The post-budget poll flurry prompted much confusion, amid divergent headline figures from Newspoll and Ipsos (more on that from me in a paywalled Crikey article), but it has made no difference to the two-party preferred reading from BludgerTrack. What has changed is the seat projection, which is entirely down to the Queensland-only Galaxy poll, which has boosted the Coalition by 2.9% and three seats in that state. Labor also loses one of its two gains from a quirky result in Victoria last week.
The other notable movement this week is the upswing in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings, as recorded by both Newspoll and Ipsos. Turnbull’s net approval reading on BludgerTrack is up 6.0% to minus 13.9%, returning him to around where he was at the time of the last election. Bill Shorten is more or less unchanged, and Turnbull’s improvement on preferred prime minister is a relatively modest 2.9%, putting his margin over Shorten at 11.5%. Full results from the link below:
This is something I’m noticing more and more.
The homepage headline doesn’t match the story headline or the story.
Story headline
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-21/perth-airport-tunnel-borers-break-through-to-train-station-site/9783394
Barney in Go Dau @ #749 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 6:22 pm
Bemused posts again!
I believe maintance shutdowns do not count for reliability percentages.
jenauthor @ #726 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 5:36 pm
So who did that sub-contractor work for, Telstra, or NBN?
Telstra technical staff are usually competent.
Catprog @ #751 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 6:33 pm
Just another manipulation of information, then.
But, if your power is out, it’s out!
The Government has done a wonderful job of undermining and dismantling the public service capabilities and its non-partisan status.
At least the Guardian understands the IPA’s status as a “rightwing thinktank.”
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/may/21/public-service-commissioner-refuses-to-tell-senators-if-he-is-under-investigation-for-ipa-links
Greensborough Growler @ #734 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 5:53 pm
Sounds like a scheduled outage that you should have been warned of in advance so you could plan for it. Such outages for maintenance reduce unplanned outages which have a much worse impact.
Cameron @ #724 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 5:34 pm
Well since I gather his only offence is lying to an FBI agent it is not exactly grand larceny. He would cop a fine at most. Only in the most fascist of police states would lying to an agent cop more than a fine or very short term sentence- for example it is or should be a much lesser crime than perjury which rarely cops a long sentence.
So I guess I can withdraw the comment about not pleading guilty but add to it that if that is ALL that Mueller has on him the case is absurd.
Wow – that’ll learn’em. Yes as i said low level flunkies working in Russia. Maybe their boss will get some sanctions but so has everyone else in Russia and probably Germany to soon.
Now rubbish Cameron. The stuff in the Reseach agency was posted in 015. It is very, very old news.
In any case spy agencies that are known are a lot less dangerous than those unknown. The obvious question is why was the FBI so incompetent to allow a known spy agency to conduct this sort of operation.
Given that the USA is meddling in Venezuela at this very moment it is a bit pot calling kettle black. But hey one rule for the great and powerful another for the poor and weak eh what!
Yes but the Manafort stuff may fall over. Judge Ellis to report soon. Sorry it is not that the Manafort case will fall – he is guilty but it may be removed from Mueller so not able to use it in plea bargaining.
The Flynn stuff is trivial. Papadopolos is a low level attention seeker and FFS relies on our Dolly for support.
Big deal. They are not going to present to a US court are they
Too bloody complex and Machiavellian. Trump will remove Mueller before it can happen possibly opening the way for impeachment but probably not.
maybe but if he has it why has it taken so long. As discussed Mueller will get the boot before he can make this old stuff public. If there is Russian stuff he can report, but I reckon he will be sacked before he can publish the tax stuff.
You also conveniently ignore the DoJ investigations and possible indictments of the FBI, putting Rosenstein in jeopardy
Perhaps not but it will be what the public believes that matters. The fact that it is the same guy the Bush senior sent to spy on Carter will not look good in the eyes of the public.
Vox – not the most reliable of cources
I love new ideas,
https://www.sydneycriminallawyers.com.au/blog/bring-back-beatings-and-ban-immigrants-demands-nsw-liberal-party-branch-president/
Cameron
I think if Mueller has anything at all it will be THIS.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/49466.htm
Mind you Clinton has a few too many links with Saudi -especially through her CoS who grew up in Saudi
I thought it was Gerard Henderson on the rocking horse.
stt
‘Well since I gather his only offence is lying to an FBI agent it is not exactly grand larceny. ‘
Not the point, at all, at all.
It is very easy to prove lying to the FBI. It is much more difficult to prove just about anything else. So the FBI parlays the lies into something much more valuable.
The convention is that the perps who flip do a deal. They plead guilty to fibbing to the FBI. This gets them off things like grand larceny.
In exchange for testimony that might help jail the Big Fish.
Don’t know who they worked for Bemused.
Boerwar @ #760 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 6:58 pm
Lying to the FBi is not a good survival strategy.
Trump has already rolled on the Stormy Daniels stuff. I expect there will be more.
GG
Yes but in the scheme of things it is not a major crime. Particularly at this time when the FBI may be in for a dose of castor oil too,
GG
Those bastards are so used to lying that the distinction between telling the the truth and lying does not exist for them.
The combination of their abuse of words, and of their arrogance, plays straight into the hands of the FBI.
Qanda tonight features that rare and endangered species: A Liberal woman MP!
C
She is just trying to get a word in before they deselect her on merit.
daretotread. @ #763 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:12 pm
Only if you think a 30 year sentence is not a major inconvenience to your life style.
Mueller is rolling them all up the line, one at a time until he gets his result.
Trump’s tweets tell you he is petrified!
BW
Yes the intention to cause them to “sing” (Judge Ellis’s term) is obvious. However i think the willingness of Flynn and Manafort to “sing” is shaky. Not sure about the others.
The point is that proving there was knowing collusion with Russia or even nambiguous receipt of russian money looks difficult.
That is probably why Mueller has shifted to look at israle, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. When it comes to Jared I reckon they will find a gold mine.
Boerwar:
Quite likely!!
Trump’s tweets have escalated in hysteria since Cohen’s office was raided.
Oh for the days when dtt just used to say cockamamie things about Ebola. 🙂
dtt
I suggest you think of lies as the Trump Administration’s very own Ebola.
jenauthor @ #761 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:06 pm
At the political level NBN is an unmitigated disaster since Mal took over.
I think even their chosen CEO, Bill Morrow, has now recanted a lot of the words he uttered on behalf of the Govt. and is leaving.
As for the rest at NBN, I think they generally do what they are told to do and do their best. As the saying goes, you can put lipstick on a pig, but it’s still a pig.
Those doing the actual work are contractors, sub-contractors, and sub-sub-contractors and some employees at any of these levels. When you accept the lowest bid, you are not going to get a first class job.
What amazes me is how Trump’s self-serving Tweets have taken on the gravity of serious comment, simply because he holds the position of POTUS. And, boy, doesn’t he milk it for all it’s worth!?!
Greensborough Growler @ #766 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:17 pm
GG
Who are we talking abut.
Manafort is certainly going to do some serious time. However the issue is whether he will be able to plea bargain with Mueller. We should know this week, but from his comments Judge Ellis does not look inclined to allow it.
Flynn has only been charges with lying to an FBI officer. Now this cannot possibly carry a long sentence (perhaps Peter Dutton would love such a penalty) but in all seriousness this would put the US into full on police state mode. So I imagine even if found guilty Flynn would cop a fine or a couple of weeks jail.
Leon @ #757 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 6:56 pm
Nah, Gerard Hendersen is off his rocker. 🙂
Did not know of this back in the day. A bit of interfering in US election by the CIA resurfaces.
https://theintercept.com/2018/05/19/the-fbi-informant-who-monitored-the-trump-campaign-stefan-halper-oversaw-a-cia-spying-operation-in-the-1980-presidential-election/
C@tmomma @ #772 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:22 pm
👍👍
Barney, if you’re around. You asked this morning how much force it would take to hurl a 1m boulder 800m. Assuming lots of things I came up with approx 200kN for a second, which is approx 20 Tonnes Weight for a second, or if you can imagine a system of levers and pulleys about 800 people lifting approx 25kg for a second or so. Two caveats: single digit accuracy, calculations and logic not checked.
🙂
daretotread. @ #775 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:21 pm
My guess is that Trump junior is about to be skewered!
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/20/us/politics/mueller-trump-obstruction-september-giuliani.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news
1. Does anyone really think Mueller is going to be bullied into a timeframe that suits Trump?
2. Love how when the boot is on the other foot, suddenly you can’t have an investigation that might taint an election result. No such concern was ever expressed re Comey’s announcement weeks out from the presidential election in 2016 that the FBI was re-opening the Clinton email nothing burger.
HITLER DEAD!
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/french-researchers-have-the-final-word-on-hitler-turns-out-he-s-dead-20180521-p4zgjr.html
… and in other news…
MENZIES DEFEATS CHIFLEY!
GG
Yes I agree about trump Junior.
However I think Trump will intervene BEFORE to get him off the hook.
He will demand that Mueller wrap up the inquiry. He will order sessions to retake charge of the case sack Rosenstein and then Mueller. If sessions will not he will fire sessions (by tweet obviously).
Not sure who takes charge of DoJ is Sessions goes but whoever it is will be a Trump person.
Now the issue will be what will be the electoral impact of going after Donny Jnr. Now as I have postedmany times in unrelated areas, I think that there may be blow back and it might engender sympathy for Trump.
No one likes it when people gun for families of prominent people. I just think people do not care enough about the offences to get all bothered by it. Partisan democrats will of course but not so much the general public ie voters.
Well that answers my 1. below.
OMG! Now the US military is trying to assist school shootings 😆
“Military Helicopter Drops Ammo over School
A military helicopter accidentally dropped a box full of ammunition over a Texas elementary school Thursday mid-afternoon, leaving a gaping hole in the roof, according to officials.
Local police retrieved the ammunition and will return it to Fort Bliss Military Police, KTSM reported, citing an official from the base.”
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2018/05/18/military-helicopter-drops-ammo-over-school-busts-hole-roof.html
p
It did not drop ammo over the school.
It dropped ammo into the school.
This article presupposes that AGL gives a stuff about what Turnbull & co think:
Boerwar @ #786 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 5:52 pm
Or even ON the school.
Late Riser @ #779 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 4:26 pm
Cheers,
I had a little play and came up with an initial velocity of about 90 m/s, max height of 405m and a flight time of 18s, assuming an initial 45° trajectory. 🙂
Did anyone check whether the school had an ‘X’ painted on the roof before the military dropped the ammo?
While over the school they dropped ammo onto the roof and into the school 🙂
citizen @ #790 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 4:58 pm
If they are true to form the cross would have been red! 🙁
Presumably this is a significant development in Victoria:
Jenauthor @5:46PM “I’d love to see Pyne as Lib LOTO … can you imagine? Whiney Pyney would keep them out of office for a quarter century”
Even if Christopher Pyne were to be chosen as leader, this won’t happen. The Liberals regard being in Opposition as a violation of the laws of nature. History has shown that they do not tolerate failure, even before it happens. They’ll change leaders annually until they find someone who looks likely to win.
Barney in Go Dau @ #789 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 7:57 pm
My assumption was steeper, 64 degrees, so as to reduce roll on landing. Flight time also 18s.
Looks to me like the union wants to back a winning horse, rather than be locked into supporting a go-nowhere party which can’t actually do anything except protest.
So where the F is Abbott coming from with his claim the Govt should force AGL to sell the power station to them so they can sell it to AGL?? Did we all of a sudden go communist?? 🙂
Seems that they want to deprive a company of an asset, and then onsell to their mates.
David Brooks of the NY Times says that if Trump elects to fire Mueller he thinks the Republicans will go along with it. He refers to the work of Foxnews.
Pretty remarkable that a dubious “celebrity “ with no experience in government, can take over the Grand Old Party. He must have something going for him.