Essential Research leadership ratings

Scott Morrison records a preferred prime minister lead for the first time this year, although his personal ratings remain in net negative territory.

Essential Research continues to disappoint on the voting intention front, but its latest fortnightly poll does include its monthly leadership ratings, which record a recovery in Scott Morrison’s personal standing after the battering it copped during the bsuhfires. Morrison now leads Anthony Albanese 40-35 as preferred prime minister after being tied 36-36 in the last poll, which his first lead out of the six sets of results published so far this year (three apiece from Essential and Newspoll). His approval rating is up two to 41% and disapproval down three to 49%, while Albanese is respectively steady on 41% and up two to 33%.

As related by The Guardian, the poll also finds 71% want investigations into sports rorts to continue, but I suspect that should actually say 51%, as 43% favoured the alternative option that the resignation of Sports Minister Bridget McKenzie should be the end of the matter. The poll also has the unsurprising finding that concern about coronavirus is growing, although we will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today to see by how much.

Other questions produce familiar findings on energy sources (71% favour further taxpayer research into renewables, compared with 57% for hydrogen, 50% for “clean coal” and 38% for nuclear energy) and economic management (the Coalition was rated better overall, but was also seen to favour big business whereas Labor was better at managing the economy to benefit workers). The poll was conducted from 1096 respondents from an online panel, no doubt from Thursday to Sunday.

UPDATE: Full report here. It turns out the poll doesn’t really find an increase in concern about coronavirus over the past month: there’s a two point increase in “very concerned” to 27%, but a five point drop in “quite concerned” to 36%, a two point rise in “not all that concerned” to 28% and a three point increase in “not at all concerned” to 9%. I’d have been interested to see breakdowns by party support on this – Democrats in the US are far more concerned than Republicans – but no such luck.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,649 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. @David_Speers
    “You were both at the meeting on Tuesday, this cabinet meeting with Peter Dutton, are you certain you don’t have coronavirus?

    CMO Brendan Murphy: “No-one can be absolutely certain about everything”

    Hunt running interference on behalf of Murphy. Just like Estimates hearings.

  2. So, here we have it.

    A corrupt Government which is a byword for chicanery, secrecy, and lying is, at the cusp of the pandemic, defending the appalling modelling behaviour of its Cabinet members. That is where corrupt leadership by a corrupt government gets you every single time.

    In relation to the disinfecting of parliament rooms visited by Dutton, Murphy just said the Virus ‘lasts only a couple of hours.’

    Deadly fuckwit.

    Hunt, who is smart enough to know that Murphy just fucked up big time, taking Murphy’s questions.

    Hunt directly attacks PvO by name.

    Murphy reckons that it is OK for people to shake hands right now.

    Deadly fuckwit.

  3. Murphy is doing a VERY bad job of providing confidence. Everything is up in the air for him. Stupid man. No leadership. No idea.

  4. Well, that’s it, IMO.

    Morrison and Frydenberg have been yapping on that their first priority is jobs, jobs, jobs.

    Not the lives of citizens.

    Murphy is clearly out of his depth. And this will kill people.

    Hunt is a political animal first, last and foremost.

    We’re fucked.

  5. @Raf_Epstein
    ·
    33s
    #Insiders
    So can I go to the cinema? Can’t tell you until Tuesday. This is your national response.

    Again, I don’t think the people making decisions have any concept how the public hears what they are saying

  6. Murphy, ‘be more careful, start thinking about taking more measures…..

    No facts for the panic buying or those reading the draconian measures overseas

  7. Murphy is more concerned with projecting his ‘Me Dr, You Pleb’ persona rather than informing the public with facts.

  8. A question that should be asked is what are the specialist epidemiological qualifications of the CMO and if his are limited, because his speciality is in another field, who is/are the experts advising him and why are they not publicly giving the information and the advice.

  9. If EVER there was a time for Speers to shut the fuck up and just listen, it’s during this interview.

    But he can’t help himself, can he?

    If he’s not actually talking over his interviewees, he’s saying “OK”, “But…”, “Indeed…”, “Yep, yep”, leading the viewer to think he’s just about to interrupt, which is almost as distracting as a full-blown interruption anyway.

    Having said that, the CMO has just justified saying it’s OK to attend the cinema because “the risk at the moment is very low”.

    Jesus wept. Shouldn’t we be keeping it low by going in early and hard?

  10. Bizarre! “As we get more information, we will tell you to be more careful”

    If your best judgement is that advice is likely to get more severe, surely you should give that more severe advice NOW.

    Murphy very reluctant to answer a direct question – only vague “it’s all on you” pronouncements.

  11. Train wreck interview for the CMO. Hunt is his usual political animal, more concerned with covering his and his govt’s ass than informing the public. But this is a total fail for the CMO.

  12. Murphy is doing OK here. It’s only when people can accept that nothing in the C-19 world is or will be black and white. It is all about probability and its understanding and recognising when the probabilities change and changing the advice then. Speers’ gotchas are inappropriate.

  13. Bushfire Bill @ #3017 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 8:33 am

    If EVER there was a time for Speers to shut the fuck up and just listen, it’s during this interview.

    But he can’t help himself, can he?

    If he’s not actually talking over his interviewees, he’s saying “OK”, “But…”, “Indeed…”, “Yep, yep”, leading the viewer to think he’s just about to interrupt, which is almost as distracting as a full-blown interruption anyway.

    Having said that, the CMO has just justified saying it’s OK to attend the cinema because “the risk at the moment is very low”.

    Jesus wept. Shouldn’t we be keeping it low by going in early and hard?

    Bushfire, I haven’t been able to follow the blog closely this week, but in case anyone hasn’t already posted it, we all have to admit” You Told Us So”.

  14. @TurnbullMalcolm
    ·
    2m
    What is going on here? We can’t even get a clear answer on shaking hands? It is obvious that one of the simplest ways of reducing risk is to stop shaking hands – such a simple thing to do.

  15. PatriciaKarvelas
    @PatsKarvelas
    ·
    5m
    I get it we will wait till it’s a high caseload and then we will socially isolate. I get it…. #coronavirus

  16. Despite obvious shortcomings, this Hunt/Murphy show is 1 million percent better than Trump’s pressers over the last 2 days

  17. I think Speers is fine. He asking and trying to get answers to questions that are on people’s minds – can I go to the flicks today? Should I buy extra food, and how much? etc

    And not getting clear answers.

  18. Hunt is now praising Morrison, and backslapping himself

    Let’s see how the ‘War Cabinet’ goes today, and whether Morrison attempts to shake GladysB’s hand again

  19. PvO is right to call out Hunt’s inappropriateness at making personal attacks on journos at a time when people want answers from the government.

  20. Middleton is more tactful than PvO, but she still criticises the mixed messages and says the web site (that Hunt keeps recommending) is way behind.

  21. The comparison between these feckless no hopers and the Rudd-Swan-Tanner-Gillard-Henry response to the GFC is simply astonishing.

  22. @EddyJokovich
    ·
    1m
    Gerard Henderson not longer on #Insiders but his role as chief Liberal Party defender has been adequately filled by Coorey. #auspol

  23. @mana_kailani
    ·
    3m
    You have to agree with ⁦@vanOnselenP ⁩ It was a gobsmacking personal attack from a gov minister whose gov has been late &confused in acting almost every step responding to this pandemic. Don’t even mention the bushfires. You don’t get credibility by bullying

  24. From the Guardian live blog …

    Details continue to emerge of Israel’s plans to use anti-terrorism tracking technology to minimise the risk of coronavirus transmission.

    Cyber tech monitoring would be deployed to locate people who have been in contact with those carrying the virus, subject to cabinet approval, Netanyahu told a news conference in Jerusalem.

    “We will very soon begin using technology … digital means that we have been using in order to fight terrorism,” Netanyahu said.

    He said he had requested Justice Ministry approval because such measures could infringe patients’ privacy.

    The Shin Bet, Israel’s internal security service, confirmed that it was examining the use of its technological capabilities to fight coronavirus, at the request of Netanyahu and the Health Ministry.

    Avner Pinchuk, a privacy expert with the Association for Civil Rights in Israel, said such capabilities could include real-time tracking of infected persons’ mobile phones to spot quarantine breaches and backtracking through meta-data to figure out where they had been and who they had contacted.

    “I am troubled by this announcement. I understand that we are in unique circumstances, but this seems potentially like over-reach. Much will depend on how intrusive the new measures are,” Pinchuk told Reuters news agency.

    You know our government would do this if they could. For once, we should perhaps be thankful they are so utterly incompetent 🙁

  25. dave @ #2979 Sunday, March 15th, 2020 – 7:31 am

    Australian confirmed cases increased from 156 to 247 (+91)
    New South Wales 112 (+ 34 )
    Victoria 49 (+ 22 )
    Queensland 46 (+19 )
    South Australia 19 (+7 )
    Western Australia 14 (+5 )
    Tasmania 5 (+ 3 )
    Northern Territory 1 (+0 )
    Canberra (ACT) 1 (+ 1 )

    https://ncov2019.live/data
    Scroll almost to the bottom for Australian data

    I have also been monitoring this link.
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

    It is less flashy but may be updating more regularly. It had Australia at 199 cases early yesterday, adding 49 new cases late last night, bringing us to 258 known infections.

    There is also this third link that appears to collate raw data for the keen and bored.
    https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series

  26. There has been several serious studies into electronic voting for Parliament – including analysis of the myriad international examples. So why was it never implemented?

    It turns out that the politicians, especially Whips and back benchers, like the divisions for 4 minutes. More wheeling and dealing gets done then, than at other times. Face to face. Clock ticking.

  27. People in the US can access sick leave if they have to self-isolate for coronavirus, thanks to Dems in the House.

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