More affairs of state

More evidence of a tight contest looming in Queensland while Mark McGowan reigns supreme in Western Australia; and a parliamentary committee in Victoria kicks the upper house electoral reform can down the road.

Not every state this time, but half:

Victoria

The Victorian parliament’s electoral matters committee has tabled the report of its inquiry into the 2018 state election, of which the greatest item of interest is a full chapter devoted to reform of the upper house electoral system. Together with Western Australia, Victoria is the last hold-out of the group voting ticket system that is electing ever-increasing numbers of preference-harvesting micro-party candidates. This reached a new height at the 2018 election, at which parties other than the Coalition, Labor and the Greens won 10 out of the 40 seats in the Legislative Council, including two elected with less than 1% of the vote. However, the report recommended only that a further parliamentary inquiry be held into the matter. The report also recommends no change to the two-week period for pre-polling, which the Liberals and Nationals called to be shortened.

Queensland

Polling of the marginal state seats of Currumbin, Mansfield and Aspley by YouGov for the Australian Conservation Foundation shows a combined two-party result of 52-48 for Labor, compared with an almost exact 50-50 for these three seats in 2017. The primary votes are Labor 37%, LNP 37%, Greens 10%, One Nation 4% and 10% don’t know, compared with 2017 election results of Labor 41.2%, LNP 38.4%, Greens 10.6% and One Nation 8.5%. The poll was conducted from August 17-19 and targeted 200 respondents in each of the three electorates.

Western Australia

A poll for The West Australian by Painted Dog Research showed Mark McGowan with an approval rating at 91%, up four from an already stratospheric result in June. Support for the state’s border closure was at 92%, up from 89% in May. The poll was conducted from a sample of 837, with field work dates not provided.

Northern Territory

As related in the dedicated post, the CLP sneaked home in an eighth seat in the Northern Territory election as the count concluded last night, producing a final result of Labor 14, CLP eight, Territory Alliance one and independents two.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,560 comments on “More affairs of state”

  1. Lars Von Trier @ #1495 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 9:14 pm

    Yes I think covid – has had paradoxical financial impacts – some people have benefited (so if you had high debt levels but you preserved your income) – your ahead because of lower interest rates.

    If your on some form of government transfer payments you’ve come out evens or better

    If your in certain business areas (say hospitality) your behind as obviously anybody who has been retrenched. Presumably more people will feel pain with the bank holidays ending and retrenchments rising too.

    Im interested in how many people who’ve had no negative financial impact or indeed improved are big supporters of lock down etc.

    Lots of blah. But absolutely, no insight.

    I thought so!

  2. A reminder

    If you are on the pension and support restriction. You don’t have to excuse yourself.

    Older people are at high risk.

    It’s like blaming concerns from gay people on HIV/AIDS on income.

    Medical Science must come first.

    Edit. : Of course not all pensioners are on the aged pension

  3. Seriously? The woman on Q&A says “I find the whole situation dreadfully heartbreaking.”

    Overstatement like this ruins debate. She doesn’t look or sound like her heart has been broken, dreadfully or otherwise. I doubt whether she is going home to cry.

  4. Confessions @ #1502 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 9:23 pm

    C@t:

    Max Boot is spot on about President Trump: the ‘LOL nothing matters’ presidency.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/09/05/trumps-insults-troops-are-just-latest-episode-nothing-matters-presidency/?hpid=hp_save-opinions-float-right-4-0_opinion-card-i-right%3Ahomepage%2Fstory-ans

    Yes, I read it earlier today during a break from packing. It’s taking the populace’s cynicism with politics and then using that fact to take them for granted, thinking they won’t care enough to vote for either candidate, then just juice up the base in the Mid Western States to hand over victory via the Electoral College again.

  5. BB

    Not all citizens are professional debaters.

    Now the idiot is singing “We are one, we are many…”

    This is a historical low point for Q&A.

  6. Again. It’s we can’t trust the Federal Government to plan for local hotspots.

    A common theme. Like bushfires planning seems to be the missing piece for the Feds.

  7. Geez Hamish went hard on Mick Mac there….Mic Mac stood his ground, as shaky as that was, but wasn’t going to give in. He’s turning Liberal!

  8. The man from the largest and most powerful right wing union in the country looked rather pleased with himself.

    …and now for the inane pop song!!!

  9. Fess

    Simon Katich @ #1453 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 6:28 pm

    In his prime, Steve Waugh was also a seriously good and fast bowler. Nearly had Viv Richards SBW (Shoulder Before Wicket) with his slow ball..
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RS703gGoq6Q

    That brings back memories! I had a teen crush on Viv Richards.

    Yeah, Viv Richards was incredibly cool.

    But my crush was always on Clive Lloyd, the captain.

    I guess someone can analyse my personality from this admission.

  10. BB

    The Tasmanian successful case for making gay sex legal included playing music in debates. They were not a talent show either.

    I couldn’t care less about the Tasmanian case for gay sex (wonderful case though it may be).

    Two wrongs don’t make a right.

    Keep the singing on Q&A for the end segment, and not a minute beforehand.

  11. Lars
    My work hasn’t been impact and no it isn’t a public servant role. If anything I’m better off from not buying the morning coffee daily lunch and attending work drinks.

  12. At least Dotard’s narcissism will have plenty of fuel over coming days and weeks..

    ‘Atlantic editor-in-chief Jeffrey Goldberg warned that more could be coming in the story about President Donald Trump’s attacks on American soldiers. Trump was exposed for calling those who died in battle “losers” and “suckers.

    “I would fully expect more reporting to come out about this and more confirmation and new pieces of information in the coming days and weeks,” Goldberg told CNN Sunday. “We have a responsibility and we’re going to do it regardless of what he says.”

    Trump’s campaign has attacked The Atlantic story, saying that it cites anonymous sources and as a result, it can’t possibly be real. The problem, however, is that Fox News, the Associated Press, the New York Times and CNN have all confirmed the sources are real.

    https://www.alternet.org/2020/09/this-is-only-the-beginning-atlantic-editor-warns-trump-theres-more-to-come-over-his-soldier-insults/?utm_source=&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=5405

  13. BB

    The point is it worked.

    So your dislike of her technique which is not a usual one and not likely to become a usual one does nothing to support your argument about high or low standards for QandA.

    It does nothing for your argument about effective debating.

  14. Morrison got Mark McGowan’s popularity over 90%, he seems to be working hard to get Andrews up there as well.

    Morrison is right behind Mick Mack. Who knows? He may even soon be ambitious for him.

  15. Douglas and Milko @ #1535 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 10:42 pm

    Fess

    Simon Katich @ #1453 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 6:28 pm

    In his prime, Steve Waugh was also a seriously good and fast bowler. Nearly had Viv Richards SBW (Shoulder Before Wicket) with his slow ball..
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RS703gGoq6Q

    That brings back memories! I had a teen crush on Viv Richards.

    Yeah, Viv Richards was incredibly cool.

    But my crush was always on Clive Lloyd, the captain.

    I guess someone can analyse my personality from this admission.

    It just shows you had great taste D&M. No-one was cooler than the Supercat.

    Had the enormous pleasure of meeting him at the Gabba. A wonderful player and a great man.

  16. I met Freddy Trueman once, at the Alelaide Oval. I think he’d retired by then (mid 1970s?). He shouted me a Scotch and soda in the Members’ Bar. Does that count?

  17. Trueman was a nice bloke. Pretended to be interested in what I had to say. We only chatted for five minutes though.

    Saw Graham McKenzie hit a six off English fast bowling at the SCG. Got out next ball. Australia got done, but won the next one, with both Bill Lawry and Bobby Simpson scoring centuries.

    The only other test of note that I saw was a between England and Australia at Lord’s in 1975. David Steele scored a half century, from memory. Lille and Thompson started their run ups from the fence! I couldn’t bloody believe it!

  18. Well if we’re into bragging, Graham McKenzie bowled an over to me when I was a year 8 at John Curtin High School Fremantle where he was the sports master in 1963.

    Can’t remember him getting me out ….

    And they were 8 ball overs too at the time.

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