Newspoll: 50-50

Newspoll finds Scott Morrison’s commanding personal ratings improving still further, without doing anything to improve a seemingly precarious position on voting intention.

As brought to you by The Australian, Newspoll maintains its sedentary ways in its latest poll, which repeats the previous result three weeks ago in recording a dead head on two-party preferred. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 37%, while the Coalition on 42%, the Greens on 10% and One Nation on 3% are all unchanged. Despite a seemingly difficult week for Scott Morrison, he gains one on approval to 64% and drops one on disapproval to 32% and widens his lead as preferred prime minister from 57-29 to 61-26, as Anthony Albanese drops three on approval to 38% and rises two on disapproval to 45%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1504.

There was also a poll on Friday from Roy Morgan, which sometimes publishes its regular federal voting intention polling and sometimes doesn’t. In this case Labor was credited with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5, from primary votes of Coalition 40%, Labor 34.5%, the Greens 13% and One Nation 3.5%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends online and by phone from a sample of 2824.

Between Newspoll, Roy Morgan and Essential Research, there are now three pollsters who rate the situation as steady of with Labor fractionally ahead. This is reflected in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, now updated with the above results on both the voting intention and leadership rating trends, which has Labor edging ahead to a 50.2-49.8 lead.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,113 comments on “Newspoll: 50-50”

Comments Page 19 of 63
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  1. Barnaby on Jobseeker

    I think the saving that could be made is by having proper oversight over people who basically just don’t want to work because, as I said, they are not unemployed if they’re offered a job and don’t do it. They are lazy.”

    This was the final question of the interview, and when brought up by Karvelas that she would have challenged him on using the word “lazy” if she had more time, Joyce said he deliberately waited until the end of the interview to say it, and laughed.

  2. Kr
    In the interim, stay well away from where there is any potential nexus between stagnant water, possum shit, and mosquitoes. Or Coalition ministerial offices. Take your pick of flesh rot.

  3. I read a cry for help from a Daffodil grower in Cornwall, claiming to be the largest such grower in the world. You could file this under Brexit/Covid, but what struck me was the similarity to the farm labour conversation in Australia, and the owner’s transparent mindset. He says up front, it’s tough work and everyone hates it, but he used to have people willing to do the work before Brexit/covid.

    “It’s idealistic to think that because of Covid and the higher than usual unemployment rates that those people would come in and do that work. I would say that a daffodil harvester is to be highly respected because the work is very hard. You’re out in the cold weather, it’s in Cornwall, it blows pretty hard down there. It’s wet and you’re bending over picking daffodils for three months. Frankly, the people that we’ve had to come and do this work, the locals, may last a day or two days, but they certainly don’t last two or three months.”
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-news-live-boris-johnson-update-eu-b1805438.html

    Then I saw this comic on Thomas More, about whom I recall a recent conversation.

    Even weirder, he said that people from foreign lands would volunteer to be slaves in Utopia, because it was so great there.
    http://existentialcomics.com/comic/382

    Does the ghost of Thomas More hang over us still? I’m thinking of backpackers and “Dole bludgers”.

  4. If you listen to Xi, China was the victim in India, Tibet, Vietnam, Xinjiang, Hong Kong, the Philippines, Brunei, Malaysia and is about to be the victim in Taiwan.

    Poor bugger Xi.

  5. ‘Late Riser says:
    Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 5:41 pm

    I read a cry for help from a Daffodil grower in Cornwall, claiming to be the largest such grower in the world. You could file this under Brexit/Covid, but what struck me was the similarity to the farm labour conversation in Australia, and the owner’s transparent mindset. He says up front, it’s tough work and everyone hates it, but he used to have people willing to do the work before Brexit/covid.’

    It turns out that the Brexiteers mobilized xenophobia and racist hatred directed at labourers from, inter alia, Eastern Europe. This resulted in an upsurge in targeted attacks on, inter alia, migrant workers from Eastern Europe. (And Poles. Boy, do the Brexiteers hate the Poles!) These attacks were duly reported on social media. There is now a marked reluctance on the part of former migrant workers to go and get bashed, verballed or otherwise monstered in the UK.

  6. Morrison has announced that the Government will immediately create a dob in line for citizens who spot Government ministers engaged in rorting, stealing from taxpayers, outright fraud, sex predation, covering up rape, sundry criminal behaviours, lying, maladministration, or similar peccant behaviours.

  7. Highest Brexit vote = Boston, Lincolnshire. When I was there, there was less than 1% unemployment. But the concern was all the Eastern European “foreigners” coming to work on the industrial farms and major supermarket ready meal factories. Many of the locals were in labour supervision/management roles. I wonder who they are managing now?

  8. What a tragedy for daffodil growers, no access to cheap exploited labor from labor hire firms . FMD they may even be forced to pay decent wages . Oh the humanity !

  9. humphrey hollins
    @HollinsMrhump
    ·
    4h
    The unemployed may be required to attend “ training workshops”. That’s code for Liberal mates to set up worthless programmes and be well compensated for the fraud.
    Meanwhile they run down Unis, increase fees and sell TAFES. Come in Albo..,,

  10. ‘poroti says:
    Tuesday, February 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm

    What a tragedy for daffodil growers, no access to cheap exploited labor from labor hire firms . FMD they may even be forced to pay decent wages . Oh the humanity !’

    haha. Maybe Australia could learn a trick or two here.

  11. Guardian

    An attempt in the Senate to overturn the government’s increase in migration-related court fees has failed because the vote was tied 30-all.

    The Centre Alliance senator for South Australia, Stirling Griff, had attempted to gather support in the Senate to strike down the regulation that the government had used to increase the fees. But with the Coalition and One Nation voting against Griff’s motion, the attempt narrowly failed (motions to disallow government regulations need a majority to succeed).

    The Law Council of Australia has previously been one of the most outspoken critics of the federal government’s increases in federal circuit court fees for migration cases.

  12. In November, the council’s president, Pauline Wright, said the jump from $690 to $3,330 would pose “a severe threat to access to justice for migrants” and was “unconscionable”.

  13. Those daffodil feckers have form
    2008
    A UK-wide investigation into allegations of forced labour among migrant … has resulted in one of the industry’s largest labour suppliers losing its licence. … It’s gone from employers exploiting workers to the\……….· Authority condemns ‘abhorrent conditions’
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2008/may/08/immigration.immigrationandpublicservices
    2018
    More than 200 potential modern slaves found working at Cornwall flower farm
    ………..is famed for its daffodils, which have been featured in the local press and at a church festival.
    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/modern-slaves-cornwall-flower-farm-workers-immigration-human-rights-bosahan-farm-manaccan-a8201146.html

  14. Not unexpected. :sigh:

    THE Russell – Show me your vaccine!
    @THE_Russell
    ·
    3h
    Morrison’s wife Jen, her mother and Morrison’s mother who share government paid for accommodation, have all received the high quality Pfizer vaccine.

    No second rate AstraZenica vaccine for Scotty’s loved ones…

  15. @Greensborough Growler, 4:58pm

    Thank you for the clip of Chris Bowen. I am interested to see that they are running the “coward” motif for Morrison. I think it might receive traction, but we shall see. Most importantly, remember the importance of repetition.

  16. Thanks poroti, I was drawing a satirical bow back to Thomas More’s slaves in utopia. Apparently it’s not such a long one. Mic Mack reckons it’s a way to find love though. So there is that.

  17. The liberal/national partys always believe their donors and businesses over the average Australian , the businesses who promised to employ more people after penalty rates were cut lied.
    Businesses are lying again claiming jobseekers are refusing jobs at the award rate

  18. There are about 250,000 job vacancies in Australia, compared with 900,000 unemployed and 1.2 million under-employed. That is a colossal structural failure of the economy to provide enough jobs for all who want jobs. The federal government is responsible for that. The federal government controls the unemployment rate (whether the people running the government recognize that fact or not).

  19. Now that the war between Frydenberg and Zuckerberg is apparently over, it would be interesting to know how many Facebook users realised that a war was underway.

    Also, the anti Facebook vitriol that spewed from the MSM, including ABC and Guardian, was something that did their reputations no good.

    (Personally I have never used Facebook; my wife uses it to stay in touch with friends.)

  20. the anti Facebook vitriol that spewed from the MSM, including ABC and Guardian, was something that did their reputations no good.

    The mainstream media outlets don’t have a culture of reflecting on their own role and interests and taking useful steps to minimize their biases.

    The notion that revenue from Facebook and Google will save Australian journalism is ludicrous.

  21. Today at a press conference Morrison was asked about Kelly continuing to employ Zumbo in a role in his office.

    “I have long expressed to Mr Kelly my concerns about that staff member and he has long understood my expectations about that staff member,” Morrison said.

    However, it is understood the issue of Zumbo’s employment has been a source of contention within the PM’s office for some time.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/23/pm-asked-craig-kelly-to-remove-senior-aide-who-was-subject-of-complaints

    If Morrison “long” knew all about an alleged serial groper in a back-bencher’s office, and had been complaining about him for “some time”, how come he didn’t know about another alleged sexual molester operating just down the corridor in the Defence Minister’s suite of offices? Especially when half of Morrison’s own office (including his right hand man) knew all along, for 2 years?

  22. Spray @ #932 Tuesday, February 23rd, 2021 – 6:53 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #926 Tuesday, February 23rd, 2021 – 6:31 pm

    zoomster @ #925 Tuesday, February 23rd, 2021 – 6:26 pm

    https://www.9news.com.au/national/dowling-s-wife-angry-at-media-for-scandal/b925c33b-37d8-41d5-a697-416dc69972e3

    I’m not sure what to say about any of this…

    Was the glass full or nearly empty?

    Itgives a new meaning to depth charging.

    “Red, red wine…..goes to my head”.

    In your case, probably to your brain!

  23. So Scrotts thinks a ‘serial groper’ of staff in a member of parliament’s office rates no more action than a ‘tut tut’ . Now what does that say about Scotty Flimflam ?

  24. Nicholas @6.56
    “The notion that revenue from Facebook and Google will save Australian journalism is ludicrous.”
    That sums up the situation tidily.

  25. I listened to the interview where Jane Norman characterises unemployed people as “dole bludgers” hoping the context would prove her description less damning (to her) than at first blush. Vain hope it turns out. She uses it as a straight out description.

    Jane is a Director at the National Press Club under the Presidency of fellow ABC reporter Laura Tingle. I’d like to think she will receive some much needed counselling.

  26. Some delivery riders have to got to learn to obey the road rules. I can see some are killed. I had one coming the wrong way down the bike path the other night.

  27. The US Supreme Court sat on Trump’s tax returns’ decision for four months, deciding on Monday that they must be produced to Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jnr, though they are subject to grand jury secrecy.

    As is the Court’s want, no reason for the delay was provided. One can only deduce that the Court didn’t want to add a political dimension during the election. If as is expected, the returns reveal financial and/or corporate misconduct, this will of course come out if and when he goes to trial. One particular issue Vance is looking into is “Stormy Daniel’s” hush payment, but her defamation suit against Trump has been rejected by the Court.

    Trump also faces possible charges over his call to Georgia’s Secretary of State Raffensperger, begging him to find 11,780 votes. If charges are laid over this matter, his alleged corporate/financial misdeeds will pale in comparison. True to form, Trump dismisses this accusation by saying, “This is the greatest witch hunt in US history”. His former personal lawyer Cohen recommends that Trump should get measured up for prison greens, and he’d know.

  28. Good to know Hungry Panda is this benevolent:

    “”Mr Chen [sic – he is dead] already got compensation from Compulsory Third Party insurance, around $20,000, and of course we are not claiming that back, we see that as compensation,” Ms Sun said.”

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