BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

With only one new poll this week, the latest BludgerTrack update yields little to report.

Here’s BludgerTrack, updated with all of one data point from Essential Research. Labor is down a bit on two-party preferred but unchanged on the seat projection, with a loss in New South Wales balanced by a gain in Victoria. And that’s yer lot.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,698 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor”

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  1. Sprocket

    Given that photo was taken before I was born…I feel good about knowing three.

    Hawke, Keating and i think Richardson?

  2. bemused

    And the ALP preferenced him.
    I did not follow the ticket, I preferred Ricky Muir.

    I would have done what you did if I was a Victorian voter.

  3. Steve777 @ #1532 Sunday, August 20th, 2017 – 5:51 pm

    Another PB issue – when I follow a link, look at what’s there and go back, PB loses my place. On Windows 10, I’m dropped to the bottom of the page and have to find my way back. On my iPad, I seem to be returned to some random location. It makes it particularly difficult going through Dawn Patrol, for example.

    As has been frequently pointed out on PB, the answer is to open any link you want to look at in a new tab, leaving PB where it was in your original tab.

  4. Even then the scripting on this site does sometimes cause the browser on my phone to either reload or crash a tab, rendering exactly the same effects that Steve complains about.

  5. sprocket_
    While we wait for the Sword of Damocles (aka NewsPoll), how many names can you pick out from this 1990 group photo of the 4th Hawke Ministry?

    Richardson, Collins, Baldwin, Hand, Bilney, Beazley, Duffy, Kerin, Ray, Bolkus, Crean, Kelly, Cook, Dawkins, Keating, Button, Willis, Fatin, Evans, Howe…and Hayden….

  6. Nick X smugness does him no good.
    His, yeah this is laughable but I’m caught up in in this too due to some bizarre quirk of citizenship laws is nice and folksy but at the end of the day the onus is on the individual to tick all the boxes.
    Piss off Nick.

  7. Nicholas
    This is an accurate summary of the difference between fiscal policy and monetary policy.

    Still Trumpaholic, N?

    Or have you become Pence-ecostal?

  8. 1990 – much better times, politically at least. It’s a bit depressing looking at that photo of the Hawke Ministry and contrasting it to the clowns, fascists and spivs who make up today’s Government. Hopefully they’ll be swept away in 18 months, maybe sooner.

    And yes, that’s Graham Richardson in the back row towards the left (spatially at least).

  9. That would be John Dawkins wearing the hat.
    What was he thinking.
    Johnny Button succumbed to the lung biscuits IIRC. Would have been 10 in that lot on the gaspers.

  10. CTar1 @ #1603 Sunday, August 20th, 2017 – 8:28 pm


    And the ALP preferenced him.
    I did not follow the ticket, I preferred Ricky Muir.

    I would have done what you did if I was a Victorian voter.

    Yes, I found the official ticket unfathomable.
    Muir had mostly voted with Labor and had a good working class background, union delegate and all.

  11. confessions

    Thanks, hadn’t heard of her before.

    Together with some other women more active in the State Parliament, she really helped pave the way for women in WA Labor. She’s still knocking around I think.

  12. Perhaps when deciding the ticket they figured Hinch was more likely to win so they may as well get in his good books? All part of the art of negotiations. I also would have put Muir ahead if I was in VIC.
    Edit:By ticket I meant prefs

  13. It’s Time
    ItzaDream @ #1631 Sunday, August 20th, 2017 – 8:55 pm

    Who’s goggles in the back row, not Richo?

    Robert Ray?

    Baldwin and Hand together, Ray to the right

  14. Steve,
    You should find opening links in a new tab/window useful in a range of situations, such as going through Google search results.

  15. Comic trailblazer and civil rights activist Dick Gregory died on Saturday at age 84. In 1970 he was banned by the Gorton government from visiting and speaking in Australia.

  16. Keating still sporting the double breaster, despite it dropping out of fashion two years before.
    Ho hum.
    Johnny Button, great man that he was, was really a midget.

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