Call of the board: Western Australia

Another deep dive into the result of the May federal election – this time focusing on Western Australia, which disappointed Labor yet again.

The Call of the Board wheel now turns to Western Australia, after previous instalments that probed into the federal election results for Sydney (here and here), regional New South Wales, Melbourne, regional Victoria, south-east Queensland and regional Queensland.

Western Australia has been disappointing federal Labor ever since Kim Beazley elevated the party’s vote in his home state in 1998 and 2001, and this time was no exception. After an unprecedented Labor landslide at the 2017 state election and expectations the state’s economic malaise would sour voters on the government, the May election in fact produced a statewide two-party swing of 0.9% to the Coalition, and no change on the existing configuration of 11 seats for the Liberals and five for Labor.

As illustrated by the maps below (click on the images to enlarge), which record the two-party swings at booth level, Perth typified the national trend in that Labor gained in inner urban areas, regardless of their political complexion, while copping a hit in the outer suburbs. This will be reflected in the seat-by-seat commentary below, which regularly invokes the shorthand of “inner urban” and “outer urban” effects. The map on the left is limited to seats that are clearly within the Perth metropolitan area, while the second adds the fringe seats of Pearce (north), Hasluck (east) and Canning (south).

For further illustration, the table below compares each electorate’s two-party result (the numbers shown are Labor’s) with a corresponding two-party Senate measure, which was derived from the AEC’s files recording the preference order of each ballot paper (with votes that did not preference either Labor or Liberal excluded). This potentially offers a pointer as to how much candidate factors affected the lower house results.

Brand (Labor 6.7%; 4.8% swing to Liberal): Like so many other suburban seats distant from central business districts across the land, Brand recorded a solid swing to the Liberals after going strongly the other way in 2016. This dynamic drowned out whatever impact candidate factors may have had: Labor’s Madeleine King picked up a 7.7% swing on debut in 2016, but this time copped a 4.8% reversal despite theoretically being in line for a sophomore surge. The Senate result was little different from the House, further suggesting candidate factors were not much of a feature.

Burt (Labor 5.0%; 2.1% swing to Liberal): On its creation in 2016, Burt recorded a swing to Labor of 13.2%, the biggest of the election. This partly reflected the dramatic boomtime suburban growth that had caused the seat to be created in the first place, and which has since ground to a halt. The Liberals swing of 2.1% this time was typical for suburbia outside the inner urban zone, overwhelming any sophomore effect for the seat’s inaugural member, Matt Keogh. However, Keogh very substantially outperformed the two-party Senate metric.

Canning (Liberal 11.6%; 4.8% swing to Liberal): Covering Perth’s outer southern fringes, Canning was another seat that typified outer suburbia in swinging heavily to the Liberals, in this case to the advantage of Andrew Hastie. Hastie came to the seat at a by-election held a week after Malcolm Turnbull’s rise to the prime ministership in September 2015, at which he survived a 6.6% swing to Labor, most of which stuck at the federal election the following July. The swing in his favour this time has returned the Liberal margin to the peaks of 2013.

Cowan (Labor 0.9%; 0.2% swing to Labor): Anne Aly gained Cowan for Labor in 2016 by a margin of 0.7%, slightly less than she would have needed to hold out the 0.9% statewide swing had it been uniform. She was in fact able to boost her margin by 0.2%, in a seat slightly out of the range of the wealthier inner urban areas where Labor did best in swing terms. The disparity between the House result and the two-party Senate metric, which records a 1.5% advantage for the Liberals, suggests Aly can take much of the credit for her win, over and above the exercise of the sophomore surge effect.

Curtin (Liberal 14.3%; 6.4% swing to Labor): The most prestigious Liberal seat in the west had a complicated story to tell at this election: Julie Bishop retired after more than two decades as member; the party raised some eyebrows locally by endorsing a Christian conservative, Celia Hammond, despite the seat’s small-l liberal complexion; and Labor initially endorsed former Fremantle MP Melissa Parke, who shortly withdrew after copping static over contentious pronouncements about Israel. An independent, Louise Stewart, held out some promise of harnessing support from Malcolm Turnbull loyalists, but her campaign was torpedoed after polling she circulated showing her well placed to win proved to be fabricated. Stewart claimed to have been the victim of a trick, while the Liberal response to the episode betrayed a certain inconsistency in attitude towards the dissemination of fraudulent documents for political purposes. The loss of Bishop’s personal support and the broader inner urban effect were evident on the scoreboard, with the Liberals down 11.3% on the primary vote and 6.4% on two-party preferred. The Greens continue to fall just shy of edging Labor into second – this time they trailed 17.6% to 15.6% on the primary vote and 20.4% to 19.6% at the last preference exclusion. Louise Stewart finished a distant fourth with 7.8%.

Durack (Liberal 14.8%; 3.7% swing to Liberal): When she first came to the seat covering northern Western Australia in 2013, Melissa Price had to fight off the Nationals, over whom she prevailed by 4.0%. However, she has since gone undisturbed over two elections as the Nationals have fallen to earth. The applecart was upset slightly on this occasion by the entry of One Nation, who scored 9.5%, contributing to respective drops of 4.3% and 5.8% for Labor and the Nationals, while Price’s primary vote rose 2.6%.

Forrest (Liberal 14.6%; 2.0% swing to Liberal): Nola Marino was re-elected with a modest swing amid a generally uneventful result. One Nation and Shooters Fishers and Farmers were in the field this time whereas the Nationals were not, but this was rather academic as the primary votes for all concerned were inside 6%.

Fremantle (Labor 6.9%; 0.6% swing to Liberal): The scoreline in Fremantle was not particularly interesting, with little change on two-party preferred, and downward primary vote movements for the established parties that reflected only a larger field of candidates. However, the results map illustrates particularly noteworthy geographic variation, with the area around Fremantle proper swinging to Labor in line with the inner urban effect, while the less fashionable suburbia that constitutes the electorate’s southern half went the other way (a pattern maintained across the boundary with Brand, where there was a 4.6% swing in favour of the Liberals). Labor member Josh Wilson was in line for a sophomore surge effect, although this was not his first bid for re-election thanks to a Section 44 by-election in July 2018, which passed without incident in the absence of a Liberal candidate.

Hasluck (Liberal 5.2%; 3.2% swing to Liberal): The Liberals’ most marginal Western Australian seat going into the election, Hasluck delivered Labor a particularly dispiriting defeat, with Ken Wyatt securing the biggest margin of his four election career. The swing reflected the general outer urban effect, although Labor did manage to pick up a few swings around relatively affluent Kalamunda.

Moore (Liberal 11.7%; 0.6% swing to Liberal): This northern suburbs beachside electorate is affluent enough to be safe Liberal, but not fashionable enough to have partaken in the inner urban effect. Third term member Ian Goodenough picked up a very slight swing, as the primary vote told a familiar story of the three established parties all being slightly down amid a larger field of candidates.

O’Connor (Liberal 14.5%; 0.6% swing to Labor): Covering the southern part of regional Western Australia, O’Connor was held by the Nationals for a term after Tony Crook unseated Wilson Tuckey in 2010, but Rick Wilson narrowly recovered it for the Liberals when Crook bowed out after a term in 2013, and the Nationals have not troubled him since. One Nation entered the race this time, but managed only a modest 8.4%.

Pearce (Liberal 7.5%; 3.9% swing to Liberal): Among the many Liberal scalps that went unclaimed by Labor was that of Christian Porter, who emerged the beneficiary of the outer urban effect after being widely written off in the wake of the state election landslide and the coup against Malcolm Turnbull. One Nation landed a fairly solid 8.2%, contributing to a solid 5.2% primary vote slump for Labor.

Perth (Labor 4.9%; 1.6% swing to Labor): One of Labor’s few reliable seats in the west, Perth has undergone frequent personnel changes since Stephen Smith retired in 2013, with Alannah MacTiernan bowing out to return to state politics in 2016, and her successor Tim Hammond failing to make it through a full term. This complicates sophomore surge considerations for current member Patrick Gorman, who retained the seat without Liberal opposition at a by-election in July last year. The swing in his favour reflected the inner urban effect, but he also managed to outperform Labor’s two-part Senate metric for the seat.

Stirling (Liberal 5.6%; 0.5% swing to Labor): In a once marginal seat that looked increasingly secure for the Liberals after Michael Keenan gained it in 2004, this election loomed as a litmus test of how secure the party would look when stripped of his personal vote. The results were encouraging for the party, with new candidate Vince Connelly suffering only a slight swing. The results map suggests a pattern in which the beachside suburbs and areas near the city swung to Labor, while the unfashionable area around Balga at the centre of the electorate went the other way.

Swan (Liberal 2.7%; 0.9% swing to Labor): Together with Pearce and Hasluck, Swan was one of three seats in Labor’s firing line, but Steve Irons was able to secure a fifth successive win in what has traditionally been a knife-edge seat. This was despite the pedigree of Labor candidate Hannah Beazley, whose father Kim Beazley held the seat from 1980 to 1996, when he jumped ship for Brand. The results map tells a family story in that the affluent western end of the electorate swung to Labor, while the lower income suburbs in the east went the other way.

Tangney (Liberal 11.5%; 0.4% swing to Liberal): Liberal sophomore Ben Morton held his ground in this safe Liberal seat, despite the riverside suburbia of Applecross and Attadale partaking of the inner urban effect. He gained 4.8% on the primary vote in the absence of former member Dennis Jensen, who polled 11.9% as an independent in 2016 after being defeated by Morton for preselection.

ANNOUNCEMENT: If this painstakingly compiled post interested you enough that you have made it all the way through to the end, perhaps you might care to make a donation. These are gratefully received via the “become a supporter” button that appears just below, or the PressPatron button at the top of the page.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,840 comments on “Call of the board: Western Australia”

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  1. Yes, please continue to support William’s dedication, even if your visit is only to catch up with BK’s excellent daily news summary.

  2. Ive really not been following Aus politics since the election… WA points to the underlying phenomenon as much as anywhere else: was the polling just wrong, ie Liberals far more popular than reported, all along?

    And was it always the case, or did it flip this way when Morrisson replaced Turnbull? Or some other clear event?

    When the likes of Pyne and Kelly O’D quit i figured the internal polling must align with mainstream – so noone had any clue as im sure they would have stuck around if they believed the coalition had any reasonable shot at winning.

    How is Albanese doing?

  3. Australian expats in Canada, alarmed at the deteriorating mental health of many asylum seekers in offshore detention, have formed a network to raise funds and lodge applications to bring refugees to their adopted homeland.

    They are focused almost exclusively on the 330 estimated asylum seekers who are ineligible for the US resettlement program and have no prospect of being accepted by another third country.

    Canada’s private sponsorship scheme, which has operated since the late 1970s, allows groups of five people to apply to bring refugees of their choosing to Canada.

    Sponsors must raise about $18,000 for each refugee and help them find housing, employment and counselling services.

    https://www.theage.com.au/world/north-america/someone-has-to-do-it-australians-sponsor-refugees-into-canada-20191102-p536rn.html?btis

  4. Albanese is in a holding pattern until the election analysis for Labor by Jay Wetherill and Craig Emerson comes out this week. He gave a well-received first major speech last week in WA.

    The Greens are trying to tear him down, misleadingly, and the Coalition are projecting about Labor in order to distract from their own failings. So, situation normal. 🙂

    Good to see you, Expat.

  5. lizzie,
    You should contribute money to the fund. And pass the hat around here amongst The Greens. I’d love to see how many actually ponied up and put their money where their mouths are.

  6. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    According to Shane Wright the Morrison government’s promised $1080 low and middle income tax boost to 4.5 million Australian taxpayers which would lift the economy has turned into a $420 bump barely noticed by the nation’s shopkeepers.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/promised-1080-tax-burst-ends-up-much-more-modest-20191102-p536sf.html
    Thirteen leading economists have declared their hands in the stand off between the government and the Governor of the Reserve Bank over the best way to boost the economy. All 13 back Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe over Josh Frydenberg writes Peter Martin in The Conversation.
    https://theconversation.com/we-asked-13-economists-how-to-fix-things-all-back-the-rba-governor-over-the-treasurer-126283
    But according to Michael Pascoe Josh Frydenberg has succeeded in putting his most powerful critic, Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe, back in his monetary box.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/2019/11/03/michael-pascoe-rba-surrender-josh-frydenberg/
    Michael Koziol reckons the discomfort of Angus Taylor is by no means over.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/a-trail-of-mistakes-and-unforced-errors-taylor-faces-his-biggest-test-20191101-p536jv.html
    Phil Coorey reports that the world’s largest proposed free trade deal, the 16-nation Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, could go ahead without key participant India after it put the kibosh on efforts to conclude negotiations today.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/huge-trade-deal-could-go-ahead-without-india-20191103-p536xq
    Tony Walker writes that meaningful progress towards a more open society in which the public’s right to know is respected will not eventuate until and unless the nation enacts a charter of rights that enshrines in statute basic freedoms that are taken for granted in comparable Western democracies. He also says that Australia does not need a separate religious freedom statute.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/press-freedom-must-be-enshrined-in-a-charter-of-rights-20191031-p5368c.html
    Ross Gittins goes right to the heart of the matter when he declares that our broken aged care system the product of a “smaller government” mentality. This is a cracker of an article.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/broken-aged-care-system-the-product-of-a-smaller-government-mentality-20191103-p536ws.html
    The AFR editorial calls for the value of the family home to be tapped for aged care home packages.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/health-and-education/tap-family-home-wealth-to-fix-aged-care-crisis-20191103-p536x4
    Ross Garnaut proposes three reforms that can make us the world’s low-carbon superpower.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/three-reforms-that-can-make-us-the-world-s-low-carbon-superpower-20191103-p536wl
    Professor Carol Johnson thinks the Morrison government could be ‘authoritarian populist’ with a punitive bent.
    https://theconversation.com/is-the-morrison-government-authoritarian-populist-with-a-punitive-bent-126032
    In order to function effectively, our Government needs an injection of independents, urges Dr Geoff Davies.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/australias-political-culture-is-failing-so-elect-independents,13274
    Jacqui Maley reveals how a $1.1 million war chest of donations from rich benefactors and ordinary people helped independent Zali Steggall see off Abbott at the federal election.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/steggall-s-campaign-was-powered-by-a-1-1-million-donations-war-chest-20191101-p536nh.html
    Dana McCauley tells us that Australia’s healthcare safety watchdog says “an unacceptable proportion” of hospital admissions are associated with an “adverse event” such as a botched surgery or medication mishap, yet the public is not told where they occur.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hospital-complications-data-hidden-from-the-public-20191103-p536zy.html
    David Crowe reports on Albanese calling out Morrison over his plan to stop protesters imposing boycotts on companies over issues including climate change.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-warns-on-free-speech-over-morrison-plan-for-protests-20191103-p536z1.html
    Anthony Albanese’s leadership of the Labor Party has underwhelmed its supporters, writes Tarric Brooker.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/shortens-leadership-is-looking-good-compared-to-albaneses,13273
    A new high-skilled migration scheme will offer fast-tracked residency to 5000 people a year and target high-income earners with expertise in one of seven fields.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/high-skilled-visa-scheme-promises-residency-within-weeks-20191102-p536vt
    On Friday the chief executives of the nation’s two largest banks are set to defend in a parliamentary committee the sector’s profits and dividends from renewed political pressure amid growing signs ultra-low interest rates are starting to impact returns to shareholders.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/cba-and-westpac-to-face-fresh-political-pressure-over-interest-rate-cuts-20191103-p536xe.html
    David Ross laments that delivery riders zipping through city streets on scooters and bikes are being killed and seriously injured, but governments aren’t tracking the true human toll of the cheap eats gig economy.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/11/03/deliveroo-uber-delivery-rider-deaths-safety/
    Two water experts say that ripping up Murray-Darling plan would ignore the lessons of history.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/ripping-up-murray-darling-plan-would-ignore-the-lessons-of-history-20191103-p536y0.html
    Thousands of calls for help concerning children in danger of abuse or neglect in Melbourne’s southeast and large areas of regional Victoria are going unanswered reports Noel Towell.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/child-abuse-thousands-of-calls-for-help-go-unanswered-20191102-p536ty.html
    Dans McCauley explains Greg Hunt’s rather evasive response to the interim report from the Aged Care Royal Commission.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/greg-hunt-under-pressure-to-fix-aged-care-after-confronting-royal-commission-20191103-p536xk.html
    Frustrated by his FOI experiences Senator Rex Patrick writes that political and bureaucratic timidity have made secrecy the default position at every level of government and says that media freedom and Australian democracy are on the line.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6470510/its-not-just-media-freedom-at-stake-the-health-of-australian-democracy-is-on-the-line/?cs=14258
    Oh dear ! A former police superintendent charged with misconduct in public office will front court on Monday, more than a year after officers from the state’s corruption watchdog raided his home on the Mornington Peninsula. It seems he was trying to influence certain investigations.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/former-superintendent-charged-over-attempts-to-influence-investigations-20191031-p536a1.html
    Is Scotland on the very brink of breaking from the United Kingdom?
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/scottish-independence-within-touching-distance-20191103-p536y4.html
    Self-regulation failed with banks, but with aircraft it can kill writes retired airworthiness engineer Martin Aubury.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/self-regulation-failed-with-banks-but-with-aircraft-in-can-kill-20191103-p536wk.html
    This doctor gets today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/surgeon-banned-over-quack-procedures-and-reckless-disregard-for-safety-20191103-p536zf.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Quite a heavy comment here from David Rowe.

    Nice work from Pat Campbell.

    Mark David and a down and out Morrison. Has the PM pissed his pants?

    Glen Le Lievre is not impressed with our level of choice.

    Trust Johannes Leak!
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/c9c884c5723a71f2f71c7f8ea07796b8?width=1024

    From the US


  7. C@t

    You should contribute money to the fund.

    Are you talking to me? That sounds a little bossy. I’ve been a supporter ever since William went independent.

  8. lizzie @ #9 Monday, November 4th, 2019 – 7:05 am

    C@t

    You should contribute money to the fund.

    Are you talking to me? That sounds a little bossy. I’ve been a supporter ever since William went independent.

    No, sorry, I meant the asylum seeker fund. I wonder if people can do it from Australia? Even something like $20 might help them reach their goals. I just thought it was something Australians who support the refugees still awaiting settlement could do maybe.

  9. Agreed.

    Barty finished the regular season with a WTA-best 15 wins over top-10 opponents as well as a tour-leading four titles from six finals, her latest success coming indoors having already picked up trophies on clay, grass and hard courts in 2019.

    Throw in an equal-tour-high 55 wins from 67 matches and Barty is nothing less than a worthy year-end world No.1.

    🙂

  10. I haven’t read the story yet but I think that countries like India are using their ultra poor as pawns to get better deals for themselves in so-called ‘Free Trade’ deals, then their ultra wealthy are the ones who take advantage of the preferential terms bargained for.

    Maybe other countries are waking up to this subterfuge?

  11. It’s pretty clear. The mining states thought that Labor was anti mining. That somehow the Greens would force Labor to export coal mining jobs overseas.

    Labor needs to make it very clear there in no way they support the Greens random policy positions and will not be in coalition with the anti Labor coalition junior partner.

  12. This sort of behaviour that needs to be called out by our alleged supporters of peaceful protest.

    Climate Change is of concern to many people. However, these sorts of tactics of harrassing and intimidating people walking around and minding their own business is despicable. People might be looking for solutions. But they are never going to consider anything proposed by these feral thugs.

    https://twitter.com/i/status/1189309550320590848

  13. frednk
    says:
    Monday, November 4, 2019 at 7:33 am
    It’s pretty clear. The mining states thought that Labor was anti mining. That somehow the Greens would force Labor to export coal mining jobs overseas.
    _______________________________________
    Labor would have won the election if it wasn’t for those meddling Greens.


  14. nath says:
    Monday, November 4, 2019 at 7:41 am

    frednk
    says:
    Monday, November 4, 2019 at 7:33 am
    It’s pretty clear. The mining states thought that Labor was anti mining. That somehow the Greens would force Labor to export coal mining jobs overseas.
    _______________________________________
    Labor would have won the election if it wasn’t for those meddling Greens.

    The Greens are a minor but important partner in the anti Labor Coalition. The Major partner is in power. The Greens should own all that happens. I suspect they are happy with the outcome as the anti Labor rhetoric continues, with little complaint over what they have enabled.

    In your case nath your anti labor rhetoric is continues with very little discussion of policy. I can’t decide if your a supporter of the junior party, senior party or random stirrer.

  15. From above:

    Perth typified the national trend in that Labor gained in inner urban areas,

    And yet Colonel Boerwar of the 1st Anti-Wombat Heavy Artillery Regiment has been telling anyone who cares to read his posts (anyone?) that the inner urbs are an enclave of teh dreaded Greenies. It turns out that their actually Labor enclaves.

    Who’d have thunk that Colonel Boerwar could be so wrong? Besides everyone that is.

  16. frednk
    says:
    In your case nath your anti labor rhetoric is continues with very little discussion of policy. I can’t decide if your a supporter of the junior party, senior party or random stirrer.
    _____________________
    Cheers. Just watching Shortens 2016 and 2019 concession speeches on a loop.

  17. I thank you BK for the Dawn Patrol. and in particular your comments and the cartoons.

    Ross Gittins goes right to the heart of the matter when he declares that our broken aged care system the product of a “smaller government” mentality. This is a cracker of an article.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/broken-aged-care-system-the-product-of-a-smaller-government-mentality-20191103-p536ws.html

    It is indeed a “cracker of an article”.

    The report doesn’t say so, but it’s a safe bet the for-profits are at the forefront of the “poor continence management,” “dreadful food, nutrition and hydration,” and “common use of physical restraint” and “overprescribing of drugs which sedate residents” to make them easier to manage, it uncovered.

    In practice, Smaller Government means underspending on essentials such as aged care until the neglect is no longer tolerable politically, feigning shock and promising to spend big and crackdown on miscreants when voters react with horror to the revelations of the inevitable royal commission then, once the media circus has moved on, quietly welching on much of what you promised to do.

    So the establishment of two new Gummint Departments will be announced any day now.

    The first will be the previously foreshadowed “Department of Collating and Hiding Previous Reports on Aged Care”.

    While

    The second will be the “Corporate Training (shock and horror) Department”. This will be based on NIDA techniques.

    These department are expected to cut community expectations by up to 50% and add $70 billion to the Government Surplus. This largely fictitious amount will be the basis of further promises – which will feed into the shock and horror and so on.

    In further news – an announcement is expected from a junior Government spokesperson denying the cutting of Age Pension benefits and the raising the bar for new pensioners. Expect shock and horror on this front as well. ☮☕

  18. Anne Connolly @anneconnollyabc
    · 23h

    This was the virtually empty press room for Aged Care Minister’s response to the interim report. No one even raised this killer line: “shameful in 21st century Australia”. The spin from govt and industry will continue unless the media gets across this “industry”

    On Insiders, Greg Hunt committed to doing nothing, perhaps in the knowledge that the media isn’t interested.

  19. Yawn. And yeah… Make sure you support William. Poor bloke has to put up with these broken records playing the same repetitive song every day…


  20. Danama Papers


    Polling booth results lie? Where exactly in your view do you think the Greens get their support if it isn’t the inner city? You have one MP, city of Melbourne, is that not an inner city seat?


  21. nath says:
    Monday, November 4, 2019 at 7:59 am

    Cheers. Just watching Shortens 2016 and 2019 concession speeches on a loop.

    You worked hard for it mate, enjoy the moment.

    I long suspected you motivation was a hatred for shorten. Somewhere somehow he stood on something you cared about on the way up.

    Out of interest do you think a recession is worth it?

  22. “Look in the mirror, comrade.”

    ***

    Ha! Look at this morning’s posts, Cat! The anti-left/Greens nonsense that you and others regurgitate here on a daily basis is ridiculous.

  23. “Oh, Jeremy Corbin!”

    ***

    Good. Let’s hope he continues to gain ground as the campaign progresses, just as he did last time.

  24. Some time ago Mr. K. Wyatt made a speech at the NPC part of which detailed information concerning Aged Care –

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-25/aged-care-residents-suffering-from-loneliness,-ken-wyatt-says/9085782

    In the immortal words of a nurse I once worked with – when asked what should be done to improve services —

    So the potential visitors/supporters for Aged Care Residents will be able to access the training facilities of the new Government Department of Bulshit Corporate Training which will then enable a feigned deafness response to casual enquiries as to their support for loves ones languishing unloved in the care of strangers (who may be stranger than we can know (thanks Mr. Einstein)).

    From the Millinery showpiece department.

    Soon to be seen gracing the delightful head of one of our very own airheads celebrities – perhaps in Melbourne tomorrow. 👒🎩

  25. “Polling booth results lie? Where exactly in your view do you think the Greens get their support if it isn’t the inner city? You have one MP, city of Melbourne, is that not an inner city seat?”

    ***

    I live in the Greens held electorate of Ballina. We won it off the Nationals. This rural Greens held seat is roughly 800km away from NSW’s “inner city” of Sydney. It’s hard to get further away from the “inner city” of the state than I am and still be in NSW.

  26. Quentin Dempster
    1m
    Maaate! Graham whatever-it-takes Richardson @SkyNewsRicho feted at birthday bash by PM
    @ScottMorrisonMP and Opposition @AlboMP
    . There you have it: Australia … a laughing, back-slapping barrel of cynical expediency. (Rupert couldn’t make it).

    Stephen Mayne
    Just bizarre:

    “ScoMo held pride of place next to Richo for much of the night & even insisted on giving an impromptu speech: ‘I’m here tonight because I love Graham Richardson …he knows he’s not a perfect man, but what you see is what you get’.”

  27. [‘…perhaps “ScoMo” is just a more personable Dutton…’]

    Two peas in a pod. Morrison loads the gun; Dutton fires it. They’re both authoritarian slimeballs.

  28. If people boo Morrison in the same way they are treating Trump, I’m sure that he will bring in legislation to outlaw such “protests”.

  29. Thanks BK.

    The AFR article starts:

    A new, specialised high-skilled migration scheme that will offer fast-tracked permanent residency to 5000 people a year, will target high-income earners with expertise in one of seven fields including fintech and space and advanced manufacturing.

    What The commentators miss is the fact that a role of Gov’t and industry is to predict what skills will be needed and start training Australians for these positions.
    This skill shortages crap started with Howard when his mates needed IT staff 20 years ago, but didn’t want to pay for it.

    Skill shortage = admission of planning failure.

    Edit: here’s the link
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/high-skilled-visa-scheme-promises-residency-within-weeks-20191102-p536vt

  30. Firefox @ #32 Monday, November 4th, 2019 – 8:22 am

    “Look in the mirror, comrade.”

    ***

    Ha! Look at this morning’s posts, Cat! The anti-left/Greens nonsense that you and others regurgitate here on a daily basis is ridiculous.

    As ridiculous in its own way as the anti Labor posts that you, Pegasus, nath, clem attlee, etc etc post here likewise every day.

    That’s what I mean. A bit of self-reflection wouldn’t go astray. Maybe the Labor people wouldn’t attack you as much as a result. Hmm, there’s an idea.

  31. KayJay:

    The trick is: don’t get old, which, according to a recent Fairfax article, is 66 plus. This is a worry, as one poster recently opined (Desi, from memory) that most contributors to this site are 70 plus – of course, excluding you & me(?).

  32. Roland ScahillVerified account@rolandscahill
    10h10 hours ago
    Trump supporters tweeting out videos that are filled with boos, while claiming there was nothing but cheering is all the proof you need that it’s a cult

    LOL remember the biggest inaugural crowd ever when just looking at the drone pics showed the absence of people.

  33. “As ridiculous in its own way as the anti Labor posts that you, Pegasus, nath, clem attlee, etc etc post here likewise every day.”

    ***

    Nonsense. It was only a couple of days ago that I encouraged everyone for the 50th time to preference Labor. I did it before the election and I will continue to do it. I often give Labor credit when they deserve it. I’ve even admitted to voting for Labor in the past.


  34. Firefox says:

    I live in the Greens held electorate of Ballina. We won it off the Nationals. This rural Greens held seat is roughly 800km away from NSW’s “inner city” of Sydney. It’s hard to get further away from the “inner city” of the state than I am and still be in NSW.

    Ballina is not a federal seat.

    Byron Bay.

    Last state election, swing to labor 12%, swing to the Greens 4%. As people realize the Greens are little more than a junior anti Labor party it will be interesting to see what happens.

  35. “Ballina is not a federal seat.”

    ***

    Hahaha! So now people from outside the inner city who vote for the Greens in state elections don’t count. How pathetic.

  36. DP drives by for yet another slag.

    Firefox tries hard to pretend that Bong Central is typical of your national Greens voters.

    The basic electoral fact of the matter is that the Inner Urbs are the Greens’ strongholds. Greens who try to deny the TOFU Line are fake news merchants.

    Coupled with this, the list of Greens policies that ban, prohibit, excoriate, regulate, minimize, delay, etc, economic activity in rural and regional seats is virtually endless.

    The pathways for this planned comprehensive destruction are many and varied. There are now 90 million hectares in the terrestrial conservation estate. The Greens plan to DOUBLE this. Fancy taking another 90 million hectares out of production! What impact will that have? No impact at all in the Inner Urbs because the only biodiversity left there is foreign or a few possums wandering around between possum guards.

    The Greens have been getting away with some very big lies. Possibly the biggest lie is that there will be hundreds of thousands of new rural and regional jobs to replace all the jobs the Greens plan to destroy.

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