Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

Comments Page 29 of 33
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  2. It worked a treat in Australia in May, why wouldn’t it work in Canada in October?

    There are signs that Canada’s Tories have studied what happened down under earlier this year.

    Tonight on the national CBC TV network a caller said he had heard that the Trudeau government was going to introduce capital gains tax on the family home, a Canadian version of the “death tax.”

    Of course it’s as fake, and as deviously potent as the death tax story was. But I wouldn’t be surprised that the seeds have been sown, especially on social media. Now just watch it spread like wildfire through the internet.

    In my view the death tax farrago was THE knockout punch against Labor in May.

    The only problem is that in trying to deny or counter a lie this big, you just give it airtime.

    My suggestion to the Trudeau Liberals would be to get a friendly journalist to ask the Conservative Opposition Leader Andrew Scheer publicly to accept the fact that this is a lie and for him to acknowledge the Liberals’ denial. Then run the Scheer video and the text on every imaginable social media site.

    How did Labor handle the death tax lie?

  4. Steve777,
    The Trumpists are Mercantilists:

    Mercantilism, economic theory and practice common in Europe from the 16th to the 18th century that promoted governmental regulation of a nation’s economy for the purpose of augmenting state power at the expense of rival national powers. It was the economic counterpart of political absolutism.

  8. beguiled again

    I agree with you. In Trudeau’s case it might not work because Canadians will just assume either that it’s a lie (The whole blackface thing fell apart for them). Or that Trudeau will deliver some fantastic services.

    It will be interesting to see what the Canadian Liberals response is. Trudeau has been campaigning well so far. The right over there are getting desperate

  11. Cryin Jim would not be a good choice. Any man who begs and blubbers to keep his preselection doesn’t have the fortitude required to stand up to the vested interests across the country.

  12. Excluding the height of the Cold War, I can’t recall a more dangerous time, made all the worse with the “orange blob” in the White House, bumbling Boris in No. 10, and to a lesser extent, the titanium man in the Lodge. Why would Morrison get the red-carpet treatment other than to involve us in the ME?

  13. This Zanetti effort is definitely not thought up by himself. I saw the theme yesterday in RW online commentary so it’s probably one of a number of talking points disseminated by RW sources for people to use on social media.

    Ultimately Zanetti and similar people are pushing sh*t uphill as all climate protests worldwide took place on Friday.

  17. Mavis Davis says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 12:13 pm
    Excluding the height of the Cold War, I can’t recall a more dangerous time, made all the worse with the “orange blob” in the White House, bumbling Boris in No. 10, and to a lesser extent, the titanium man in the Lodge. Why would Morrison get the red-carpet treatment other than to involve us in the ME?

    The dinner for Morrison is Trump’s way of “teaching a lesson” to those world leaders who dare to criticise him. Trump would give Kim Jong Un the same fancy dinner.

  18. Rex Douglas says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 12:24 pm

    So what’s in it for Zanetti to go with that messaging ..?
    __________________________
    He’s just clearly committed to exposing hypocrisy in children!

  19. Rex Douglas says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 11:51 am

    Who has the best credentials to lead Labor to electoral victory in 2022 ?

    —————————————–

    I don’t know about “credentials” but I would go with Tony Burke. He’s a great stump speaker and street fighter and impresses me more than those “suits” you mentioned.

  21. Aqualung at 11:38am
    If world demand for steaming coal is static then, as you point out, the more efficient Adani mine will simply hasten the demise of the underground mines in NSW ( Hunter and Wollongong and Lithgow areas).

    Yes, this point was made during the pre election hysteria, but ignored by most who had other agendas.

    Of course, the Fed Gov’t would love this outcome. In their war on unionism (esp. the CFMMEU) underground mine closure would throw hundreds out of work. Adani’s mine is planned to be the most advanced, automated open cut coal mine in the world. Unmanned trucks, unmanned trains, all controlled by some computer operators in a city far removed from the site. It’s already happening in other mine sites, such as in WA.

    Why would Setka promote a mine development so antithetical to his members’ interests ?
    Yes, good question.

  22. I noticed today that the government has floated the idea of extending the waiting time to claim newstart for those with a little cash on hand. I was wrong before the election to say that the coalition doesn’t have any policies for this term. They clearly have a whole suite of policies to attack and undermine unemployed and disabled people. What tough guys they are!

  23. citizen:

    [‘The dinner for Morrison is Trump’s way of “teaching a lesson” to those world leaders who dare to criticise him.’]

    Given the blob’s insecurities, that’s quite possible, but I still think he’s going hit up the gullible, overawed Morrison for more help in the ME.

  25. Re Taylormade’s ‘Facebook’ comment at 9:50am

    The first line is its own answer
    “You are the first generation who have required air-conditioning in every classroom”
    Yes. True.
    A misfortune caused by generations who preceded the occupants of those classrooms today.
    Hence the protest.

    Just own it.
    (Edited)

  26. Thanks Maude Lynne. I thought I read or heard it somewhere.
    What did Fitzgibbon do in the election campaign?
    Or was he complacent due to the dodgy polls?

  28. Social media is flat out trying to denigrate the climate protesters.

    A hoax photo that claims to show rubbish left behind by Australian climate strike protesters is circulating on Facebook, despite being revealed as fake months ago.

    Though it lacks any verification, and was debunked in April, the image and false caption have been shared 19,000 times in 12 hours, and thousands of times from copycats.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/sep/21/climate-strikes-hoax-photo-accusing-australian-protesters-of-leaving-rubbish-behind-goes-viral?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=soc_568&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1569033831

  30. Those recent photos of Trudeau posing in oriental garb are disturbing considering his ‘arabian nights’ material. I think this guy has been taking the piss for a while now.

  31. Mavis,
    I’d be happy for Trudeau to replace Morrison after the Canadians have finished with him.

    “You don’t know what you’ve got ’till it’s gone”
    (Joni Mitchell )

  32. Maude Lynne:

    [‘I’d be happy for Trudeau to replace Morrison after the Canadians have finished with him.’]

    Yes. Almost anyone would be better than the glib Morrison. We seem to share something in common with Canadians: the tall poppy syndrome.

  36. I don’t see the UBI proponents’ case for making the payment universal. If you want to address income insecurity among people who cannot work, you provide a decent Basic Income to people in those circumstances. If you want to address income insecurity among people who want to work but can’t get jobs, you create jobs directly for those people. You expand the definition of what counts as paid work. You create public sector jobs that are socially valuable and ecologically sustainable. If you want to address income insecurity among the employed, you change labour law to improve workers’ pay and conditions. A universal payment doesn’t solve the specific problems that cause income security. All it does is create inflationary pressure.

    A UBI does nothing to reduce stigma against low income people because net payers of tax would still have unjustified cause to resent and feel superior to net recipients of government payments. The claim that universality would reduce stigma and economic class divisions is wishful thinking at best, and total nonsense at worst.

    The overwhelming impression I get of UBI advocates is that they don’t understand the nature of money, the nature of government spending, the nature of paid work, and the nature of human beings. They have deeply ingrained misconceptions in all of these areas, leading them to this seriously bad proposal.

    A Job Guarantee plus a decent Basic Income for people who need it plus massively expanded and improved public services and infrastructure is the way to go. Not a naive faith in markets to solve problems that are fundamentally public and social in character.

  37. nath:

    [‘You can hardly call what has happened to Trudeau a result of the ‘tall poppy syndrome.’]

    Although it has been mostly self-inflicted, Trudeau’s approval rating was in the mid-60s, now around 28%, all in the space of four years. And although some of what he’s done has been foolish, I don’t think it’s worthy of sinking 37%. He’s lucky that his opposite number has the charisma of a post.

  39. Perhaps if the Govt are determined to expand the rollout of the Indue welfare cards they should offer an incentive of increased value with it …?

  41. Morrison should pack up and come home before China retaliates, the trip fast turning into a farce.
    Our commodity exports could be at risk.

  42. Andrew Giles MP @andrewjgiles
    ·
    1h
    Utopia’s got nothing on Minister Tudge. This morning I called out the Morrison Government’s complete failure on urban infrastructure. For all their talk about congestion busting, they haven’t started a single project or spent a single cent – other than on advertising. #auspol

  44. lizzie @ #1452 Saturday, September 21st, 2019 – 1:33 pm

    Andrew Giles MP @andrewjgiles
    ·
    1h
    Utopia’s got nothing on Minister Tudge. This morning I called out the Morrison Government’s complete failure on urban infrastructure. For all their talk about congestion busting, they haven’t started a single project or spent a single cent – other than on advertising. #auspol

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    There’s a nice little 10 second media ad to be had with that chipping away at the credibility of our shonky salesman PM.

  49. Rex Douglas:

    [‘My thoughts are with the starving and destitute struggling to survive on Newstart…’]

    Really, Rex, you don’t do irony all that well.

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