BludgerTrack: 51.9-48.1 to Labor

No change in voting intention, but Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is at its strongest in nearly two years.

The post-budget poll flurry prompted much confusion, amid divergent headline figures from Newspoll and Ipsos (more on that from me in a paywalled Crikey article), but it has made no difference to the two-party preferred reading from BludgerTrack. What has changed is the seat projection, which is entirely down to the Queensland-only Galaxy poll, which has boosted the Coalition by 2.9% and three seats in that state. Labor also loses one of its two gains from a quirky result in Victoria last week.

The other notable movement this week is the upswing in Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings, as recorded by both Newspoll and Ipsos. Turnbull’s net approval reading on BludgerTrack is up 6.0% to minus 13.9%, returning him to around where he was at the time of the last election. Bill Shorten is more or less unchanged, and Turnbull’s improvement on preferred prime minister is a relatively modest 2.9%, putting his margin over Shorten at 11.5%. Full results from the link below:

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

872 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.9-48.1 to Labor”

  1. And Nunes? Nunes is what is commonly termed ‘a clown’. Think Malcolm Roberts or some other One Nation tool.

    I like to think of Nunes as Trump’s Quisling in Congress.

  2. Yay! Someone mentioned Ged Kearney! Cue her Maiden Speech in parliament:

    SNIP: Self-indulgent 3708 word cut-and-paste job deleted – The Management.

    Brilliant! Ged for PM! After Bill. 🙂

  3. According to a front page story on The Australian tomorrow, Pauline Hanson has withdrawn One Nation’s support for the government’s company tax cuts.

  4. Leroy @ #855 Monday, May 21st, 2018 – 8:03 pm

    According to a front page story on The Australian tomorrow, Pauline Hanson has withdrawn One Nation’s support for the government’s company tax cuts.

    Good news but not surprising with the reports of the breakdown of negotiations over preferences.

    The question is, How long will this be the case?

    The way Divided Nation flops around I can’t imagine it will be for very long!!! 🙁

  5. There is only one cure for the disease that is Donald Trump. Mortality.

    Novichok?

    Now, that would really mess with dtt’s head 🙂

  6. “The question is, How long will this be the case?”

    One Nation will tell the Government to cut ABC funding further or do something else they want to do anyway and the Government will fold. After all, the Coalition have to do their paymasters’ bidding, and they really want to pay even less tax than they already do.

  7. I’m not normally one for reading Trump’s tweets, but see above that he randomly Capitalises words mid-sentence… like This. Presumably it is done for Emphasis, but I wouldn’t put it past him to not be that Literate. And yes, there’s some deliberate Irony in this Post!

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