Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

Essential’s two-party gap narrows to its lowest point in 18 months, despite Labor’s tax and budget policies being favoured over the Coalition’s.

We have an Essential Research poll for the third week in a row, last week’s post-budget poll having been additional to the normal fortnightly cycle, rather than an adjustment. The result is the Coalition’s best from Essential since November 2016, with the Labor lead down to 51-49 from 52-48 last week, and 53-47 the week before. Primary votes will be with us when the full report is published later today. UPDATE: Full report here. The Coalition is up two to 40%, Labor is steady on 36%, the Greens are steady on 10% and One Nation are up a point to 8%.

This is despite a range of results on tax and budget matters that are uniformly favourable for Labor and/or unfavourable for the Coalition. As reported by The Guardian, the poll finds Labor’s income tax policy favoured over the Coalition’s by 45% to 33%, and 44% favouring Labor’s “increasing spending on health and education while giving a tax cut to low and middle-income earners”, over “the Coalition’s approach, which is to give both companies and workers a tax cut”. Sixty per cent said they did not want company tax cuts to proceed; 50% supported Labor’s proposed tightening of negative gearing, with 24% opposed; and 42% supported Labor’s dividend imputation policy, with 27% opposed. However, the two parties were tied at 32% on the question of best party to manage a fair tax system, with 22% saying it made no difference.

The funding cut to the ABC was supported by 35% and opposed by 45%, and 36% supported the cut to the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, with 39% opposed. Questions on a republic found 48% supportive and 30% opposed, with 65% favouring direct election of a head of state compared with just 9% for “a governor-general style appointment by the prime minister of the day”, and 12% for appointment by a two-thirds majority of a joint sitting of parliament.

Also note the post for the Western Australia’s Darling Range by-election immediately below this one.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,114 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”

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  1. About a third of the world`s offshore tax havens are overseas territories of the UK or Crown Dependencies and can thus be subjected to UK crackdowns.

  2. BIGD,

    “Has Turnbull still got his Siberian mine?

    Maybe we could take that? ”

    Only with a pinch of salt.

  3. Yesterday morning I posted a series of photos which were hosted by

    Later in the day the Tinypics site went down causing any blog or other instrument displaying photos posted by them to disappear.

    Durng the night Tinypics has come back on line and the disappeared photos are now visible again.

    So, mystery solved. I am now the proud possessor of a password for which appears to work well as a photo hosting entity.

    Here endeth the lesson, mes enfants. 🙌

  4. Gorks says:
    Friday, May 25, 2018 at 9:25 pm

    …”Left wing/progressives are way too eager to shit on their own”…

    You must have missed the great, steaming piles of the stuff, regularly dropped from upon high, onto assorted progressives, by various right wing ratbags on this blog?

  5. C@tmomma says:
    Friday, May 25, 2018 at 9:26 pm

    …”Exackerly! The Tories must love it when they can orchestrate it”…

    Defence exhibit: (A)

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