Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

Labor maintains its existing lead in the latest Essential poll, despite improving perceptions on the outlook for the economy.

With Newspoll holding its fire ahead of tonight’s budget, the one new federal poll for the week is the regular fortnightly result from Essential Research – which, The Guardian reports, has maintained its recent form in recording Labor’s lead unchanged at 53-47. Primary votes to follow with the publication of the full report later today. The poll also features Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which have Malcolm Turnbull on 40% approval (up one) and 42% disapproval (steady), Bill Shorten on 37% approval (up two) and 41% disapproval (down two), and Turnbull leading 40-26 as preferred prime minister, little changed from 41-26 last time.

As related in The Guardian’s report, other questions relate to what respondents would like in the budget, of which the most interesting findings would seem to be an 11% increase for “assistance for the unemployed” compared with last year, along with 8% increases for age pensions, affordable housing and assistance for the needy. The most favoured categories overall are health care, age pensions, education and affordable housing; the least favoured are foreign aid, business assistance and the military. Eighteen per cent expect the budget to be good for them personally (up eight on last year) compared with 24% for bad (down six), and 39% now rate the economy good (up six since November) compared with 24% for bad.

Note also the post below this one on the looming Western Australian state by-election in Darling Range.

UPDATE: Full results from Essential Research here. Both major parties are up a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 38% and Labor to 37%, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation down two to 6%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,901 comments on “Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. If the tax rebate doesn’t arrive until after tax returns are in, does that mean that an early election will not be of advantage to Turnbull?

  2. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Here is the lowdown on this week’s Guardian-Essential poll.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/may/08/voters-rank-hospital-and-school-funding-above-tax-cuts-guardian-essential-poll
    Peter Costello has slammed the Turnbull government’s budget strategy, predicting he will die before the nation’s finances return to a healthy state and calling for spending to be slashed by at least $18 billion a year to fix the problem.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/peter-costello-slams-the-turnbull-government-s-budget-strategy-20180507-p4zdwy.html
    Paul Bongiorno says that this is Morrison’s last roll of the dice.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/news-federal-budget/2018/05/07/budget-2018-scott-morrison/
    Marion Terrill tells Morrison that if infrastructure projects are never going to make a commercial return, the government should stop pretending they will. And if they are worth building at all, the government should fund them transparently on-budget.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-needs-to-be-upfront-about-infrastructure-funding-20180507-p4zdst.html
    Alan Kohler calls BS on Morrison’s branding of the Coalition as a low taxing government.
    https://outline.com/EMYZd9
    And this article in the AFR says it’s a fiscal fantasy entrenched by failing to tackle debt.
    https://outline.com/3w2aAN
    One of the many measures included in the Budget Savings (Omnibus) Bill 2016 passed in September 2016 could result in increased administration costs for some small businesses. The measure is called “Single Touch Payroll reporting” that will force every employer in Australia to use an electronic payroll system.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/budget-savings-result-in-increased-admin-costs-20180507-p4zdub.html
    Here’s what the Australian thinks will be in the budget for seniors.
    https://outline.com/8dD2cg
    Michael Koziol complains that politicians can’t seem to give a straight answer on Newstart.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/just-say-no-politicians-can-t-seem-to-give-a-straight-answer-on-newstart-20180507-p4zdwi.html
    Peter Hartcher write about George Brandis’s bizarre journey in which he started out as a villain for the left but became its darling before leaving politics to take up the job in London.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/george-brandis-bizarre-journey-20180507-p4zdso.html
    Trump scrapping the Iran nuclear deal could trigger ‘an uncontrollable chain of events’.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/scrapping-iran-deal-could-trigger-an-uncontrollable-chain-of-events-20180507-p4zdsx.html
    Elizabeth Knight says that Westpac chief executive Brian Hartzer is taking a sizeable punt with his decision to retain the bank’s investment in wealth management when his banking competitors are looking to do the opposite.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/integration-is-banking-s-dirty-word-that-westpac-loves-to-say-20180507-p4zdve.html
    AMP has opened talks with lawyers representing its former general counsel, Brian Salter, after apparent inconsistencies emerged in the company’s reasons for sacking him and withholding remuneration.
    https://outline.com/xF7wRu
    Hartzer has defended Westpac’s practice of linking a portion of financial planners’ bonuses to how much revenue they bring in, a type of incentive that rival ANZ Bank says it will scrap.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/why-would-they-work-for-us-westpac-defends-financial-planner-pay-20180507-p4zdvz.html
    Tomorrow is Katy Gallagher day at the High Court.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/katy-gallagher-faces-high-court-ruling-on-citizenship-saga-20180507-p4zdt4.html
    Adani’s coal-fired power business has reported more heavy losses, prompting the Indian conglomerate to announce it would shift away from using expensive imported coal. Does this render the Carmichael mine unviable?
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/may/07/adani-coal-losses-prompt-mining-company-to-shift-from-imported-coal
    Want to buy a franchise? Thought not.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/i-was-effectively-a-slave-broken-red-rooster-and-oporto-franchisees-20180507-p4zdvr.html
    Jenna Price hits back at the criticisms of women on boards.
    https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/boards-with-women-are-better-20180507-h0zqrz.html
    Donald’s and Melania’s separate lives.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/a-year-into-the-presidency-melania-trump-raises-her-profile-20180507-p4zdwz.html
    CFMMEU boss John Setka is taking his fight against blackmail charges to the High Court as committal hearings in Melbourne begin.
    https://outline.com/qPx7mj
    Look who the NRA has just named as its president!
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/nra-names-oliver-north-known-for-reagan-era-scandal-as-president-20180508-p4zdxj.html
    Australia’s recycling industry is in crisis, with China having effectively closed its borders to foreign recycling. Emergency measures have included stockpiling, landfilling, and trying to find other international destinations for our recycling – but none of these are sustainable long-term solutions. Informative.
    https://theconversation.com/a-crisis-too-big-to-waste-chinas-recycling-ban-calls-for-a-long-term-rethink-in-australia-95877
    Michelle Grattan says that the live sheep trade has received a fresh blow, with the Australian Veterinary Association opposing voyages in the northern summer, between May and October.
    https://theconversation.com/stop-the-sheep-trade-in-the-northern-summer-veterinarians-say-96227
    Last Wednesday (2 May), Liberal MP Julia Banks – one of the nodding heads behind Malcolm Turnbull when Question Time is televised – claimed she could live on the Newstart allowance of $40 a day while looking for a job. John Passant comments.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/can-liberal-mp-julia-banks—or-anyone—live-on-40-per-day,11472
    It’s not just our teachers who do unpaid work. We have all too readily accepted that the 40-hour work week is a thing of the distant past.
    https://www.theage.com.au/business/careers/whatever-happened-to-the-40-hour-week-20180507-p4zduy.html
    Yesterday it was Mormons in the Victorian party and today it’s this in the NSW Liberal Party.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/20-000-lashes-for-murder-liberal-party-branch-to-debate-proposal-for-corporal-punishment-20180507-p4zdup.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Another visual assault by David Rowe.

    Mark David with budget preparations.

    Peter Broelman with a reminder for Morrison.

    And another from Mark Knight.

    Zanetti reckons Morrison has trumped Shorten on seniors.

    Ouch! Glen Le Lievre nails “Jobs and Growth”.

    Alan Moir and Morrison’s budget preparations.

    Cathy Wilcox captures Giuliani perfectly.

    Mark Knight and our corporate watchdog.

    A cracker from David Pope.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
    And a few more in here.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/best-of-fairfax-cartoons-may-8-20180507-h0zrfs.html

  3. Morning all. The budget is not even out yet and the leaked “gifts” are rightly being questioned. Why call rail funds an equity investment when no PT in Australia makes an operating profit? Turnbull is just hiding debt as he tries to spend his way back to reelection. And how come the rail money must be repaid while the road money is not? Transurban must practically own the Liberal party by now.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/state-row-looms-over-24-5-billion-budget-rail-projects-20180507-p4zdwo.html

  4. Of course here in SA our new Liberal premier Marshall has done well for us, with SA securing a share of the national infrastructure fund (1.5/24) roughly equal to its share of population (6%). Great! Last year we missed out because Labor had “not submitted business cases”. So has Marshall done them all and been signed off by IA in less than two months? Remarkable if true.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-07/sa-infrastructure-gets-1.5-billion-in-federal-budget/9733922?WT.ac=statenews_sa

  6. Specifically:

    And in news that will shock some Labor MPs, ReachTEL polling commissioned by the Bus Association of Victoria — which is at war with the government over new contracts — has the ALP trailing the Coalition 53-47 on a two-party preferred basis.

    Labor’s primary vote is 34 per cent to the Liberals’ 39 per cent.

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/legal-figures-call-for-mps-to-face-new-probe-over-rorts-for-votes-scandal/news-story/6736121ef55e7e541263314cb731d690

  7. Researchers from the University of Sydney, University of Queensland and National Cheng Kung University – including ourselves – worked together to assess the entire supply chain of tourism.

    This includes transportation, accommodation, food and beverages, souvenirs, clothing, cosmetics and other goods.

    Put together, global tourism produces about 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions, much more than previous estimates.

    https://theconversation.com/the-carbon-footprint-of-tourism-revealed-its-bigger-than-we-thought-96200?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=twitterbutton

  8. So how broad is the ‘broad church’ of the Liberal party? From the Dawn Patrol this is a hint. Is there anything about the Carlingford area that would contribute to it having a…..” notoriously hard-right Carlingford branch”?

    Mr Popowski, who authored the motion, also urged the reintroduction of corporal punishment, arguing it was the “fairest” form of retribution because “we all feel the same pain”.

    He proposed 10 lashes for theft of a T-shirt, 1000 lashes for stealing a car (2000 if the vehicle is damaged), 5000 lashes for punching a police officer and 20,000 lashes for murder.
    The floggings should be “delivered at 10 lashes per hour – every hour from 9am to 5pm, with one hour for lunch”, Mr Popowski wrote. The sentence would be doubled for second-time offenders.

    Mr Popowski made headlines in 2016 when he brought a motion to a party conference calling for an immediate ban on all immigration, labelling migrants “criminals”, “bastards” and “jihadists”.

  9. I suppose Mr Popowski’s ancestors came over on the First Fleet. Or maybe he is a descendant only of people who lived here in 1787.

    But seriously, there is a very disturbing thread of authoritarianism and xenophobia throughout the fabric of the “Liberal” party. It’s not just confined to fringe extremists.

    As for Carlingford, it’s just a slice of suburban middle Australia in NW Sydney, split between the Federal electorates of Berowra, Bennelong and Parramatta.

  10. poroti @ #8 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 4:46 am

    So how broad is the ‘broad church’ of the Liberal party? From the Dawn Patrol this is a hint. Is there anything about the Carlingford area that would contribute to it having a…..” notoriously hard-right Carlingford branch”?

    Mr Popowski, who authored the motion, also urged the reintroduction of corporal punishment, arguing it was the “fairest” form of retribution because “we all feel the same pain”.

    He proposed 10 lashes for theft of a T-shirt, 1000 lashes for stealing a car (2000 if the vehicle is damaged), 5000 lashes for punching a police officer and 20,000 lashes for murder.
    The floggings should be “delivered at 10 lashes per hour – every hour from 9am to 5pm, with one hour for lunch”, Mr Popowski wrote. The sentence would be doubled for second-time offenders.

    Mr Popowski made headlines in 2016 when he brought a motion to a party conference calling for an immediate ban on all immigration, labelling migrants “criminals”, “bastards” and “jihadists”.

    This guy makes a good case for the introduction of Sharia Law which would be in many ways less draconian!

    Idiot!!!!
    🙂

  12. The general feeling I get from this review is that our politicians and potential politicians are idiots incapable of understanding a form and complying with its requirements!

    I hope the poor dears never have to deal with Centrelink! 🙂

    Also the report is a little premature as tomorrows HC decision should do much to clarify a candidates requirements to validly stand for election.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/may/08/referendum-the-only-way-to-solve-australias-citizenship-crisis

  13. The Vic Reachtel was commissioned by a group waging a campaign against Labor in that state. I remember William refusing to acknowledge a poll commission by an education union in 2016, because of possible bias. I assume the same rule will apply.

  14. Jake TapperVerified account@jaketapper
    14m14 minutes ago
    Melania Trump fights cyberbullying, urges kindness, despite example set by husband https://cnn.it/2JYsrtK Phil Mudd @KirstenPowers @DavidJUrban on @TheLeadCNN

    Wouldn’t it be good if she turned her attentions closer to home…

  15. Sohar @ #13 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 5:19 am

    The Vic Reachtel was commissioned by a group waging a campaign against Labor in that state. I remember William refusing to acknowledge a poll commission by an education union in 2016, because of possible bias. I assume the same rule will apply.

    I’ve never heard of William refusing to acknowledge a poll.

    He certainly has a policy of not to consider or take account of such polls when it comes Bludger Track. 🙂

  16. poroti @ #11 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 8:13 am

    Please let it be so.

    Peter Dutton’s power grabs may yet be his undoing
    Richard Ackland

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/may/08/peter-duttons-power-grabs-may-yet-be-his-undoing

    poroti

    While we’re on it ~

    Here’s more insight into how Dutton and his minions work in denying access to mainland Australian (where the risk is an application for an injunction against return) for anyone ill, desperate, and / or pregnant on Nauru. The inhumanity is shocking. And the now disgraced Roman Quaedvlieg, who sucked 500K from the public teat during an excruciatingly slow enquiry into his misconduct, has the gall to embrace the concept of an ethical dilemma.

    From July 2017, however, the responsibility for decision-making was transferred to Nauru Hospital’s Overseas Medical Referral Committee (OMR). This Committee is somewhat ad hoc. It meets only infrequently, keeps few records and * possesses limited medical expertise *. The principal consequence of this transfer of responsibility has been that far fewer requests for medical transfers have been approved than under the previous arrangement. And conflicts of interest abound.

    http://johnmenadue.com/spencer-zifcak-need-an-urgent-medical-transfer-from-nauru-forget-it/

  17. Sohar says:
    Tuesday, May 8, 2018 at 8:19 am

    “The Vic Reachtel was commissioned by a group waging a campaign against Labor in that state. I remember William refusing to acknowledge a poll commission by an education union in 2016, because of possible bias. I assume the same rule will apply.”

    If there is a skerrick of validity in the results of this particular poll then there is no hope for any of us and the mormans,fundamentalist do it my way christians can take over and drag Victoria back to the dark ages.
    The Victorian Government is trying to loosen the grip of a few self interested Bus companies that have been drip fed for a generation and have no truck with performance based contracts or improving services see it not to their advantage.
    This is by far the best performing get it done government that Victoria has had in generations,far from perfect but progressive and focused.

  18. We have been told that low income earners will get $550 pa extra. Hmm that number rings a bell,. Ah yes, the magic bullshit number the Libs pluck from their arse.
    .
    Aug 16, 2015
    Treasurer Joe Hockey said newly released Treasury documents show electricity prices have come down $550 per household since abolishing the carbon tax.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-08-17/joe-hockey-550-electricity-prices-carbon-tax-fact-check/6668552
    Aug 28, 2013
    Tony Abbott’s claim households will be $550 a year better
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-08-28/abbott-using-outdated-figure-on-carbon-tax-cost/4912726

  20. ItzaDream @ #16 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 5:45 am

    poroti @ #11 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 8:13 am

    Please let it be so.

    Peter Dutton’s power grabs may yet be his undoing
    Richard Ackland

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/may/08/peter-duttons-power-grabs-may-yet-be-his-undoing

    poroti

    While we’re on it ~

    Here’s more insight into how Dutton and his minions work in denying access to mainland Australian (where the risk is an application for an injunction against return) for anyone ill, desperate, and / or pregnant on Nauru. The inhumanity is shocking. And the now disgraced Roman Quaedvlieg, who sucked 500K from the public teat during an excruciatingly slow enquiry into his misconduct, has the gall to embrace the concept of an ethical dilemma.

    From July 2017, however, the responsibility for decision-making was transferred to Nauru Hospital’s Overseas Medical Referral Committee (OMR). This Committee is somewhat ad hoc. It meets only infrequently, keeps few records and * possesses limited medical expertise *. The principal consequence of this transfer of responsibility has been that far fewer requests for medical transfers have been approved than under the previous arrangement. And conflicts of interest abound.

    http://johnmenadue.com/spencer-zifcak-need-an-urgent-medical-transfer-from-nauru-forget-it/

    Another point of delay also seems to be trying to obtain permission to send them to a third country like Singapore or Taiwan for treatment.

    It only seems that Australia becomes an option in the case of an extreme emergency or when forced to do so by our courts. 🙁

  21. $550. My life will be so much better with an extra $10.57 a week.
    Oh hang on the rent,rego,electricity,gas,petrol,council rates,water rates,and insurance just went up by a $1100 a year or $21 a week…Ah well.

  22. Graeme

    Just saw your post. Hear hear!

    Just this week our train line reopened. New tunnel allowing duplication of line between stations in my part of the woods. Also, a level crossing removed and station rebuilt. This would not have been done under Matthew Guy and his fiberals.

  23. Thanks BK. More on the new NRA president:

    After his conviction was vacated, North launched a failed Senate race in Virginia, and later became a fixture on Fox News and in the rest of the right-wing media universe. He has embraced a variety of crackpot positions (e.g., pro-nuclear proliferation, and backing Erik Prince’s proposal to form a private army) and conspiracy theories (e.g., speculating in 2013 that Saddam Hussein really did have weapons of mass destruction, and accusing President Barack Obama of paying ransom to terrorists who captured Army Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl). Think of him as a more physically fit Sean Hannity.

    North is the ideal person to be the public face of the NRA. Loopy conspiracies, victimization and extreme anti-government rhetoric are now becoming commonplace for NRA figures (including spokeswoman Dana Loesch, who accused the media of loving mass shootings) and among the right-wing universe that thrills to the Conservative Political Action Conference, absorbs hours of Fox News and hangs on the words of right-wing talk shows. Ranging far beyond gun rights, it has become a hotbed of anti-government conspiracy theories: Wayne LaPierre, the group’s chief executive, earlier this year declared of the Democrats, “If they seize power, if the so-called European socialists take over the House and the Senate and, God forbid, they get the White House again, our American freedoms could be lost and our country will be changed forever.” In the venom-soaked, anti-fact world in which these people operate, North is a truth-teller and a hero.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2018/05/07/the-nras-descent-into-crackpottery-continues/?utm_term=.3821e5df0b48

  25. My impression of Matthew Guy from the other side of the country is someone much like those shady characters that inhabit Trump World. I can’t imagine why Victorians would want such a person as their premier!

  26. Yep. Cost of living is increasing exponentially. As mentioned previously, even petrol has been hovering around the 1.50 per litre mark for a while. Also the fact that our fuel supplies are not in keeping with demand, is another issue.

  28. Victoria @ #26 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 6:04 am

    Yep. Cost of living is increasing exponentially. As mentioned previously, even petrol has been hovering around the 1.50 per litre mark for a while. Also the fact that our fuel supplies are not in keeping with demand, is another issue.

    Hate to sound like P1 but “exponentially” I think not! 🙂

  29. Fess

    Meanwhile the ever entertaining Rick Wilson has a couple of interesting tweets that are pertinent to the ongoing saga……

    Rick Wilson
    Rick Wilson
    @TheRickWilson
    ·
    4h
    So of the two major things I learned from person who called me earlier today, I’ve been able to verify is Trump’s extraordinary concern in trump world over the money stories, both the one about him and the one about Cohen.
    Rick Wilson
    Rick Wilson
    @TheRickWilson
    ·
    4h
    When InfoRebelGatewayBartTruNewz blows the lid off of PizzagateRat, you’ll see just How Deep The Conspiracy goes

  30. GOP strategist Rick Wilson sitting on something :

    Rick Wilson‏Verified account @TheRickWilson

    Just wrapped quite a long call with someone who shouldn’t be leaking to me.

    But I must say this person, you’ve made a fine choice.

    Imma process this a bit. Y’all hold on.

    I have a couple calls out to other people to verify.

    So of the two major things I learned from person who called me earlier today, I’ve been able to verify is Trump’s extraordinary concern in trump world over the money stories, both the one about him and the one about Cohen.

  32. Confessions @ #23 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 9:01 am

    Thanks BK. More on the new NRA president:

    After his conviction was vacated, North launched a failed Senate race in Virginia, and later became a fixture on Fox News …..

    …. if the so-called European socialists take over the House and the Senate and, God forbid, they get the White House again, * our American freedoms* could be lost and our country will be changed forever.” In the venom-soaked, anti-fact world in which these people operate, North is a truth-teller and a hero.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2018/05/07/the-nras-descent-into-crackpottery-continues/?utm_term=.3821e5df0b48

    Another seriously nasty crook.

    On the freedom thing:

    George Monbiot makes the obvious but oft overlooked point that when the neolibs and fascists start talking about freedoms, it is imperative to ask them exactly what freedoms *they* want and exactly what freedoms they want to deny others.

    I linked to this last night in the midst of some trivialities – his ‘How Did We Get Into This Mess’ book launch. It’s 60 mins of loquacious but soberingly clear Monbiot for anyone with the time, or the flu.

    https://youtu.be/-HFIa_szx_U

  33. Victoria says: Tuesday, May 8, 2018 at 9:11 am

    *****************************************

    Ha Ha ….. we are reading the same page Victoria – but Rick seems to have something he is following up on 🙂

  35. Fess

    Yes it has been Chinese as well. I have previously mentioned an Australian guy named Peter Evans that I have been following since the beginning of this circus, and he has morsels of important info that relates to the players in this saga.

  36. ItzaDream

    This illustrated how detached from reality the speaker is

    “In the venom-soaked, anti-fact world in which these people operate, North is a truth-teller”

  37. Victoria says: Tuesday, May 8, 2018 at 9:13 am

    PhoenixRed

    Snap. Did you see the other tweet I just pasted. It relates to Brebairt News and Pizzagate

    ****************************************************

    Yes – most interesting. I think this Giuliani foot in mouth spoutings is accelerating quite a few matters related to Cohen, money laundering, Russian funds, Daniels/Women hush money pay-offs etc etc

  41. Sohar

    Oh dear. That is an interesting turn of events. This Attorney General has been going after Trump for state crimes which are about to be acted upon. Now it is being reported that he was physically abusive to women.
    Hmmm. Could this saga get anymore f@@ked up. I have to process this whole thing. I don’t believe in coincidences.

  42. I should add that the timing of the story regarding the New York Attorney general is quite suspect. Something doesn’t seem right about it.

  43. Surely extending the application of something called the “low income tax offset”to those earning $100k pa is some kind of joke?

  44. Sohar says: Tuesday, May 8, 2018 at 9:19 am

    Oh, the hypocrisy of the American Democrats.
    https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/four-women-accuse-new-yorks-attorney-general-of-physical-abuse?mbid=social_twitter

    ***********************************************
    Sohar – that’s sad reading indeed

    Is there an American man in some position of power who has NOT abused women ???????

    Schneiderman said in a statement: “In the privacy of intimate relationships, I have engaged in role-playing and other consensual sexual activity. I have not assaulted anyone. I have never engaged in non-consensual sex, which is a line I would not cross.”

  45. Those Vic results look most strange, but just a refresher of the last result in 2014 had fairly low primaries as well;

    ALP 38, LIB 36, GRN 11.5, NAT 5.5, OTH 9

    So this result isnt unbelievable out of wack, ALP -4, LNP +3 if you just look at the numbers.

    But I dont see anything substantial on the ground that Labor has done to damage their brand on the left, but minor things with individual MP behavior will effect the center.

    I also dont see anything the Libs have done to win support, on policy it look like they are running a small target strategy.

    The state Lib branch is also having financial problems, with legal action against their biggest supporter, which could hurt the campaign, but wont be reflected in polls. Also significant in Vic, the last election was like trench warfare, with only a couple of key seats up for grabs, the redistribution this time will shake that up.

    I wont believe this until confirmation, but it is a worrying trend, and betting has been tipping a Lib win for a long time, but i think it should be 53:47 other way around.

  46. I guess I am not only one who thinks something smells.
    Ale
    Ale
    @aliasvaughn
    ·
    50s
    The timing of this smells to the high heavens. regardless, IF it’s true, it changes nothing for the indictments for NY state.
    Hollywood Reporter
    @THR
    New York attorney general and Weinstein foe accused of physically abusing women (link: http://thr.cm/yIpo8v) thr.cm/yIpo8v

  48. Sohar @ #38 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 6:19 am

    Oh, the hypocrisy of the American Democrats.
    https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/four-women-accuse-new-yorks-attorney-general-of-physical-abuse?mbid=social_twitter

    Two different issues but it’s an interesting essay in where one draws their boundaries.

    This seems to be straight out domestic violence, so to him it seems it’s not OK to abuse a position of power but it’s OK to abuse a position of trust.

  50. Victoria @ #42 Tuesday, May 8th, 2018 – 6:27 am

    I should add that the timing of the story regarding the New York Attorney general is quite suspect. Something doesn’t seem right about it.

    Absolutely, there is something not right about this,

    you shouldn’t hit someone without their consent! 🙂

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