In New South Wales:
A row over a bill to decriminalise abortion is prompting murmurings about Gladys Berejiklian’s leadership just five months after she led the Coalition to an impressive election victory, with tremors that are being felt federally. The bill was introduced by independent MP Alex Greenwich, but its sponsors included the Berejiklian government’s Health Minister, Brad Hazzard. It was headed last week for passage through both houses of parliament, before Berejiklian bowed to conservative outrage by pushing back the final vote in the upper house by nearly a month. Claiming credit for this concession is Barnaby Joyce, whose high-profile interventions have angered his state Nationals colleagues, most of whom support the bill (prompting Mark Latham, who now holds a crucial upper house vote as a member of One Nation, to tar the party with the cultural Marxist brush). Following suggestions the party room had discussed expelling him from the party, Joyce said he would go of his own accord if four of them publicly called for him to do so. It doesn’t appear that is going to happen, but if it did, the government would be reduced from 77 seats in the House of Representatives out of 151, costing it its absolute majority on the floor.
In Tasmania:
Labor MP Scott Bacon’s decision to end his state parliamentary career, citing family reasons, represents an unwelcome turn of events for an already understaffed state opposition, owing to the manner in which parliamentary vacancies are filled under Hare-Clark. This will involve a “recount” (as officially known, though “countback” is the generally preferred term for such procedures) of the votes that got Bacon elected to his seat in Denison (which is now called Clark), either as first or subsequent preferences. The procedure is open to any unsuccessful candidates from the previous election who care to nominate, among whom is Madeleine Ogilvie, a former incumbent who was defeated in 2018 – possibly because progressive sentiment had been alienated by her social conservatism.
The problem for Labor is that Ogilvie has since parted company with the party, to the extent of running as an independent for an upper house seat in May. If she wins the recount, and no reconciliation with the party is forthcoming, there will be nothing to stop her sitting as an independent, reducing Labor from ten seats to nine in a chamber of 25. As explained by Kevin Bonham, we can see from the 2018 results that this will produce a “first preference” count in which 33.1% of the vote goes to Madeleine Ogilvie and 28.4% to Tim Cox, a former ABC Radio presenter who ran unsuccessfully, and has confirmed he will nominate for the recount. More than half the remainder went to candidates who are not in contention because they’re already in parliament, so it will assuredly be one or the other.
In Victoria:
John Ferguson of The Australian reports the Liberals have been conducting internal polling for former party leader Matthew Guy’s seat of Bulleen, prompting speculation he will shortly quit parliament. The Liberals retained the seat with a 5.8% margin even amid the debacle of last November’s election, and the polling is “believed to show the Liberal brand holding up”.
Andrew_Earlwood says:
Thursday, August 29, 2019 at 4:39 pm
Just because you don’t like it and you don’t understand how the system works doesn’t make you right.
It’s nothing to do with the Monarch what the political reasoning is underlying the decision.
Until there is a successful No Confidence Motion the Monarch has no basis to act against the current PM.
“Up to”! Love it.
http://amp.abc.net.au/article/11455886
Construction recession/per capita recession/
What’s next?
Boerwar @ #1846 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 4:53 pm
I’m just so grateful to you for finally pointing out all those LibNat and Labor coal industry boosters.
Future generations will thank you.
When did the Greens get 10% of anything in 1984? Sounds bullshit to me.
I know that in 1984 the ALP got 44% 1pv in Queensland and in 2019 it got 26%.
@Rex: Quoting your snide attacks is not the same as agreeing with them, you dolt. Don’t be so pathetic – a high bar for you, but one I hope you’ll at least attempt to clear.
@Bucephalus: Other than three days next week – not much time for opposition to line up their ducks – there is no opportunity for Parliament to pass a vote of no-confidence until after hard Brexit kicks in. And certainly no time to put forward a comprehensive, ratfucking-immune bill that requires BoJo to hold off a no-deal Brexit, because anything less he’ll simply ignore.
What a fortunate coincidence, then, that such a vote is needed before anyone can say “Boo!” to BoJo.
Based on this, it appears the Greens got 10% in their strongest wards at the Brisbane council election in 1984. Their support in those areas would have doubled-to-tripled since then, as it has in lord mayoral elections and doubtless parliamentary ones as well.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Queensland_Greens
Bucephalus @ #1851 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 4:56 pm
I think that’s a pretty fair summary. There’s nothing wrong in the process followed by Johnson and his cronies. I’d say it’s barely legal and probably pushing the boundaries of accepted convention. But,
the Queen only needs to follow the advice she’s given at this stage.
The question is whether the Remainers can get their act long enough to force a motion rescinding the No deal Brexit option and be prepared to follow that through with a No Confidence Motion. I am sceptical. But, happy to be surprised.
A lot of the vox pop reaction seems to be around the remainers being out smarted.
Apparently, Morrison has already been on 2GB cliaming this to be unnecessary.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EDHJ_k7UEAAsDOa?format=jpg&name=small
Of course BW was talking shit. Otherwise why would a bunch of ABC electorate profiles all feature a section entitled ‘The Rise of the Greens’. 🙂
Bowe:
It’s good to see the correct noun being used.
Rory from Little Lunch is a boy who goes to the girls toilets. Not because he identifies as that gender, but because the boys toilets are gross and the girls toilets have soap that smells like peppermint chewy.
“Israel Folau says he has a ‘mission to spread the word of God’ as he tries to get his job back”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-29/israel-folau-addresses-rugby-australia-in-bold-job-plea/11461504
Just like these folks?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4YrCFz0Kfc
A UK blog I follow has included a suggestion that Johnson Government will Immediately ask the Queen to dissolve Parliament for an election should BoJo lose a no confidence next week.
But, following the 1975 Australian precedent the Queen would be entitled not to follow BoJo’s recommendation and appoint an alternative PM!
“ITV’s political editor Robert Peston reported earlier that a government source had told him: “If MPs pass a no confidence vote next week, then we’ll stay in No10, we won’t recommend any alternative government we’ll dissolve Parliament and have an election between 1-5 November — and that means no time for legislation.”
If the government goes down that route of temporary, outright dictatorship, then the Queen can stop them. She has the power to sack Boris Johnson as Prime Minister with immediate effect if she concludes that he no longer has the confidence of the House – and if he’s just lost a vote of no confidence, such a conclusion would be a no-brainer. Convention does not prevent her from taking action, and the modern precedents are clear. In 1975, the Governor-General of Australia sacked the Prime Minister Gough Whitlam and replaced him with the opposition leader. The Governor-General exercises exactly the same powers on behalf of the Queen that she exercises on her own behalf in the United Kingdom. And within her own reign, there’s an example of her using her discretion on the selection of a Prime Minister – in 1963, she went ahead and appointed the Earl of Home as PM, ignoring advice from Harold Macmillan to wait until further soundings had been taken among Tory MPs.
Pegasus re Wave Energy 3.10PM
I would have been pleased if the Carnegie concept was a goer.
I visited the Carnegie premises about 9 years ago and was shown the prototype power piston and associated float chamber and given the accompanying technical sell-job .
I came away absolutely certain that, while it could produce energy, it was inherently incapable of being upscaled to achieve commercial viability. Capital costs would always remain far too high for its meagre output. This fundamental shortcoming was further compounded by the operational costs when operated in a marine environment.
Very disappointed to find that the company received significant government funding – the inevitable consequence of the hollowing-out of engineering skills in this sector, I guess.
There may be ways of exploiting wave energy but sadly this was not one of them.
Wombat bites can lead to delirium and military themed fantasies.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2pASJsi654
‘Firefox says:
Thursday, August 29, 2019 at 4:56 pm
“Yeah. Like a certain flouncing convoy.”
***
The Greens received very healthy swings of +1.49% and +3.12% in the QLD House and Senate, respectively.
Labor received terrible negative swings in Queensland of -4.23% in the House and -3.81% in the Senate.’
I acknowledge that Labor got an electoral pizzling. IMHO, Labor has accepted the verdict of the Queensland voters.
I note that the Greens’ dizzy climb in Queensland in the last Federal election was off a base of around 6-7% in the previous Federal election after a showing of 11% in the election before that. In other words, you NEARLY got back to where you were six years ago.
You do need to accept that the Greens are flatlining around 10%. You do need to accept that is all there is. Because, until you do, you are caging the environmental vote where it will do no good at all.
nath
Chap’s a dickhead. Wombats can be extremely aggressive. Pigshot would have solved his problems instanter.
Poliphili
Sadly, not the only dead-end in global warming responses!
William
True.
I make the highest Greens vote in the Queensland state and federal voting at 11% some years ago and currently at around 10%.
NSW Labor, icac and Dastyari
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/icac-nsw-labor-inquiry-live-sam-dastyari-to-front-commission-over-donations-scandal-20190829-p52lv3.html
Don’t hurt wombats.
A Prime Minister who has been defeated on confidence is within their rights to advise an election, but the monarch or viceroy should not grant one if they judge there is someone in the existing parliament who can “govern for a reasonable period with a working majority” (as per the Lascelles principles).
Due to the ambiguity involved here, this is the trickiest part of the monarch/viceroy’s job, and the likeliest path to them being embroiled in political controversy. The classic illustration of the pitfalls involved is Canada’s King-Byng affair (sometimes called the “King Byng thing”) in 1926, in which the Governor-General refused an election to a Prime Minister facing defeat in parliament, and swore in the leader of the opposition party, who was then able to retain the confidence of parliament for only a short time.
There is a widely held view that Byng judged wrongly about the potential for a stable government to be formed in the existing parliament, and that in refusing a dissolution to King he had only succeeded in handing incumbency from one party to the other ahead of an election that was going to happen anyway.
“Until there is a successful No Confidence Motion the Monarch has no basis to act against the current PM.”
Listen bukake phallus, my comments were made before William pointed out that Parliament will get to sit for 3 days before prorogation takes effect. Assuming that is correct then obviously given that parliament still a chance to pass legislation and pass a no confidence motion then there is no real problem.
On the other hand if the prorogation takes effect before parliament has a chance to consider legislation to block ‘no Brexit’ or even no confident motion, then my points stand.
Parliament is supreme and the speaker is the key office holder under Britain’s unwritten constitution. That’s what the civil wars and the act of settlement were all about. I recall my Dicey. You clearly do not.
The UK Parliament should legislate that it is the prerogative of the the House of Commons to choose an election date and to decide when a parliamentary session will begin and conclude. Parliamentary supremacy is more democratic than letting one person make those decisions for their own convenience. Alternatively, the Parliament should legislate that these dates be fixed.
Don’t try to ride them either, like this monster:
Nicholas @ #1876 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 5:45 pm
Nicky,
Should’ves and could’ves are irrelevant. This is a deal with the Is!
That wombat appears to be smiling.
WA relaxes emissions curbs on new projects, despite its gas plants driving national rise
Gas industry welcomes policy change as state Labor government backs ‘aspirational’ target of zero emissions by 2050
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/aug/29/western-australia-loosens-emission-reduction-requirements-for-new-major-projects
WB,
Must say I love your heading for this thread.
It’s so Zig and Zag!
lizzie @ #1882 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 5:51 pm
My dog drinks from ours.
The troubles in GB has me wondering about the health of The Queen? Her age by itself would be a concern. Then, who advises her? This soap has all the ingredients. (My prediction is still for a No-Deal Brexit. The personal fortunes of PM Johnson will play out in good time.)
This addresses the role of the Queen to add to William’s explanation
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-29/whats-behind-johnson-proroguing-parliament-ahead-of-brexit/11461592
GG
I’d have thought Scott M had far more important things to worry about, but perhaps he thinks they’re all sorted already.
lizzie @ #1887 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 5:56 pm
I’d say Uhlmann’s picture is what set the alarm bells ringing.
GG
Yes twitter is busy attacking Uhlmann whose politics seems to be about photographing bathrooms.
I wonder if like most of us Uhlmann has a gender neutral bathroom at home or he has two?
I hesitate to point this out but there is a certain congruence between the handler’s left hand and the wombat’s privy parts.
No wonder the wombat is smiling.
Sheridan is going ‘Nothing to see here’ on Drum in relation to prorogation.
I am glad someone did or else I was going to have to do it.
The Drum discussion so far is good quality, IMO.
no laughing matter…
https://www.facebook.com/9NewsPerth/posts/zig-zag-crash-a-woman-has-rolled-her-suv-on-the-zig-zag-scenic-drive-in-gooseber/2355847457760734/
Use of the term ‘chaos capitalism’ on the Drum. The other day there was a non eulogy of David Koch. It used the term ‘anarcho capitalism’.
Boerwar
I’d rather listen to the Irish gentleman than Sheridan.
BW: “There is no point in attacking Greens policies, whatever they are.”
Thats funny, you do that all the time.
‘Big A Adrian says:
Thursday, August 29, 2019 at 6:14 pm
BW: “There is no point in attacking Greens policies, whatever they are.”
Thats funny, you do that all the time.’
I do. I point out that they are electoral death.
Big A Adrian @ #1892 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 6:14 pm
If a policy doesn’t exist, does the bear still shit in the woods?
citizen @ #1864 Thursday, August 29th, 2019 – 5:22 pm
Israel Folau has a few kangaroos loose in the top paddock. 😐