaps a ‘conversation’ should be held about it.

  21. BK

    “I reckon today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week” should go to Jarryd Hayne’s lawyer who, in closing remarks said, “The presence of injuries on a woman who was allegedly sexually assaulted by Jarryd Hayne proves “absolutely nothing” about whether she gave consent to the former footballer.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/presence-of-injury-on-hayne-complainant-says-nothing-about-consent-jury-told-20210316-p57b9k.html

    Phil Boulten SC – pretty connected to the ALP, I think. He can hardly ignore the issue of injury to the victim in the defence of his client. He has to say something about it.

    Interesting that much of the evidence in this retrial is replaying video of evidence given in the first trial. I am not sure whether this is mandatory or optional (Earlwood will know) but it is a minor procedural change to avoid victims having to give repeated evidence in the trial.

  22. @broomstick33
    ·
    17m
    “Ms Flint continues to insist the inappropriate behaviour of an individual was part of a co-ordinated sexist campaign against her,” Senator Wong said. “This has no basis in fact.”

  23. The Sydney Domain being fenced off for the first time in a year so someone can host a three day event called Summer in the Domain and the forecast across the three days is dire.

  24. I see Nicole Flint and the liberals are trying to take the high moral. ground.

    The hands of Morrison and his media pack are all over this.

    However, perhaps Flint and Morrisonmshould have considered the abuse handed out to Anne Aly during her campaigns particularly as a lot of it was straight from the mouths of liberals. Perhaps Flint should have considered the abuse handed out to Ali France during the last campaign. Not too much recognition and apologies from Morrison for their treatment.

    Flint also tried to go all “ Julia Gillard” in her speech last night. Not the best option given the bullshit and crap Julia Gillard had thrown at her on a daily basis from the coalition. No apologies there from anyone on the coalition side.

    So many doors opened up by Flint and Morrison in their rush to throw dirt.

  25. Nicole Flint is not helping herself by playing partisan politics trying to blame the opposition and other non libs/nats entities , and ignoring her own party puts doubts that she is genuine

  26. Norman Swan
    @normanswan
    ·
    24m
    This thread seems to explain why the Germans paused. It’s more than low platelets associated with clots. The issue is not whether the rate is below the usual for thromboembolism but whether rare unusual events are occurring and where and why.

    JLRohmann
    New @PEI_Germany report provides much needed clarity to the #AstraZeneca “pause” in Germany. Not yet available in English. I will try to summarize. /thread pei.de/SharedDocs/Dow…
    As of Monday (March 15th), 2021, 7 cases of specific form of severe cerebral venous thrombosis associated with platelet deficiency (thrombocytopenia) were identified. The individuals were 20-50 years old and 3 of them subsequently died. /2
    6 of the cases were women who had a particular form of cerebral venous thrombosis, namely cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. (hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditi…) The 7th case was medically very similar (cerebral hemorrhage + platelet deficiency + thrombosis)

    Cerebral Venous Sinus Thrombosis (CVST)
    Cerebral venous sinus thrombosis occurs when a blood clot forms in the brain’s venous sinuses. This prevents blood from draining out of the brain. As a result, blood cells may break and leak blood int…
    https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/cerebral-venous-sinus-thrombosis
    All cases occurred 4 to 16 days after vaccination with AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine. This pattern “flagged” in the surveillance data. This is what we hope good surveillance does- detect potential concerning events & investigate further. /4
    The PEI writes that this number of cases following #AstraZeneca vaccination was found to be statistically significantly higher than the number of cerebral venous thromboses that normally occur in the general population. /5
    The PEI ran an “observed-versus-expected analysis”, comparing the # of such cases expected *without* vaccination in a 14-day period with the # of cases reported in those vaccinated with #AstraZeneca (1.6 million) in Germany. About 1 case would be expected, 7 were observed. /6
    The younger to middle-aged population in which these severe cerebral venous thromboses+platelet deficiency was observed is not the group at highest risk for a severe/fatal COVID-19. (Sidenote: this is why so many of us wanted information on age group yesterday) /7
    The PEI states that they consulted other experts in thrombosis, hematology, and an adenovirus specialist about this issue & all unanimously agreed that a pattern could be recognized here & a connection between the reported cases and the AZ vaccination “was not implausible”. /8
    They go on to explain that these aforementioned points led to yesterday’s decision by the @PEI_Germany to recommend suspension of the #AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine as a precautionary measure until further assessment can be completed. /9
    The German Federal Ministry of Health (BMG) followed this recommendation. The Pharmacovigilance Risk Assessment Committee (PRAC) at the European Medicines Agency (EMA) will also review this information this week. /10
    Now we await the #EMA comments & decision on whether and how these observations (together with other European surveillance data) affect the risk-benefit profile of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine and the EU approval of the vaccine. /11
    At this point, it remains unclear whether there is a causal relationship between the #AstraZeneca vaccine and these cases of cerebral thrombosis. /12
    The main report is followed by a series of Q&A. I will highlight the @PEI_Germany answer to Q#6: “What can I do if I have received vaccination with AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine?” since many are likely faced with this question today. /13
    The report emphasizes how rare these cerebral venous thrombosis events were (7 out of 1.6 million vaccinations, according to current knowledge). They point out that these individuals continued to feel unwell and experienced increasing headaches 4-16 days after vaccination. /14
    Thus, the @PEI_Germany advises that people who have received the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine and feel *increasingly* unwell more than four days after vaccination – with severe and persistent headaches or pinpoint bleeding on the skin seek professional medical advice. /15
    Q7 asks “What changed since Friday?” The report explains that on Friday, the number of incident cerebral venous thrombosis events that occurred within the vaccinated population was still within a range that would be expected in the general (unvaccinated) population. /16
    They describe the process of observed vs. expected analysis in pharmacovigilance (drug safety) and go on to say that on Friday, the threshold for the “red flag” had not yet been reached. /17
    If the frequency of an event (like the cerebral venous thrombosis, in this case) is near the expected frequency, this speaks for a *random* occurrence in temporal connection with the vaccination. /18
    On Monday, the 2 additional cases of cerebral venous thrombosis were reported following #AstraZeneca vaccination. These additional 2 cases put the number of observed cases “well above the expected number” & ultimately led to the decision to suspend, they write. /19&end
    Now, we eagerly await more info & the #EMA recommendation. Of course, serious events in close temporal relation to vaccine should be taken seriously & weighed carefully against the strong, demonstrated benefits of the vaccine.
    Since #AstraZeneca was the primary vaccine strategy in Germany and much of Europe, every day we wait is a frustrating one. I do appreciate the transparency of this report. Wish these numbers had been released yesterday though!

  27. This is what happened in Melbourne that caused the snap lockdown last month

    Chelsea Hetherington
    @chelsea_hetho
    ·
    27m
    NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has confirmed another COVID-19 case has emerged from the Sofitel Wentworth hotel in Sydney. It’s believed they caught the virus after arriving in Sydney.
    @abcnews

  28. Greens slam Victorian Labor Government’s secret deal with Yallourn

    The Victorian Greens have slammed a secret deal struck between the Victorian Labor Government and overseas-owned Energy Australia to keep Yallourn open for another seven years.

    According to reports this deal could include the government subsidising the coal-fired power station to stay open until 2028 even if power prices are so low they render the plant commercially unviable.

    During Question Time in Victorian Parliament today, Deputy Greens Leader Ellen Sandell MP asked the Minister why the government would use taxpayer funds to keep Australia’s dirtiest coal plant open for longer, in the midst of a climate emergency.

    The Minister refused to divulge any details of the deal.

    Yallourn is the most polluting coal plant in Australia, and coal is the biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions in Victoria. The Greens believe the government should be planning for an early transition away from coal that supports workers and communities in the Latrobe Valley, not paying overseas billionaires to prop up their coal businesses.

    https://www.miragenews.com/greens-slam-victorian-labor-governments-secret-528807/

    We should not be subsidising environmental vandalism. Enough propping up of billionaires and their destructive enterprises.

  29. Lizzie

    Thanks for the information

    Based on this, Australia should not be administering this vaccine at present.
    Apparently we have 20 million Pfizer shots available, we can utilise those first.

  30. This is how predictable Newsltd and libs/nats are

    Former Liberal Party staffer Brittany Higgins alleged rape brought out in the public by newsltd hacks , every one knew it was only a matter of time until newsltd and libs/nats start to bring look at labor.

    Like clock work Newsltd hacks report Labor and the lib/nats continue with the propaganda

    When the historical alleged rape case against the un-named minister first came out in public by newsltd hacks ,
    every one knew it was a matter of time until Newsltd and the lib/nats brought up Shorten to try to put the pressure back onto Labor.
    And like clock work Newsltd and Liberal party senator Sarah Henderson brought up Bill Shorten

  31. And I should add, that the vaccination program ought not be political, so it would be really helpful if Morrison and Greg Hunt got their shit together and did their bloody job in this space.

  32. “I half agree with you. You are confirming that turning the back is a deliberate insult. Perhaps a ‘conversation’ should be held about it.”

    Yes, it is certainly often a deliberate insult. There are definitely times where it is sexist in nature too. Abbott turning around and checking his watch while Gillard was giving the Misogyny Speech comes to mind. It’s the context in which it is done that really matters.

  33. The_Pythia
    @TPythia
    ·
    5m
    David Crowe reports that the Liberal party room said “the government had to fight the “Labor narrative” that the Coalition was anti-women.” Not actually STOP being anti-women, mind you, but just fool us they are not.

  34. Victoria @ #NaN Wednesday, March 17th, 2021 – 8:54 am

    And I should add, that the vaccination program ought not be political, so it would be really helpful if Morrison and Greg Hunt got their shit together and did their bloody job in this space.

    We have had so many half truths and lies from the Federal Government that it is doubtful whether any of that crew would be believed – no matter what they said.

    My opinion – government members in countries not far from ours have been shot.

    How luck is our Federal Government ❓

  35. Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton
    ·
    1h
    Frydenberg warns party room of “rough couple of months” as Jobkeeper payments end.

    Rough for the people, but the MPs won’t suffer.

  36. From the WA election, our neighbouring electorate has the Labor candidate leading the Nat who went into the election with a 12% margin and who has held the seat (and previous iterations of it) for 15 years. When the swing is on, the swing is on!

    Labor Party
    Jane Kelsbie Vote:51.2%11,138 +14.0%

    National Party
    Terry Redman(MP) Vote:48.8%10,616-14.0%

    75.9% counted
    Previously held by NAT with margin of 12.8%.
    Shock Labor victory.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/wa/2021/results/?filter=all&sort=az

  37. lizzie
    Doesn’t look like they’ll take their hands off their ears any time soon.

    What’s going on is not necessarily specifically about the Liberal party, and it’s not being driven by Labor. The Liberals are making it all about themselves by failing to show any leadership on the issue.

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