Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law

Higher disapproval ratings for both leaders in the latest Essential poll, which also records lukewarm feelings towards the United States and cooler ones for China.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll again comes up empty on voting intention, but it does offer the pollster’s third set of leadership ratings since the election. As with Newspoll, these record a drop in Scott Morrison’s net approval rating, owing to a three point rise in disapproval to 37%, while his approval holds steady at 48%. However, Essential parts company with Newspoll in finding Anthony Albanese up on disapproval as well, by five points to 29%, with approval down one to 38%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister narrows slightly, from 44-26 to 44-28.

Further questions suggest the public leans positive on most aspects of the “influence of the United States of America” (defence, trade, cultural and business), excepting a neutral result (42% positive, 40% negative) for influence on Australian politics. The same exercise for China finds positive results for trade, neutral results for culture and business, and negative ones for defence and politics. Asked which of the two we would most benefit from strengthening ties with, 38% of respondents favoured the US and 28% China.

The small sample of respondents from New South Wales were also asked about the proposed removal of abortion from the criminal code, which was supported by an overwhelming 71% compared with 17% opposed. The poll has a sample of 1096 and was conducted online from Thursday to Sunday.

Note also the post below this one, being the latest Brexit update from Adrian Beaumont.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,826 comments on “Essential Research: leadership ratings, US and China, abortion law”

  1. Kerry Glover @TheRealKerryG
    ·
    8m
    I don’t care if it’s too soon. Tim Fischer aided and abetted Pell’s rise and helped build The Church’s and National’s stranglehold on this country. Howard’s legacy is Fischer’s too.

  2. Barney in Makassar
    says:
    What I light heartedly refer to as Asian logic is indeed a reflection of my lack of understanding of some of the different cultural norms that vary from place to place and when viewed from my own perspective often make little sense.
    ___________________________________
    You stereotype the people of an entire continent and mock them with the term ‘Asian logic’ and then want to spin that into a demonstration of your cultural sensitivity! You are utterly pathetic!

  3. Isn’t that all you have to do these days? Start a business, let your Liberal or Nationals MP mate know. Hop on the gravy train. Simples!

  4. Something for the Coalies to think about. Not that they will. Collecting and counting their pieces of silver is far more important.
    ……….
    COAL
    And Now the Really Big Coal Plants Begin to Close.America’s mega-emitters are starting to close

    The Navajo Generating Station isn’t alone. It’s among a new wave of super-polluters headed for the scrap heap. ………”It’s just the economics keep moving in a direction that favors natural gas and renewables. Five years ago, it was about the older coal plants becoming uneconomic,” said Dan Bakal, senior director of electric power at Ceres, which works with businesses to transition to clean energy. “Now, it’s becoming about every coal unit, and it’s a question of how long they can survive.”
    https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060965553

  5. C@t has still not apologised to me for the slurs she made concerning certain comments about Prince Harry and Chloe Shorten. Terrible behaviour.

  6. And Now the Really Big Coal Plants Begin to Close.

    I read a paper last night (from some submission to government inquiry) that showed there was a net cost benefit to building an interconnector from QLD to SA….. and then to WA.

    I am no accountant; net cost benefit = pays for itself over its lifetime?

    Come on you lazy federal ‘politicians’. Get your toady snouts out of the trough and do something for future generations.

  7. Australia’s climate change inaction is now bipartisan. Protest is all we have left

    …it would be wrong to see Palaszczuk simply as a throwback to the reactionary politics of Queensland’s past. Rather, her comments reflect a new development, with the two major parties forming a united front against climate action.

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/aug/22/australias-climate-change-inaction-is-now-bipartisan-protest-is-all-we-have-left

  8. mikehilliard

    Innit lovely to see the bipartisanship 🙁
    ——————————————
    Joel Fitzgibbon joins forces with Craig Kelly to spruik coal

    The Parliamentary Friends of Australian Coal Exports ……….I accepted a Craig Kelly’s invitation to be co-chair of the friendship group.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/joel-fitzgibbon-joins-forces-with-craig-kelly-to-spruik-coal/news-story/c9bdcbda7dc738808723ba949932b0e3

  9. Dio:

    (From previous thread)

    Re. Pell. Yes, that’s what it boils down to. Two judges took the view that the complainant was a very credible witness; the dissenting judge finding a number of discrepancies in his evidence, sufficient to give Pell the benefit…

  10. Simon
    “I read a paper last night (from some submission to government inquiry) that showed there was a net cost benefit to building an interconnector from QLD to SA….. and then to WA.”

    I mentioned the need for such an interconnector here on this blog (plus one from SA to Vic via SE corner of SA) ten years ago as the GFC stimulus package was being developed. Several power network engineers I knew said it had great value, both for reliability of supply and better price competition between suppliers, even without renewables being in the mix. Now it would be even more valuable to even out wind generation peaks and troughs.

  11. “Just some balance to the reasonable farewells to Tim Fischer.

    He was abominable wrt Mabo. His fear mongering was terrible.

    Thankfully, when the Mabo judgement was handed down, Keating and the ALP were in power.”

    ____________

    Unfortunately, Fisher and Howard were in power after Wik and did a hell of a lot of legislative damage in response.

  12. There was a moment in the early 1990s when leading politicians were called on to clarify their experiences with recreational drugs.

    Bill Clinton said he had smoked dope, but didn’t inhale. Alexander Downer said he was held down and marijuana smoke was blown into his face. Carmen Lawrence denied any experience of LSD, until someone found her article in a student newspaper talking up its benefits.

    The whole sorry lot of them wanted voters to know they were familiar with the gear, but weren’t actual druggies, oh no.

    Then Tim Fisher joined in. He said when he got shot in Vietnam, the medicos whacked him up with some morphine and it was incredible.

    I wish I’d kept the article with Fisher’s comments, I doubt I’ve quoted him correctly. Tim Fisher was someone I could admire and disagree with at the same time. A Rare quality these days.

  13. poroti @ #210 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 2:42 pm

    mikehilliard

    Innit lovely to see the bipartisanship 🙁
    ——————————————
    Joel Fitzgibbon joins forces with Craig Kelly to spruik coal

    The Parliamentary Friends of Australian Coal Exports ……….I accepted a Craig Kelly’s invitation to be co-chair of the friendship group.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/joel-fitzgibbon-joins-forces-with-craig-kelly-to-spruik-coal/news-story/c9bdcbda7dc738808723ba949932b0e3

    We need a Green balance of power to stop idiocy like this in it’s tracks.

  14. COAL
    And Now the Really Big Coal Plants Begin to Close.America’s mega-emitters are starting to close

    The Navajo Generating Station isn’t alone. It’s among a new wave of super-polluters headed for the scrap heap. ………”It’s just the economics keep moving in a direction that favors natural gas and renewables. Five years ago, it was about the older coal plants becoming uneconomic,” said Dan Bakal, senior director of electric power at Ceres, which works with businesses to transition to clean energy. “Now, it’s becoming about every coal unit, and it’s a question of how long they can survive.”

    Changes on the demand side will reduce the consumption of coal. Demand for energy is being met by substitutes. The supply of coal will fall as a result.

    This is the inverse of the politically-driven calls in Australia, which aim to reduce the supply of coal without reference to changes in demand. The single best way to achieve the elimination of coal as a fuel is to find and use substitutes. Labor are doing that. But you’d never know it. The outrageous political exploitation of coal miners by the Lib-kin obscures the efforts Labor is making to change the composition of energy production.

    The Lib-kin are on the same page as Margaret Thatcher as exponents of the politically-inspired exploitation and vilification of workers.

  15. Jeff Sparrow – Queensland Labor gearing up to criminalise activism is only a taste of the kind of intimidation that’s likely to come

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/aug/22/australias-climate-change-inaction-is-now-bipartisan-protest-is-all-we-have-left

    Annastacia Palaszczuk also seems to have been inspired by the events of 1971. But not, unfortunately, by the protesters.

    Her speech on Tuesday attacking climate activists echoed all the arguments made to justify the repression unleashed against Beattie and Goss and their comrades.

    In 1971, Premier Bjelke-Petersen also explained that police needed more powers “in the face of the threat of real violence and defiance of law and order with subsequent dangers to life and property.”

    On Twitter, Palaszczuk posted an image denouncing “extremist protesters”.

    “Blocking roads is dangerous, reckless, irresponsible, selfish and stupid,” she tweeted. “The sinister tactics some protesters are using are dangerous and designed to harm.”

    Any sizeable rally or strike – from the Vietnam moratorium to the Change the Rules marches – blocks roads.

    The Bjelke-Petersen government gave exactly the same justification for criminalising protests. The anti-Springbok marches disrupted law-abiding citizens, he said.
    :::
    Federally, Labor MPs have rushed to join Craig Kelly’s Parliamentary Friends of Coal group, while Penny Wong has told Insiders that her party doesn’t support shutting down the coal industry in Australia.

    Wong’s statement was applauded by Ian Macfarlane, the former resources minister now working as a lobbyist for Queensland mining.

    “Penny is a very pragmatic person”, he said. “Anthony Albanese should be congratulated for aligning Labor on this and taking a bipartisan approach with the Coalition.”
    :::
    Her plan to criminalise protest isn’t simply a manifestation of old-fashioned Queensland conservatism.

    It’s a taste of the future.

    All over the world, the governments that refuse to act on the climate catastrophe are gearing up to fight the environmental rebellion they recognise as inevitable.

    Jeff Sparrow must also be of the “pop left” .

  16. Looks like Jones’ days on Macquarie radio are numbered:

    Macquarie could ‘survive the loss’ of Alan Jones: Nine CEO Hugh Marks

    Nine Entertainment Co chief executive Hugh Marks says Macquarie Media can prosper without 2GB’s under fire presenter Alan Jones (Nine/Fairfax headline)

  17. What kind of state values a freeway’s heritage above the heritage of our oldest living culture?

    https://theconversation.com/what-kind-of-state-values-a-freeways-heritage-above-the-heritage-of-our-oldest-living-culture-122195

    The Victorian government has announced it is seeking heritage listing for parts of the Eastern Freeway in Melbourne. We heard this news on Wednesday as we sat under a grandfather tree in solidarity with Djab Wurrung people whose cultural heritage is being threatened by the same government.

    A Major Road Projects Victoria proposal to extend the Western Highway will destroy sacred Djab Wurrung trees and places. They have been protecting these trees for more than a year, but faced eviction – from their own Country – by today’s deadline. All this is happening as the government is conducting treaty negotiations across the state.

    What kind of world do we live in when freeways are valued as of greater cultural significance than the practice of the oldest living culture in the world? Threatening to evict Djab Wurrung while proposing heritage status for the Eastern Freeway is a surreal perversion of law, heritage and community value.

    These matters raise important questions about how cultural heritage value is determined and by whom. They also attest to the continued power of roads and transport infrastructure in a climate-changing world.
    :::
    A viable and cheaper route for the Western Highway duplication is available, just as a viable alternative to the Eastern Freeway once existed.

  18. None of the historical examples cited by Sparrow and scrupulously reported by the PegaFox News Service – Fair and Balanced – seem to involve the sort of “Flash Mob” disruption of everyday peak hour traffic and the intendant chaos and dangerous behaviour associated with that.

    If Palaszczuk starts banning groups of 3 or more citizens assembling in public, or organised protest marches and public rallies then get back to me. Otherwise, piss off.

    AS for civil disobedience (like locking ones self to the gate of mine, or chaining yourself to a tree or bull dozer) then I remind you what I said yesterday: the purpose of civil disobedience is to get arrested and prosecuted: if protestors in this country were fair dinkum then they’d insist on being arrested and prosecuted to the letter of the law, but no: feckless Petite bourgeoisie attention seekers is what we at the moment have instead of Gandhis.

  19. The roads are not a safe place for protests. Dissenters can find other places to make their point. There is no prohibition of that. It’s false to say the protests have been criminalised. They haven’t. But that won’t stop the Lib-kin. They will say whatever they like. They’re Trumpy.

  20. Bancroft, Siddle, Smith out
    Harris, Pattison, Labuschagne in
    (According to DT)

    Bancroft just needed a few more test series and he was set.

    With that 12, make Paine 12th man, Wade to keep and have Cummins, Pattinson, Hazelwood and Stark all bowling.

    You KNOW it makes sense.

  21. AE

    Your right-wing rationalisations are a sight to behold.

    I would never be so uncivil as to tell you to “piss off”because I recognise your right to express your opinions, no matter how emotively and aggressively put they might be.

  22. The roads are not a safe place for protests. Dissenters can find other places to make their point. There is no prohibition of that. It’s false to say the protests have been criminalised. They haven’t. But that won’t stop the Lib-kin. They will say whatever they like. They’re Trumpy.

    I find Labor and other Labor members so supportive of this authoritarian overkill traitors without any understanding of the Labor history. Protest isn’t meant to be safe it is meant to oppose and stop injustice.

    If people feel that climate catastrophe is important enough to put their lives at risk and stop major roads good on them. Personally I don’t, but maybe I’m the one in the wrong.

    It isn’t like Libs, Labor or the Greens are going to hit upon a a solution or action plan anytime soon. You want to be a facist and support that, then frankly you already have the govt you deserve and you are losing rights and freedoms just a little bit more slowly than you deserve.

    The Queensland ALP Govt is a disgrace, much more like the corrupt Sir Joh government than an honorable Labor Govt.

  23. Queensland Council of Civil Liberties:

    https://westender.com.au/queensland-council-of-civil-liberties-calls-for-a-calm-and-considered-approach-to-protests/

    The QCCL says it is their view that protesters should comply with the law and apply for permits to protest. However, they add that the penalties for those who protest illegally should reflect the fact that there is a right to dissent in this country.

    Details of the Premier‘s proposed legislation to increase police powers are still to come.

    “We are always concerned,“ said Mr Cope “about proposals for increased police powers. The first test the government has to pass is to establish that there is not already sufficient power to deal with the problem.”

    Relevantly, the QCCL says, the police already have a power to search a person when they reasonably suspect that the person has something the person intends to use to cause harm to himself, herself or someone else.

    The QCCL questions why this power is not adequate to deal with the issue described by the Premier.

    “Every time we give police new powers that are not necessary we chip away at our liberty,” Mr Cope said.

  24. WeWantPaul also doesn’t seem to have got the memo outlining the massive investment in Renewable Energy by the Palacsjuk government. I thought that’s what Lefties wanted? Not possible, guys, from Opposition. Where The Greens perpetually locate themselves. The opposition to the Opposition! 😆

  25. Simon Katich says:
    Thursday, August 22, 2019 at 3:44 pm
    The roads are not a safe place for protests.
    Certainly not safe for lib-kin if briefly is driving the streets.

    SK, yesterday another bludger made a similar remark, their point and yours being that I might try to run down someone on the road. This is an appalling imputation to make. In my case, it is desolating. One of my brothers was killed on the road. One of my sisters-in-law was killed in a hit and run incident as a teenager. One of my nephews just recently barely survived a crash that has left him with permanent injuries. I have attended at the scene of three fatal road accidents during my life.

    The roads are not safe places. This is not a political point. It’s a statement of fact.

    The Lib-kin are willing to place themselves and others in danger so they can make their idiotic statements. They should be curbed against this. The lives of people are not theirs to play with.

  26. Workers and Labor unions have a strong proud history, not just of shutting down roads but of shutting down whole cities and countries when the injustices they are fighting make it necessary.

    With the current science on climate catastrophe there is a pretty strong argument they would be doing the right thing shutting down the whole global economy. But no lets criminalise any protest, except the good ones that do what they are told in a quiet corner so noone notices. FMD you’d have to be a moron and fascist to support that.

  27. And you’d have to be a moron to be jumping the gun and getting all hot under the collar about this:

    Details of the Premier‘s proposed legislation to increase police powers are still to come.

  28. Doesn’t the Australian Labor Party’s national platform include an objective of “democratic socialism” ? Though iirc moves were made relatively recently to expunge the term from its manifesto as democratic socialism has not been reflected in the party’s policies for decades.

  29. C@tmomma (Block)
    Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 1:55 pm
    Comment #233
    WeWantPaul also doesn’t seem to have got the memo outlining the massive investment in Renewable Energy by the Palacsjuk government.

    I certainly didn’t get the memo that explained being a fascist is ok if you invest in renewable energy.

    Even putting aside that absurdity a link to this massive renewable energy investment record you talk of would be useful. What is Qld in renewables 40%? 50%? Or more?
    And it isn’t like they have been supporting the indian coal industry. No wait they have.

  30. WWP
    A lot of Labor fans would be urging the HK to use more violence against the democracy protesters if Queenland were HK. Labor has always had a strong authoritarian streak.

  31. I have trouble with the ‘safety’ justification for restricting the right to publically demonstrate.

    If governments were seriously concerned about people’s safety they’d start publishing warnings about particulate pollution and which days to stay inside if you suffer lung dysfunction.
    But they wont because people would ask why, and might find out the causes (like diesel trucks and buses, uncovered coal trains passing through suburbs, …..oh, and power stations).
    The only safety politicians worry about is for their own sorry arses.

  32. Wewantpaul …there is nothing fascist about protecting people on the roads.

    The Lib-kin have got what the want….a semi-permanent icon-issue around which the can agitate for political advantage. They will do it. They will never rest. They could not give two hoots if people get hurt in the process. The Queensland Government is bound to try to protect road users, even the fools that place themselves in danger and who likewise will have to be attended by the police by ambos and health workers.

    These people can protest somewhere else. There’s nothing to prevent it.

  33. WeWantPaul @ #240 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 4:05 pm

    C@tmomma (Block)
    Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 1:55 pm
    Comment #233
    WeWantPaul also doesn’t seem to have got the memo outlining the massive investment in Renewable Energy by the Palacsjuk government.

    I certainly didn’t get the memo that explained being a fascist is ok if you invest in renewable energy.

    Even putting aside that absurdity a link to this massive renewable energy investment record you talk of would be useful. What is Qld in renewables 40%? 50%? Or more?
    And it isn’t like they have been supporting the indian coal industry. No wait they have.

    Oh, you love throwing around emotive, but completely unsubstantiated, accusations like ‘fascist’, don’t you WeWantPaul? Lol.

    You wanted links? I do hope you respect the Renew Economy website more than you seem to respect my say so:

    https://reneweconomy.com.au/queensland-chooses-maia-schweizer-to-head-new-cleanco-generator-38570/

    The Queensland government have also announced this:

    http://statements.qld.gov.au/Statement/2019/7/9/funding-to-flow-towards-new-pipeline-of-queensland-hydrogen-projects

    Satisfied?

    Probably not.

  34. WeWantPaul @ #235 Thursday, August 22nd, 2019 – 3:59 pm

    Workers and Labor unions have a strong proud history, not just of shutting down roads but of shutting down whole cities and countries when the injustices they are fighting make it necessary.

    With the current science on climate catastrophe there is a pretty strong argument they would be doing the right thing shutting down the whole global economy. But no lets criminalise any protest, except the good ones that do what they are told in a quiet corner so noone notices. FMD you’d have to be a moron and fascist to support that.

    Yes, the ‘argument’ that we are just introducing these laws because it’s unsafe to protest on the roads, is puerile at best. A bit like the current govt and RWNJs in general trying to tell us that they are introducing mandatory offshore detention to stop drownings at sea.

    Fascists of whatever political stripe don’t give a fuck about such niceties.

  35. C@tmomma says:
    Thursday, August 22, 2019 at 4:01 pm
    And you’d have to be a moron to be jumping the gun and getting all hot under the collar about this:

    Details of the Premier‘s proposed legislation to increase police powers are still to come.

    C@t, I’m sure you are familiar with the political technique with contentious legislation
    “Run it up the flag pole and see who salutes”

  36. C@t
    Queensland gets less than 10% of its power from renewable energy. This from the state that whines incessantly about the GBR needing to be protected.

  37. SK, yesterday another bludger made a similar remark, their point and yours being that I might try to run down someone on the road. This is an appalling imputation to make.

    Steady on fella. I had no intention of bringing up bad memories of your loss. I also did not intend to suggest you would run people over – I see you more of a window down fist shaking, swearing, strong dressing down type of drive by.

    Now, it is highly dubious (although often attempted to be codified) that roads are for the sole purpose of cars to be driven along at speed. A road is ofcourse a thoroughfare. A means of getting from one place to another without trespassing; Be it by shanks, bicycle, unicycle, horse, scooter, donkey, pig or other such modes. In practice, with limited other options, they are public spaces often used for alfresco dining, gatherings, pageants… and yes…. protest. Protesters have used roads as a last ditch effort for desperate change for many decades if not much longer. Perhaps you remember a man protesting on a road in front of a tank.

    Jonathan Pie recently had a take on it. I warn you, he swears a bit.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obFNcN0Zc7k

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