Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws

Discouragement for Newspoll’s notion of an Anthony Albanese approval surge, plus a mixed bag of findings on the right to protest.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll still offers nothing on voting intention, though it’s relative interesting in that it features the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings. Contrary to Newspoll, these record a weakening in Anthony Albanese’s ratings, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up five to 34%. Scott Morrison also worsens slightly, down two on approval to 45% and up three on disapproval to 41%, and his preferred prime minister read is essentially steady at 44-28 (43-28 last month).

Further questions relate to the right to protest, including the finding that 33% would support laws flagged by Scott Morrison that “could make consumer or environment boycotts illegal”, while 39% were opposed. Fifty-eight per cent agreed the government had “the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts business”, with 31% for disagree; but that 53% agreed that “protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines”, with 33% disagreeing.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1075 respondents chosen from an online panel.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,832 comments on “Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws”

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  1. RD

    Why is it difficult for people to comprehend that Labor and the Greens are much further apart in ideology than Labor and the Liberals ?

    It’s a question I ask myself too. Albanese is “hastening slowly” to ensure that Labor and Liberal ideology will converge some more.

  2. Nov 15, 2019 — 1.58pm
    Former construction union boss Dave Hanna has been sentenced to two years’ jail for receiving $161,000 in home renovations paid for by construction company Mirvac.
    Hanna, who is already serving a six-year sentence for rape, won’t be eligible for parole until February 2023.

    It is the final fall from grace for the former CFMEU Queensland senior vice-president, who was also previously ALP vice-president in Queensland.

    https://www.afr.com/work-and-careers/workplace/ex-cfmeu-heavyweight-sentenced-to-prison-for-corruption-20191115-p53awj

  3. Mavis

    I thought Bolt was skating on thin ice with his video highlighting the dissenting Judge and then doing his walk through and diagrams.

    The dissenting Judge had rejected that type of evidence in the appeal, which Bolt fails to note in his video.

    It is, to my eye most misleading.

    It would be similar to one noting the archbishop of Melbourne believed Pell’s victim without noting he also believed Pell.

    But in the case of the dissenting Judge the way way Bolt has framed his video it could be read as though Bolts walk through and diagrams were in agreement with the dissenting Judge’s expressed opinion.

  4. It seems that Mirvac senior management and Dave Hanna arranged for subcontractors to renovate Hanna’s house in exchange for some arrangements that favoured the company at the expense of union members.

  5. ‘The CPRS bill went through the House that month, when the deposed Malcolm Turnbull crossed the floor, and was reintroduced to the Senate. There was still time for Labor and the Greens to talk.’

    This level of accuracy throws the rest of the article into doubt.

    No one crossed the floor.* The bill passed the House with bi partisan support, but then Turnbull was rolled and it was voted down in the Senate.

    Labor and Greens could have talked until the cows came home. The bill in the Senate was the bill in the Senate. Any amendments would have meant it had to go back to the House, which would be hostile to it. There was only one chance of passing it – the small amount of time it took for the Liberals to have their spill, during which period the party room’s official stance was to support it in the Senate.

    The Greens stalled, which gave the Liberals time to change their policy officially.

    *And Turnbull never did cross the floor. The next time there was a vote on the issue in the HoR, it was carried on the voices, without a division.

  6. Labor welcomes news @BehrouzBoochani has had the opportunity to depart PNG. We look forward for Mr Boochani having the opportunity to permanently resettle in a third country as soon as possible, wherever that may be.Full statement pic.twitter.com/0047vn2PZu— Kristina Keneally (@KKeneally) November 14, 2019

    Such a rediclilius and unacceptable statement by Labor Party. You exiled me to Manus and you have supported this exile policy for years. I don't need you to welcome resttlement for me in a third country. https://t.co/XHIBCcrUQY— Behrouz Boochani (@BehrouzBoochani) November 15, 2019

  7. Rex Patrick @Senator_Patrick
    ·
    6h
    .
    @fitzhunter has instructed @AustralianLabor to vote against my Senate motion calling for greater value-add (e.g. refining & manufacturing) to occur in Australia rather than just exporting our rocks and commodities. Go figure?

    Can one person command the whole Party like this?


  9. Simon Katich says:
    Friday, November 15, 2019 at 4:29 pm

    With her customary finesse, Kristina skates neatly around the inconvenient truth that it was Labor who sent Behrouz to Manus in 2013. For the record…

    Oh FFS. They didnt keep him there for 6 years.

    No for that outcome you needed the Liberals with the full support of the sanctimonious Greens.

  11. One of the biggest losers of the ALP defeat in May was poor old Stephen Conroy who had big plans to cash in on Bill Shorten’s PMship. Conroy has been waiting since 2015 to cash in on an ALP government but it looks all for nought:

    The former Labor frontbencher told RWA members late last week he would leave at Christmas.
    Conroy was widely speculated to have been a contender for the chairmanship of Free TV Australia.
    And there was talk he was interested in replacing former treasurer Joe Hockey as Australia’s ambassador to the United States if Shorten had won the May 18 election.
    Alas, these things did not come to pass.

    https://www.australiangambling.lv/gambling-news/stephen-conroy-out-at-responsible-wagering-australia/110699/


  12. lizzie says:
    Friday, November 15, 2019 at 5:42 pm

    Rex Patrick @Senator_Patrick
    ·
    6h
    .
    @fitzhunter has instructed @AustralianLabor to vote against my Senate motion calling for greater value-add (e.g. refining & manufacturing) to occur in Australia rather than just exporting our rocks and commodities. Go figure?

    Can one person command the whole Party like this?

    Even if they could why would anyone vote for another hollow Green stunt. Complete waste of the senates time

  16. nath

    The revolving door….

    “The revolving door at Responsible Wagering Australia, the industry group for some of the country’s largest bookies, had been spinning rapidly over the past month.

    The Sydney Morning Herald reports that first Lucien Wells was out as the outfit’s public affairs chief, heading to Labor deputy Richard Marles’ office.

    He was replaced by former Bill Shorten staffer Shawn Lambert.

    Then it was executive director Stephen Conroy’s offsider Bec Smith who ditched RWA for Anthony Albanese’s office.

    She was replaced by another former Shorten staffer.

    Now it’s Conroy heading for the door.”

    —————

    Stephen Mayne tweet

    The wealthy @beteasy boss Matt Tripp gives Stephen Conroy a big plug on his way out the door from his gig at Responsible Wagering Australia as chief lobbyist for the predatory foreign bookmakers. Labor and gambling are way too aligned as victims get exploited ruthlessly.

  20. KayJay

    I have managed to copy the image, saved it to desktop and uploaded it (?) onto postimage.org but the next step has defeated me.

    TIA for any assistance you can give me.

  21. Pegasus
    says:
    Friday, November 15, 2019 at 5:54 pm
    nath
    The revolving door….
    ____________________________
    Sounds nice and incestuous.

  23. The NZ offer was to take 150 a year

    It will be hard for them to fill this quota. For those with blinkers on, Manus and Nauru are being closed – quietly for now.

  28. Anne Ackroyd
    @CurlyMcbert
    ·
    3m
    Anderson has clearly being digging around for something, anything, to discredit Behrouz Boochani with that cheap jibe about malaria vaccinations. Knit your brow and feign concern about refugees all you like. You’re as bad as your conservative contemporaries. #thedrum

  31. Pegasus @ #370 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 6:09 pm

    KayJay

    I have managed to copy the image, saved it to desktop and uploaded it (?) onto postimage.org but the next step has defeated me.

    TIA for any assistance you can give me.

    The process must only be used for good – “Daffy Duck “ pictures for instance.

    When you have upload your image to Postimage.org (best to log on so that you can later retrieve various images) you should be presented with the following.

    Whereupon you can copy and past (into the PB comment box) the item arrowed.

    And now he said “anyone for cricket ❓ ” 🏏

  32. zoomster @ #356 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 5:31 pm

    ‘The CPRS bill went through the House that month, when the deposed Malcolm Turnbull crossed the floor, and was reintroduced to the Senate. There was still time for Labor and the Greens to talk.’

    This level of accuracy throws the rest of the article into doubt.

    No one crossed the floor.* The bill passed the House with bi partisan support, but then Turnbull was rolled and it was voted down in the Senate.

    Labor and Greens could have talked until the cows came home. The bill in the Senate was the bill in the Senate. Any amendments would have meant it had to go back to the House, which would be hostile to it. There was only one chance of passing it – the small amount of time it took for the Liberals to have their spill, during which period the party room’s official stance was to support it in the Senate.

    The Greens stalled, which gave the Liberals time to change their policy officially.

    *And Turnbull never did cross the floor. The next time there was a vote on the issue in the HoR, it was carried on the voices, without a division.

    Thank you, zoomster for the FACTS of the matter.

  33. Seriously, Green voters prefer Liberals to Labor as a second preference?
    So why is it 80% of the Green second preferences go Labor’s way?
    Most people I know who vote Green do so as ex-Labor voters who have become impatient with Labor actually making a stand on climate change………..too little, too seldom and too late. However, these same 80% do not want to slit their wrist and vote Liberal. For the remaining 20%, who knows? Much the same as working class, down-trodden losers who vote Conservative in the UK and Liberal here?
    A bit like a picture I saw a day or two ago from the US, purporting to show “Blacks for Trump”………………..There is no accounting the Archie Bunker/Alf Garnet voter.
    I have family members who have all the credentials to fit the run-of-the-mill Labor voter, but vote Liberal nonetheless – and then belly ache that “Things are crook in Tallarook”……………………who can pick it?


  35. C@tmomma says:
    …

    The Greens stalled, which gave the Liberals time to change their policy officially.

    And as they say the rest is history.

    We are where we are primarily because of the Green. They have very good reason to hang there heads in shame, as a result their sanctimonious crap is hard to take. They should be apologizing to us all for what they have done.

  37. Tricot

    I never put Liberals above Labor. The 20% who do would probably be socially progressive, environmentally aware and economically conservative.

  39. Methane emissions from coalmines could stoke climate crisis – study

    Millions of tonnes belched into atmosphere as policymakers overlook threat, researchers find

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/nov/15/methane-emissions-from-coal-mines-could-stoke-climate-crisis-study

    The methane emissions leaking from the world’s coalmines could be stoking the global climate crisis at the same rate as the shipping and aviation industries combined.

    Coalmines are belching millions of tonnes of methane into the atmosphere unchecked, because policymakers have overlooked the rising climate threat, according to new research.

    The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimated that the amount of methane seeping from new and disused coalmines may have reached just under 40m tonnes last year.

    The potent greenhouse gas is a major concern among climate scientists because it has a far more powerful effect on global temperatures than carbon dioxide.

    The global energy watchdog estimates that one tonne of methane is the climate equivalent of 30 tonnes of carbon dioxide. This would put annual coalmine emissions broadly in line with the international aviation and shipping sectors combined.
    :::
    Methane is also known to escape from oil and gas wells, which has prompted calls for tougher regulation of the industry to reduce the climate impact. To date, coalmines have managed to avoid similar scrutiny because of a lack of data.


  41. Pegasus says:
    Friday, November 15, 2019 at 8:05 pm

    They are putting the Greens #1 based on first and second priorites; Liberals for third priority.

    More likely they understand what the Greens are about and voting accordingly. The greens record on the environment is appalling.

  42. How Trump conducts business negotiations:

    Trump hikes price tag for US forces in Korea almost 500% as Seoul questions alliance

    Secretary of Defense Mark Esper landed in South Korea on Thursday to navigate renewed threats from an “enraged” North Korea and newly heightened strain in the alliance with Seoul that congressional aides, lawmakers and Korea experts say has been caused by President Donald Trump.

    Trump is demanding that South Korea pay roughly 500% more in 2020 to cover the cost of keeping US troops on the peninsula, a congressional aide and an administration official confirmed to CNN.

    The price hike has frustrated Pentagon officials and deeply concerned Republican and Democratic lawmakers, according to military officials and congressional aides. It has angered and unnerved Seoul, where leaders are questioning US commitment to their alliance and wondering whether Trump will pull US forces if they don’t pay up.

    “Nothing says I love you like a shakedown,” said Vipin Narang, an associate professor at MIT who follows the Korean peninsula, summarizing South Korean uncertainty about the US.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/14/politics/trump-south-korea-troops-price-hike/index.html

  44. Boochani lashes Labor, Kristina Keneally

    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6495325/boochani-lashes-labor-kristina-keneally/?cs=14231

    Kurdish-Iranian refugee Behrouz Boochani has hit back at “shameful” comments by Labor Senator Kirstina Keneally after she welcomed the news he had arrived in New Zealand following six years on Manus Island.

    Mr Boochani pointed out a Labor government sent him to Manus in 2013 after the opposition home affairs spokesperson on Friday said the party welcomed his departure from Papua New Guinea.

  45. Zoomster

    Thanks for outlining again why the CPRS not passing means the Greens are against the environment and for the LNP is complete BS.

  46. Why do working class people vote Liberal? These are the aspirationals. The Liberals, in the minds of many, stand for a set of values that might be labelled “middle class respectability”. That’s what so many people are voting for, even against their economic interests.

  47. Apologies to BB and GG last night. You’re not ‘pompous’ BB (?); neither is GG apparently smart by half(?) Moving on, I feel Morrison’s in deep nitrogenous waste. His attention was drawn to a number of fire chiefs, but he refused to meet them based, it seems, on the nexus of global warming and extreme fire events. Wait when actuaries suss his BS.

    Oh, to prove dementia has not set in, the name third name of the troika is/was “gusface”.


  48. guytaur says:
    Friday, November 15, 2019 at 8:18 pm

    Zoomster

    Thanks for outlining again why the CPRS not passing means the Greens are against the environment and for the LNP is complete BS.

    How about the greens apologize for the bit where they delayed the legislation in the senate and set the last 10 years in motion; instead of pretending what happened didn’t happen and going on an d on about wookies.

  49. Mavis @ #397 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 8:21 pm

    Apologies to BB and GG last night. You’re not ‘pompous’ BB (?); neither is GG apparently smart by half(?) Moving on, I feel Morrison’s in deep nitrogenous waste. His attention was drawn to a number of fire chiefs, but he refused to meet them based, it seems, on the nexus of global warming and extreme fire events. Wait when actuaries suss his BS.

    Oh, to prove dementia has not set in, the name third name of the troika is/was “gusface”.

    Who were the others?

    I’ve had so many people calling me things today, I have no idea what you are apologising about.

  50. FredNK

    You are so wrong it’s not funny.

    Fact. Carbon price was passed. Labor lost the election. Stop the scapegoating.
    I know the RGR wars were painful but one Bill was not the Greens being responsible for the actions of the LNP.

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