Miscellany: Newspoll state leaders ratings, trust in goverment and more

A second tranche of Newspoll results finds Daniel Andrews taking a coronavirus-related popularity hit but still doing well in absolute terms, with Gladys Berejiklian also down from earlier peaks.

It is apparently the case that Essential Research will, at long last, be including voting intention when it publishes its next survey next week. I also gather that it’s back to a fortnightly publication schedule after going to weekly for the first few months of the coronavirus crisis.

Also:

• My Newspoll post on Sunday night noted that the sample was an unusually high 1850, compared with the more normal 1500 to 1600. It turns out that this was done to juice up the New South Wales and Victorian sub-samples to 601 and 605 respectively, allowing The Australian to run a follow-up yesterday on the respective state governments’ handling of coronavirus. This predictably found a decline in Daniel Andrews’ numbers, though they remain high in absolute terms, with his approval down ten since a June 24-28 poll to 57%, and disapproval up the same amount to 37%. However, Gladys Berejiklian was also down four on approval to 64% and up four on disapproval to 30%, suggesting part of Andrews’ fall was purely gravitational. Andrews is still rated as having handled the virus well by 61% and poorly by 36%, compared with 72% and 25% from June 24-28 and 85% and 11% from April 21-26. However, the decline has been concentrated in the “very well” response, which has progressed from 51% to 32% to 27%. Berejiklian is at 68% for well (down eleven) and 26% for poorly (up ten). Scott Morrison is now doing better than both, at 72% well (down seven) and 24% poorly (up six) in New South Wales and 77% well (down four) and 20% poorly (up three) in Victoria. Results at national level found 76% saying they were more concerned about moving too quickly to relax lockdowns and restrictions, up four from May 13-16, compared with 20% saying they were more concerned about moving too slowly, down four. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday.

• An academic survey conducted by the Democracy 2025 project, encompassing the United States, United Kingdom and Italy as well as Australia, records a dramatic increase in trust in the federal government (54%, compared with 29% in last year’s post-election Australian Election Study survey) and the public service (up from 38% to 54%), with smaller improvements recorded for the media (television up seven to 39%, newspapers up eight to 37% and radio up three to 41%). The survey was conducted from a sample of 1059 in May and June – small-sample state breakdowns provide another increment of evidence that Western Australia’s government is doing best of all out of the crisis.

• The Victorian Liberals have been spruiking internal robo-polling, apparently commissioned by Senator James Patterson, showing 65% to 70% disapproval of state government agreements with China as part of the latter’s “Belt and Road” initiative, based on a sample of 7000 respondents across seven marginal Labor-held seats.

• South Australian Attorney-General Vickie Chapman has confirmed the government will proceed with an attempt to introduce optional preferential voting in the state. Labor and the Greens are opposed, which will leave the fate of the proposal in the hands of upper house cross-benchers elected under the Nick Xenophon banner. A blog post by Antony Green tackles the issue with characteristic thoroughness. I gather they have thought better of clamping down on the dissemination of how-to-vote cards at polling booths, contrary to earlier reports.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,045 comments on “Miscellany: Newspoll state leaders ratings, trust in goverment and more”

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  3. Zerlo

    Much of the “highly sensitive” detail was not published due to fears Russia could use the evidence to threaten the UK.

    In other words it was bullshit.

  4. To merely hate Collingwood is to acknowledge its right to exist. To be remembered.

    Collingwood delenda est

  5. Bill
    I used to like watching Tony Shaw. Rugged little fella but Daicos was a genius kicking for goal.
    Now I just need Albo to kick some goals

  6. Yabba @ #1548 Friday, July 24th, 2020 – 8:53 pm

    Funnily enough, C@t, bower birds are the ones called Bower Birds. That is to say, those which build bowers. Male Catbirds do not build bowers. They form pairs, and co-operate in nest building etc. And they sound like babies, not cats.

    The bowerbirds found in Australia are:
    Satin, Regent, Golden, Fawn Breasted, Great, Spotted, Tooth Billed and Western. I have seen five of these. All of them build bowers.

    The Killcare Wagstaffe Trust mob are a lovely bunch of people. You could learn a lot from them.

    Bully, Bully, Bulluy.

    What ever happened to Mrs Yabba?

  8. BH, Rene Kink, was another, (the tough hairdresser) Paul Vanderhaar from Essendon was my favourite. He was crazy brave.

  11. Greensborough Growler:

    Friday, July 24, 2020 at 9:01 pm

    Given your aggro, I’d suggest that Mrs. GG would be discreetly be pissed off with you, suggesting she only puts up with it in the interim.


  14. Taylormade says:
    Friday, July 24, 2020 at 7:35 pm

    Frednk
    The Vic govt is responsible for the 2nd wave with its quarantine debacle. Lives have been lost, jobs have been lost and the cost will be in the billions. Yet you want people to stop undermining the premier.
    Good luck with that is all i can say.

    No Taylormade, the person responsible is the person who didn’t close the border, who did face up to the federal responsibility. The state did the best it could with the right wing nutters chanting open up, open up.

    The sad bit is not that mistakes have been made, the sad bit is Morrison wants to double down on his failed policy.

  15. Taylormade @7:35.
    The Vic govt is responsible for the 2nd wave with its quarantine debacle. Lives have been lost, jobs have been lost and the cost will be in the billions.
    Ruby Princess Ruby Princess Ruby Princess Ruby Princess Ruby Princess …

  16. BH, Oh Well, way it is.
    BTW Carlton haven’t won a Grand Final since 1995.
    Which means South Australian teams have won three in the time up to now. They are pretty shit now they don’t have Croweaters playing for them. (Naley, Kernahan, Bradley, Motley etc)

  19. Bill
    My family were heavily involved with Glenelg Footy Club from inception.
    Harry Kernahan was my age and what a footy player he was. Good footy genes for the his son.
    It’s li k e politics. A different style of game now days.

  22. Mavus
    While I’v e got a few more minutes to spare I need to thank you for the music you post. Love it.
    Through that I found Monserrat Caballe with Freddie Mercury. Wow.
    Many thanks

  28. Greensborough Growler @ #1556 Friday, July 24th, 2020 – 9:01 pm

    Yabba @ #1548 Friday, July 24th, 2020 – 8:53 pm

    Funnily enough, C@t, bower birds are the ones called Bower Birds. That is to say, those which build bowers. Male Catbirds do not build bowers. They form pairs, and co-operate in nest building etc. And they sound like babies, not cats.

    The bowerbirds found in Australia are:
    Satin, Regent, Golden, Fawn Breasted, Great, Spotted, Tooth Billed and Western. I have seen five of these. All of them build bowers.

    The Killcare Wagstaffe Trust mob are a lovely bunch of people. You could learn a lot from them.

    Bully, Bully, Bulluy.

    What ever happened to Mrs Yabba?

    We hear a LOT about the daughter. Nothing about the missus. 🙂

  30. “Just a reminder, it’s logically possible to think that both Victoria and NSW haven’t done all that well.”

    Dan Andrews has to go. Victoria is an order of magnitude worse than anywhere else. If he was a Liberal the PB Left would be relentless about his inadequacies.

    That is, unless you want to blame the people rather than the authorities. But are Victorians worse than any other State?

  32. Funnily enough, Yabba, you are again mistaken(though Yabba probably thinks his Mensa brain is biggerer than that of the Encyclopedia Britannica’s editors 😀 ):

    Bowerbird
    bird
    WRITTEN BY
    The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica
    Encyclopaedia Britannica’s editors oversee subject areas in which they have extensive knowledge, whether from years of experience gained by working on that content or via study for an advanced degree….

    Alternative Title: Ptilonorhynchidae

    Bowerbird, any of approximately 20 bird species that constitute the family Ptilonorhynchidae of the order Passeriformes. Bowerbirds are birds of Australia, New Guinea, and nearby islands that build more or less elaborate structures on the ground. Some are called catbirds, gardeners, and stagemakers. The male builds the bower, and he displays and sings loudly in or above it; females visit him there and lay their eggs in simple nests some distance away. The bowers, beset with all kinds of shiny and coloured objects, are of three kinds:

    Regent bowerbird (Sericulus chrysocephalus)
    Painting by Albert E. Gilbert

    The “mat,” or “platform,” type consists of a thick pad of plant material, ringed or hung about with objects, made by Archbold’s bowerbird (Archboldia papuensis). The stagemaker, or tooth-billed catbird (Scenopoeetes dentirostris), of forests of northeastern Australia, arranges leaves silvery-side up (withered ones are carried aside) to form a “circus ring.”

    The “maypole” type consists of a tower of twigs erected around one or more saplings in a cleared court. The golden bowerbird (Prionodura newtoniana) makes a rooflike bridge from tower to tower. Male gardeners, any of the four species of the genus Amblyornis, plant a lawn of tree moss around the maypole and embellish it with flowers, berries, and other objects. The brown, or crestless, gardener (A. inornatus), lacking the orangish crown of the other species, makes the fanciest garden and a hut big enough to resemble a child’s playhouse.

    Gee whiz, not all Bowerbirds build bowers per se! Most especially, the Catbird.

    hey, Yabba, you hanging around in anticipation of a capitulation?

    Not. Going. To. Happen.

    Better make a special trip to see your pals at the Killcare Wagstaffe Trust to inform them of their mistake.

  34. Victorian Premier Dan Andrews is responsible for the disastrous outbreak of the coronavirus which is nothing more than a mild case of the flu, Sky News host Andrew Bolt says.

    Bolt said the impact of the virus had been wildly exaggerated, adding that the Premier hadn’t done nearly enough to contain it.

    The statement was part of a list of talking points circulated at Sky News, which outlines the network’s position on the coronavirus outbreak in Victoria. The talking points include:

    1. Dan Andrews is responsible for the COVID-19 virus which doesn’t exist.
    2. Dan Andrews kept the economy closed for too long and opened it up too early.
    3. Outsourcing to private enterprise is always preferable and Dan Andrews never should have outsourced to a private security firm.
    4. Individuals should take personal responsibility and we can’t believe the government hasn’t fixed the coronavirus for us.
    5. Wearing a face mask – which Andrews should have made mandatory weeks ago – is a breach of human rights.

  35. Maybe both Andrews and Berejiklian bear some responsibility for their respective screw-ups, but neither should resign.

  36. If Dan Andrews wasn’t so holier than thou and superior he’d have a better base of support. However, his moralism (‘wicked’) and blaming of his own constituents is pitiful. He is no longer Chairman Dan, he’s Headmaster Andrews.

  37. The Coalition has followed the launch of its JobKeeper, JobSeeker and JobBuilder programs with a new JobsForMates scheme, designed to give a leg-up to struggling former MPs, staffers and donors.

    The $2 billion scheme will help place eligible recipients in government-funded boards, advisory councils and diplomatic postings. Some of the money will also be set aside to help pay for vital au pair services for those eligible.

  38. If Dan Andrews wasn’t so holier than thou and superior he’d have a better base of support.

    I don’t understand this comment.

  40. “ I don’t understand this comment.”

    In Liberal Party ideology only The Great and The Good can dare tell The citizenry what needs to happen.

    Andrews sin is that he was part of the great unwashed. How dare he tell the truth.

    You know it makes sense.

  41. ”The Coalition has followed the launch of its JobKeeper, JobSeeker and JobBuilder programs with a new JobsForMates scheme…”

    Another re-announcement. That scheme was launched in 2013.

  42. Andrews sin is that he was part of the great unwashed. How dare he tell the truth.

    Yep. Oh well, may as well have another VB.

  43. Andrew_Earlwood @ #1590 Friday, July 24th, 2020 – 10:34 pm

    “ I don’t understand this comment.”

    In Liberal Party ideology only The Great and The Good can dare tell The citizenry what needs to happen.

    Andrews sin is that he was part of the great unwashed. How dare he tell the truth.

    You know it makes sense.

    Andrew’s proves every day that he does not give a hoot for the narkers and critics.

  47. the thing I don’t get is why there is so much snark directed at people who are genuinely making an effort and actually doing things. Greta Thunberg is some sort of autistic retard, Jacinda Ardern is Joan of Arc, Julia Gillard had a monotone voice and red hair, Penny Wong is a lesbian, anyone who tries is torn down by the rich pricks in the front bar.

  48. The virus is exposing the weaknesses in the structure of our society. This cannot be blamed on any single Premier but the PM is playing politics.

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