BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor

This week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its gradual movement to the Coalition.

With the only poll this week being Essential Research’s best result for the Coalition in 18 months, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its slow and steady trend this week in shifting 0.2% to the Coalition on two-party preferred. The only change on the seat projection is a gain for the Coalition in Victoria. No new leadership ratings this week, so that’s your lot. Full results as always through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

842 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor”

Comments Page 13 of 17
1 … 12 13 14 … 17

  4. Scenario: Labor dump Shorten and replace him with Albo or Plibersek.They lose the election by a bigger margin than in 2016.Not only have they burnt Shorten but also Albo or Plibersek.
    It would be the dumbest move in political history.

  5. C@tmomma @ #594 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:21 pm

    bemused

    Yes, something for the truly pathetic to use to shield themselves from any contrary opinions.

    No, bemused. To shut out your truly pathetic contributions. Especially as they pertain to certain female contributors to this blog.

    Will you be going with PHON or Lab with your 1st pref at the next election, C@tmomma ?

  7. steve davis @ #596 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:25 pm

    Scenario: Labor dump Shorten and replace him with Albo or Plibersek.They lose the election by a bigger margin than in 2016.Not only have they burnt Shorten but also Albo or Plibersek.
    It would be the dumbest move in political history.

    Which is why trolls keep pushing that cart.

  8. lizzie @ #591 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:18 pm

    bemused

    Yes, something for the truly pathetic to use to shield themselves from any contrary opinions.

    I do not use Block to “shield myself from contrary opinions”. I use it to cut out time-wasters and trolls, such as ESJ.

    ESJ is not all that bad.
    Beats others I could name but won’t.

  10. I’ve not decided on my order of pref yet, but I shan’t be giving #1 to Lib-Lab.

    So even though you approve of the current Labor govt, you refuse to vote for its re-election even if it means getting the Liberals led by a mafia-like thug like Guy whatshisname?

    Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face!

  11. C@tmomma @ #594 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:21 pm

    bemused

    Yes, something for the truly pathetic to use to shield themselves from any contrary opinions.

    No, bemused. To shut out your truly pathetic contributions. Especially as they pertain to certain female contributors to this blog.

    An idiot is an idiot whatever their gender.
    You post something good, as you occasionally do, and I will react positively.
    You post something snarky (quite common), dumb, or offensive and, if I can be bothered, I will react negatively.

  12. bemused

    We all know who you “could name”, because you name them constantly. Not all of us agree with your judgement about people.

  13. steve davis @ #598 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:25 pm

    Scenario: Labor dump Shorten and replace him with Albo or Plibersek.They lose the election by a bigger margin than in 2016.Not only have they burnt Shorten but also Albo or Plibersek.
    It would be the dumbest move in political history.

    Which is exactly why some want it to happen.

  14. Confessions @ #603 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:29 pm

    I’ve not decided on my order of pref yet, but I shan’t be giving #1 to Lib-Lab.

    So even though you approve of the current Labor govt, you refuse to vote for its re-election even if it means getting the Liberals led by a mafia-like thug like Guy whatshisname?

    Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face!

    How would I be enabling Guy ?

  18. lizzie @ #606 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:31 pm

    bemused

    We all know who you “could name”, because you name them constantly. Not all of us agree with your judgement about people.

    Hardly surprising. People are all different.
    But even some I think are generally dills occasionally come up with something really good. Which is why I never block anyone. Not even the obnoxious P1 or the dull, repetitive Rex.

  19. Confessions @ #604 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:29 pm

    I’ve not decided on my order of pref yet, but I shan’t be giving #1 to Lib-Lab.

    So even though you approve of the current Labor govt, you refuse to vote for its re-election even if it means getting the Liberals led by a mafia-like thug like Guy whatshisname?

    Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face!

    Rex is on record as saying he will vote Green, but then preference Labor above Liberals. If he says otherwise he’s just being disingenuous.

  21. The MSM are shitting themselves that Shorten is in a winning position.When politicians or the MSM resort to constant personal attacks it means they are totally desperate.Play the man,when you cant play the ball.Thats the only tactics they’ve got left.

  22. Regarding the earlier discussion on Georgina Downer’s Facebook page, that lady is a Reasearch Fellow at the IPA. She must support most of its objectives. So why not ask her. I’d do it but I’m not on Facebook:

    Do you believe that Medicare should be would back to a basic safety net for the poor? Refer item on the IPA’s wish list “20 Means-test Medicare” and remarks in the introduction to that list: https://ipa.org.au/publications-ipa/ipa-review-articles/be-like-gough-75-radical-ideas-to-transform-australia

    Should the ABC be broken up and sold? Refer item 50.
    Should SBS be privatised? (51)
    Do you want to repeal plain packaging of tobacco products (38)
    Do you want to abolish the Fair Work Act? (53)
    Do you wish to withdraw support fromAustralia’s Olympic Team (implied by items 62, 63)
    Then ask her about the 2014 Budget:
    – Do you support Tertiary Fee deregulation, as attempted in the 2014 Budget?
    – Should the pension age be increased to 70?

    Another IPA favourite: should the minimum wage be abolished?

    There are many more that could be added.

    And after she deletes them, keep putting them back up.

  23. (As posted by KayJay)

    Murdoch presents this as a noble gesture by Barnaby. On the contrary, putting the $150,000 into a trust fund for the beetrooter baby means:

    – Barnaby doesn’t have to declare it on the register of MPs pecuniary interests

    – it’s not counted as part of his assets when (if?) he finally gets divorced

    – it’s a form of tax avoidance for Barnaby

    What a reward for immoral and unethical behaviour.

  24. The NFL has implemented a new rule forcing players to stand during the national anthem. Perhaps if it wanted to take an apolitical stance it should’ve instead stopped playing the national anthem at matches. Also is it any coincidence that Trump chooses to attack a sport of which 70% of its players are African-American?

    It’s no secret that the league was motivated to come up with this not-so-genius strategy because it’s scared of President Donald Trump and worried about alienating corporate partners and a subset of its fans.

    But if it thought this policy would get the president to stop verbally assaulting the NFL and its players, Trump reminded everyone before the ink was even dry on the new rule that he will control the narrative on the player protests no matter what it does.

    “I don’t think people should be staying in the locker rooms,” Trump told Fox News on Thursday. “You have to stand proudly for the national anthem or you shouldn’t be playing, you shouldn’t be there. Maybe you shouldn’t be in the country.”

    https://theundefeated.com/features/nfl-shows-who-and-what-it-values-with-new-anthem-policy/

  27. P1:

    I love how purists like Rex are never satisfied. He’s been talking up the Andrews govt for a while now, lamenting what he sees as federal Labor’s perceived lean to the right. Yet he won’t vote to re-elect a govt he thinks is doing a good job.

    He’d be better off hitching his wagon to a party like the Greens where he can be all care, no responsibility or accountability.

  28. – Barnaby doesn’t have to declare it on the register of MPs pecuniary interests

    I don’t think that’s right.

  30. Confessions @ #621 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:43 pm

    P1:

    I love how purists like Rex are never satisfied. He’s been talking up the Andrews govt for a while now, lamenting what he sees as federal Labor’s perceived lean to the right. Yet he won’t vote to re-elect a govt he thinks is doing a good job.

    He’d be better off hitching his wagon to a party like the Greens where he can be all care, no responsibility or accountability.

    I’d like the Greens to have the opportunity of ultimate responsibility and accountability.

  31. WeWantPaul @ #518 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 11:26 am

    “Well wwp people who have actually seen war are much less likely to glory in it.
    Prepare for war so you may have peace.”

    Yeah but that isn’t at all what is happening, which adds even more reason to be sceptical of army types, and faux nationalist morons who seek to glorify war and warriors. You know absolute fools who are much more Rupert Brooke than Wilfred Owens. Hastie and his stubborn misuse of army uniform puts him firmly in the Rupert Brooke camp of fools I’m afraid.

    Bent double, like old beggars under sacks,
    Knock-kneed, coughing like hags, we cursed through sludge,
    Till on the haunting flares we turned our backs,
    And towards our distant rest began to trudge.
    Men marched asleep. Many had lost their boots,
    But limped on, blood-shod. All went lame; all blind;
    Drunk with fatigue; deaf even to the hoots
    Of gas-shells dropping softly behind.

    Gas! GAS! Quick, boys!—An ecstasy of fumbling
    Fitting the clumsy helmets just in time,
    But someone still was yelling out and stumbling
    And flound’ring like a man in fire or lime.—
    Dim through the misty panes and thick green light,
    As under a green sea, I saw him drowning.

    In all my dreams before my helpless sight,
    He plunges at me, guttering, choking, drowning.

    If in some smothering dreams, you too could pace
    Behind the wagon that we flung him in,
    And watch the white eyes writhing in his face,
    His hanging face, like a devil’s sick of sin;
    If you could hear, at every jolt, the blood
    Come gargling from the froth-corrupted lungs,
    Obscene as cancer, bitter as the cud
    Of vile, incurable sores on innocent tongues,—
    My friend, you would not tell with such high zest
    To children ardent for some desperate glory,
    The old Lie: Dulce et decorum est
    Pro patria mori.

  33. Wouldn’t it be fantastic if Labor won the federal election and carried out their promise to tax Family Trusts? 😀

  35. Ordinary taxpayers ultimately pay for very bad business judgement. Two related examples:

    Bunnings (Wesfarmers) has just opened a new store in a nice new building vacated by Masters in the Canberra airport precinct when Woolworths abandoned the Masters business due to massive miscalculation of the marketplace. Woolworths’ loss ultimately becomes a taxpayers’ loss.

    Wesfarmers has just abandoned its UK Bunnings operations at a massive loss due to massive miscalculation of the marketplace. Wesfarmers’ loss ultimately becomes a taxpayers’ loss.

  37. At every significant opportunity, the Greens have neither displayed responsibility not accountability. And hence are not trusted. They blame others for their own failings. Just a group of people waiting for their Bradbury moment. 1000/1 @ any HoR election barring the the obvious distortion. Too big for their boots in the senate. Voting Green gives as much hope Turnbull has at the net election. None!

  38. CLIMATE CHAOS

    Pakalolo writes—Sprinting to the finish line: Earth’s climate to increase 4° Celsius by 2084: “A collaborative effort by Chinese researchers released a new study that was recently published in the journal The Institute of Atmospheric Physics with incredibly disturbing news for most life on the planet. They found that the world can expect a 4 degree Celsius increase above pre-industrial levels as early as 2064 (Median year will be 2084). As we barrel down to this frightening new world, the World Bank warned that we will witness a ‘triggering cascade of cataclysmic changes that include extreme heat-waves, declining global food stocks and a sea-level rise affecting hundreds of millions of people’ as a result. Eureka Alert has the story. To understand the severity of this, consider the Paris Agreement (https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/what-is-the-paris-agreement) of the United Nations. It’s a global effort to prevent an increase of 2°C. Nearly every country on the planet–the United States is the only country to withdraw–has agreed to work to prevent the catastrophic effects of two degrees of warming.”

    I do not know far above is true but it is very disturbing.

  40. citizen @ #626 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 1:57 pm

    Ordinary taxpayers ultimately pay for very bad business judgement. Two related examples:

    Bunnings (Wesfarmers) has just opened a new store in a nice new building vacated by Masters in the Canberra airport precinct when Woolworths abandoned the Masters business due to massive miscalculation of the marketplace. Woolworths’ loss ultimately becomes a taxpayers’ loss.

    Wesfarmers has just abandoned its UK Bunnings operations at a massive loss due to massive miscalculation of the marketplace. Wesfarmers’ loss ultimately becomes a taxpayers’ loss.

    They can’t lose!

  41. Confessions

    You’re correct. I forgot about dependants. From the Courier Mail article:

    Despite not pocketing the cash himself, Mr Joyce will still have to declare the windfall on the parliamentary register of members’ interests, which requires the income of any dependants to also be disclosed.

    https://outline.com/csZGWk

  43. Ven @ #632 Sunday, May 27th, 2018 – 2:05 pm

    CLIMATE CHAOS

    Pakalolo writes—Sprinting to the finish line: Earth’s climate to increase 4° Celsius by 2084: “A collaborative effort by Chinese researchers released a new study that was recently published in the journal The Institute of Atmospheric Physics with incredibly disturbing news for most life on the planet. They found that the world can expect a 4 degree Celsius increase above pre-industrial levels as early as 2064 (Median year will be 2084). As we barrel down to this frightening new world, the World Bank warned that we will witness a ‘triggering cascade of cataclysmic changes that include extreme heat-waves, declining global food stocks and a sea-level rise affecting hundreds of millions of people’ as a result. Eureka Alert has the story. To understand the severity of this, consider the Paris Agreement (https://unfccc.int/process/the-paris-agreement/what-is-the-paris-agreement) of the United Nations. It’s a global effort to prevent an increase of 2°C. Nearly every country on the planet–the United States is the only country to withdraw–has agreed to work to prevent the catastrophic effects of two degrees of warming.”

    I do not know far above is true but it is very disturbing.

    Voters haven’t got the mental capacity to absorb the environment warnings and will keep endorsing the current 2 party democratic systems that has brought this on.
    It’s insanity to keep repeating the same mistakes.

  45. Greg Jericho‏Verified account @GrogsGamut · 5h5 hours ago

    Sigh.

    Average income is not median income.
    And the “average income” they are talking about is average *full-time* income – which is well above total average incomes #insiders

  46. Ven,
    Thanks for the audio. I constantly wonder how Trump keeps all the lie balls up in the air so successfully!?! Although if more examples like this keep getting leaked it will get harder.

  47. Just like Ley SD.

    Appalling ignorance of tax by the usual suspects. If you lose money by definition you don’t have profit to be taxed on.

    You also can’t just plonk money in a trust and not pay tax, all trusts are forced to distribute income which is then taxed . The Joyce payment would have to be a capital payment or not income to avoid tax, the trust is irrelevant.

  49. If pensioners who do not pay tax are included, the figure is closer to $45,000 per year. So, if you earn one dollar over $45,000 you are in the richest half of the country. Officially, the average wage is $75,000 a year, but that is skewed by a small number of very high income earners.

  50. If pensioners who do not pay tax are included, the figure is closer to $45,000 per year. Officially, the average wage is $75,000 a year, but that is skewed by a small number of very high income earners.

Comments Page 13 of 17
1 … 12 13 14 … 17

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *