With the only poll this week being Essential Research’s best result for the Coalition in 18 months, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its slow and steady trend this week in shifting 0.2% to the Coalition on two-party preferred. The only change on the seat projection is a gain for the Coalition in Victoria. No new leadership ratings this week, so that’s your lot. Full results as always through the link below.
Jimmy D
I accept that interpretation.
No. They just smell that way.
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Oh THANKS wombat!
BK
Wombat will now resile, one presumes.
zoomster:
Damn. I was hoping you’d have some insider goss for us!
Mention climate change and expect this:
Poll Bludger Federal Election Sweep
Name Prediction
Briefly 4/08/2018
Taz 11/08/2018
Tom 11/08/2018
j341983 18/08/2018
C@tmomma 25/08/2018
Grimace 1/09/2018
Confessions 1/09/2018
ag0044 15/9/2018
Rossmcg 20/10/2018
Dan Gulberry 27/10/2018
Steve777 2/3/2019
Hugoaugogo 4/05/2019
Ante Meridian 25/05/2019
John Reidy 25/05/2019
Asha Leu 25/5/2019
If you wish to join email your prediction to sjapplin@hotmail.com and your email will be deleted after your prediction is recorded. I’ll try to keep track of any predictions posted in the thread if you’d prefer not to email me, without a guarantee it’ll be included.
All forms of cheating and capitalising on insider knowledge are encouraged. The prize is gloating rights.
I knew it! Blocked already! What a pathetic, vacuous excuse for a wannabe politician.
@Boerwar – re Australia’s defence policy and the Dragon:
“It may be irrelevant to you but there are numerous signals from China that is not largely irrelevant to them.”
Agreed. They see it, or at least aspects of it, to be insulting and sinophobic. Moreover, inconsistent with the overall relationship that has been painstakingly cultivated since Whitlam.
BK @ #757 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:36 pm
Now that it’s been brought up I’ve tried to have a look at the comments. You need to be quick, they get posted and then disappear very quickly.
“BK says:
Sunday, May 27, 2018 at 7:36 pm
I knew it! Blocked already! What a pathetic, vacuous excuse for a wannabe politician.”
Did you beat the record of 30 seconds?
grimace @ #750 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 7:30 pm
I have seen little evidence of any in Victoria.
Did you beat the record of 30 seconds?
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No. Obviously I don’t have the rep.
Bob and Mavis look like they were young people in the 1940s. Why isn’t she talking to young people about keeping them in the electorate?
Boerwar @ #747 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:28 pm
Obviously. That’s why the tooled up British Empire were able to overcome the unarmed forces of Gandhi – oh wait. That’s why the heavily tooled up Americans were able to easily overcome the less well armed Vietnamese – oh, wait again. And haven’t the tooled up Americans done a whiz bang job of overcoming a not even organised let alone well armed grab bag of primitive tribesmen in Afghanistan – oops, wait again.
Your views of the world are trapped in the same century as the skirmish you have chosen as a username.
Confessions @ #754 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 7:35 pm
No sensible ALP member would post ‘insider’ information on a public blog.
And now my perfectly valid questions have been expunged from Downer’s denuded Facebook page. What a woman of substance!
Barney is smart, dumb smart:
Josh Taylor
Verified account @joshgnosis
May 26
Seven is reportedly paying Barnaby Joyce and Vikki Campion $150,000 for an interview.
BK @ #761 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:44 pm
A woman of calibre?
Bob and Mavis look like they were young people in the 1940s. Why isn’t she talking to young people about keeping them in the electorate?
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There’s a report that they overdid the Iced Vovos and chocolate digestives at the meeting.
I’m still quivering. Googled “georgina downer” and came across the IPA website. Now that is a frightening space to enter.
Of course the citizen the quid pro quo is clear. We won’t debate refugees now (because it will lose votes and we can’t stop a pro refugee outcome ) and in return a promise on labor getting in an opening of the borders a la Chris Evans style.
BK says:
Expunged or in her polite circle ‘curated’ 🙂
‘Dan Gulberry says:
Sunday, May 27, 2018 at 7:43 pm
Boerwar @ #747 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:28 pm
Power grows out of the barrel of a gun.
Obviously. That’s why the tooled up British Empire were able to overcome the unarmed forces of Gandhi – oh wait. That’s why the heavily tooled up Americans were able to easily overcome the less well armed Vietnamese – oh, wait again. And haven’t the tooled up Americans done a whiz bang job of overcoming a not even organised let alone well armed grab bag of primitive tribesmen in Afghanistan – oops, wait again.
Your views of the world are trapped in the same century as the skirmish you have chosen as a username.’
Uh huh. The blood-soaked Gandhi? Don’t mention Partition. A couple of million murdered for want of a little bit of well-organised fire power.
I imagine that Putin and Xi, being ardent followers of Ghandhi, would spend all their spare time between invasions, land grabs and island grabs listening to Adern.
Ms Downers’ policy convictions have more holes than a fishnet stocking.
Insider alp information bemused ? There’s about 8 clans or families /factions that would have anything worth posting.
Stop the 457 visas.
Let’s see how long my question lasts:
Zoomster as an alternate delegate -doubt she would party to the deal with the cfmeu for instance bemused.
Edwina StJohn @ #771 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 7:56 pm
You mean when the LNP agreed with it?
It is a lovely image though setka shutting down debate on behalf of his string pullers in the right.
Is Newspoll tonight?
I couldn’t give a stuff about boats. It’s a third order issue. It’s well within the capacity of a grown up country to deal with, without dogwhistling and without moral panic.
Edwina StJohn @ #775 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 7:58 pm
Yes, I’m sure you know all there is to know.
A legend in our own mind.
I’m but a humble independent bemused.
Edwina StJohn @ #784 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 8:03 pm
Yes, quite independent of sanity.
So why shut down debate on the topic steve777 ? Surely if you have a view one way or the other a Democratic Party can live with discordant voices ?
The Boer War a skirmish?
Tsk, tsk.
Around 100,000 dead. Sick and wounded about three times that. Vast swathes of formerly productive land left a burnt out wasteland. Black workers given worse pay and working conditions by the conquerors.
Many, many more people were killed in the Boer War than Australian soldiers have died in all our wars put together.
Two vibrant democracies destroyed by an Empire triggered by a clatch of gold bugs and gung ho imperialists.
It’s ok though. Barnaby’s fee for his exclusive tell all will be going into a slush er trust fund for little Sebastian, off limits to everyone but little seb. That makes it ok you see.
Jenauthor
Was just pondering the same question. I suspect there will be. If there is I doubt any PVO wow.
Dan Gulberry @ #777 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:59 pm
And it’s gone already.
As they say in New Hampshire bemused, live free or die bemused.
It seems quite logical in my off the grid log cabin.
BK @ #764 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 5:49 pm
LOL! Whenever you see photos of Lib candidates with supporters they are invariably always older people, male, or younger people always white and male.
I’ll never forget the Bennelong by-election photos posted here. Labor’s campaign supporters young, diverse and energised, contrasted with the pale, male and stale images of people surrounding the Lib candidate.
Ms Downers’ policy convictions have more holes than a fishnet stocking.
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Love it Boerwar!
Ms Downer must have the IPA bots manning her facebook page. Or she’s called in the services of a Russian troll farm.
Yeah I reckon Sharkie might have had more credibility if she didn’t try to cut a deal to return to the liberal party as the endorsed mayo candidate in the by election.
Still the downers in mayo are the liberal equivalent of actu officials turning up to their assigned seats to meet the grateful peasants.
And yet confessions in spite of the photos confessions Keneally still lost ? Maybe a majority rejected labor lies ?
DG
‘And haven’t the tooled up Americans done a whiz bang job of overcoming a not even organised let alone well armed grab bag of primitive tribesmen in Afghanistan – oops, wait again.’
No they have not. And neither have we. Afghanistan demonstrates what happens when you wage half-arsed war. You lose. It is one of the reasons why the US capacity to lead the Free World is failing. They just won’t fight.
The last war which the US really meant was World War 2. They had over 8 million people in uniform. They had the world’s biggest navy. They had the world’s biggest airforce. And they used them ruthlessly.
They have never sent more than 100,000 to Afghanistan.
New Zealand at one stage deployed a dozen or so uniforms to do its bit in Afghanistan. The deployment might have grown a bit. A sick joke, really. So much for their Free World leadership aspirations. (Enough at any rate for there to be a current controversy in New Zealand about war crime allegations.)
And still have service personnel stationed in Europe to this day.
ESJ
It’s a state conference. It deals with state issues.
It’s common practice to refer federal issues to the National Conference.
Putting up the motion in the first place was a piece of theatre.