Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 31 of 35
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  1. Cud Chewer says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 3:47 pm
    “Its interesting how the media have forgotten about the dire risk of public transport and ceased to report on how its impossible to make public transport “covid safe” and at the same time bring the Sydney and Melbourne CBDs back to anywhere near full capacity.”

    The rest of Australia aren’t buying that story anymore. State Governments were happy to allow massive protests to go ahead and did nothing to try and stop or disperse them and didn’t significantly penalise anyone in relation to them.

    They are judged by their actions not their words. The actions and lack there of communicated clearly to the public what the risk is and isn’t.

  3. The Home Builder stunt isn’t even doign much of what its supposed to do.

    Most of the work that will be done and get subsidised is work that would have been done regardless. The net effect of this is not to transfer money into the pockets of tradies. Rather the net effect is to top up the savings of already wealthy people. Its a really, truly, stupid piece of policy. It doesn’t even result (much) in more spending which is what will create jobs more globally. Its just an advertising stunt by the grand stunt man himself…

  4. Cud Chewer says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 4:00 pm

    “Its interesting that the hard-bitch economists came out early and told us that lockdowns would be even more costly because of “loss of quality of life” or somesuch. There was one on Q+A a while back bitching about how it would have been more economically rational to just allow people to get sick.“

    I’m waiting to see what happens to the rate of suicides over the next year or two as people who have lost everything succumb.

  5. Cud Chewer @ #1500 Wednesday, June 10th, 2020 – 2:03 pm

    WWP

    You have to feel sorry for a lot of economists who at least when thinking rationally acknowledge that the system is broken, but they’ve obviously suffered the equivalent of religious indoctrination and just can’t accept hereseys like “trickle down doesn’t work” or (oh no!) that “issuers of fiat currency do not have a budgetary constraint comparable to households”..

    I’m sure in economics lecutures they were shown a video of someone being burnt at the stake to remind them to stay in line.

    Yeah I guess like a lot of professions things are not taught as a tools to assist thinking and analysis, you are indoctrinated into a siloed faith, where language it used to maximum effect to exclude those not of the faith.

  6. The major difference between Morrisons abortive stimulus and Rudd’s is that Rudd’s was open to everyone and to quality for Morrisons you need to either be in a position to do a major renovation (and lets be honest, you don’t do these things on a whim, to spend FROM $150k on any reno we are talking about architectural design, not putting in a faux granite benchtop) and likely have been going to spend the money anyway, so no real stimulus effect.

  7. “I’m waiting to see what happens to the rate of suicides”

    Yes, as your pals introduce needless austerity. I hope that makes you feel good.

  8. Cud Chewer says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 4:12 pm

    The only Austerity currently impacting Australians is that caused by the excessive restrictions shutting businesses and driving owners and employees who have lost their jobs to the wall.

  9. Simon Birmingham saying that the conarovirus crisis is over, the gov has been successful, so now it’s time to open up the states (i.e. the economy).

  16. GoldenSmaug @ #1506 Wednesday, June 10th, 2020 – 2:09 pm

    The major difference between Morrisons abortive stimulus and Rudd’s is that Rudd’s was open to everyone and to quality for Morrisons you need to either be in a position to do a major renovation (and lets be honest, you don’t do these things on a whim, to spend FROM $150k on any reno we are talking about architectural design, not putting in a faux granite benchtop) and likely have been going to spend the money anyway, so no real stimulus effect.

    Well there are a whole range of differences, but top level Rudd’s response was one of the best in the world, and Morrision’s will be one of the worst in the world.

    For this crisis what you wanted to was to get as much money into the economy back in March as you possibly could (and keep it flowing). You should have intelligent target criteria, (means tests, etc) but NOT really worry about whether someone who claims it is eligible. That is a massive waste of time and money when you don’t have it.

    You do claw it back through income tax returns later where aid went into the hands of those who didn’t meet the criteria.

    All of Morrison’s response is by any measure a complete failure. We are for example already in recession, it is already deeper than it needed to be.

  17. Bill says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 4:16 pm

    I’m really unclear how identifying the reality of what is occurring makes me a prick.

  20. Vogon Poet

    What about suicides provoked by Porter and Tudge ?

    Don’t forget it’s ‘daggy dad’ Scrott who introduced that bundle of joy to the world

  21. Cud Chewer

    A bit of a LOL from Birmingham as he was discussing a “Pacific Bubble”. The ‘E’ word verboten even when mentioning NZ.
    .
    .
    17m ago
    07:14
    ……..Now, it’s important that in all of the types of steps of opening up, we do so in a way that maintains the success of suppressing COVID, not just in Australia, but also in New Zealand
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2020/jun/10/australia-coronavirus-latest-news-coalition-labor-jobkeeper-parliament-childcare-nsw-victoria-queensland-politics-live

  22. Given the Robodebt collections stopped months ago and about $1 billion is being paid back I doubt there’s an impact to be measured going forward.

  23. What I really want to know is if Bucephalus is a supporter of Donald Trump?
    It’s my “do I want to talk to this person ever again?” question.
    Yes or No is fine.

  27. We all know that Buce is a Liberal troll and can be expected to be called other names from time to time. He has to get used to it.

  29. Billsays: Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 4:36 pm

    What I really want to know is if Bucephalus is a supporter of Donald Trump?
    It’s my “do I want to talk to this person ever again?” question.
    Yes or No is fine.

    *********************************************

    Bill – its up to you – do you want to continue to be TROLLED by an EXTREME RIGHT WING RELEVANCE DISORDER *NUTTER* ….. who just comes here looking for an argument ……. and gets his jollies knowing he is rattling your cage

    or will I just count to 10 and move on knowing that NOTHING you say will have any positive effect on him ….

  30. Jason Falinski likening the closing of borders to the Iron Curtain. Irresistible allusion by Libs when referring to a Labor state. Bit far out there.

  32. Bill says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 4:36 pm

    I’m not a Trump supporter but I wouldn’t support the Democrats.

    Biden tweets keep popping up in my timeline. Is that the best that the Democrats can put up? Sheesh.

  34. It aint over…

    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2020/06/06/the-robo-debt-class-action/15913656009923

    Now, in response to the threat of the class action, the government says it will repay almost three-quarters of a billion dollars.

    But the class action will not be stopped, either. It seeks that the government not only repay the amounts unlawfully raised, but also pay interest. Gordon Legal is seeking damages for “unjust enrichment” – essentially that the government took money and used it for its own benefit, while those people issued debt notices were deprived.

    Finally, and perhaps most ominously for the government, they will seek damages for “negligence”, that the government was deliberately misleading in the way it set up the scheme, that it owed a duty to those welfare recipients.

    And that might get to the big unresolved question about the whole saga: whether the government knew it was acting unlawfully. Ministers have argued at various points in the process that the government acted on legal advice. But that advice has never been made public.

    Paying back the extorted money is only the start. There’s still damages.

  37. And that might get to the big unresolved question about the whole saga: whether the government knew it was acting unlawfully.

    the million dollar question

  38. Hola Bludgers.

    Meanwhile, Xi has added a de facto Chinese student boycott to his thug hits against Australia. Barley, Beef, Tourists, Students…

    The $64 question for each and every Australian:

    Should the Australian Prime Minister agree not to publicly criticize China in return for a relaxation of the trade smashes being delivered by Xi?

  40. I think Australia should move on, develop its own high tech manufacutring, properly fund universities and find other export markets..

  42. “None of the charlatans will be prosecuted if it was ruled unlawful.”

    True but it might mean that the government is liable to even larger payouts.

  43. Cud Chewer @ #1530 Wednesday, June 10th, 2020 – 4:48 pm

    It aint over…

    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2020/06/06/the-robo-debt-class-action/15913656009923

    Now, in response to the threat of the class action, the government says it will repay almost three-quarters of a billion dollars.

    But the class action will not be stopped, either. It seeks that the government not only repay the amounts unlawfully raised, but also pay interest. Gordon Legal is seeking damages for “unjust enrichment” – essentially that the government took money and used it for its own benefit, while those people issued debt notices were deprived.

    Finally, and perhaps most ominously for the government, they will seek damages for “negligence”, that the government was deliberately misleading in the way it set up the scheme, that it owed a duty to those welfare recipients.

    And that might get to the big unresolved question about the whole saga: whether the government knew it was acting unlawfully. Ministers have argued at various points in the process that the government acted on legal advice. But that advice has never been made public.

    Paying back the extorted money is only the start. There’s still damages.

    Gee, maybe Labor could use this debacle to their political advantage.
    BWAHA HA HAHAHAHAH HAHAHH BWAHAHAHAHA

  44. It sort of slipped through to the keeper while everyone was culture war fighting, but India and Australia have agreed to provide access to naval logistics in their home ports to each other.
    This will mainly involve bunkering and consumables, I believe.
    But it is a significant force multiplier for both navies because, theoretically, each ship will need to spend less time heading back to the home port to refuel and refood.
    Is this a symbolic shift involving Australia weaning itself away from the US?
    Is this a moment in time where future peeps will say, ‘Wow, that is when this started?’

  45. Vogon Poet @ #1537 Wednesday, June 10th, 2020 – 2:55 pm

    And that might get to the big unresolved question about the whole saga: whether the government knew it was acting unlawfully.

    the million dollar question

    In the VERY unlikely event the program was given the go ahead without this knowledge it became very apparent publicly more that four years ago that the program was producing and actioning false demands, based on ridiculous maths. The LNP is incompetent and corrupt, but they would have known 3 years ago at the latest.

    When you think back to pink batts the ‘fault’ in the Rudd Govt was failing to completely address an identified risk that the industry in question had a habit of killing people.

    There is just no way, unless you spend a lot of time in the Murdoch sewers and believe what you read there, that robodebt isn’t 100,000 x worse than pink batts.

    A number of people should go to jail, victims and their families should recover significant compensation in addition to a complete refund with interest.

  49. boerwar says:
    Wednesday, June 10, 2020 at 5:00 pm

    “Is this a symbolic shift involving Australia weaning itself away from the US?
    Is this a moment in time where future peeps will say, ‘Wow, that is when this started?’”

    Probably not.

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