With Newspoll holding its fire ahead of tonight’s budget, the one new federal poll for the week is the regular fortnightly result from Essential Research – which, The Guardian reports, has maintained its recent form in recording Labor’s lead unchanged at 53-47. Primary votes to follow with the publication of the full report later today. The poll also features Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which have Malcolm Turnbull on 40% approval (up one) and 42% disapproval (steady), Bill Shorten on 37% approval (up two) and 41% disapproval (down two), and Turnbull leading 40-26 as preferred prime minister, little changed from 41-26 last time.
As related in The Guardian’s report, other questions relate to what respondents would like in the budget, of which the most interesting findings would seem to be an 11% increase for “assistance for the unemployed” compared with last year, along with 8% increases for age pensions, affordable housing and assistance for the needy. The most favoured categories overall are health care, age pensions, education and affordable housing; the least favoured are foreign aid, business assistance and the military. Eighteen per cent expect the budget to be good for them personally (up eight on last year) compared with 24% for bad (down six), and 39% now rate the economy good (up six since November) compared with 24% for bad.
Note also the post below this one on the looming Western Australian state by-election in Darling Range.
UPDATE: Full results from Essential Research here. Both major parties are up a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 38% and Labor to 37%, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation down two to 6%.
Fantastic speech thus far.
Shorten is a twin? I didn’t know that.
Speaking softly and carrying a big stick.
I like it.
BK:
And sound applause for the climate change announcements.
I like Shorten more when he’s speaking more quickly than when he started.
Bushfire Bill @ #1610 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 6:56 pm
I knew he was sus from the moment I found out he was a Richmond supporter. In melbourne speak, a Richmond supporter is a Collingwood supporter without teeth!
“It’s wonderful. Does that make me a masochist ❓”
If i does, me too! 🙂
I reckon the Libs, with the willing help of the MSM, will go the dismissive response to this. Which will then fall in a steaming heap of poo if they cant get their “all or nuthing” tax package through.
Not to be a party pooper but its a tactic to stuff the galleries with your supporters in a budget reply speech.
Boerwar @ #1653 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 5:54 pm
Let’s hope he carries this attitude to his interview with Sales, as we know from previous interviews, he will need it to counter her constant interjections!
Unless they are female, in which case they are definitely Collingwood supporters!
The $80 billion to the Big End of Town is absolutely deadly.
‘Ides of March not.logged in says:
Thursday, May 10, 2018 at 7:57 pm
Not to be a party pooper but its a tactic to stuff the galleries with your supporters in a budget reply speech.’
You are a party pooper.
Shorten’s has answered the inevitable “Where’s the money coming from?” question on a dozen occasions.
BK
Yep. Whatever the question is, the answer is $80 billion.
I think Susan Carland is a much more interesting person than her husband, Waleed.
Confessions @ #1653 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 7:54 pm
His brother is Rex!
BW
Agree, this is Turnbull’s achilles heel.
“The $80 billion to the Big End of Town is absolutely deadly.”
And how well is Shorten weaving this onto the narrative…again, and again, and again…. ?? 🙂
Its well structured, has some damn good content, and is repeatedly hitting emotional buttons.
Interesting the TAFE places funding?? Good policy. Also, appeals to the “fwark off we are full” crowd as well.
Who is the lady behind Bill ❓
Wearing glasses looking a little severe.
He’s just figuratively slapped Turnbull on the cheek with a glove. It’s a duel on Super Saturday!
Cracker.
“I’ll fight for the ABC”. Loads more applause.
Well done Mr shorten.
Tunbull’s supercilious rictus grin is not a good look.
Onya Bill
BILL FOR PM
KayJay @ #1669 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 8:03 pm
It might be Christopher Pyne!
So…Turnbull with an $80Billion smelly albatross around his neck. 🙂
Well I’ll take that as a budget reply speech. Much better than the smoke and mirrors of the govt, and I loved seeing Turnbull squirming and looking uncomfortable. No Malcolm, the public isn’t listening to you anymore and they haven’t for a while now.
i
Turnbull:
“Water, water, everywhere,
And all the boards did shrink;
Water, water, everywhere,
Nor any drop to drink.”
Good to see everyone here is in agreement that that was one hell of a speech. Of course Steve Price has already pronounced it a very poor presentation. Wanker.
Cue Government panic!
.@billshortenmp: This is our pledge to 10 million working Australians. Under Labor you will pay less income tax because I think that you are more important than multinationals, big banks and big business.
BK says:
It was quite a challenge. Malcolm is on the right
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8XeDvKqI4E
Great speech great policies from Mr Shorten.
Chris Richardson praising. the speech. Pointing out that Mr Shorten spends little of the election war chest in this speech
I have said a few times here that Shorten doesn’t read a speech well. The emphasis and inflection never seems quite right. Off the cuff works much better.
But if he can keep mentioning $80 billion dollars he will go OK.
Greensborough Growler @ #1601 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 8:04 pm
Stopit. I’m not a well man.
A couple of weeks ago one of the sorta news programs was showing police folk with trainee police dogs (pups) at a childrens’ hospital.
A little boy was shown sitting against a wall saying plaintively “I like kisses, but not all the time”).
So Chrissy Pine it is with a new jacket and hairdo.
Can anybody else hear the deep hollow voice in the background
crying out
DOOMED ——– DOOMED —
Erik Bashaw tweets
Chris Richardson: “Labor has spent just a fraction of its $350 billion war chest in that speech.” #auspol
kayjay:
It is Cathy O’Toole.
Andrew Bolt has declared it “very effective”.
If you haven’t seen Shortens speech then you need to get on Facebook or YouTube. Shorten was sublime.
The battle lines have been drawn for the next election.
kayjay:
I didnt watch Morrison’s budget speech. Shorten’s was okay in terms of presentation and delivery. Personally I liked the policy announcements and do go to Labor territory.
Long story short, this reply wont move the needle but the selling of the policies may.
Here we go.
Sales with Mr Shorten now
Ides, it’s always the content, never words.
I didn’t know it was that high. Where did all that come from?
kayjay,
Confessions @ #1612 Thursday, May 10th, 2018 – 8:10 pm
Thank you VM indeed. 😍
I’ve just had a quick Google. Sound rude n’est-ce pas ❓
Darn:
Labor’s policies are vastly superior to those of the coalition, and in the national interest therefore the end result is going to be more sustainable and realistic budget announcements.
Big finish
“Put it to the test in Caboolture, put it to the test in Burnie, put it to the test in Fremantle and in Perth. I will put my better, fairer, bigger income tax cut against yours. I’ll put my plans to rescue hospitals and fund Medicare against your cuts.
“I’ll put my plans to properly fund schools against your cuts and I’ll put my plan to boost wages against your plan to cut penalty rates and I’ll put my plans for 100,000 TAFE places against your cuts to apprenticeships and training andI’ll fight for the ABC against your cuts.
“And house by house, street by street, suburb by suburb, my team and I will make this a referendum on your $80 billion corporate tax giveaway to multinationals, big business and the big banks.”
If I had written that I would be happy. and the delivery was spot on.
“May I interrupt your questions with an occasional answer?”