The second Newspoll of the Scott Morrison era is no better for the Coalition than the first, with Labor maintaining its 56-44 lead. As reported in The Australian, both major parties are up a point on the primary vote, Labor to 42% and the Coalition to 34%. The minor party primary votes are still to come (UPDATE: Greens steady on 10%, One Nation down one to 6%). Newspoll skipped the personal ratings questions a fortnight ago, so its results this week are the first ever for Morrison, and the first in four weeks for Bill Shorten. Morrison is on 41% approval and 39% disapproval, while Shorten is up five on approval to 37% and down five on disapproval to 51%. However, Shorten has not replicated the 39-33 lead he recorded on preferred prime minister in the immediate wake of the leadership change, and now trails 42-36. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1653.
Nice.
Wow on primaries
ALP 42 (+1)
L/NP 34 (+1)
Steady as she goes?
How could Scott Morrison get any wear near PPM?
People voting for the party, not the personnel.
#Newspoll Preferred PM: Morrison 42 (+9) Shorten 36 (-3) #auspol
ScoMo prayers answered
Sky trying to build Morriso.
This poll puts a final nail in the coffin of PPM.
Vanessa Muller @ #4 Sunday, September 9th, 2018 – 9:37 pm
It’s a plea for stability?
ScoMo is like Moses, will lead the L/NP children of Israel to the promised land of endless terms on the treasury benches.
What I find most amusing is that when Turnbull was getting the 49-51’s, there were several articles in The Australian saying words to the effect of “One year out from every change of government in 2012, 2006, 1995 etc that the Opposition had a much bigger lead than this, and therefore Labor is not as likely to win as many believe”
Cue Abbott and Dutton and Morrison – they have now achieved that bigger lead for Labor!
And it’s 40 in a row.
AR – Yep, I think it’s a plea for stability, just like some of Malcolm’s PPM numbers were.
How long until the libs revive “the narrowing” theory from a few elections ago…
Okay so we bombed out on the 2PP but yeesh, those primary vote results! Lib vote has tanked.
56-44 at election would be the biggest landslide in history of Fed I think.
Newspoll 2PP losses
Abbott 30
Turnbull 38
Morrison 2
Morrison 42 (+9) Shorten 36 (-3 )
All that proves is how useless PPM is as a measure of anything.
The Drovers Dog would get 30 points just being on the ballot
SkyFoxNews is leading with a BREAKING…
#BREAKING: The latest Newspoll shows @ScottMorrisonMP leads as preferred Prime Minister over @billshortenmp 42 per cent to 36.
Re PPM, the people of Australia are on their knees saying: for godsakes, not Dutton or Tones.
I’ll take it.
That primary vote is the most telling statistic of all. PPM totally irrelevant.34% is hideous and terminal for the Libs. Lib TV can spin it all they want.They’re fucked.
Labor scored 58-42 in 1943 election after the “Liberals'” predecessor the United Australia Party fell apart.
Will Murdoch send out his paparazzi types to confront Turnbull in NY and demand that he apologise for the Newspoll numbers?
The ABC couldn’t bring themselves to give the actual value. Pathetic.
The odds of a May election – which were pretty strong to start with – just got a bit shorter. In fact, the idea of separate Senate and House elections with the latter in the second half of 2019 might not be as far-fetched as it once seemed.
sprocket_ @ #16 Sunday, September 9th, 2018 – 7:43 pm
Rex will be ecstatic.
Late Riser
Average: ALP 55.5 to 44.5 LNP
Median: ALP 55 to 45 LNP
Respondents: 44
———-
57 / 43 A different Michael
60 / 40 adrian
54 / 46 a r
58 / 42 Akubra
58 / 42 Al Pal
57 / 43 Andrew_Earlwood
62 / 38 antonbruckner11
57 / 43 Asha Leu
55 / 45 Aunt Mavis
66.6 / 33.4 Barney in Go Dau
55 / 45 BK
1 / 99 Boerwar
58 / 42 briefly
53 / 47 C@tmomma
54 / 46 Confessions
99 / 1 Dan Gulberry
60 / 40 Dave
56 / 44 Davidwh
57 / 43 d-money
57 / 43 Fulvio Sammut
60 / 40 Gecko
53 / 47 guytaur
56 / 44 Harry “Snapper” Organs
53 / 47 Ides of March.not logged in
53 / 47 imacca
53 / 47 jenauthor
53 / 47 Kevjohnno
53 / 47 Late Riser
52 / 48 ltep
55 / 45 LU not logged in
54 / 46 Lynchpin
56 / 44 Matt31
59 / 41 nath
55 / 45 poroti
58 / 42 ratsak
56 / 44 Rocket Rocket
50 / 50 Simon² Katich®
54 / 46 Simon² Katich®
55 / 45 steve davis
55 / 45 Socrates
54 / 46 Sohar
52 / 48 solwolf
54 / 46 Steve777
54.5 / 45.5 The Silver Bodgie
Bragging rights on 56/44 have to go to Matt31 and Davidwh
I am always too scared to make any solid predictions, and cannot remember doing so this time!
sprocket_ @ #17 Sunday, September 9th, 2018 – 9:43 pm
Lot of good that will do him when the 2PP is 56-44.
a r @ #4001 Sunday, September 9th, 2018 – 8:23 pm
Our natural birth rate is already below the level needed to sustain our population. So we need some migration to sustain our present population.
Now, which of us is anti-immigration, and which of us is simply misinformed?
Libs will hang in to April and call an election for May 2019.
Half senate election where a candidate will need 16% (not 8%) will see the loony toons in minority parties gone.
I really did not expect the result to hold from last time. Thought that there would be some changeback to the Libs simply because the panic has died off a bit. Good to see though.
WTF is it going to look like after a couple of weeks in parliamentary rolling clusterfwark and omnishambles?? 🙂
PPM.Ha Ha. They are so desperate its laughable and their credibility is zero by still backing these losers.
This PPM makes me so mad, how can they have a preferred when only one person is the PM and Bill Shorten hasn’t yet become PM, so how do they know how he will go, stupid even having that PPM, but very happy with the PV
Probably front page dead tree Oz tomorrow – massive amounts of lipstick still insufficient for this pig:
Coalition faces wipeout with 40th straight loss
9:35PMSIMON BENSON
Scott Morrison moves ahead of Bill Shorten as preferred PM and is now more popular than Malcolm Turnbull, but the party is in serious trouble. (Oz headline online)
“#BREAKING: The latest Newspoll shows @ScottMorrisonMP leads as preferred Prime Minister over @billshortenmp 42 per cent to 36.”
Shorten obviously has questions to answer…….and is Albo due to make a speech?? 🙂
Sorry missed one
56 / 44 Harry “Snapper” Organs
Observer @ #4002 Sunday, September 9th, 2018 – 8:24 pm
Sorry, I am not uneducated nor are my opinions unsupported.
You, on the other hand …
56-44 – a swing of 6 & 1/2 per cent to ALP would see them pick up 25 seats.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal-redistribution-2018/
Vanessa Muller
Spot on!
40 losses in a row.Wonder how many Morrison will clock up. 2 already that are worse than Turnbull.
Maybe this PPM will encourage the Liberal brains trust and Murdoch to redouble their KillBill strategy, which could be argued is one key plank which put them to this dreadfull,position.
I’m reminded of 2012/13 when we were all convinced that Tony Abbott was unelectable, given amongst other things, his poor PPM performance. But the voters were focussed on the RGR circus tearing the solidarity of the government apart, and responded accordingly.
We now have the ATM Muppet Show, with a new Muppet at the helm.
Vanessa
Kennett I think still led as Preferred Premier in the days after the 1999 Victorian election. When the three Independents were turning against the Coalition and backing Labor, and before there was a special election (in Frankston?) because one of the candidates had died the night before the State election.
IMO opinion polls are not capturing the real anger in regional and rural Australia.
Libs concentrating on Destroy Dutton through leaks.
Kill Bill is so last PM.
Obviously the PV has changed because of Turnbulls ditching. Libspill on the cards again?
There’s going to be some ery worried people on the government benches tomorrow. But, hey, still nine months until the election, plenty of time for Prime Minister Dutton to step in and save the day!
The RWNJs in the Liberal party will only be concerned with the PV and the 56-44 result.They will be mounting another challenge soon I’m sure.
Turnbull was singlehandedly holding the 2PP up. The right was thinking that Turnbull was holding the 2PP down.
The bookies are not buying PPM ScoMo honeymoon.. this from Ladbrokes
FEDERAL ELECTION- SWORN IN GOVERNMENT:
Labor now into $1.28 to win the next federal election.
Coalition now out to $3.25 in our market.