The most interesting poll of the day is YouGov’s Queensland state poll, which you can read about here, but we do also have some results from the fortnightly Essential Research poll courtesy of The Guardian, focusing on expectations for the budget. Fifty-one per cent of respondents expected it would benefit the well off and 30% expected it would benefit those on low incomes, but only 25% thought it would benefit them personally. Thirty-five per cent expected it would be good for the economy compared with 31% for bad.
More interestingly, 78% signed on to the proposition that now was a good time to “explore new ways to run the economy”, with only 22% opposed. Sixty-nine per cent favoured “direct investment by government in job creation and in projects with the objective of improving living standards” when it was offered as an alternative to “deregulation to encourage employment and tax cuts for wealthy Australians”, which some may consider a false binary. The full report should be out later today.
In other poll news, The West Australian has been dealing out further results from the poll of 3500 respondents that recorded a 16% swing on state voting intention to Labor – remembering that this was a poll of five selected marginal seats, and not of the entire state. The poll found support for Western Australia’s hard border at 77% with 14% opposed, and support for secession at 28% and opposition at 55%, with 17% somehow unclear of their opinion.
UPDATE: Full results from Essential Research poll are available on the website, although there isn’t the usual PDF file at this point. Regular questions on COVID-19 suggest a softening of concern over the past fortnight, with very concerned down six to 30%, quite concerned up seven to 52%, not that concerned steady on 15% and not at all concerned down one to 4%. Perceptions of government performance in response are little changed, with the federal government on 60% good (down one) and 18% poor (steady), and good ratings for state governments on 65% in New South Wales (down two), 45% in Victoria (down two) 69% in Queensland (up one), 83% in Western Australia (down one) and 81% in South Australia (steady), with due regard to the small sub-sample sizes here.
UPDATE 2: PDF file here.
Simon Katich @ #145 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:27 am
As he runs around looking like he’s had his head cut off, ie brainless.
SK
I think it’s coming down to court cases which is bad news for the GOP.
With the virus dominating I think this is the ultra cautious prediction.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Another angle on the Il Douche moment.. looks in pain
https://twitter.com/brenonade/status/1313263278613827585?s=21
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #141 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:31 am
So you can’t or won’t say?
Pull that Geranium out o’ there and give it to me straight Bunga!
White House interfering with proposed FDA vaccine guidelines that would see approval delayed beyond election day.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/05/us/politics/coronavirus-vaccine-guidelines.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur
Every time someone quotes a mundo comment I feel the juvenility oozing through the computer screen.
Honestly, talk about a One Trick Pony that got lucky, mundo is the Steven Bradbury of PB and he’s determined to dine out on his fortitudinous call forever.
mundo,
“Some here certainly are thin skinned…
“Commin’ through I tells ya!$!$@#!$@!#$@!!!!”
PARKLIFE!
sprocket_ @ #153 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:33 am
Honestly, how could America re-elect such a sick old man?
g
Trumps only hope is that the deadheads who enable him do the unthinkable. Governors, senators. It will be all out anarchy if that happens – forget the courts.
538s forecast is still assuming Trump improves in the polls. If the election were held now his chances would be a lot worse.
Nah, but it rhymes with ‘in pain’.
mundo @ #154 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 8:33 am
I already have, but you’re too thick to understand.
mundo,
“Some here certainly are thin skinned…
Never a truer word spoken about mundo, by mundo.
Nah, but it rhymes with ‘in pain’.
Disdain is the word. It’s what Trump has for everyone.
ABC News24 advises that tonight’s Federal Budget is one of the most important since WW2.
Therefore I am expecting an announcement that the second coming is imminent. 😇
KayJay @ #163 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:42 am
Scott Morrison would say it’s already happened. 😆
Kronomex @ #117 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:02 am
Check the post thread this morning Kronomex.
See where things went pear shaped.
Bunghole and Freedunk couldn’t leave Mundo to post perfectly reasonable comments.
Had to start with the pathetic juvenile name calling and snide commentary.
So be it.
C@tmomma @ #162 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 8:41 am
I would’ve gone with shit stain myself.
Sarah Cooper always has a unique take:
Sarah Cooper
@sarahcpr
Oh my god, when they said Trump would kill the Republican Party, they meant… literally
KayJay @ #157 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:42 am
Joshy is going to look damn cute in swaddling cloths.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #154 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:39 am
So you say Bunga, so you say…..get your mate Freedunk to help, you might need more than two hands.
Meanwhile NSW is on a precipice:
Exhibit A – Morrison wants to open the international borders and let people isolate at home for 14 days
The state recorded 11 new cases to 8pm on Monday, all in overseas travellers in hotel quarantine. It brings the total number of cases in NSW to 4057.
Exhibit B – the asymptomatic lurkers
‘Health authorities are concerned there may be active and as yet undetected coronavirus cases in the Hawkesbury and south-west Sydney regions.
Dr Selvey said NSW Health particularly wants people living in those areas to come forward for testing, after the state’s sewage surveillance system picked up fragments of the virus at the North Richmond and West Camden treatment plants.
“The most recent cases in the West Camden catchment were reported in September, but no one living in the North Richmond catchment had recently tested positive for COVID-19,” Dr Selvey said.
Virus fragments can mean that there are active cases in the catchment area, but people can continue to shed viral genetic material for some weeks after recovery.”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/coronavirus-updates-live-us-president-donald-trump-announces-he-will-leave-hospital-later-today-confirmed-cases-worldwide-pass-35-3-million-20201005-p562ai.html
Trever Noah of The Daily Show not far behind:
The Daily Show
@TheDailyShow
Eyes Trump’s schedule for tomorrow:
Dandy Murray @ #151 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:37 am
‘All the posters
So many so posters
And they all go hand-in-hand
Hand-in-hand through their parklife
Know what I mean?’
C@T
I thought Thorpe was referring to swearing allegiance to the Queen and her hairs.
The White House has declined the CDC offer of contact tracing of the Rose garden Super Spreader event.
I get the feeling Trump, thinking wishfully that he’s recovered, doesn’t give a shit who else gets it, or how badly they do, for it would only confirm them as losers and emphasise his own fabulousity.
Sharkie is a SA rep in the House. Centre Alliance is a South Australia centric party which has apparently secured some increased benefits for the SA tertiary sector. How broad the benefits are is still to be seen. Are they real or just off in the future feel good promises made by the government ? How many SA students will still be worse off ? Time will tell.
It looks like the legislation will now pass the senate with the support of Centre Alliance. It is par for the course for cross bench senators to horse trade on legislation if they secure some benefits for their home state. However, in this particular case it appears Centre Alliance has secured some small concessions for a, as yet unknown, number of SA students while supporting a kick in the guts for thousands of other students across the rest of the country.
Centre Alliance had better hope it was worth it and the government has not simply shafted them.
Mexicanbeemer @ #173 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:52 am
Does she have to?
I’m feeling Albo should allow a leadership vote after the budget to clear the air.
C@t
Honestly, talk about a One Trick Pony that got lucky, mundo is the Steven Bradbury of PB and he’s determined to dine out on his fortitudinous call forever.
___________________________________________
That is terribly unfair to Bradbury. Bradbury was a world class ice skater who, but for terrible injury might have won an Olympic gold before he eventually did. He was past his best when he made it to the Olympic final, but his great experience helped him to navigate the field when fortune went his way.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Bradbury
SK
Yes if the election was held on the day the polling was done Biden would have won the electoral college in a landslide.
Good news on the early voting front.
Lars Von Trier @ #171 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 11:54 am
Careful Lars, there’re some on hair triggers posting today….
C@T
I think she does but then maybe the Australian parliament isn’t as strict as the House of Commons where its a must.
Sorry, TPOF, I was trying to think of a 100/1 outsider who won the Melbourne Cup as the more apt metaphor. 🙂
C@tmomma @ #158 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 10:38 am
Victory is measured by how hard you can troll the libtards, that’s how. Not by most people or even by that many people, but by enough of them.
ItzaDream @ #174 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 8:54 am
How is this even an offer?
In case it’s not been posted.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/122990847/cannabis-reform-would-pass-if-referendum-held-today-poll
No no, mundo, you’re not Damon. You are the one doing the ranting.
a rsays: Tuesday, October 6, 2020 at 11:58 am
C@tmomma @ #158 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 10:38 am
Honestly, how could America re-elect such a sick old man?
Victory is measured by how hard you can troll the libtards, that’s how. Not by most people or even by that many people, but by enough of them.
***********************************************
Angry Staffer@AngrierWHStaff
I don’t think “wheezing orange mask-less man on a balcony” is quite the propaganda piece they were going for
Trump already saying he’s definitely doing the next debate (Oct 15) is pretty stupid. He had the perfect excuse to hold off and play the let’s wait and see card with no downside. But no, he’s pumped up on steroids, terrified of being the loser, and completely oblivious to post viral fatigue, let alone a rebound in symptoms. Standing on his feet for an hour and a half shouting abuse at Biden ain’t what it used to be he’ll find out. And if he has to pull out, then who’s a loser now.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #184 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 12:02 pm
Authoritarian state.
With a Biden win likely one of the biggest losers is going to be the Murdoch propaganda outfit.
I will be joining the millions cheering that. 🙂
Great work from the Federal Gummint. Winding back University places for the rabble.
Restoring the old system for divorce will be a welcome future occurrence along with getting rid of Medicare and repealing same sex legislation.
Forget about public housing … new gaols, that’s what are required. Homeless people making the cities look untidy need to be shown the error of their ways.
Good afternoon and welcome to a brave new world.
guytaur @ #190 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 12:08 pm
Where’s Rupert hiding anyway? Talk about high risk.
Dandy Murray @ #180 Tuesday, October 6th, 2020 – 12:03 pm
Nothing wrong with a good rant Dandy.
Anyway, just as well Mundos don’t hunt in packs, like some here.
Question – is Biden the American version of Shorten?
PARKLIFE!
Serious question – can you be unmarried? Asking for a friend.
Lars
Read the polls. Biden is winning the seniors vote. 62% according to one poll. That’s the most reliable cohort for turning out to vote.
I think many readers here will find this profile interesting:
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/10/12/inside-the-lincoln-projects-war-against-trump
Dandy Murray
Is that your way of telling mundo that it’s got nothing to do with the vorsprung durch technik ?
Guytaur clearly Biden is ahead in the polls – but I do wonder when all is said and done – shy trump voters, people who see Biden as weak etc etc at the last minute vote Trump. Very similar situation to Shorten.