Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. Aqualung:

    [‘Rex and Mavis, I think the term stylish was being tossed around a little too freely in that article on the dinner.’]

    Probably, though the source is the Daily Mail. I’m no fashionista, but I think Melania’s dress didn’t suit her.

  2. Confessions:

    [‘No it was Biden’s son. I doubt it will bring him down though.’]

    Yes, I admitted my faux pas on page # 29, though the article does have Uncle Joe in the mix.

    As for bringing Trump down, we can live in hope.

  3. Perhaps Morrison should not feel too flattered with Trump calling him “Titanium Man”.

    The Titanium Man (“Chelovek-Titan”) is the name of two fictional supervillains appearing in American comic books published by Marvel Comics. The original Titanium Man first appeared in Tales of Suspense #68 in 1965 and was created by Stan Lee and Don Heck.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Titanium_Man

  4. Perhaps Giuliani will be the fall guy.

    Days after the two presidents spoke, Trump’s personal lawyer, Rudolph W. Giuliani, met with an aide to the Ukrainian president in Madrid and spelled out two specific cases he believed Ukraine should pursue. One was a probe of a Ukrainian gas tycoon who had Biden’s son Hunter on his board. Another was an allegation that Democrats colluded with Ukraine to release information on former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort during the 2016 election.

    “Your country owes it to us and to your country to find out what really happened,” Giuliani said he told the Ukrainian president’s aide, Andriy Yermak, during the Madrid meeting. Yermak, according to Giuliani, indicated that the Ukrainians were open to pursuing the investigations. The aide reiterated the Ukrainians’ plea for a meeting with Trump, a summit that would be an important signal to Russia of Washington’s support for Ukraine.

    “I talked to him about the whole package,” said Giuliani, who has been lobbying Ukrainian officials to take up the investigations since the spring. Yermak did not respond to a request for comment.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-trump-and-giuliani-pressured-ukraine-to-investigate-the-presidents-rivals/2019/09/20/0955801c-dbb6-11e9-a688-303693fb4b0b_story.html

  5. Confessions:

    [‘Apparently Trump implored the Ukranian president 8 times to investigate Biden’s son. 8 times!!’]

    That’s surely worthy of impeachment.

  6. Sara @_sara_jade_
    ·
    12m
    Morrison BL when Trump asks if Probyn is a nice person. Morrison laughs & breaks eye contact with Probyn who asks Trump “What do you say to Aust businesses..China ? Morrison removes imaginary lint from his suit jacket. BL disdain.’ I don’t want to hear this.’ #auspol

  7. Mark Davis @PoroMark
    30m

    @ABC has stopped pretending that it is a news organisation. The Online News page is full of arse-kissing coverage of Trump-Morrison, and nothing on the climate strike (except for a ridiculous item on how funny the signs were). Where’s the worldwide round-up?

    The Guardian is much better.

  8. Jennifer RubinVerified account@JRubinBlogger
    8h8 hours ago
    I would suggest the House suspend everything else. THIS is what is clear and impeachable and grotesque. It’s the easiest, quickest route. Let R’s defend this treachery. And what are Pompeo and the rest still doing in govt?

    One of the Real Time panelists made the point that if the House impeaches Trump it would have the power to obtain not only his tax records, but the official transcript of the telephone call.

  9. Mavis Davis says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 1:20 pm

    nath:

    [‘You can hardly call what has happened to Trudeau a result of the ‘tall poppy syndrome.’]

    Although it has been mostly self-inflicted, Trudeau’s approval rating was in the mid-60s, now around 28%, all in the space of four years. And although some of what he’s done has been foolish, I don’t think it’s worthy of sinking 37%. He’s lucky that his opposite number has the charisma of a post.

    —————————————————-

    The first poll taken since Blackfacegate erupted on Wednesday (polling on Thursday and Friday, released a couple of hours ago, shows the Opposition Conservatives lost two tenths of a point, while Trudeau’s Liberals gained two-tenths from the previous daily poll.

    The rolling average of all polls, shows both parties losing a point. Overall, the Liberals are still about where they’ve been for the past couple of weeks.

    So it might be premature to call Justin out just yet.

    It’s going to be challenging for his opponents to make the racism label stick. He and his father before him have a proven track record on human rights, a Charter of Rights and Freedoms, welcoming new comers to Canada (25,000 Syrians in three months) and legislation to combat racism and discrimination. Four members of his cabinet are of sub-continent heritage and the Immigration Minister came to Canada from Somalia as a refugee. The Opposition Conservatives’ reputation in this area would be comparable to that of the Morrison government.

    People hopefully will consider the context of the event, an “Arabian Nights” costume party where, as the school’s drama teacher, he was playing the part of an imaginary character Aladdin, a genie. The makeup may not have been a good choice. I’m sure Harry Belafonte would have admired his high school Kaoroake version of the Banana Boat song, just as he probably admired his father Pierre’s human rights achievements.

    It may be that the apology has satisfied most people that he is not a racist and that there was no intent to mock or deride people of color as his critics have suggested.

    Fortunately Canada does not have the toxic influence of the Murdochs on the media. As for Warren Kinsella, quoted in the SMH piece, think Andrew Bolt, Paul Murray and you’ll know where he’s coming from.

  10. @QuentinDempster
    ·
    4m

    @bobjcarr ‘s review of Brian Toohey’s book “Secret -The Making of Australia’s Security State” concludes that our security agencies “don’t have the skill sets needed for the job at hand” i.e. “to negotiate our way between China and the US in Australia’s national interest”.

  11. @PaulBongiorno
    · 18m
    I have now read every word of the Trump/Morrison White House news conference. God help us. We – the planet – is in real trouble.incoherent, ravings, menacing and delusional from the President of the USA. This is the existential crisis we should be worried about.

  12. Good point.

    @StephenJonesMP
    · Sep 20
    So if thousands of students left school to line the streets for a Royal visit do you think conservative MPs would be giving speeches in Parliament demanding that the kids stay in class?

  13. beguiledagain:

    Thanks for the added info. I’m not writing him off. I think that his dress in India and the makeup are a storm in teacup, though did it impact on his personal indicia. As you say, his father and he have quite an admirable human rights’ record, which could get him over the line along with a somewhat boring LOTO.

  14. Rex @12:24
    “So what’s in it for Zanetti to go with that messaging ..?”

    Zannetti won a Walkley award early in his career and he does occasionally produce good stuff. But most of his efforts seem to have the quality of the sort of work you’d expect from the student who was last in the class at the North Korean school of propoganda. Not clever or funny, totally lacking wit or subtlety, stuff that certainly wouldn’t win any converts. Believers probably like it, opponents are slightly annoyed by it.

    Maybe he’s just very lazy these days. Most mornings he knocks something together after scanning the Liberal talking points of the day. It helps pay the bills.

  15. Lizzie
    In fact a number of schools were involved in Harry & Meghan’s visit last year and despite what the reactionaries might like to think yesterday was the last day of term and in my time at school that was usually a sports day.

  16. Mexican Beemer

    but on energy and technology, government is mostly impotent.

    (Hopefully I’ve not omitted necessary context).

    I understand that:
    – the level of (beneficial) government intervention in both energy and research (hence) technology is at historical lows
    – the demand side effect of government purchases is (or has recently been) mostly market following, rather than market creating.

    However:
    – the Admiralty drove the transition from coal (it was then the largest coal purchaser) to oil by deciding that it would build no more coal powered ships (and those in production that could be converted, would be)
    – the USGOVT subsidisy for nuclear power is something like 1% of GDP for about 30 thirty years, and without this there would be much less nuclear power than there is
    – substantially all technologies commericalised in the past 50 years have resulted from research funded by the US (and recently, EU)

    So I think your comment needs elaborating

  17. E. G. Theodore
    The government’s objective is to maintain a large scale coal industry both because many of its key supporters are financially tied to that industry and politically there are a number of coal mining based electorates.

    At the same time that the government is trying to stage manage its objective, we are seeing an increasing flow of capital to renewable energy projects and to the technology that will support renewable energy and electric vehicles among other things.

    Because of the amounts of capital and the fierce competition among those wanting to be the first to successfully take these new technologies to market whether that be large batteries or EV’S are basically rendering the government impotent due to its policy decisions.

    Basically the government is losing control.

  18. Nath:

    I noticed today that the government has floated the idea of extending the waiting time to claim newstart for those with a little cash on hand. I was wrong before the election to say that the coalition doesn’t have any policies for this term. They clearly have a whole suite of policies to attack and undermine unemployed and disabled people. What tough guys they are!

    Nath is correct in my view.

    There is a key difference between Messrs Abbott and Morrison. Mr Abbott is a keen and reasonably competent amateur sportsman (rugby, boxing, surfing) whilst Mr. Morrison is a “sports fans” living vicariously through the success of his team. Mr Abbott like to fight and picks fights with just about everyone, but tended to avoid picking fights with people who can’t fight back (cause there’s no fun in that…). The change is that unlike Mr Abbott, Mr Morrison is a bully and (hence) a coward, and prefers to attack those who can’t fight back.

  19. Confessions says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 3:15 pm
    lizzie @ #1475 Saturday, September 21st, 2019 – 1:04 pm

    Good point.

    @StephenJonesMP
    · Sep 20
    So if thousands of students left school to line the streets for a Royal visit do you think conservative MPs would be giving speeches in Parliament demanding that the kids stay in class?
    Or if they were out protesting against pricing carbon emissions.
    _____________________________________________
    Or if the SDA is to be believed many young retail workers tell them they are strongly opposed on religious grounds to SSM , abortion on demand and participating homosexuals.

  20. @_sara_jade_
    ·
    1h
    Morrison & Trump mirroring each other. Mirroring lets the other know unconsciously they are in agreement with their beliefs & values. Narcissists mirror for reasons that they lack a stable identity and are borrowing yours.

  21. lizzie @ #1492 Saturday, September 21st, 2019 – 2:37 pm

    @_sara_jade_
    ·
    1h
    Morrison & Trump mirroring each other. Mirroring lets the other know unconsciously they are in agreement with their beliefs & values. Narcissists mirror for reasons that they lack a stable identity and are borrowing yours.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Trump usually leans on things or sits in his press conferences, esp those which go for more than 10 mins or so. As he’s old and obese I imagine he finds it hard to stand for long periods without something to lean or sit on. I reckon this person is reading more into his body language than is warranted.

  22. Fess

    No, it’s an obvious imitation, although unconscious. Scomo is imitating Trump. I’ve tried the trick myself with a salesman who came to the door and it was v. amusing to see him copying me as I shifted position several times.

  23. While one can take the mickey out of the likes of Zanetti, I do not see too many other right-of-centre cartoonist here in the early morning edition of PB. Is he the only right-wing cartoonist in Oz?
    The West’s Alston rarely gets a gig on PB – some of his stuff has been excellent over the years………and while I think he kind of leans to the right, he surprises me from time to time on his cutting of those on the right as well.
    His today effort is somewhat ambiguous with both Morrison and Trump featuring……….but I think he is actually taking the piss out of all the happy party goers in Washington.
    His effort when Trump was elected was excellent showing a shocked Statute of Liberty having just been groped by Trump. He was on the money then and probably still is.

  24. Tricot
    I post all the Aussie cartoons I can dig up. All the Murdoch papers have a strong firewall.
    On top of this cartoonists feast on hypocrisy which is something arch conservatives excel in.

  25. Chuckle.

    Dr Darren Saunders
    @whereisdaz
    ·
    Mr Joyce is a member of the party that wants to set up a “science watchdog” to vet the quality of scientific evidence. Submissions via SMS?

  26. A couple of points wrt the claim that taking time off school will adversely affect a child’s education…

    1. Every Education system factors in a certain % of time that students will be absent from school but still be able to complete the curriculum. For example, due to illness, or due to the increasingly frequent occurrence whereby families take their children out of school weeks before term ends so that they can go on family holidays.

    Have Coalition MPs decried that in parliament (not the fact that kids get ill but that their families take them on holiday)? Nope, nope, nope.

    2. I was pulled out of school for half a day to go and see the Queen pass moderately quickly by but it didn’t stop me completing my schooling and going on to university and postgraduate education.

    Therefore you have to conclude that the posturing from the Coalition politicians and other conservative commentators is simply a poorly-disguised and hypocritical stance meant to disparage noble pursuits by the schoolchildren.

  27. The Daily BeastVerified account@thedailybeast
    3h3 hours ago
    Bill Maher makes the case for Joe Biden: He is “mildly embarrassing” but not “insane” like Trump

    Headline fail. He wasn’t making the case for Biden, but rather delivering a huge smackdown to Trump surrogates who delight in using ‘Trump Derangement Syndrome’ to attack those who criticise Trump’s conduct. As he says, if you truly believe Trump’s behaviour is normal or desirable for a head of state, you’re the one who’s deranged, and as it’s widespread among the Right, yes it is a syndrome! Peeps can watch for themselves.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob7EWtaUL_o

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