We’re in an off-week for federal opinion polling, although we may get geographic and demographic breakdowns from Newspoll – the leadership change had broken up their usual schedule of quarterly publication, and they have already published the results from the end of the Turnbull epoch. So here’s a summary of preselection news. Note the post below on the Wentworth by-election, and the one below that on the US mid-terms, courtesy of Adrian Beaumont.
• After successful lobbying from Scott Morrison, Peter Dutton and Mathias Cormann, Richard Colbeck will head the Tasmanian Liberal Senate ticket. Earlier reports indicated he would again be dumped, as he was in 2016 – initially costing him his seat, before he won it back on the countback that resulted from Stephen Parry’s Section 44-related disqualification. Claire Chandler, a conservative backed by Eric Abetz, is number two, with Hobart councillor Tanya Denison number three. The presence of two women on the ticket makes a change from the usual form of the state party, which last had a woman in federal parliament in 2002. Those who missed out included Brett Whiteley, who held Braddon from 2013 to 2016 and failed to win it back in the Super Saturday by-election, and Wendy Summers, political staffer and the sister of David Bushby.
• Tasmanian Labor, on the other hand, has persisted in dumping Senator Lisa Singh to number four, despite her historic success in having below-the-line voters overturn her demotion in 2016. This reflects the party’s persistence in favouring the claim of John Short, state secretary of the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union, who will be number three. The top two positions go to incumbents of the Left and Right, Carol Brown and Catryna Bilyk.
• Ann Sudmalis’s retirement in the dicey New South Wales seat of Gilmore leaves in the field her prospective preselection challenger, Grant Schultz, a real estate agent and the son of former Hume MP Alby Schultz. However, Mark Kenny of Fairfax reports “the moderate faction of the Liberal Party believes it can retain its hold on the seat and find a replacement for Ms Sudmalis”.
• Chris O’Keefe of Nine News reports Hughes MP Craig Kelly has been approached to run in the marginal state seat of East Hills, to smooth over his likely preselection defeat in his existing seat at the hands of Kent Johns. Kelly appeared to scupper his chances when he suggested forgiving Russia for the MH17 disaster was “the price we have to pay” for “good relations going forward”.
• Perin Davey, a Riverina water policy specialist, has won preselection to succeed the retiring John “Wacka” Williams as the Nationals’ New South Wales Senate candidate. The existing coalition agreement gives the Nationals the difficult third position on the ticket, but Joe Kelly of The Australian reports the party is considering breaking away to run its own ticket. To this end it has chosen a full slate of four candidates, rounded out by “small business owner Sam Farraway, Gunnedah Mayor Jamie Chaffey and Wagga-based farmer Paul Cocking”.
• Skye Kakoschke-Moore has been confirmed as the lead South Australian Senate candidate for the Centre Alliance, confirming that Nick Xenophon will stand by the pledge he made at the time of his failed run for state parliament that he would not run at the federal election.
”
Andrew_Earlwood says:
Monday, October 1, 2018 at 9:32 am
Truffles claiming that his government was only 51-49 behind in the published polls when he got the chop (I thought Essential at least, maybe another had the 2PP coming back up to 52-48 to Labor, but anyways) AND 4 points ahead in private tracking polling of 40 marginal seats. Hmmmn. … I wonder whether that tracking polling was provided by the same outfit that was advising Lucien that Longman and Braddon would be a true test of leadership and the pressure was on Bill Shorten?
”
Must be
This is how MT duped the progressives for a long time and still does in MSM. Other than Murdoch press, who cast him as a villain after he lost PMship, other MSM notables did not criticise MT even after ABC fiasco with MT’s dirty fingers all over it.
Mundo, Joe O’Brien certainly wouldn’t be the recipient of any complaints from the coalition.
Observer
From a while back.
I still think the People’s Bank is good idea.
I just think it can live alongside the Six Pillars policy.
Of course with that period we also had proper credit unions as an alternative that have now largely disappeared for the reasons you outline about the destruction of the Keating era regulations around the financial industry.
We must not overlook the blame for Costello. However I think having the government guarantee the alternative to the LNP Banks must have shareholders is a must. I think a people’s bank is the best way to do this and avoid the risks associated with credit unions and the like for those that want that government security of their savings.
LU not logged in says:
Monday, October 1, 2018 at 8:55 am
Thanks, BK.
On this one: https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/sun-shines-on-csiro-s-cheap-hydrogen-industry-20180928-p506px.html
…little birdy tells me there is more biggish news coming out this week on solar-to-hydrogen. Stay tuned!
_______________________
One of the biggest challenges to the use of hydrogen gas as a fuel in vehicles is that the rotten stuff escapes – it is such a small molecule that, as a gas, it can skinny its way through any apparently solid material.
http://www.fsec.ucf.edu/en/consumer/hydrogen/basics/storage.htm
In addition, there is energy required to compress that gas.
Technologies such as storing it as a liquid are not a goer for the family runabout, probably, and no good method of storing it as a comixture/compound with a solid component seems to have been invented yet.
Wow Morrison is connected to Reefgate!!!!!!
Exclusive: Morrison set reef grant terms. – Australian Conservation Foundation chief Geoff Cousins has called it a bit of accounting “trickery”. https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2018/09/29/exclusive-morrison-set-reef-grant-terms/15381432006927
A proposal for a ‘new rule” . Anyone who expresses an ambition to be PM when young or who is told they are are a future PM when young should be banned from becoming the PM.We’ll call it the Rudd-Abbott-Turnbull rule.
I didn’t think it were possible, but the SMH website has plunged even further downmarket since the neign takeover.
Mostly a waste of time.
Ven,
I agree with you about Lisa Singh. However, at the end of the day politics is tribal.
Watching Survivor Australia at the moment is teaching me that about life in general. 🙂
Yes guytaur, but you’d be unlikely to discover that morsel elswhere in the media.
don
Not so hard would be for a PV site to store excess ‘electricity’ as hydrogen and then use it to produce electricity at night or peak demand periods.
guytaur @ #57 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 6:56 am
Der, $440 billion doesn’t get paid out without the Treasurer being involved!
”
Barney in Go Dau says:
Monday, October 1, 2018 at 9:46 am
I agree, not selecting Singh again for a winnable position seems stupid, but fail to see any connection with Husar.
”
Husar won a difficult Marginal Federal seat from LNP in the first place like Singh(after which Shorten went around NSW calling how great NSW fortress is. it became a sort of fortress only because of people like Husas won their seats & not because of union hacks like John Short). Some NSW ALP insiders released pornographic description of her to press and destroyed her career and made it very difficult her to win. Lisa & Emma are not connected to any powerful faction & were very easily disposed.
Damn it Lisa Singh is a sitting Senator & did a good job. Show me one thing that she did bad when compared to 18 Senators with Union background. John Short other than sharing same surname with Shorten does not rate much outside Tasmanian Union circles.
guytaur:
David Morrison came in for a good deal of flak for that clip. He was spot on, but in a very blokey outfit – the ADF – it didn’t go down well in some quarters. He was also criticised when awarded the Australian of the year. Incidentally Morrison’s speech was written by then Lt. Col. Catherine “Cate” McGregor, now a regular Fairfax contributor.
http://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/pm/criticism-of-david-morrisons-australian-of-the/7126260
Aunt Mavis
Yes. Great work by McGregor. Even as she learns and grows. She has been a pioneer in the armed services and deserves credit for that as does Morrison for backing her and the process and making it crystal clear with that speech.
adrian
Mordor Media’s The Australian has it.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/scott-morrison-the-buck-stops-with-me-on-443m-reef-grant/news-story/07233bbc0d027f1c2adad8920cf1c2d0
Stop press: Trump and Kim have fallen in love. I wish them a long and loving relationship:
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/tough-talk-and-then-we-fell-in-love-trump-says-of-kim-20181001-p5071n.html
Ven @ #64 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 7:02 am
So!
Husar’s situation would be no different if she was a member of a faction and an opposing faction had acted in the same way.
Certainly Singh’s position can be explained by a lack of factional support. As popular as she seems to be with the voters it doesn’t seem she has much support within federal Labor.
I haven’t heard any of her colleagues speak up in her defence.
@GeoffRBennett tweets
A source familiar confirms to NBC News that Deborah Ramirez spoke with the FBI today as part of its Brett Kavanaugh investigation. The source says Ramirez provided the FBI with a list of witnesses whom she says corroborate her claim.
@ColinHanks tweets
No they didn’t. They gave him a third song at the end of the show, then he began mansplaing. And we’re not terrified of your ideas. We are sick of them. You know whose is terrified of “other” ideas? The old white men clinging to power. https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1046459394513358848
@charliekirk11 tweets
The left is terrified of other ideas
They quickly cut off Kanye West last night on SNL during his pro-Trump monologue
Kanye alongside the great @RealCandaceO have started a cultural revolution that will break the back of the Democrat party as we know it
Cannot be stopped
Barney in Go Dau @ #61 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 10:01 am
Yep, and note that Moorrison spruiked that it was “urgent”, in another of his double fork tongued blather, implying the reef was in urgent need (which it is, but not of this ill conceived private funding largesse) when the urgency was driven by the imminent listing of the reef on the endangered list, a nasty benchmark of which they were supremely worthy.
LU not logged in @ #29 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 8:55 am
Hmmm. This is how this article starts …
Sounds great, right? Real fair dinkum fuel made from ridgy-didge “Australian sunshine”?
Well, hydrogen may indeed be a “fuel of the future” (if we survive that long!) but the more you read, the more you realize that this article just doesn’t make much sense …
All you need to produce hydrogen locally is water and sunshine, right? So sure, we can export the technology and expertise, but exporting the hydrogen itself? Why would anyone bother exporting hydrogen from Australia, when there are so many other places available worldwide that have the basic raw materials, and where it can be produced both more cheaply and much closer to where it is to be consumed?
Is our sunshine so much better just because it is True-Blue Aussie sunshine? Well, not exactly.
You have to read this article closely, and also follow several of the links to other articles (and then follow the links in those articles), to realize that they are not really talking about making hydrogen just from water and “Australian sunshine”. No, the CSIRO’s recently released “hydrogen blueprint” is – at least initially – to make the hydrogen from brown coal and natural gas. But not only does doing so generate C02 (so what’s the point?) it also requires new and as yet untested-at-scale technologies, plus lots of government investment and subsidies.
But hey – it’s all as Australian as Football and Meat Pies!
She’ll be right, Cobber! 🙁
Kanye West is nuts and is proving it with increasing regularity.
Cat
Yes and as usual NBC news is right and Donald Trump is wrong about the FBI 🙂
Good morning all.
A maths problem.
Suppose citizen A (not his real name), in 2012 gets out of bed regularly each morning at or about 6. A.M.
Then, 6 years later, consistently gets out of bed at or about 9 A.M.
Question – how long until this specimen of deteriorating out and about time never gets out of bed at all ❓
******************
A belated thank you to BK for your Dawn Patrol. 🙏 😇
This outline of the Right Wing media universe’s reaction to the accusers of Brett Kavanaugh is truly disturbing. They just make nasty crap up and spread it everywhere in a pathetic attempt to smear good people with it:
From Media Matters for America.
ItzaDream @ #72 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 7:21 am
And if all the money was so urgent, why is it to cover grants over a number of years and not just this year? 🙂
Lol.
Aunt Mavis @ #63 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 10:07 am
A fascinating transgender woman, who sent her Australian of the Year award back.
(I recall Patrick White declined his “seductive bauble”, a knighthood I think.)
Nine News Australia
Verified account @9NewsAUS
3h3 hours ago
“Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott… these people are like miserable ghosts.” Malcolm Turnbull has unleashed on his former colleagues in a 9 News exclusive recording. #9News
Barney in Go Dau @ #76 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 10:26 am
And not given over the number of years – because, as we were saying …
Talk about blowing in the wind.
guytaur says:
Monday, October 1, 2018 at 9:53 am
Observer
From a while back.
I still think the People’s Bank is good idea.
What do you mean by a People’s Bank?
We must….avoid the risks associated with credit unions and the like for those that want that government security of their savings.
Retail banking deposits up to (I think) $200k are already guaranteed by the Commonwealth.
At a certain level, the entire banking system is already a “people’s bank” in that all the offshore wholesale liabilities of the large banks are guaranteed by the Commonwealth. The banking system operates as one enormous housing-driven ponzi underwritten by taxpayers. This has not prevented the system being thoroughly corrupted.
DG suggested a state-owned bank would be confined to providing car and other small personal loans, and act as a savings bank. This is the tiniest fraction of the banking sector. What would be the point? What significant difference to banking would this make?
If the People’s Bank were to be colossus, for sure the LNP would try to coerce it to support for its favourites. The very last thing we should have is a bank that does what politicians demand. We have enough problems with corruption already.
There is a romantic attachment to a “people’s bank”, but no-one can say what this would be like, what it would do, how it would differ from other banks. The actual reality is there are already dozens of organisations other than the big-4 that provide financial services. If you really want a people’s bank, try ME Bank. It certainly belongs to the people and is not an instrument of the LNP.
ItzaDream @ #83 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 7:34 am
And not through the normal public agencies that ARE established to handle such grants!
Briefly
People’s Bank. As done in NZ.
No fantasy. Actual Labour party implementation. All the issues you ask questions about addressed.
No corruption currying favour with politicians with that unless you know something the rest of us don’t!!!
AE:
Perhaps he used the same polling company as his old friend Peter King?
C@t
Revolting stuff.
Meanwhile, over in ‘The Australian’, Kelly wonders whether democracy may be dying…
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/inquirer/democracy-faces-its-final-crisis/news-story/84162426ca60916c7c86f18e9ef1f1ce
Not at all like Malcolm Turnbull, who has just retired gracefully and disappeared from the public eye, definitely not taking part in any bitter interviews or popping up every few days to offer helpful advice on the liked of Peter Dutton and the Wentworth preselection.
For those that still don’t understand about Kavanaugh and are defending him. Watch this.
4 areas FBI should be allowed to probe for fair investigation on Ford: 1) Judge 2) people at house where attack occurred start with 7/1 calendar entry 3) corroborating witnesses for Ford (friends she told, therapist, husband), 4) HS & college peers about drinking @Lawrence https://twitter.com/Mimirocah1/status/1046559113289879552/video/1
Boerwar,
Revolting is the word because you just learn by reading about it, how totally putrid is the swamp that Trump and his cronies and cult followers swim in. No low is too low for them to stoop down to.
Boerwar @ #89 Monday, October 1st, 2018 – 7:45 am
If Democracy is dying then it’s mainly as a result of a splintering Right that is becoming more unable to provide a rational stable alternative. 🙂
Aunt Mavis says: Monday, October 1, 2018 at 10:13 am
Stop press: Trump and Kim have fallen in love. I wish them a long and loving relationship:
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/tough-talk-and-then-we-fell-in-love-trump-says-of-kim-20181001-p5071n.html
**************************************************************
AE:
Don’t Supreme Court judges only leave office when they die?
I mostly agree with this – the US is way behind in a lot of areas that we take for granted over here – though I think it should all be done with the utmost care and precision to ensure a flood of reforms don’t have an adverse effect on the economy or spook the punters too much.
@Ap_Politics tweets
FBI interviews accuser; Yale friend remembers heavy drinker.
By @mikebalsamo1 and @dsupervilleAP.
http://apne.ws/bPXaS5P
Just in case you thought it was just NBC news onto this.
ItzaDream:
[‘A fascinating transgender woman, who sent her Australian of the Year award back.’]
Agree, though she’s a little too conservative at times for my liking. She was, however, very brave to serve in the ADF as a transgender woman.
As for Patrick White, he joins a long list of those who’ve declined British honours:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_who_have_declined_a_British_honour
David Marler
@Qldaah
10s10 seconds ago
Fred Denile: Nile doesn’t mind parliamentary staff working through their lunch break or staying back to work on his “Family World News” project. #nswpol
From time to time Coalition Prime Ministers and their Treasurers lie to the Australian people by saying the GST formula can only be changed with the agreement of the States – because, fundamentally, that is what John Howard and Peter Costello said so.
The current PM and former Treasurer, the Liar from the Shire, has said as much in both his roles.
When others have pointed out that the GST is a Commonwealth Tax under Federal legislation, which could be changed by the Federal Government if they could get Parliament to agree – and the Intra Governmental Agreement with the States is a gentleman’s agreement, subject to the Commonwealth, Morrison and his ATM predecessors have poo pooed such facts, and rinsed and repeated the ‘all States have to agree’ or ‘its a State Tax’ lies.
So staring a wipeout election, what does Scotty do? Backflip, and foreshadow Federal legislation to change the formula – and as he knows, the States don’t have any resource other than whinge.
“PRIME Minister Scott Morrison will seek to lock in GST reforms through legislation within weeks that will deliver $7.2 billion in “top ups” to the states as the Coalition seeks to avoid an electoral wipe out in key seats.
In a backflip on his stance earlier this year that there is “no need” to legislate changes to the GST distribution formula, the Prime Minister will announce his intention to legislate the reforms when he visits West Australia today.
The move will boost the Coalition’s chances of saving key seats in the state at the next election, including Attorney-General Christian Porter’s seat of Pearce in Perth’s northern suburbs.
Under the new GST formula, no state will receive less than 70 cents per person per dollar of GST by 2022.
The floor will then rise to 75 cents from 2024-25.
It will come with $7.2 billion in extra GST payments over eight years from the federal government to ensure no state is worse off as the changes are introduced.
Mr Morrison declared there was “no need” to legislate the changes when he announced the reforms as Treasurer in July as it could be introduced with an intergovernmental agreement between the Commonwealth and the states.
Today, the Prime Minister told The West Australian the legislation would prevent the GST system becoming a “political football” between the major parties, and between the federal and state governments.
Treasurer Josh Frydenberg also defended the decision to legislate the changes this morning, saying they were necessary to ensure the system stays fit for purpose over coming decades.
“It’s very clear that the current system’s not sustainable,” Mr Frydenberg told Sky News, adding that WA was getting a “pretty raw deal” under the current system.
C@t:
I think that has been obvious for a long time now.
Barney
Yes its only an end to democracy when the right is the side that is splitting. No problem when the Left became the Greens The DLP the Democrats etc.!!
Is this a sign of things to come in the Huon & other Tasmanian estuaries?
https://www.thenation.com/article/the-eco-disastrous-salmon/
How can there be an extra $7.2bn for the GST pie?
I thought that it was entirely based on GST tax levied at the POS, in which case there is no extra moolah; unless of course the tax rate goes up from 10% to whatever brings in the extra dosh.