The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll sharply reverses a recent trend away from Labor, who are back to leading 54-46 on two-party preferred after their lead fell to 51-49 in the previous poll. This is apparently driven by a four point drop in the Coalition primary vote, but as usual we will have to wait until later today for the full numbers. However, it’s a curiously different story on leadership ratings, on which Malcolm Turnbull gains two on approval since last month to reach 42% while remaining steady on 42% disapproval, while Bill Shorten is down four to 33% and up five to 46%. Turnbull’s lead over Shorten as preferred prime minister is unchanged, shifting from 40-26 to 41-27. Like ReachTEL and unlike Newspoll, Essential has posed a straightforward question on company tax cuts that finds approval and disapproval tied on 37%. The poll also finds 68% support for an increase in Newstart.
UPDATE: Full results here. The Coalition primary vote crashes from 40% to 36%, Labor’s rises one to 37%, the Greens are steady on 10% and One Nation are steady on 8%.
UPDATE 2: Further details from those ReachTEL polls for Sky News, which were conducted last Wednesday. In the national poll, after allocating results from a forced response follow-up for the 5.1% undecided, the primary votes were Coalition 36.5%, Labor 35.3%, Greens 10.7%, One Nation 9.3% and others 8.2%, translating into a 52-48 lead for Labor after respondent-allocated preferences favoured them by 54.8-45.2. Malcolm Turnbull’s lead on the forced response preferred prime minister question was almost exactly unchanged at 54.6-45.4 (54.5-45.5 last month); his very good plus good rating went from 29.9% to 30.8%, and his poor plus very poor from 32.6% to 37.0%. Bill Shorten went from 28.4% to 27.7% on good plus very good, and from 35.5% to 39.9% on poor plus very poor.
In the poll for the Braddon by-election, after allocating the forced follow-up results from the 5.9% undecided, the primary votes were Liberal 48.2%, Labor 34.5%, Greens 6.6%, independents 7.2%, others 3.5%, resulting in a 54-46 Liberal lead on respondent-allocated two-party preferred. In Longman, with the 7.1% initially undecided likewise allocated, the results are Liberal National Party 40.4%, Labor 37.3%, independents 5.5%, Greens 2.7% and others 14.1% (confirming there was no specific option for One Nation), resulting in an LNP lead of 52-48. Respondents for these polls were asked how they would vote “if a by-election in the federal electorate of X were to be held today”. The by-election polls were conducted last Wednesday, from samples of 824 in Braddon and 810 in Longman; the national poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 2523.
lizzie @ #91 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 6:35 am
That’s the problem when everything is seen as political, Governments stop working together! 🙁
Late Riser
All my important stuff is backed up, but there isn’t much that is vital nowadays, except a catalogue of my garden plants that I am creating. Cheers.
To all Poll Bludgers, friends and neighbours and members of the Line Dancing Association and Garden Club.
We Chez KayJay have abandoned, long ago all formal religion – including Apple.
I have no Apple devices and am deliriously happy with the computers I have.
Thenkew veddy much. ☮
Phoenix Red
That would be scripts. They are a security risk and are rated as such with malware programmes.
Do be aware that some malware programs are actually malware programs themselves. As is true of some VPN services.
I expect you have but always do research before installing any malware and VPN etc to be sure they are the real deal and not a scam giving access to your computer.
If you are a victim of wage theft, all you need do, is post a photo of your pay slip on twitter and Fair Work Australia will get right onto it. Seriously? Is that the answer? How does this blonk earn a living as a journo? What an oxygen thief!
C@t
From the Family Report “The father himself reflected this when he suggested that his preferred option would be, as his application indicates, to obtain custody but for the mother to remain in Victoria so that the children could have good access with her”
Your rude and uneducated presumptions of me can not be left to stand.
I re-married over 20 years ago – to the most wonderful woman (whose husband and the father of her children had died) and we have raised our blended family now with Grand children.
My worth subsequent to Property Orders was approximately $500,000-, including a home I still own as an investment property
The worth of my wife and I today is more than 10 times that figure (unencumbered property, superannuation accruals paying our Allocated Pensions and Cash).
And (allowing for the final 2 years of my employment seeing Medical Certificates tendered) I have not worked in 25 years, since age 46.
If anyone had suggested 25 years ago I would be in the position I find myself in with my wife today, I would have suggested that they need expert medical attention.
My children’s relationship with their birth mother maintains – and, as always, that is exclusively their responsibility and their decision
It is none of my business
That said, the history is what it is including that I retain material such that if I am ever queried, instead of telling a story from the past, I am simply in a position to say “Read this and make your own decision”.
Unlike you, I have moved on and moved on immediately I was successful in gaining Custody Orders because I had to then deliver on the responsibilities I had sought and obtained.
And, yes, with my experience in these matters, I call out references to “men” because it is my considered opinion that the reference should to “abusive” calling out abusive people no matter gender.
I have not seen my former wife since Final Orders were handed down – simply she was immediately irrelevant to my life from that time and has remained so.
Ironically, I would not be enjoying the life I enjoy today, with my wife and our children and their children if it was not for my former wife.
So, in a perverse way, I actually owe her my eternal thanks.
No doubt you will again look to presume as to me and my life, the life of someone you have absolutely no knowledge of.
I will not respond further, except to say you are abjectly wrong in your presumptions.
And apart from that, I will continue to present as I have presented on these forums, presentations which have raised your ire because I call out ANYONE who denies anyone else the basic comfort of a safe and secure environment – including particularly children.
lizzie @ #88 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 9:32 am
My old one lasted 9 years without missing a beat. Just got slower over the years like its owners.
Barney, as one who worships at the altar of Apple I can honestly say: my one iBook has outlast 3 windows compatible laptops I’ve needed for accounting – those 3 were used 1 to 2 hours a month with only MYOB on (plus internet for moving files to and from my accountant and tax office).
You might pay out more – and even second hand ones are very good — but macs rarely break down because they are so well made.
We have something like 37 Apple computers/devices. Rarely need any attention.
My current iBook is a hand-me-down because my son needed more oomf for his work. It has lasted 7 years without a hiccup … only hassle is the screen is not retina so is taxing on the eyes after long periods.
I have switched to mainly using an iPad Pro for all my writing/internet stuff. Rarely need anything more.
guytaur says: Tuesday, June 5, 2018 at 9:42 am
Phoenix Red
That would be scripts. They are a security risk and are rated as such with malware programmes.
*********************************************************
Hi Guytaur – totally weird – it is only doing it on my page 2 ……. nothing on pages 1 or 3 ….. something on that page sets it off …..
Barney
The whole plausible deniability thingy is deep in the DNA of politicians – especially LNP, IMO – and bureaucrats.
The careful “we have no plans” or “I’ve received no submission” and all the rest of the pollie-speak is so obvious once you know the code, yet often the MSM swallow it whole.
PR
You are right that is odd. Maybe there is a malicious script that operates randomly or its a bug in the code. Maybe the one that logs people out when they want to stay logged in. 🙂
lizzie –
Is the computer time still current?
If the internal battery dies, then it forgets and returns to some default time in the past
Bill Shorten is doing a presser from Burnie live now
jenauthor @ #107 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 9:45 am
Sounds like a stupid question, but do you have an Apple Pencil for your ipad? They look impressive, but are ridiculously expensive.
Lizzie
I am no expert, but
1. Agree with KJ – do a back up as soon as possible – onto a disc or USB if you have nothing else
2. It is probably dust in the machine or even a mouse baby. You do not have ant issues do you – I do and they have been known to get inside a PC/printer. Put it somewhere cold so the ants will leave.
3. As a precaution turn it off at night etc because it could be just overheated because of dust. So if it is kept cool it will cope better.
4. It should cope OK for a month I think.
KayJay @ #102 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 6:41 am
I do have an Apple product, an iPod Classic, which has the memory to hold all my music and the ability to operate continuously for more than 24 hours with out recharging.
Two properties that I rank very highly and something I haven’t seen in other similar devices! 🙂
phylactella
Thanks for the hint.
Yep. 9.50 on the 5/6/2018. 🙂
C@tmomma @ #46 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 6:19 am
GG is not a member of the government, and according to a post he made yesterday, he’s not a climate denialist either.
Adrian
Yes. However the latest iPad makes up for it in price reduction.
https://www.apple.com/au/newsroom/2018/03/apple-introduces-new-9-7-inch-ipad-with-apple-pencil-support/
There was, I think, enough data points for the ‘dip’ to be real no? Let’s hope the return to ‘normal’ for Mal is real and sustained, not illusory.
lizzie @ #101 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 9:40 am
I keep my photos, correspondence, tax records, pretty much everything on my laptop these days, going back many years now. I’d hate to lose even a fraction of it. (It’s a small house and the space it saves is precious.) You prompted me to do another backup, right now. Thank you! 🙂
guytaur says: Tuesday, June 5, 2018 at 9:48 am
PR
You are right that is odd. Maybe there is a malicious script that operates randomly or its a bug in the code.
*************************************************************
Oh well …. it says it is blocked whatever …… maybe its that 400 pound hacker in his mom’s basement that keeps saying bad things about Donald 🙂
Speaking of price reductions how long before the LNP jumps on Origin announcing price drops as all their work?
1…2…..3……
Clem Attlee @ #78 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 9:42 am
That comment was priceless. Twat. I think Dreyfus’s expression should be bottled.
But hey the new idea – government by tweet. Do you think it would work with the ATO? What abut challenging parking fines by tweet. The list is endless.
The BiGD,
Nope or probably not.
Call us smug wankers if you like. We are and were the Beat Generation of computers. The Beta video users who would happily loiter in the corner of the video store poring over the five titles on offer, knowing full well that our machines were better than those owned by the VHS riff raff as they swilled through their five thousand titles. We know that Windows 95 was a con which wouldn’t have gone anywhere but for the Rolling Stones’ song and ad campaign. We know.
PR
Given the history that would be the guy that dined with Mike Pompeo sent from North Korea 🙂
KayJay @ #68 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 9:06 am
Eek, ThermalTake! Run!!!
Darc @ #124 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 6:57 am
🙂
adrian
and others who are using Macs
I recommend iStat menus.
A Melbourne company with a utility to monitor many computer workings.
Originally was free, now a purchase.
Peter Martin retweets
@PSInformant
The Public Sector Informant is online & in today’s @canberratimes. We look at security vetting, the APS review, ABC funding + more https://www.canberratimes.com.au/topic/public-sector-informant-joq #canberra #auspol #ausdef #auslaw https://twitter.com/PSInformant/status/1003787831355904000/photo/1
a r
Do you agree with the advice I have been given? “Keep calm and carry on”??
lizzie
Its good advice as you have done backups. Just do more often when in doubt about reliability of hardware.
That and have a fire extinguisher handy in case of fire if heat is a problem along with a phone number to your computer repair specialist or buy a new computer.
Which ever is the best value option.
One would surmise that if the CPU could not be detected then KJ would receive no message at all, as text is printed via software which requires a CPU to run it.
From what I can ascertain on Google you know your CPU is not detected via a LED on the motherboard being switched on, not an on-screen message.
There’s a whole bunch of help available if you Google “F1 boot”. Causes range from new hardware not properly configured to dying CMOS battery.
Yes we do Adrian but rarely have use for it as we do little freehand drawing writing. But it is useful at times. Very accurate once you learn how to hold it/angles/pressure etc
Zeh @ #131 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 7:01 am
Maybe that’s the problem,
most of the current Government are Mac uses,
as they would never want to be seen as PC!!!!!!!! 🙂
Fire? Nah
Give it a reboot, if it says it again, its likely the CPU fan connection is loose on the motherboard or for some reason shorted out.
Is the fan spinning? If so, should be fine.
When a modern CPU overheats, typically it will shut itself (and your computer) down to save itself.
At any rate the heatsink, even without the fan working, should prevent the temperature from getting too bad, unless under high load.
Bushfire Bill is correct
CPU not detected will fail to boot, and you would usually hear beep codes from the motherboard indicating as such.
However, given the F1 display, i think she just forgot to add CPU FAN not detected
jen
‘Lumping that Aussie chef into the same class is completely wrong — as he is not advocating a proper ketogenic diet, even if he uses the word.’
Which is, of course, not what I was doing. The quote I highlighted was on the lack of research showing a link between KDs and cancer, and the dangers, therefore, of eschewing conventional (i.e. tested) treatments.
KD might well work for you, and I’m not disputing that it does. I’m simply cautioning against the attitude that it therefore works for everyone, which is dangerous in itself. A diabetes sufferer has different needs and issues to someone with heart disease, for example; what works for one diabetes sufferer might be actually harmful for another. And, of course, what works for diabetes might not work for cancer.
In this case, I’ve run your ideas past someone who is (probably) Australia’s top cancer researcher, someone who has spent basically every minute of his life for the last thirty years not just reading the literature but reviewing it, whilst undertaking his own (ground breaking) research. And he says depriving cancers of sugars is counter productive, because it deprives all your cells of sugars.*
That would be my working hypothesis, Zeh.
There’s a bunch of Google stuff on THAT message, too.
zoomster
Your response to Jen tells me you have not read Jen’s posts correctly
Jen does not talk about cutting sugar out entirely. Jen talks about cutting out excess sugar.
There is a difference. Note honey is a form of sugar,
Ordinarily I would take the opportunity to say may your chickens ….
On this occasion I say unto you. Verily
Pride goes before a fall, I’ve got a feeling
That I’m gonna sink much lower than them all.
Jim Reeves
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=db-WT4XwAvw
This is a wonderful blog – great opportunities to post complete rubbish (in my case) and learn from the masters (real and imagined) in other cases.
The offers of assistance regarding a partial computer failure is very heartening.
Be kind to yourself. 😎 Emoji in hope of clear days for mowing.
I’m not sure Katharine Murphy’s attempt to put the blame on Barnaby for Mal’s bad Essential carries much water. The Barnaby’s party increased its vote from 2 to 3 and the Libs fell from 38 to 34.
lizzie @ #129 Tuesday, June 5th, 2018 – 10:01 am
Yeah, that’s reasonable enough since you have backups.
Also the on-screen message couldn’t have known what it was talking about; if you see stuff on the screen (and can press F1 and boot) then the CPU is working fine, whether or not the BIOS thinks it has been detected.
Probably just a temporary glitch. Or as has been suggested, it was actually something to do with the CPU fan. Which will shorten the remaining lifespan of your processor if it’s broken…though a modern chip will actually tend to keep working even without active cooling:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kePVy8AVW1o
Best way to check if your fan is working would be to boot into Windows and use something like CoreTemp to check your CPU temperature and see if it’s running hot and/or throttling.
guytaur
Yes – as I commented a couple of days ago, you can easily get half a kilo of sugar a day from a ‘sugar free’ diet.
I have three work machines, a laptop, a desktop, and a reasonably powerful HPC workstation. All three are PCs running the x86 architecture. I seriously flog them. The laptop is five years old, the desktop is six, and both are running fine. The HPC is two years old and does a great job of heating my office.
I would hazard a guess that if you spent the same amount on a PC as you did on a Mac, you would get a similar lifetime. But there is one key element to my machines lifetimes – all three run Ubuntu.
Forget Mac; go linux.
Bushfire and Zeh
I’ll check the message when I turn on tomorrow morning. 🙂
A benefit of PB is the number of experienced computer users willing to give advice. I’ve been using computers for 30 years, but only as a user, never a ‘mechanic’.
Hi Kayjay. Sorry to hear about your computer. Couple of simple things to try.
Get into the box and gently wriggle the CPU fan/heatsink, and the memory sticks and some of the plugs out of the power supply. Make sure they are seated properly.
Fixed my nephews dead computer once that way. He lives next to a train line and we think some of the components vibrated loose over time. 🙂 Simple, quick and sometimes actually works.
Am going to be doing that to the offsprings computer tonight. She accidentaly knocked a glass of water off her desk and it poured into the computer through a top fan vent. Computer stopped and i now need to see if drying it out in the sun for a few days has been effective. 🙁
Backups, full disk images, are a very good thing. Good luck.
Clem
Collier is always worth a larf.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-18/q&a-grace-collier-says-unemployed-should-start-businesses/7941002
Zoomster
What Jen and I do and Jen will correct me if Ia m wrong is not avoid the traditional fatty meals.
What we do is avoid excess sugar. So we have cut our sugar intake down because of processed foods having sugar in them.
Eat fresh and local. Avoid processed foods.
I think thats good general advice for everyone not just cancer patients.
Edit: It comes down to the food pyramid not being scientifically accurate as it was interfered with during the Nixon years with the agricultural food processors interference. There are good reason to question the assumptions that underly that