Essential Research: coronavirus and bushfires

A new poll registers fears of a second coronavirus wave and prolonged economic slowdown, and finds concern about climate change still at a high pitch.

The Guardian reports this week’s Essential Research poll has still more results on coronavirus, together with some findings on climate change. On the former count, the poll found 63% rating a second wave of coronavirus as restrictions are eased as very likely or quite likely, with only 13% rating it very unlikely; more than 60% expected international travel restrictions to remain for between one and two years; 70% thought it would take between one and two years for employment to recover; 60% expected a prolonged impact on the housing market; more than 60% expected a vaccine would be developed “over the next few years”; and 58% that the population would build resistance through exposure over that time. Despite it all, 45% said they felt very or somewhat positive about the next 12 months compared with 33% for very or somewhat negative.

On climate change, 52% now think Australia is not doing enough, down eight on November, with 25% holding the contrary view, up three. Forty-two per cent said they were now more concerned about climate change than they were a year ago, with a further 46% saying they were no more or less concerned. Full results from the poll will be published later today. (UPDATE: Full report here).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,745 comments on “Essential Research: coronavirus and bushfires”

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  1. Vogon Poet @ #2543 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:42 pm

    Blobbit @ #2534 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:29 pm

    “Vogon Poetsays:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 5:28 pm
    Bandt doing the unspeakable ,talking out of both sides of his mouth ?”

    What’s he doing?

    A week after introducing legislation banning donations from defence contractors, the greens accepted a $200,000 from a defence contractor.
    It’s all OK though, because Bandt said it was a personal donation from the company owners.

    Corupt Greens Who?

  2. boerwar says:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 5:36 pm

    So, from whom DID the Greens cop a lazy two hundred thousand?
    _____________
    So, who’s been reading The Australian but won’t say so. And running their lines?

  3. Of course the Greens couldn’t resist 200k. Which just shows that the Greens Bill is so vitally important. If even the Greens see Green, imagine the pressures on the crooks in the Libs and the ALP.

  4. Rod Pinna @ #2543 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:43 pm

    “Rex Douglassays:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 5:41 pm
    How are we supposed to get a Federal ICAC to clean up the corruption when LibLab don’t really want one”

    That’s an easy one!

    Win a majority of seats in the Federal HoR and the Senate.

    You want a federal ICAC to clean up the LibLab corruption, don’t you …?

  5. “Corupt Greens Who?”

    I wouldn’t say it’s corrupt, but it’s playing pretty loose with the truth. I doubt it’s what their members would expect.

  6. I suppose if the arms industry money came from peace studies providers, it would be sort of consistent with the Bandt liturgy on defence spending.

  7. “You want a federal ICAC to clean up the LibLab corruption, don’t you …?”

    Sure. But given it’s such a vote winner, tell me why we the Greens aren’t in a position to implement it?

  8. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #2552 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:48 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #2529 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 3:19 pm

    Vogon Poet @ #2527 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:18 pm

    So many women in the LNP get a guernsey. No sexism there:
    <a href="<a href="” rel=”nofollow”>” rel=”nofollow”>” rel=”nofollow”>

    The best man usually wins any contest in the Libs.

    To be fair the women try hard, but they can’t rise to the standards of Taylor and Robert.

    or the dead kangaroo!

  9. Vogon Poet @ #2543 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 3:42 pm

    Blobbit @ #2534 Friday, June 26th, 2020 – 5:29 pm

    “Vogon Poetsays:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 5:28 pm
    Bandt doing the unspeakable ,talking out of both sides of his mouth ?”

    What’s he doing?

    A week after introducing legislation banning donations from defence contractors, the greens accepted a $200,000 from a defence contractor.
    It’s all OK though, because Bandt said it was a personal donation from the company owners.

    That’s embarrassing!

    The Greens are now putting their rubbish out on Friday arvos. 🙂

  10. What a bunch of useless fuckers in the Front Row!
    Porter: pissed away the mining boom as WA Treasurer. Helped kill hundreds with the illegal Robocop.
    Dutton: nice little earner with his wife in the commonwealth subsidized childcare space; sundry cruelties to pregnant women; and sundry favours to au pair girl mates.
    Birmingham: nice little personal and Party earner at the Sydney gig. On the taxpayer.
    McKenzie: kicked out for corruption.
    McCormack: Nice little trip the Melbourne Cup with his missus on the taxpayer. To re-announce a three year old promise that has apparently not reached its use-by date.
    Morrison: A long list but how about dunning the taxpayer $2 million to persecute Collaery for exposing Lord Downer and Sharma’s roll in cheating Timor L’este out of hundreds of millions. Not to forget that he upset Comrade Xi which is already costing us north of a billion. Mug Morrison.
    Frydenberg: worst environment minister ever; fucked up climate policies completely, now building up the worst peace time debt ever while hiding a real unemployment rate of around 15%. Oh. Did the Turnbull backstab routine.
    Cormann. Stabbed Turnbull in the back. Stabbed Bishop in the back. Setting up a debt that will take 20 budgets to fix.
    Wyatt: Oversaw numerous cruelties in aged care. Personally stabbed the Call from the Heart in the heart.
    Tehan: Took the Covid disaster as an opportunity to turn education into a graveyard of Western Civilization. Went out of his way to deny Universities Job Keeper.

  11. Have to love BW et al running a story from The Australian without attribution. Apparently, in these cases, the ‘SmearStain’ as a source is perfectly acceptable. Not so much when the articles are about Labor.

    Greens defend taking ‘security cash’ despite push for ban

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/greens-defend-taking-security-cash-despite-push-for-ban/news-story/68022f06b3bdc89249d09f89a07c3ce8

    Ms McMichael said the couple would continue supporting the Greens, despite the party’s approach­ to political donations and attitude towards defence and ­policing. “My husband and I have made several donations to the Greens over the last few years,’’ she said. “We are sympathetic to their approach to caring for our country and its people. We will continue to support causes consistent with kindness and caring stewardship of our world.”

  12. “Vogon Poetsays:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 5:56 pm
    Correction to my timeline. The donations were made before the legislation proposal.”

    Meh – it’s about doing the right thing isn’t it?

  13. The Greens are now putting their rubbish out on Friday arvos.

    What tosh. The Australian posted its article at 11:08pm, 25/6.

  14. Pegasus says:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 6:05 pm

    Have to love BW et al running a story from The Australian without attribution. Apparently, in these cases, the ‘SmearStain’ as a source is perfectly acceptable. Not so much when the articles are about Labor.
    ____________
    It was as obvious as dogs balls and just as funny.

  15. And right on cue here is Peg to dance the dance of the seven political veils to obfuscate the truth.
    It was not from the armaments industry.
    Really. Truly. NOT.
    It was only just from the personal owner and armaments industry profiteers.
    Well. That is OK then.
    Still. Hardly peace studies?

  16. ASIO, Federal police question Labor MP Shaoquett Moselmane, raid home in China links probe

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/federal-police-raid-labor-mp-shaoquett-moselmanes-home-in-china-links-probe/news-story/9d9669d9c07d484e1e59ad448b1f6a68

    Jodi McKay, the NSW opposition leader, said Mr Moselmane would be suspended from the party and he would no longer sit in the caucus.

    The process to suspend his membership of NSW Labor has now begun.

    Mr Moselmane has repeatedly praised Beijing, even describing Chinese President Xi Jingping’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic as “emphatic” and “decisive”.

    “Failure to contain the epidemic could mean thousands if not hundreds of thousands of lives would be lost. The combined phenomenal effort of the state and the people in the fight to contain the virus was breathtaking,” Mr Moselmane wrote earlier this year.

    In April, Mr Moselmane resigned as Upper House assistant president after being caught on camera again praising President Xi’s handling of the virus, even as concerns arose that China had underplayed the severity of the crisis.

    He has also said China needed to “force a change to the rules and create a new world order”. Mr Moselmane was the honorary chair of the Australian Shanghainese Association and a member of the Australian Chinese Association, both linked to Beijing’s secretive network of foreign influence operations known as the United Front.
    :::
    “It’s dreadfully concerning. It’s terrible. There is an expectation on MPs that whatever they do is in the best interest of this state,” Ms McKay said at a press conference.
    :::
    Ms McKay said the information she could divulge was limited, but said the Labor Party were working cooperatively with the agencies involved in the investigation, including a staff member for Mr Moselmane who was a person of interest in the investigation.
    :::
    Ms McKay will be briefed on the matter by law enforcement agencies later on Friday.

  17. So, what’s the problem here? That the story about The Greens’ hypocrisy was in The Australian, or the Greens’ hypocrisy vis a vis political donations?

    Oh, that’s right, if you are a Greenite, it’s that the story came out through The Australian. 😆

  18. Boerwar
    Pravda is “The Truth” while the other Soviet newspaper was Isvestia “the News”
    Hence the Old Soviet saying
    в правде нет правды, в известиях нет новостей
    “there is no truth in pravda and no news in izvestia“

    How we laughed!

  19. It is a human rights issue for young people. Should they have anything to do with a Party that profits from the death industry?

  20. Here is what Greta said:

    “War causes climate change and climate change causes war”

    Looks like the Greens have decided to ditch Greta now she is getting in the way of blood money.

  21. lizzie says:
    Friday, June 26, 2020 at 4:54 pm
    So blatant.
    @VitoCarrozzo
    ·4h
    I live around the corner from where this “raid” took place . The msm outlets were camped across the road with cameras at the ready from early AM . Another Costello Stokes Morrison production of take-out-the-trash Friday. Coincidentally just one week out from #EdenMonaro election

    Nine/Fairfax billed it as an “exclusive” in their article which had obviously been written well before the raid took place. The best bit was at the end – see the Saturday SMH/Age special and watch “60 Minutes” on Sunday. Neither the Saturday “in depth” articles nor 60 Minutes are prepared in an hour or so. The whole Porter/Dutton/Costello event has obviously been prepared well in advance.

  22. OC
    I have been scanning Pravda and the China People’s Daily a bit over the past couple of weeks.
    The interesting thing is the Grand Convergence between Pravda. the China People’s Daily and The Australian.
    The China People’s Daily is dialling down the Mug Morrison staple which I take to mean that the backroom boys must be inching towards some sort of filthy deal.

  23. Very detailed and long article:

    How a low-profile NSW MP became embroiled in an ASIO investigation

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/how-a-low-profile-nsw-mp-became-embroiled-in-an-asio-investigation-20200626-p556du.html

    “In June 2018, Mr Moselmane was attacked by commentators and fellow politicians after giving a speech at a function in NSW Parliament House in which he said “the only way for China to reach its potential is for China to force a change to the rules and create a new world order.”

    In an interview with a Chinese news website in mid-2019, Mr Moselmane gushed about “the revolution led by the Chinese Communist Party” under Mao Zedong and the controversial Belt and Road infrastructure project championed by President Xi Jinping.
    :::
    “Today, China is the engine of world economic growth and the world’s superpower. It is highly respected by the region and the international community,” he said.

    In late 2019, Mr Moselmane was again making headlines, with reporting on parliamentary disclosure records showing his transport and hospitality costs were often met by Chinese government officials or agencies during the nine privately-funded trips Mr Moselmane took to China since entering Parliament in 2009.

    Months later, in early 2020, NSW Labor leader Jodi McKay criticised Mr Moselmane after he praised China’s “unswerving leadership” in handling the coronavirus crisis on his personal website.
    :::
    “Today, the obsolete scum of ‘white Australia’ is once again flooding, and the theory of yellow fever has once again surfaced,” he wrote.

    Following the article, Mr Moselmane resigned as assistant president of the upper house, but he retained his Labor party membership and place in Parliament.
    :::
    In an interview Professor Chen conducted with Mr Moselmane in 2018, the pair discussed Australia’s counter-foreign interference laws, which were passed that year with bipartisan support. Professor Chen said reporting about interference had “singled out” China. Mr Moselmane agreed and also described scrutiny of Beijing’s influence campaign as a “witch hunt”.
    :::
    The comments were analysed closely by CCP influence expert, Alex Joske, who is a researcher at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. Over time, Mr Joske has become increasingly alarmed at Mr Moslemane’s public comments about the CCP and dealings with Mr Zhang and Professor Chen, describing Mr Zhang as someone working closely with a Chinese group involved and “dedicated to building an alliance of people working towards the Chinese communist party’s goals”.

  24. I guess that Bandt will probably distribute it to groups of refugees who are fleeing war.
    That would have some integrity, IMO.
    It would also be a giant leap to the Greens forming the next government.

  25. Ms McMichael said the couple would continue supporting the Greens, despite the party’s approach­ to political donations and attitude towards defence and ­policing. “My husband and I have made several donations to the Greens over the last few years,’’ she said. “We are sympathetic to their approach to caring for our country and its people. We will continue to support causes consistent with kindness and caring stewardship of our world.”

    This defence contractor couple are class traitors who are acting against their own class interests when they donate to the Greens. They are doing this for personal ideological reasons, not to serve their own material interests. Helping the Greens is actually not in the material interests of this couple. The Greens are not giving this couple any pro-military-industrial-complex policy in return for those donations; the Greens are maintaining their admirably anti-military-industrial-complex policies. What’s wrong with that? Absolutely nothing. All progressive change requires some class traitors.

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