Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Newspoll records little change on three weeks ago, with Scott Morrison dominating on personal ratings but the Coalition enjoying only a slender lead on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead unchanged at 51-49, with both major parties down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 42% and Labor to 34%. The Greens are up two to 12% and One Nation are down one to 4%. Scott Morrison’s approval is unchanged at 66%, and his disapproval is down one to 29%; Anthony Albanese is respectively down three to 41% and up one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is now 56-26, out from 56-29. The BludgerTrack leadership trends (see also on the sidebar) have been updated with these numbers. The poll was conducted online from Wednesday to Saturday, from a sample of 1512.

UPDATE: The Australian has helpfully published a PDF display of all the poll results, including for a suite of questions on coronavirus and its foreign policy implications. Opinion was divided as to whether the World Health Organisation (34% positive, 32% negative) and United Nations (23% positive, 21% negative) had had a beneficial impact on the crisis, but quite a lot clearer in relation to “Xi Jinping and the Chinese government” (6% positive, 72% negative) and “Donald Trump and the United States government” (9% positive, 79% negative). Further results are available through the link.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,741 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 24 of 35
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  1. a r says:
    Tuesday, June 9, 2020 at 3:20 pm

    WeWantPaul @ #910 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 2:56 pm

    I’m not economist but what does the ASX rocketing while civil society crumbles and the economy is headed from recession to depression mean?

    The government, and especially the U.S. government, is basically printing money nonstop and the bulk of it is flowing into the hands of people who already had enough cash to have converted a bunch of it into shares. The rich get richer, and nothing actually productive happens.
    ————————————-
    The Federal Reserve is limited in what it can invest in. It can only buy fixed income or interact with the finance system. It is the government that can invest in real world assets.

  2. One thing I saw was that the Brexit negotiation saw the UK side misunderstand the EU side. The UK side saw Brexit as transactional – about settling accounts. Whilst the EU side saw Brexit as a threat to the principles that the EU stands for. This might be illuminating:

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36515680

    Its for the same reasons that the EU would welcome a fully independent Scotland. Indeed some would see it as justifiable revenge.

  4. dave
    One thing that makes today’s market different is the involvement of computers that run the market then you have central banks pumping hard.

  5. Nicholas says:
    Tuesday, June 9, 2020 at 5:47 pm

    I’m not economist but what does the ASX rocketing while civil society crumbles and the economy is headed from recession to depression mean?

    The share market is a graph of rich people’s feelings.
    ——————————
    Your superfund says hello so you must be rich and the government has contributed.

  6. It’s so stupid a question.

    Everyone knows the Scots invented the modern world, from Adam Smith to..
    Even before the Industrial Revolution, Scots have been at the forefront of innovation and discovery across a wide range of spheres. Some of the most significant products of Scottish ingenuity include James Watt’s steam engine, improving on that of Thomas Newcomen,[1] the bicycle,[2] macadamisation (not to be confused with tarmac or tarmacadam[3]), Alexander Graham Bell’s invention of the first practical telephone,[4] John Logie Baird’s invention of television,[5][6] Alexander Fleming’s discovery of penicillin[7] and insulin.[8]

    And

    https://www.buzzfeed.com/simoncrerar/great-scots

  7. Coronavirus US: COVID-19 cases spike in 20 states

    COVID-19 is on the rise again in America, with some states recording their highest single-day figures since the pandemic began.

    Second wave starting?

  8. “The Federal Reserve is limited in what it can invest in. It can only buy fixed income or interact with the finance system. It is the government that can invest in real world assets.”

    No longer the case. The FED both in its own name and via its associates (other CB’s) has a mandate to buy almost anything it wants. Has been known to buy e-mini futures contracts by the truckload at specific times on big down days leading the cash market up via the futures. Known fact – many…… trade these occurrences.

    Some believe the FED will like the Japanese CB effectively end up owning the market value wise

    Agreed they try to talk the market round to their “view” but they absolutely have the mandate and do buy pretty much everything. And the Morgans, Deutsche, Goldmans, Blackrock etc make $$$$ off the back of it. So do individuals.
    And anyone who thinks that the likes of Trump & Co dont front run his own market moving tweets is almost as dumb as he is. But he is the Law these days.

  9. Torchbearer @ #1139 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 8:42 pm

    Theodare- true, but it is a pedantic point. Spain fears Catalonia and Basque gaining Independence, and then using the Scotland precedent to enter the EU. When they become Independent they will not automatically be members of the EU- they will be out of the EU as new Sovereign States and will have to apply to join. The terms would need to be agreed to etc….. Spain will veto them entering.

    If Spain can veto Scotland entering the EU, why couldn’t it also veto an independent Catalonia and Basque State entering?

  12. Barney

    If Spain can veto Scotland entering the EU, why couldn’t it also veto an independent Catalonia and Basque State entering?
    ———
    The idea that the rest of Europe would give States the right to prevent other Europeans from being part of the EU, should they want to, is fanciful in most cases.

    It would destroy the whole concept of the EU. And it would destroy the EU.

  13. Rakali @ #1162 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 9:46 pm

    Barney

    If Spain can veto Scotland entering the EU, why couldn’t it also veto an independent Catalonia and Basque State entering?
    ———
    The idea that the rest of Europe would give States the right to prevent other Europeans from being part of the EU, should they want to, is fanciful in most cases.

    It would destroy the whole concept of the EU. And it would destroy the EU.

    Why do you think Turkey has had so much trouble gaining admittance?

    Greece and Cyprus.

  14. guytaur

    Spain fears a real Independence referendum winning. Not which country enters the EU.
    ————
    What do you mean? Which Independence Referendum?

  15. Barney

    Why do you think Turkey has had so much trouble gaining admittance?
    ————
    Turkey is not a European State.

  17. Rakali

    The Spanish fear is a Basque referendum winning. Scotland only has any relevance as an example to follow. That’s separate from Scotland joining the EU.

  18. guytaur

    The Spanish fear is a Basque referendum winning. Scotland only has any relevance as an example to follow. That’s separate from Scotland joining the EU.
    ———-
    The Spanish Statists fears bothCatalonia and Basque seceding.

    The intelligent amongst them differentiate between the current quasi-fascist Spanish constitution that forbids a democratic right to self determination and the English-Scottish Treaty of Union.

  22. Barney

    Istanbul and west of the Bosporus, including the Gallipoli Peninsular is in Europe, east of the Bosporus is Asia.
    ———-
    Hilarious.

    the 1 or 2 % of Turkey that is occupied Greek land makes them a European country?

    So if China took over Malta it would miraculously transform a billion Chinese into Europeans? Regardless of their desires?

  23. Barney

    Spain could argue that Catalonia is illegally occupying part of Spain..?
    ……..
    But Catalonians occupied Catalonia before Spain existed!

    Have you been out in the sun too long?

  24. Rakali @ #1172 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:05 pm

    Barney

    Istanbul and west of the Bosporus, including the Gallipoli Peninsular is in Europe, east of the Bosporus is Asia.
    ———-
    Hilarious.

    the 1 or 2 % of Turkey that is occupied Greek land makes them a European country?

    So if China took over Malta it would miraculously transform a billion Chinese into Europeans? Regardless of their desires?

    No, Turkey’s landmass actually spans the continental divide, your example is nothing like that.

  25. guytaur

    Absolutely. Takes a special type of **** to coalesce a global resistance the way Trump has.
    Many believed Obama was going to be the salvation of progressive movements but it may actually end up being Trumps complete bastardry that ironically gives the world a shove towards a better place.

    Still, until the headless body of the GOP is paraded three times around the court I’ll not stop holding my breathe.

  26. Barney

    No, Turkey’s landmass actually spans the continental divide, your example is nothing like that.
    ——-

    You do realise that “Turkey” was invented as a country in 1915-1925 through the genocides of four peoples? Armenians, Assyrians, Asiatic Greeks and Yazidis.

    It has never had a “landmass”.

    Europe is not just a geographical area, it is a cultural connection above all.

  28. Rakali @ #1176 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:15 pm

    Barney

    No, Turkey’s landmass actually spans the continental divide, your example is nothing like that.
    ——-

    You do realise that “Turkey” was invented as a country in 1915-1925 through the genocides of four peoples? Armenians, Assyrians, Asiatic Greeks and Yazidis.

    It has never had a “landmass”.

    Europe is not just a geographical area, it is a cultural connection above all.

    😆 😆 😆

  29. Barney

    Turkeys current boundaries are what it’s army could conquer by the end of the 1920s.

    I gather Erdogan wants Turkey to invade the Greek Islands.

    You will argue that such an invasion will make them more European!!

  30. Barney

    I think you have.

    Historical borders have no relevance or standing.
    ————-
    To what?

    I was not talking about borders, i was saying the Catalonian people had their own state in their own land before the Castilian invasion.

  31. Rakali @ #1179 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:19 pm

    Barney

    Turkeys current boundaries are what it’s army could conquer by the end of the 1920s.

    I gather Erdogan wants Turkey to invade the Greek Islands.

    You will argue that such an invasion will make them more European!!

    You really are clutching at anything including invention.

  32. Rakali @ #1180 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:21 pm

    Barney

    I think you have.

    Historical borders have no relevance or standing.
    ————-
    To what?

    I was not talking about borders, i was saying the Catalonian people had their own state in their own land before the Castilian invasion.

    If they had land then by definition there must have been a been a border.

  33. Barney

    Is this “ “ your response Turkish genocide?

    Wouldn’t surprise me.

    But the contemporary “liberal” has my total contempt.

  34. Barney

    If they had land then by definition there must have been a been a border.
    ————
    ????

    OK, you’re not worth my time.

  35. Rakali @ #1183 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 10:27 pm

    Barney

    Is this “ “ your response Turkish genocide?

    Wouldn’t surprise me.

    But the contemporary “liberal” has my total contempt.

    Your conflating in your wallowing, the creation of Turkey was not dependent on or due to any genocide.

    The genocide was an disgraceful event that followed the formation.

  36. Mexicanbeemer @ #1151 Tuesday, June 9th, 2020 – 11:16 pm

    The Federal Reserve is limited in what it can invest in.

    Assuming it hasn’t been fully corrupted by Trump.

    Though also, doesn’t matter. Say the Fed buys only whatever it’s allowed to buy. Whomever it buys from now has cash, which they can dispose of as they will. It ends up in the markets whether the Fed puts it there directly or not. Rich get richer, poor stay where they are.

  37. I have watched plenty of interviews with Jim Chalmers and he sounds likes a lot like a many Tradies or Miners. Also, Chambers is a Queenslander so I argue he is a man who can lead the Labor party to the landslide victory, which will completely crush the LNP in a landslide victory which is totally needed for progressives in this country to achieve their aims.

    Seriously Australia’s culture will not change significantly for another twenty to forty years, before it won’t worship very masculine types who work as miners or tradies, to be honest. Because compared to many other countries we worship those men who work “their own hands” such as miners and tradies.

  38. guytaur says:
    Tuesday, June 9, 2020 at 5:55 pm
    Nothing is certain. I think it’s more likely that Biden will win the Presidential election. That will mean the USA will have a Green New Deal.

    Will Labor?

    Under no circumstances will Labor open a subscription to a project run by and branded LibKin. Under no circumstances.

  39. a.r
    The Federal Reserve is now buying a lot of bonds that other investors don’t want to touch. They now own the debt of several near bankrupt or bankrupt businesses.

  40. US President Donald Trump suggests 75-year-old protester pushed to the ground by police was a ‘set up’
    In a dramatic turn of events, President Trump tweeted Tuesday claiming Mr Gugino “could be an Antifa provocateur” and suggested he “fell harder than he was pushed” and that the video was a fake.

    Another pathetic statement from the orange fool.The biggest cockhead in American history.

  42. Seth Abramson
    @SethAbramson
    “The Republican Party is in the midst of a historic plot to steal statewide elections in the State of Georgia. It started years ago, and today we’re seeing an incredible dress rehearsal for what the GOP has planned for America in November. The reporting on this is *crystal* clear.“

  43. This is the Woke Future!

    Causing “unease” is forbidden!

    Little Britain has been removed from iPlayer and Netflix because ‘times have changed’

    “The removal angered some fans, with one viewer saying people should be able to make their “own choices”.

    But others have expressed unease about watching sketches which featured the comedians wearing make up to portray different races.“

    http://archive.is/w3ouJ

    Will Monty Python be next?

  44. Rakali
    That is just stupid because British comedy is about taking real situations and taking the piss out of it. All that great British comedy is about laughing at real history or class differences.

  45. COVID-19 is on the rise again in America, with some states recording their highest single-day figures since the pandemic began.

    Second wave starting?

    Probably – two weeks from the Memorial Day long weekend.
    SE Australia will probably see a similar spike, fortunately from a lower base.

  46. Kate Emerson
    · Jun 8
    Tony Abbott got a gong for border control. We are now honouring people for human rights abuses. The recognition should be in the International Criminal Court not the Queen’s Birthday honours list.

  47. steve davis @ #1190 Wednesday, June 10th, 2020 – 2:09 am

    US President Donald Trump suggests 75-year-old protester pushed to the ground by police was a ‘set up’
    In a dramatic turn of events, President Trump tweeted Tuesday claiming Mr Gugino “could be an Antifa provocateur” and suggested he “fell harder than he was pushed” and that the video was a fake.

    Another pathetic statement from the orange fool.The biggest cockhead in American history.

    steve davis, you can’t call him a ‘cockhead’, he barely has one! How about a dickless wonder? 😆

  48. The World Health Organization moved Tuesday to clarify its position on whether people without symptoms are widely spreading the new coronavirus, saying much remains unknown about asymptomatic transmission.

    A comment by a WHO official on Monday — calling such asymptomatic transmissions “very rare” — touched off a furious scientific debate over the unresolved question and attracted widespread criticism of the organization.

    Less than 24 hours later, WHO convened a special news conference to walk back its comments, stressing that much remains unknown. But the comment from Monday had already spread widely and been seized upon by conservatives and others to bolster arguments that people do not need to wear masks or maintain social distancing precautions.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/06/09/asymptomatic-coronavirus-spread-who/

  49. Great article on Mathias Cormann and Coalition hypocrisy:

    You know how it is.

    You’re at one of those family gatherings where everyone casts nervous glances at the door.

    Is he here yet? Will he turn up?

    The kids are playing in the backyard. The adults are gathered around the barbecue. Everyone is chatting politely and thinking the same thing.

    Please don’t let him show up and ruin another gathering.

    …Happened again this week.

    Just as the Australian family was getting together after months of lockdown, Mathias Cormann reminded everyone why the federal Minister for Finance now possesses one of the worst sets of tin ears in federal politics.

    After tens of thousands rallied on city streets as part of the ‘Black Lives Matter’ movement to denounce racism and demand an end to Indigenous deaths in custody, Mr Cormann labelled the protests as “incredibly selfish, it’s incredibly self-indulgent … it’s quite irresponsible what we’ve seen there”.

    Despite a Supreme Court ruling in NSW that lawfully allowed the Sydney protest to proceed, and with cases of community transmission of coronavirus at close to zero, Mr Cormann echoed the sentiments of a slew of right-wing commentators denouncing the protests.

    “It is inappropriate and a complete double standard,” he said.

    “People ought to comply with the rules that apply to everybody else.”

    …But where is the evidence that these rallies triggered widespread outrage and contempt in the general community?

    As the Queen’s Birthday long weekend got into swing in many Australian cities, large groups of people gathered on beaches, queued in supermarkets and bunched closely together at cafes.

    I lost count of the number of times the 1.5-metre social distancing rule had been forgotten.

    Apart from the odd face mask, it looked like a scene from any long weekend, with families fearing only the appearance of a relative with a tin ear.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/entertainment/people-entertainment/2020/06/10/garry-linnell-mathias-cormann/

  50. US President Donald Trump suggests 75-year-old protester pushed to the ground by police was a ‘set up’
    In a dramatic turn of events, President Trump tweeted Tuesday claiming Mr Gugino “could be an Antifa provocateur” and suggested he “fell harder than he was pushed” and that the video was a fake.

    The OANN ‘reporter’ who wrote the piece Trump tweeted is reportedly a Russian who writes for a Russian outlet.
    https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1270397765395206144

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