Newspoll: 56-44 to Labor

Newspoll records another miserable result for the Coalition on voting intention, with a small amount of consolation for Scott Morrison on personal ratings.

The second Newspoll of the Scott Morrison era is no better for the Coalition than the first, with Labor maintaining its 56-44 lead. As reported in The Australian, both major parties are up a point on the primary vote, Labor to 42% and the Coalition to 34%. The minor party primary votes are still to come (UPDATE: Greens steady on 10%, One Nation down one to 6%). Newspoll skipped the personal ratings questions a fortnight ago, so its results this week are the first ever for Morrison, and the first in four weeks for Bill Shorten. Morrison is on 41% approval and 39% disapproval, while Shorten is up five on approval to 37% and down five on disapproval to 51%. However, Shorten has not replicated the 39-33 lead he recorded on preferred prime minister in the immediate wake of the leadership change, and now trails 42-36. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1653.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

878 comments on “Newspoll: 56-44 to Labor”

  1. RR

    Correct

    There is also demands of other Independents – and cost to the budget

    It is interesting to note that the list extracted by the Mayo MP includes solar panels for community centres

    Are there any hidden coal reserves in the Adelaide Hills?

    They were once visibly scarred by mining for rock for building sites that scarring very visible from the Adelaide CBD

    It appears the SA government is in the process of further trashing the “Liberal” brand with its right wing ideological agenda of austerity and privatisation (which it appears was not taken to the election replicating the Tasmanian Government)

  2. The Democrat candidate facing off against Ted Cruz in Texas is giving the Republicans a run for their money. I really hope O’Rourke wins. Cruz is hopeless, just another incompetent seat warming pot plant.

    The Republican Party’s deep-pocketed political spenders are stepping up to prevent the once unthinkable: a U.S. Senate loss in deep-red Texas.

    A pair of GOP super PACs are dropping significant sums into the Lone Star State as Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) faces a challenge from Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) that’s become far too competitive for comfort. As a reflection of how real—if still unlikely—they are taking the threat of a Cruz defeat, the sums spent have suddenly skyrocketed.

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-cavalry-comes-to-save-ted-cruz-from-humiliation?source=twitter&via=desktop

  3. She is shown as light brown, with blond hair in a pony tail, which is just as she appeared in the final.

    If you told the average person sight unseen that the slim blonde woman talking to the umpire in the background of that cartoon was meant to portray ” rel=”nofollow”>this person, they would be very rightly surprised.

    Cartoonists always exaggerate physical features.

    Whereas what he’s done here is present her with physical features quite unlike those she actually possesses, which is pretty much the opposite of that.

    The very kindest thing that can be said about Mark Knight is he grossly careless in his portrayal of race, and that this alone is to his immense discredit.

  4. From the article Barney linked to:

    One of the two policemen, Matt Stock, is a good friend of Mr Dutton’s, according to sources with knowledge of the events. The second man, John Lewis, is the son of corrupt former police commissioner Terry Lewis.

    Oh dear. Oh dear, oh dear.

  5. SA Libs remind me of Ted Bailleu/Naphtine Libs. These industrial disputes can be highly damaging.

    Cutting bus services, closing TAFE’s; all will hurt Libs. I suppose in a city like Adelaide relatively small things can be a big deal as well. Couple hundred public servants protesting in Melbourne, no big deal. In Adelaide, it probably is.

  6. Guardian report on the Potato’s situation.

    I mentioned this earlier, but my recollection was that there was always two Brisbane cases and these were the ones that were subject to a denied FOI application that went all the way to the AAT.

    So, is this third case the second Brisbane case that we’ve had no information about or is it a different case altogether?

    Peter Dutton is facing the claim he intervened to help a third European au pair, in fresh evidence from the former Border Force commissioner Roman Quaedvlieg to a Senate inquiry investigating the controversy.

    In a submission published on Monday, Quaedvlieg clarified earlier evidence that he fielded a phone call from Dutton’s office in June 2015 by suggesting his memory related to a new unreported case between October 2015 and 2016.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/10/roman-quaedvlieg-suggests-peter-dutton-intervened-to-help-third-european-au-pair

  7. Dan Gulberry @ #862 Monday, September 10th, 2018 – 9:58 pm

    From the article Barney linked to:

    One of the two policemen, Matt Stock, is a good friend of Mr Dutton’s, according to sources with knowledge of the events. The second man, John Lewis, is the son of corrupt former police commissioner Terry Lewis.

    Oh dear. Oh dear, oh dear.

    The other interesting name is Vasta.

    Asked if he was aware if any member of the Vasta family had lobbied Mr Dutton on his behalf, Mr Lewis said: “You would have to ask the Vastas if they spoke to anyone … everyone knows I’ve been friends with the Vastas for years.”

    When asked if he or a member of his family asked Mr Dutton to help John Lewis get a job, MP Ross Vasta said via a spokeswoman that he was “reserving his right not to comment”.

  8. shiftaling @ #867 Monday, September 10th, 2018 – 10:13 pm

    If that report of corrupt dealings is true would it be a criminal matter? What would the minimum penalty be? Enough to disqualify the member?

    I’m not sure it is criminal.

    The article points out that the Code of Conduct that applies to the Public Service does not apply to Ministers.

    So, Quad bike may have questions to answer here.

    The issue for the Potato relates to his requesting a public servant to act in a way that may have breached the code of conduct. I don’t know how this would be dealt with and what the sanctions would be.

    The Australian Public Service code of conduct, while not applying to ministers, requires government officials to not improperly use inside information, status, power or authority to seek to gain a benefit or advantage for themselves or any other person.

    A second Canberra source said Mr Quaedvlieg had expressed reservations to two of his staff about the requests from Mr Dutton.

    “Roman said he had to … meet a cop because Dutton had asked him to help,” a source said.

  9. Barney well Quaedvlieg is already under investigation for fiddling with the recruitment process.

    Should be a sackable offence for the politician too but oh well

  10. Dutton is finished. Dutton’s problem will be the numbers of people who’ve made similiar requests and were not deemed important enough to be accommodated. The Dutton Matters will become a mini series. How long before the resignation for family reasons?

  11. Apparently you’re not allowed to just link to a photo any more. WordPress is all, no, fuck you, you’re getting an image embed whether you want one or not.

    Try adding “#image” or similar at the end of the image link; that stops it matching “.jpg” etc. at the end and converting it to an embedded image.

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