Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

After a Victorian election result decided entirely on state issues, a poll shows the Coalition doing every bit as badly at federal level.

A weekend to forget for the Coalition has been compounded by Newspoll’s finding that its federal operation is down yet another point, putting Labor’s lead at 55-45. Its primary vote is down a point to 34%, the equal lowest since the 2016 election, while Labor is steady on 40%, the Greens are unchanged on 9% and One Nation are up two to 6%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is down slightly, from 43-35 to 42-36. Nonetheless, Scott Morrison’s personal ratings have improved since a fortnight ago, with approval up four to 43% and disapproval down five to 42%, while Bill Shorten is up two to 37% and steady on 50%. The poll will have been conducted Thursday to Sunday and the sample around 1700, although it’s not specified in the online report.

UPDATE: The sample size was 1717.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,597 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. Here in Boganville we’ve had a spate of deaths and injuries in my realm. A work colleague died after a very aggressive cancer: one week after it was discovered in his prostate (not prostate cancer), it had travelled to his brain. He died suddenly on the weekend.

    Last week another colleague had a heart attack and has had to have stents. He’s off work for 3 months.

    Another colleague’s husband died suddenly of a heart attack last week. And one of my staff lost her dad not last week but the week before.

  2. Speaking of train crashes…

    This is the train crash at Berresfield station. One coal train plowed into the back of another. No one was hurt btw. But its worth mentioning a few things.

    1. The wreckage crossed the passenger track and the platform. Had the passenger train been on that track it would have been a real disaster. But fortunately the passenger train was a couple of minutes late.

    2. I was going to be joining that passenger train at Berresfield station but my “friend” who was giving me a lift to the station was late (as he always was).

    3. This is the reason why Berresfield has such a flash station today.

  3. Late Riser @ #12024 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 6:09 pm

    Interesting read on the ethics of genetic engineering of humans.

    It appears that researchers in China have facilitated the birth of the first “designer baby” – actually babies, twin girls who are supposedly genetically resistant to HIV.

    This is germline editing, meaning their descendants will carry the modifications, and that this opens the door to a new kind of eugenics.

    like those linked with educational attainment

    The claims are unverified at this stage, but the debate just got earnest.

    Late response to LR – but yes, this is CRISPR-CAS9 germline editing, albeit of specific T cell surface receptors, CRC4 and CXCR5. The modified sequences confer resistance to HIV binding and entry, a feature of HIV biology first identified in an Australian blood donor in the early 80s. This work is so far outside proposed international ethical boundaries that it could only be funded by (and for) the sort of plutocrats with no limits and seriously skewed risk benefit assessment.

  4. nath
    Julian Casablancas certainly copped it but if your dad runs the world’s most exclusive modelling agency, sad songs don’t say so much.

  5. I would have thought the risk-benefit of inserting a gene to confer resistance to HIV would have to be dismal unless the mum had an active HIV infection.

  6. but increasing the spending power of a group of people without actually creating jobs in the same process is inflationary

    There is a big difference between paying $35,600 per year to every retiree and paying $35,600 per year to all 20.2 million Australian citizens and permanent migrants aged 15 years and over.

    Proponents of a UBI do not address the inflationary impacts of their seriously crappy idea.

  7. Cud Chewer @ #18561 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 10:43 pm

    Why did they choose that specific gene rhwombat?

    They are the longest established HIV risk modifying genes that do not seem to confer homozygote disadvantage. The specific mutations have been studied for 30 years, and have natural prevalence of 5-10% in most populations – though less in the Han, which is why I’m not surprised that this work was done in the febrile Chinese commercial IVF field.

  8. Anyway Ill put mine out there

    1. Lounge Act
    2. Drain You
    3. Rape Me
    4. Aneurysm
    5. Heart Shaped Box
    6. About a Girl
    7. Scentless Apprentice
    8. Dumb
    9. Territorial Pissings
    10. Stay Away

  9. I could add a few more. And that doesn’t even include the covers they did. Lake of Fire, Where did you sleep last night, the money will roll right in, love buzz, man who sold the world. THey could all be in there.

  10. Diogenes @ #18564 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 10:46 pm

    I would have thought the risk-benefit of inserting a gene to confer resistance to HIV would have to be dismal unless the mum had an active HIV infection.

    It’s not preventing maternal transfer that is the problem – we’ve been able to do that for decades with conventional ART. The issue is with HIV positive fathers: ART does not have nearly as much potency in preventing seminal transfer, and spermatozoa are fragile little zygotes, so “washing” is very inefficient. This work uses CRISPR to modify T cell co-receptors in the embryo(s) during IVF. I’m not surprised that it happened in China, given the potent combination of money, technology and Confucian piety required, but ethically it is Frankenstein territory, as John Shine eloquently summarised in this years Boyer Lectures.

  11. itsthevibe
    Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 11:43 pm
    So not even “Version 2.0” or “White Blood Cells” make the cut? And I thought I was a music snob…
    Yeah. Nah.

  12. itsthevibe
    Meg White couldn’t play the drums. When you’ve only got two instruments playing, even if one is Jacks guitar, they have to be better than that.

  13. Life After Death by The Notorious B.I.G would be up there.

    I got a hundred bricks, 14-5 a piece
    Enough to cop six, by the house on the beach
    Supply the peeps with Jeeps
    Brick a piece
    Everybody gettin’ cream
    No one considered a leech

  14. @Nath: We were making jokes about the Challenger before the pieces hit the water – black comedy is very Australian. Get over yourself, “mate”, and stop being the Wannabe Fun Police.

  15. I’ll give you “Version 2.0” (“You Look So Fine” is up there with more all time favourite songs), but the White Stripes do very little for me, I’m afraid. I do love Jack White’s cover of U2’s “Love is Blindness”, though.

    Funnily enough, Lounge Act and Drain You are probably my two favourite Nirvana songs too.

    Never liked “Mellon Collie and the Infinite Sadness” much. Two excellent tracks (Bullet with the Butterfly Wings and 1979) interspersed between roughly twenty other boring filler cuts.

    As for other great post-In Utero albums, “From the Choirgirl Hotel”, “Mechanical Animals” and “Holy Wood (In the Shadow of the Valley of Death)” would all be on my list – the last one arguable being one of the greatest works of biting political and cultural satire ever delivered through the medium of music, and more relevant than ever nearly twenty years later, even if it has a few too many filler tracks.

  16. Nath@9:30
    If the caption nikkihad said How not to run a railway” would you still have your confected outrage? Or are you really a concern troll?

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