Essential Research leadership ratings

The latest Essential poll finds Scott Morrison’s approval rating edging up to a new high, with most respondents supporting a tough line on offshore detention of asylum seekers – but not so tough that they support the repeal of medical evacuation laws.

Another fortnight, another Essential Research poll that baulks on publishing voting intention numbers. We do, however, get the monthly leadership ratings, which find Scott Morrison at a new peak of 49% approval, up one on a fortnight ago, with disapproval down one to 36%. Anthony Albanese is down two on approval to 36% and up two on disapproval to 31%. Morrison also records the strongest preferred prime minister lead out of the four such results published by Essential since the election, at 46-25, out from 44-28 last month.

The poll also finds strong support for indefinite offshore detention for asylum seekers, with 52% supportive and 32% opposed. However, only 21% accept the government’s position that the medical evacuation legislation “will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past”, with 41% saying it strikes an appropriate balance and 23% saying it does not go far enough.

A series of questions on Friday’s climate strikes finds 56% in favour and 30% opposed, although only 35% said they were aware of them in response to an initial question, with 54% saying they were unaware. The New South Wales-based respondents to the survey, of which there were 352, were asked a further question on a mooted relaxation of the state’s lockout laws, which 58% supported and 30% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from an online panel of 1093 respondents.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,606 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. Catherine Perry @CatPurry9
    · 1h

    “Mr. Morrison has also developed a close bond with Vice President Mike Pence”.
    Well, that’s disturbing.

  3. Scientists have measured big increases in the amount of methane, the powerful global warming gas, entering the atmosphere over the last decade. Cows or wetlands have been fingered as possible sources, but new research points to methane emissions from fossil fuel production—mainly from shale gas operations in the United States and Canada—as the culprit.

    The “massive” increase in methane emissions occurred at the same time as the use of fracking for shale gas took off in the U.S., says Robert Howarth, an ecologist at Cornell University and author of the study published Aug 14 in the journal Biogeosciences.

    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/08/fracking-boom-tied-to-methane-spike-in-earths-atmosphere/

  5. “Mr. Morrison has also developed a close bond with Vice President Mike Pence”.
    Well, that’s disturbing.
    _____
    Though given Pence’s rampant religiosity it’s hardly surprising.

  7. Confessions says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 5:40 pm
    The Morrisons have way more in common with the Pences than the Trumps.
    _____________________________________________
    and you know this how exactly?

  8. BK “I post all the Aussie cartoons I can dig up. All the Murdoch papers have a strong firewall.”

    And your early morning efforts are appreciated.

  9. BK…………..my comment is not to be seen in any way as critical of your brilliant efforts over the years……….You are my first “go to” in the morning news!
    You know what they say about WA…it stands for “Wait Awhile”…………………
    Alston, the cryptic X-word and the TV mag on Saturday are all the The West newspaper is worth these days.
    I have long described it as the worst metro daily in Oz, but since it has taken on the guise of the Daily Tele in Sydney, I was over-generous in my description. It has become even more useful for wrapping up the garbage. Trouble is, it is the only newspaper in town and I relent as OH likes to keep up with local events………otherwise it would have been ditched long ago.

  10. Fess, yep both Pence and Morrison are from the God Botherer faction of millennialists. Pence is the wackiest IMHO – for example, he won’t be ever alone with a woman who is not his wife.

    Morrison on the other hand, is a devious liar, so he is probably just milking the Christian schtick for image reasons – but who knows how much of the Pentecostal Pallava has penetrated?

  12. Although Morrison’s early life did have few religious exposures, he flirted with theology

    Morrison grew up in the suburb of Bronte. He had a brief career as a child actor, appearing in several television commercials and small roles in local shows.[14] Some reports have suggested that he was the iconic 1970s Vicks “Love Rub” kid, but footage to confirm or refute this has not been found; he has stated he was in a different Vicks commercial.[15] He attended Sydney Boys High School before going on to complete a Bachelor of Science (B.Sc.) honours degree in applied economic geography at the University of New South Wales.[16][17][18] He contemplated studying theology at Regent College in Vancouver, Canada, but he instead chose to enter the workforce after completing his undergraduate education, in part due to the disapproval of his father.[19

  13. “The Morrisons have way more in common with the Pences than the Trumps.”

    I would say that Trump’s incompetence is his saving grace except that he has a nuclear button – a big red one no doubt, maybe gold-plated. How do I know that? OK, I’m not sure about it’s colour or the gold-plating, but Trump said it’s big (or maybe he lied?)

    However, I don’t want Trump to be impeached. If he is, we get President Pence. Pence’s world view seems to be very much in line with that which Trump pushes, but Pence actually believes it. He might be more dangerous, although he seems to be rational. He would be acceptable to hard line conservatives and eastablishment Republicans. He would be more electable.

    Morrison is Australia’s Pence.

  14. Mike Pence, on the other hand, trod a more traditional Road to Damascus..

    In his childhood and early adulthood, Pence was a Roman Catholic and a Democrat. He volunteered for the Bartholomew County Democratic Party in 1976 and voted for Jimmy Carter in the 1980 presidential election,[1][16] and has stated that he was originally inspired to get involved in politics by people such as John F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr.[1] While in college, Pence became an evangelical, born-again Christian, to the great disappointment of his mother.[1][16] His political views also started shifting to the right during this time in his life, something which Pence attributes to the “common-sense conservatism of Ronald Reagan” that he began to identify with.[1][24]

  20. Confessions @ #1515 Saturday, September 21st, 2019 – 6:00 pm

    Trump is unstable and irrational and delusional. I’d rather Pence as president any day if the choice was between him and Trump.

    I read recently that there is a power struggle going on behind the scenes at the White House between Trump and Pence because Trump doesn’t want Pence as his running mate again in 2020. Trump is angling to get Ivanka Trump to be his VP! 😯

    Yes, it was a serious article.

  29. frednk says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 5:53 pm

    Lars Von Trier says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 5:47 pm
    …
    and you know this how exactly?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/sep/21/morrison-toasts-unconventional-trump-but-hillsong-pastor-reportedly-rejected-from-guest-list

    https://www.ncronline.org/blogs/ncr-today/5-faith-facts-mike-pence-born-again-evangelical-catholic

    I don’t think trump would be classed as a born again anything
    ____________________________________
    So you and confessions don’t actually know – your drawing conclusions about their affinity based on both men being “religious”. It’s not that different to saying all Jews or homosexuals are the same because of one common attribute isn’t it?

  33. According to this analysis of the 2018 edition of the United States Census Bureau’s annual ASEC survey, 99 percent of individuals in the United States received annual incomes of less than $300,000.

    https://dqydj.com/united-states-income-brackets-percentiles/

    In that context, why would you only apply this 2 cents in the dollar tax to income above $50 million per year?

    Why wouldn’t you apply it to every dollar of income above $300,000, or perhaps to every dollar of income above $ 1 million if you want to leverage the rhetorical effect of the word “million”?

    In this sense it is a bizarrely timid proposal from Warren. But I suppose that when you consider her overall track record of appeasing corporate and financial interests, cultivating the Democratic establishment (which is a major obstacle to progressive policies), and preferring technocratic tinkering over structural and systemic change, it makes perfect sense.

    If you are serious about using tax policy for redistribution you don’t just propose an extra 2 percent tax on incomes above $50 million. You need to be a lot more ambitious than that.

  41. The Shovel yesterday, meanwhile Collingwood are coming back.

    GWS Giants fans have swamped Melbourne ahead of Saturday’s clash with Collingwood, with both saying they are hopeful of a grand final berth for their team.

    Virgin and Qantas considered putting on extra flights to accommodate the influx of Giants fans, but later confirmed they were able to find half an aisle free on an existing flight.

    GWS fan Josh Leech – whose wife Sarah is also a fan – said he hoped ticketing arrangements would allow all of the GWS fans to sit together, to create maximum impact. “We’ve asked the MCG whether they can organise both seats together. It can be a pretty intimidating site for an opposition player to look up and be confronted with a sea of orange”.

    Sarah Leech – whose husband Josh is also fan – said the GWS cheer squad would march to the ground together. “Josh might duck off to get a record while I hold the flags, but otherwise we’ll be a unified force. Collingwood doesn’t know what’s going to hit them”.

    https://www.theshovel.com.au/2019/09/20/both-gws-fans-descend-on-mcg-for-prelim-final/

  45. Over in Europe, it was the glittering prize: devised by mathematical geniuses, subscribed to by the by rich and powerful moving in exclusive circles, buying and sellubg mansions, trading in the billions… The Cum-Ex Deal.

    And dozens of Europe’s financial glitterati are today facing serious jail time for running these scams.

    Q&A
    What is a cum-ex deal?

    A cum-ex deal, from the Latin meaning with-without, is a complex set of share transactions with the purpose of getting the state to reimburse a tax that was never paid in the first place.

    If only the poncy Euro trash who ran the syndicates had known… they could have come to Australia and received hefty Reserve Bank refund cheques for taxes that were never paid in the first place, without the Boy Wonders, the fancy software, the pin-stripe suits or the shell companies in Gibraltar.

    All they’d need was a suburban accountant and ScoMo running for Prime Minister, plus an Australian voting class prepared to believe that this was the way God Himself intended “retirees” to organize their financial affairs.

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/sep/20/the-men-who-plundered-europe-city-of-london-practices-on-trial-in-bonn

  48. Bushfire Bill says:
    Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 7:02 pm
    ________________________
    Plowing through your turgid prose – to summarise this seems to be some sort of wishful conspiracy fantasy on your part.

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