Essential Research: US visit, economic conditions, Middle East intervention

A new poll records a broadly favourable response to Scott Morrison’s US visit, mixed feelings about the state of the economy, and support for Australia’s new commitment in the Middle East.

Essential Research has released its fortnightly poll, once again without voting intention results. It includes a series of questions on Scott Morrison’s visit to the United States, with results generally more favourable than I personally would have expected. For example, the most negative finding is that 32% agreed that Donald Trump’s presidency has been good for Australia, compared with 49% who disagreed. By way of comparison, a Lowy Institute survey in March found 66% believed Trump had weakened the alliance, and only 25% had either a lot of or some confidence in him.

Only 38% agreed that a good relationship between Scott Morrison and Donald Trump reflected badly on Australia, compared with 48% who disagreed. Other results were probably too influenced by question wording to be of much value. Fifty-seven percent felt Morrison had shown “good diplomacy skills” during the visit, a quality that might be attributed to anyone who maintains a straight face in the President’s presence. The statement that Morrison “should have attended the UN Climate Summit, alongside other world leaders” is compromised by the words in italics (which are my own), but for what it’s worth, 70% agreed and 20% disagreed.

A question on the state of the economy likewise produces a result less bad than the government might have feared, with 32% rating it good and 33% poor. Fifty-one per cent supported Australian military involvement in the Middle East, after it was put to them that Australia had “agreed to provide military support to their allies in the Middle East to protect shipping and trade in the region”, with 35% opposed.

Essential has not yet published the full report on its website, so the precise sample size cannot be identified, but it will assuredly have been between 1000 and 1100. The poll was conducted online from Thursday to Sunday.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,065 comments on “Essential Research: US visit, economic conditions, Middle East intervention”

  1. Lizzie@11.13 am

    Steve777

    Refunds of franking credits to retirees who don’t pay tax end up in the hands of drug dealers and publicans.
    Good one.

    Absolutely! As well as the excellent boutique beers the retirees of inner city Sydney have easy access to, and the excellent wine, we now have gin bars!!

    Note: I am not (yet) a retiree.

  2. Albo probably gained more votes going on Studio 10 today, than years of arguing with woke 10%ers.

    Sad, but this is what the majority wants

  3. Greensborough Growler:

    [‘The first rule of PB is that everyone else is the problem.’]

    I tend to agree, not that I’ve been here long. That said, I think we’ve all got a duty to do our best not to be boring – no names though.

  4. On ABC 7.00pm TV news…

    The pitfalls of ScoMo casting his lot in with Trump are becoming all too apparent.

    The good news is that Joe Hockey has come to Alexander Downer’s defence.

    The bad news is that Joe Hockey has come to Alexander Downer’s defence.

    ScoMo is calling the accusations against Downer “laughable”.

    Poor choice of words, I suspect. He is calling Trump’s grand conspiracy theory – that Downer’s diplomatic cable was a key pivotal factor in the collusion investigation – a joke.

    Trump hates stuff like that.

  5. Should be a ratings winner!!!

    President Trump, frustrated with news coverage as he faces an impeachment inquiry, suggested on Thursday the idea of starting a new television network.

    The suggestion came after Trump attacked CNN, specifically CNN International, at a Medicare event in Florida. Trump said the news network is “so bad” and called it a “terrible thing for our country.”

    “We ought to start our own network and put some real news out there,” Trump said.

    Trump added, “We really are, we are looking at that. We should do something about it too. Put some really talented people and get a real voice out there, not a voice that’s fake.”

    Despite Trump’s comments, it was not clear whether the White House was seriously looking into launching a network.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2019/10/03/media/trump-tv-network/index.html

  6. Bushfire Bill @ #759 Friday, October 4th, 2019 – 7:28 pm

    On ABC 7.00pm TV news…

    The pitfalls of ScoMo casting his lot in with Trump are becoming all too apparent.

    The good news is that Joe Hockey has come to Alexander Downer’s defence.

    The bad news is that Joe Hockey has come to Alexander Downer’s defence.

    ScoMo is calling the accusations against Downer “laughable”.

    Poor choice of words, I suspect. He is calling Trump’s grand conspiracy theory – that Downer’s diplomatic cable was a key pivotal factor in the collusion investigation – a joke.

    Trump hates stuff like that.

    I doubt Scomo is going back to washington any time soon.

  7. Kate

    “I wish you would all get stuck into the LNP instead of quarrelling amongst yourselves.”

    Lizzie – it’s a bit depressing. All participants seem addicted to these never-ending circular arguments. I thought the day had started promisingly with provocations being ignored but once the dam wall broke it was back to the seemingly inevitable shit fight.

    The blog suffers tremendously but I really can’t see a solution. Banning Andrew hasn’t worked – maybe a dedicated coal/green/labor wars Post would work?

    Kate, please, please keep posting. I think you posted the link to the George Monbiot article: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/oct/03/demagogues-fury-violence-outrage-discourse

    Pollbludger is now suffering from amygdala hijack.

    I was sent by my work on an incredibly useful management and leadership course – yes, I know, but a friend recommended it to me, and it was actually extremely useful.

    The amygdala hijack was pointed out to us as something we could fall in to when we were asked/told to do something unreasonable. The advice was to, when you were asked to do something unreasonable, and you felt that the appropriate response was:
    “Do you know how fucking unfair and unreasonable that request is? How fucking dare you!”,

    was to take a deep breath breath and say that you would have to take the question on notice.

    I am mostly good at doing this, but I must say that occasionally I have snapped at work, and told the self-important arseholes exactly what self-important arseholes they are.

    I guess I am still standing, so my strategy is not necessarily terrible., but I would not recommend it as promotion strategy.

  8. Greensborough Growler

    I doubt Scomo is going back to washington any time soon.

    Nor Beijing either.

    Morrison says he’s ‘not waiting by the phone’ for invitation to China
    by Michael Koziol (Fairfax headline)

  9. “We ought to start our own network and put some real news out there,” Trump said.

    Trump added, “We really are, we are looking at that. We should do something about it too. Put some really talented people and get a real voice out there, not a voice that’s fake.”

    Isn’t that what Fox News is, essentially the Donald J Trump Network?

  10. The only thing to report is that WB has surveyed the scene and has decided it is Labor supporters causing all the angst on PB.

  11. “The first rule of PB is that everyone else is the proble[m]”

    Like the first rule of life – everything is someone else’s fault.

  12. citizen @ #766 Friday, October 4th, 2019 – 7:37 pm

    Greensborough Growler

    I doubt Scomo is going back to washington any time soon.

    Nor Beijing either.

    Morrison says he’s ‘not waiting by the phone’ for invitation to China
    by Michael Koziol (Fairfax headline)

    Morrison will be lucky to be welcome in his own rumpus room once his kids get woke.

  13. The only thing to report is that WB has surveyed the scene and has decided it is Labor supporters causing all the angst on PB.

    I don’t do “all”. In any case, I don’t actually think things are that bad right now. Some of the arguments are circular, but ’twas ever thus.

  14. William Bowe @ #775 Friday, October 4th, 2019 – 7:49 pm

    The only thing to report is that WB has surveyed the scene and has decided it is Labor supporters causing all the angst on PB.

    I don’t do “all”. In any case, I don’t actually think things are that bad right now. Some of the arguments are circular, but ’twas ever thus.

    I am so pleased you think this is true, sire.

  15. Trump added, “We really are, we are looking at that. We should do something about it too. Put some really talented people and get a real voice out there, not a voice that’s fake.”

    He wants to make the US media landscape to look like Australia’s. We don’t have a ‘liberal media’ except on the margins like the Guardian, the Saturday Paper, etc.

  16. Time to lay my hippocampus down to rest.
    Went off the Endone today.
    Panadol holding the fort quite well.
    Good night all, and sweet dreams.

  17. Zachary CohenVerified account@ZcohenCNN
    8h8 hours ago
    CNN contacted the offices of 64 Republican lawmakers in the House & Senate today to see if any had concerns with Trump’s public call for China to investigate Biden.

    Only a few responded, not a single one said yes.

    h/t @tedbarrettcnn, @mkraju, @byrdinator, @arogDC & others.

    Which means there is still a plurality of sitting members who either still support Trump, or are too scared to say boo even if they don’t have concerns about his unconstitutional conduct.

  18. A funny thing happened on the way to the forum today: I received in the post the three monthly Veterans’ Affairs publication. I stuck same in the drink holder of my trolley, it dropping out. To cut a long story short, I recovered it in shit-bin, finding that an old mate, going back to ’71, wanted to make contact. I’m not so sure, but I will nevertheless do the right thing.

  19. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/oct/04/us-diplomats-told-zelenskiy-ukraine-trump-visit-was-dependent-on-biden-statement-text-investigation

    Seems to me that this very much clears up what Trump’s agenda and intention was as regards the Ukraine / Biden thing. If the Dems stay focused and dont get distracted on this…… Trump is fwarked.

    Interesting that Trump wants China to give on Biden? I seem to remember stuff from a while ago about Ivanka doing very well in China..or Japan??

  20. Maivs Davis @ #789 Friday, October 4th, 2019 – 8:07 pm

    A funny thing happened on the way to the forum today: I received in the post the three monthly Veterans’ Affairs publication. I stuck same in the drink holder of my trolley, it dropping out. To cut a long story short, I recovered it in shit-bin, finding that an old mate, going back to ’71, wanted to make contact. I’m not so sure, but I will nevertheless do the right thing.

    A funny thing happened to me on the way to this weekend. One of my daughters will have a baby this weekend. I will also do all the right things at the Lower Plenty Hotel.

  21. “Zoe Williams observation on Boris Johnson, that he has the forward planning of a dog chasing a car.”

    Something that used to be common, even banal, that you don’t see any more.

  22. Jay NordlingerVerified account@jaynordlinger
    9h9 hours ago
    Don’t kid yourselves, chillen: If a Democratic president asked a major American adversary — a Communist dictatorship — to investigate his domestic political opponents, we on the right would be howling at the top of our lungs — with good reason.

    Plus Trump has entered the US into a trade war with China. Imagine if a Democrat president had done that!

  23. GG:

    [‘The third rule of PB is you must correct other posters’ grammar and spelling.’]

    I agree with you though standards appear, in the main, to be decidedly declining.

    Cat:

    That’s cool, no probs; thanks very much for your effort.

  24. Mavis Davis @ #797 Friday, October 4th, 2019 – 8:56 pm

    GG:

    [‘The third rule of PB is you must correct other posters’ grammar and spelling.’]

    I agree with you though standards appear, in the main, to be decidedly declining.

    Cat:

    That’s cool, no probs; thanks very much for your effort.

    The fourth rule of PB is to agree with people you agree with!

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