Essential Research leadership ratings

Essential’s latest leadership ratings find Scott Morrison continuing to struggle, despite being back to level pegging on preferred prime minister.

The Guardian reports on yet another fortnightly Essential Research poll with no voting intention numbers, but we does at least get the monthly leadership ratings. These show Scott Morrison down a point on approval to 39% and steady on disapproval at 52%, after the previous poll respectively had him down five and up nine. Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 41% and up one to 31%, and he has lost his 39-36 lead as preferred prime minister, with the two now tied on 36%. The BludgerTrack trends on the sidebar have now been updated with these results.

Further questions on bushfire recovery, sports rorts and coronavirus don’t seem to have turned up anything too mindblowing, but the publication of the full report may turn up something hopefully later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. The most interesting of the supplementary findings for mine relate to the budget surplus, the consistent theme of which is that respondents aren’t that fussed about it: 79% agree spending on bushfire recovery is more important than maintaining it, with 11% disagreeing; 65% say it would be understandable if the coronavirus impact meant it wasn’t achieved, with 18% disagreeing; and 57% agree it was wrong for the government to discuss the surplus in the present tense before the election, with 24% disagreeing.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,911 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

  1. poroti @ #1785 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 5:33 pm

    P1
    This sort of stuff and the crap you and no doubt many others could (bloody should) be electoral kryptonite. The scum bags’ precious surplus I bet. They shouted about the $2 billion but in the fine print the vast majority was for future financial years not this one. Between their malevolence and incompetence they’ll make sure people get sfa.

    Only one of the nearly 300 loan applications made by bushfire-hit businesses has been approved by the federal government via @thelandnews #AustralianFires #auspol https://t.co/Rbf8q5t6ur

    — Jamieson Murphy (@jamiesonmurph) February 13, 2020

    So, the Morrison government ‘have put aside $2 Billion for small businesses that were victims of the Black Summer Bushfires’…but only one person can have some of it. 🙄

  2. ”I think Morrison loses one hair follicle every tie he tells a lie. This was him earlier in is career.”

    If that were true he’d look like a billiard ball by now. Or Peter Dutton. Maybe Dutton loses one every time he picks up a dogwhistle.

  3. guytaur @ #1548 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 5:59 pm

    Except I think Trump is telling the truth.

    I think this counts as automatic disqualification for any of guytaur’s thoughts from now on. 🙂

  4. Our young farrier is a self-employed and he spent ages fighting fires in the Adelaide Hills. He heard about Morrison’s promise to recompense firefighters so he downloaded the application and its complexity and required proofs overwhelmed him to the point of saying “stuff it!” So Ms BK volunteered me to help him out by putting the application together.
    I’m not looking forward to it and do not hold out much hope for him.

  5. Albanese:

    …“He has misled the Australian people. He has also misled the parliament, yet again. And he will have to correct the record when parliament resumes in a week’s time.”…

    ………………………….

    This is without a doubt, the most idiotic statement I have ever heard from a Labor leader.

    The Prime Minister of Australia is now shown to be the ring leader of a criminal conspiracy to defraud the Commonwealth of billions of dollars, whilst trashing and wrecking Westminster democracy, and yet the best Albanese can do is request that he correct the parliamentary fucking record?

    It is beyond pathetic.

    Albanese should line himself up against a fucking wall.

    The rest of the Labor party should do the same thing if it can’t grow a bloody spine and get its shit together.

    They seem to no longer posess the will to fight for our country.

    GOD DAMN IT.

  6. Cat

    Ah yes. Surprise. You go straight for dismissing all arguments.

    Like it or not sometimes Trump tells the truth.

    Just like he did with the perfect call.

    You can believe him when he says he wants to restrict immigration of Muslim people too.

  7. Scout

    Albanese needs to be hammering corruption and saying this proves why a Federal ICAC is needed.

    Use it as a slogan. Learn something useful from Tony Abbott.

  8. Scout says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 6:22 pm

    ..”Not sure what Albanese should be doing?”…

    ………………..

    No, I don’t suppose you are.

  9. BK @ #1807 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 6:11 pm

    Our young farrier is a self-employed and he spent ages fighting fires in the Adelaide Hills. He heard about Morrison’s promise to recompense firefighters so he downloaded the application and its complexity and required proofs overwhelmed him to the point of saying “stuff it!” So Ms BK volunteered me to help him out by putting the application together.
    I’m not looking forward to it and do not hold out much hope for him.

    He might end up being the only firefighter who ends up getting any compensation! 🙂

  10. BK

    Think of as a chance to give Josh and Scrott a flick on the nose. To not let them get what they want, thousands of people saying what your guy said “stuff it’. BKs united will never be defeated 🙂

  11. Not Sure @ #1808 Friday, February 14th, 2020 – 6:11 pm

    Albanese:

    …“He has misled the Australian people. He has also misled the parliament, yet again. And he will have to correct the record when parliament resumes in a week’s time.”…

    ………………………….

    This is without a doubt, the most idiotic statement I have ever heard from a Labor leader.

    The Prime Minister of Australia is now shown to be the ring leader of a criminal conspiracy to defraud the Commonwealth of billions of dollars, whilst trashing and wrecking Westminster democracy, and yet the best Albanese can do is request that he correct the parliamentary fucking record?

    It is beyond pathetic.

    Albanese should line himself up against a fucking wall.

    The rest of the Labor party should do the same thing if it can’t grow a bloody spine and get its shit together.

    They seem to no longer posess the will to fight for our country.

    GOD DAMN IT.

    Yeah yeah. Just leave out the bits that don’t give you the opportunity to pour a bucket of bile and piss over Albanese. I know what I’m ‘Not Sure’ about. I’m ‘Not Sure’ you know what day it is. I could say more but I don’t want to get sin binned, and anyway, you’re not worth it.

    Here’s what Anthony Albanese said:

    Last night, Audit Office officials said Ms McKenzie’s office had exchanged “comfortably dozens” of emails with Mr Morrison’s office during the process.

    Labor leader Anthony Albanese said the sports rort saga “just gets worse and worse” and said a national integrity commission is long overdue.

    “This is a complete rort,” Mr Albanese said. “Everyone knows that it is.

    “We do need a national integrity commission. It should be introduced as a matter of urgency. The public do not have confidence in our politics at the moment. And it would go a long way to ensuring that there was integrity in our system.”

    Not good enough for you? Do you prefer it if the Opposition Leader effs and blinds instead!?! Or are you just pining for Paul Keating? Well sorry, that’s not who Anthony Albanese is. He actually believes in trying to pull politics out of the sewer where the Coalition have dragged it. Not jump in there with them.

  12. Cat

    Rorts has become normalised. Call it corruption.
    Ask for Morrison’s resignation. Point to the standard that saw Labor MP’s resign over not declaring a Paddington Bear.

    Compare and Contrast.
    Federal Labor is not NSW Labor. It does have a good story to tell.

  13. Not Sure, I have a suggestion for you.

    Go out into the streets and organise the people to engage in open revolt.

    Provide the pitch, the tar and the feathers. The pitchforks, pikes and boiling oil, even.

    Storm the Canberra Bastille.

    See how far you get.

    Don’t come here breaking our proverbials over a comment Albanese made which merely states the bleeding obvious. He can only work within the confines of the law.

    If it is so easy for him, in your view, to start the revolution, then it should be just as simple for you and the party you support to do so. Go the Greens.

    Now go break theirs.

  14. Apparently the local ALP – including Labor party (not Green) mayor of Box Hill, Sharon Ellis – have organised a dinner in Box Hill to encourage ALP members to show their support for the local community in a practical fashion.

  15. citizen says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 6:55 pm
    Was Mick Young the Labor minister who resigned over declaring a colour TV as a b&w TV at
    Customs?

    __________________-

    Mick Young (ALP) was Paddington Bear.

    Michael Mackellar (LIB) was the colour TV guy

  16. Thanks TPOF. Ministers resigning over Paddington Bear and a colour TV seem so quaint compared with the Morrison code of ministerial (ir)resonsibility.

  17. Not Sure

    It seems a little weird that someone who is criticising Morrison’s trashing of the Westminster system seems to think that Albo following the processes of the Westminster system is the wrong thing to do.

    Regardless, Albo is dealing with the situation correctly. You follow the processes, giving the other person every opportunity to conform with them. When they don’t, you have even more ammunition to use against them.

    He can afford to play the long game – indeed, the longer the better. Labor’s best chance of winning the next election is to have had a PM who has been in there long enough for the electorate to know who they’re rejecting. We’ve seen how it pans out – a new leader contesting the election is likely to win, because voters don’t blame them for what’s happened over the past years.

    Morrison won (in part) because he’d kept a low profile during the Turnbull years, and thus avoided being identified with the nasties of the Coalition government. If he’s replaced, the new leader either has to be there long enough to have baggage of his own, or needs to be identified so closely with the Morrison government that he* can’t shake the association.

    Being able to say, after every instance of dodgy dealing over the next two something years, that Labor has consistently advocated for reform, and given the government every opportunity to embrace it, will be a plus for Labor. Deciding to trash the Westminster system by not following the processes it sets out would undermine this.

    * because it won’t be a she.

  18. A man does not concern himself over losing his job for standing up for a principle, because he knows he is strong enough to find another.

    A man does not worry himself over being evicted from the house his children live in, because he knows he is capable of providing a roof.

    A man may not be willing to die for his country, or his religion, but he will sacrifice for its ethics and founding principles.

    Who in our government speaks for the commons?

    Who in this current parliamentary Labor party is willing to stand up and fight, and bleed, for the civil rights and principles of those it was founded to represent?

    I always listen very closely.

    Yet, I hear not a single voice.

  19. Not Sure

    Well, that was all a bit pompous.

    I’m glad I’m not a man….it seems a tough gig.

    On the other hand, not many I know meet those descriptors.

    And I’m not sure how it relates to what Albo is supposed to do under the Westminster system.

    Quit his job? Leave his home? Commit suicide by cop whilst trying to assassinate Morrison on the steps of Parliament?? None of those sound like very practical ways of dealing with the current situation.

    I’m taking it, however, from that outburst of hyperbole, that you don’t have much idea of what he should be doing, either.

  20. C@tmomma says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 6:38 pm

    …”Not good enough for you? Do you prefer it if the Opposition Leader effs and blinds instead!?! Or are you just pining for Paul Keating? Well sorry, that’s not who Anthony Albanese is. He actually believes in trying to pull politics out of the sewer where the Coalition have dragged it. Not jump in there with them”…

    ……………………

    I actually am pining for Paul Keating.

    You would be too, if you had half a brain.

  21. PeeBee says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 7:21 pm

    …”Not Sure, well you’ll have to vote liberal because you know they will stand up for their mates”…

    ………………..

    It does seem like a more intelligent option.

  22. Zoomster

    I am glad Cat posted more of what Albanese said.

    Of course the Westminster system and traditions that gave us democracy have to be defended.

    That’s why my point about past standards.
    Even today Labor in Opposition acted over Sam Dastyari.

    This is the contrast compare on standards Labor needs to highlight for the public to defend those norms and point to how the LNP is trashing them.

    Sports Rorts is a perfect example to push big time for making the Federal ICAC case. All in defence of democratic principles

    Edit: Populism and Centrism meet over this.

  23. Citizen

    You are wrong. Sanders is Trump’s nightmare. He has told us this.

    Jesus wept, Guytaur. Have you never read the fable of Brere Rabbit and the Briar Patch?

  24. zoomster says:
    Friday, February 14, 2020 at 7:23 pm

    Not Sure

    …”I’m glad I’m not a man….it seems a tough gig”…

    ………….

    Well, I’m the least sexist bloke on Earth.

    You can own a vagina and be a man, you know.

  25. BB

    Sometimes authoritarian figures tell us exactly what they are going to do. Sometimes they tell us quite openly what they fear.

    The only question is:

    Who does Trump fear politically more?

    I think it’s Sanders. It’s certainly not Biden. Trump had a plan for that.

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