First up, BludgerTrack has proudly moved into the twenty-first century with a new fully interactive feature, offering hitherto hidden detail on state-level primary votes and the seat result probability estimates that are used to calculate the final result. Also included are the leadership rating trends, and there’s a facility for viewing raw opinion data throughout the current term.
The results as shown are updated to include the ReachTEL and Essential Research results, and the former has had a particularly big impact on voting intention, the primary numbers being even worse for the Coalition than the headline two-party result suggested. However, despite the 1% lurch to Labor on two-party preferred, there is little change to the seat projection, as the Coalition has had some stronger numbers lately from all-important Queensland, and Labor was largely punching into thin air with its gains in New South Wales and Victoria this week.
Then there’s the regular fortnightly result for Essential Research, which is notable in having both major parties at the low ebb of 35% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down one on a fortnight ago and Labor down two. This helps One Nation recover two points to 8%, with the Greens steady on 10%. Also unchanged is Labor’s two-party lead of 53-47.
Further questions relate mostly to the Barnaby Joyce situation, with a question conceived before his resignation on Friday finding 34% wanting him to leave parliament, 26% thinking he should resign as leader but stay in parliament, and only 19% thinking he should remain leader of the Nationals. Forty-four per cent expressed approval of “media reporting on politicians’ private affairs”, with 41% disapproving.
The poll also finds more respondents than not in favour not only of the ban on sex between ministers and their staff, but also on politicians having extra-marital sex altogether, and between managers and staff in the workplace. Twenty-two per cent even favoured a “ban on sex between workmates in general”, with 55% opposed. A rather particular question on health insurance policy finds 48% supporting removing the subsidy on private health insurance premiums and using the funds to include dental care in Medicare, with 32% opposed.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/mar/04/labor-sticking-with-pokies-ban-despite-tasmania-election-loss-rebecca-white-says
https://theconversation.com/hodgman-rides-tasmanians-disdain-for-minority-government-to-a-second-term-in-office-92298
Just a straightforward HTV, no lies..
Compared with a HTV with a swag of porkie pies
sprocket:
What does the Green HTV card look like?
Here are the candidates and their Party.
http://www.aec.gov.au/media/media-releases/2018/02-23e.htm
lizzie @ #3475 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 6:39 pm
I’m sure Pegasus will come up with some convoluted bs to explain it.
Maybe something someone in Labor said on a social media page about 10 years ago. That appears to be the standard of proof for The Greens’ anti Labor assertions so far.
Confessions says:
Sunday, March 4, 2018 at 6:27 pm
My theory is that the rumours have been deliberately planted just so Barnaby could then come out and (reluctantly) confirm them.
If that’s true then it really does show what a cowardly and gormless twit he really is.
Agree completely, but did you really need confirmation that he was a cowardly and gormless twit?
Cricket has a fundamental problem. How many other sports encourage you to aim a fast projectile at someone’s head?
“RISING Victorian star Will Pucovski faces another long interruption to his career just as it was taking off after the 20-year-old batsmen suffered a third concussion for the summer at the Junction Oval.
In scary scenes on Sunday, Pucovski was rocked by a short ball from NSW fast bowler Sean Abbott and fell to his knees after taking a blow to his helmet when he was on four runs.”
And for all the crocodile tears after Hughes died, they just went straight back to bowling at the head.
If in AFL, rugby, baseball, soccer etc etc, is you deliberately tried to hit someone in the head, you’d be penalised or banned.
Dio
Yep. It may take a few more corpses. But what would really help is a few massive lawsuits.
Diogenes @ #3508 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 3:49 pm
Certainly they need to look at the helmet design but also they need to work on the batsman’s technique.
To have been hit 3 times in one summer suggests he is doing something wrong.
Barney in Go Dau
Deliberately aiming a ‘rock’ at someones head at 100 kmh + does not sound like the way to go.
Confessions @ #3289 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 7:41 pm
Auntie Ged is #2
For those who may not understand the pejorative term ‘virtue signalling’, have a look at the Us vs Them table in the Greens HTV card.
‘Virtue signalling is the conspicuous expression of moral values done primarily with the intent of enhancing standing within a social group. The term was first used in signalling theory, to describe any behavior that could be used to signal virtue—especially piety among the religious.’
Adani is negotiating to get a mine up in Queensland with, guess who? A labor government. It has come this far thanks to the support of that government. The Qld *labor* government could have done the right thing and killed it off from the beginning. They didnt, instead they’ve been cheering it the whole way, and spruiking those lies about how many jobs it will create.
“Labor’s Adani mine” is an absolutely accurate and appropriate description.
To be hit three times suggests there is something wrong with his technique.
Yes, and the bowlers know it and and are trying to exploit it.
The aim was achieved. He wasn’t out but retired hurt. As good as wicket.
It’s time for a change.
Rex
I see the Greens put the racist Rise Up Australia above those nice Christians. Not a good look.
Here is Bhathal’s HTV:
I suggest Cricket Australia is failing in its duty of care to batsmen to provide a safe work environment. It’s actually legal to aim at someone’s head. That’s archaic. Try doing that in baseball; the pitcher would end up with five bats sticking out of his orifices. The convention in cricket is wrong.
Big A
The Adani mine got the go ahead in May 2014 under the Campbell Newman LNP government, and got Commonwealth approval in July 2015 from Liberal minister Greg Hunt.
But hey, keep those porkie pies going
Professional Sport is becoming too gladiatorial. A virtual, kill or be killed mentality has pervaded the mindset of competitors across a variety of sports and it generally ends in tears in so many different ways these days.
Australian Spartan looks good though!
So, after all the argy bargy, the ALP and the Greens have swapped preferences.
Fess, I posted it at 7.40pm to show how even handed one is.
But I’m surprised the AEC let this through, given it is packed with lies, half truths and omissions.
Eg they could have had a line Maintain Age Pensions – Labor Big Tick; Greens Big Red Cross
sprocket_ @ #3301 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 7:59 pm
They’re both bigoted RWNJ’s aren’t they ?
And how are Greens going to regulate electricity prices? Fair Dinkum!
Rossmcg @ #3300 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 7:59 pm
I think a 5 run addition to the batters score for a ball that goes above the shoulders is appropriate.
Could someone from The Greens explain exactly HOW their candidate can achieve any of their promises?
I saw a bit of the Project on 10 this evening. They had done a voxpop and the question was wtte
Should Bill Shorten come clean and declare his position on Adani.
It occurred to me, politically non engaged viewers, might think that Shorten was the PM, and so his position on Adani was much more significant than it is. It is also a reflection on his profile and how the government endlessly mention him.
Interesting, the image or link doesn’t appear in your 4.40pm post.
Alex Bhathal is Going to be busy. All those problems to be solved.
Monday or Tuesday?
From the crossbench. With Bandt. A sort of Whitlam-Barnard team. Not.
Reminds me of a Whitlam story. It is said he kept a copy of what I think he called the program in his desk and every time a policy was delivered on he got it out and ticked off the item.
sprocket_ @ #3525 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 8:09 pm
And Rents!?!
sprocket_ @ #3523 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 5:09 pm
How are they going to end offshore detention given they’ve had all these years (decades even) to do just that and have failed?
I notice The Greens candidate is wearing her pearls. Just like the Liberal women do.
Fess
Shows up on mine, but it was a .pdf and I attached a #image.jpg to it.
In any case it’s a cracker, and thank you for putting up an example all can see.
Greens will ‘Control Rents’ FFS!
John Reidy @ #3312 Sunday, March 4th, 2018 – 8:10 pm
diddums…
Grimace you were campaigning for a state election against a very long standing and un popular government, not the present federal government, so your thesis is very simplistic. Also look at the history, since when has Labor ever won that many federal seats in WA? Also, the polls merely record what is happening now, when the federal election is 16 months away. Local enthusiasm is great, so long as it doesn’t turn to delusion. Also, even William voiced some reservations about the WA situation a couple of weeks ago. I’m a devotee of Gramsci,” Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.”
Alex Bhathal doesn’t say her kids go to local PUBLIC Schools. I wonder if they do?
Yes, ‘Control Rents’ is a doozy.
Has anyone asked either the candidate or Di Natale how the Greens plan on achieving that as 1 of only 2 Greens MPs in federal parliament (assuming Bhathal wins Batman) in a couple weeks?
Sprocket, thats completely irrelevant to the fact that Paluszuik’s government has been supporting it the whole way, She could have fought the 2015 election promising to ban it.
Palusszuik has been spruiking those outrageous lies about how many jobs it will create, even after Adani’s itself admitted those figures were bogus. Paluszuik has done nothing to dissuade it and everything to help it get established(notwithstanding an 11th hour election panic attack to veto funding for the rail link, but all the while still cheering on the mine).
Labor completely deserve this albatross around their neck, including Shorten who continues to dither, and refuse to stop supporting it.
Greens are spot on to label this labor’s mine. I guess the labor cheer squad here just cant bear to acknowledge just how spineless their party has been on this.
Teresa Von Lieshout at number 6 on The Greens’ HTV!?! The lady that did those Anti Muslim You Tube videos!?!
It looks like the greens are fighting a federal by election on mainly state controlled issues.
Perhaps the same play sheet as the one for Northcote.
Interesting to see if they get away with it.
Cheers.
Guy’s promised trains for Victoria had better be without all the problems plaguing the new Brisbane trains that Newman contracted to buy before his demise.
Interesting.
Don…”So, after all the argy bargy, the ALP and the Greens have swapped preferences.”
Its immaterial, as they will both finish up in the 2pp race. So they may as well…
Jeez if true then the look over theres! are coming thick and fast from Trump today.
Escalating trade wars, loving on Xi for defying democracy by installing himself as China’s forever leader, his reported angst and loneliness at being the last one standing in the WH, and his being the only President in living memory to muse publicly over confiscating guns must mean Mueller’s up for one hell of a week on Trump’s horizon to warrant such distractions from the potus.
Big A
Qld Labor were somewhat shocked to win in 2015 from their Tarrago van. And approvals from the Liberal Party were already in place. Plus Labor draws its support from all segments of society, so needs to go through its processes to land the policy.
This conundrum is absent Greens thinking, who can take potshots in the safe knowledge that their virtue signalling will never be put to the test.
Saw the Greens candidate for Batman last week on ABC 24. I sensed she was trying to rein in her real personality. I think she is one of those full of themselves types, who pay scant attention to other’s opinions. Passive aggressive. Unlikeable!
In the 2016 election the Liberals did a lot of campaigning on ‘local’ issues, state and even council issues were common on campaign material, oh and lots of boats.
As long as they didn’t mention the budget, or Medicare.
So Greenies attacking Labor
So fuxking pathetic.
It was Campbell Newman and Federal LNP Ministers who allowed and approved This mine.
Same with Murray River Plan, Same with tree logging, ports sell off, Fraudband.
Greens are nothing.
Big A Adrian,
You must have been on holiday in The Greens Re-education Camp when Anastacia Palacsjuk vetoed the NAIF loan for the Adani mine. Also, missed the Ed Husic interview on Insiders this morning where he reinforced the provisos that Labor has laid out for the Adani mine to go ahead. That is, it must stack up environmentally and economically without getting a red cent from the federal government.
You may also have missed Mark Butler’s speech to The Sydney Institute from a couple of weeks ago, where he outlined in great detail why the Adani mine does not meet current specifications for financial loans from many global banks, as well as saying that the conditions in India and China and the policies of their governments are not likely to favour the Adani mine.
But hey, keep up the lies about Adani on behalf of The Greens. I can’t stop you. They don’t have much else, I guess.