Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

As Labor picks up a point, Essential Research finds Nick Xenophon, Derryn Hinch and Jacqui Lambie to be more popular than Pauline Hanson, David Leyonhjelm and Cory Bernardi.

Labor picks up a point in this week’s reading of Essential Research’s fortnight rolling average, which did not allow the Easter long weekend to interrupt its schedule. The major parties exchange a point on the primary vote, with Labor up to 37% and the Coalition down to 36%, while the Greens and One Nation hold steady at 10% and 8% respectively.

Also included are approving ratings for cross-benchers Senators, which I like to think they asked because I suggested it to them a few weeks ago, and it’s turned up the finding I was fishing for when I did: namely, that Jacqui Lambie, at 32% approval and 30% disapproval, is more popular than the overrated Pauline Hanson, at 32% and 48%. Still less popular are David Leyonhjelm, with 9% approval, 28% disapproval and a forbiddingly high “don’t know about them”, and Cory Bernardi, whose respective numbers are 10%, 34% and 41% (“not sure” accounts for the balance). At the top of the charts is Nick Xenophon, at 35% approval and 25% disapproval, followed by Derryn Hinch at 35% and 27%.

The poll also records 38% support for allowing superannuation to be accessible when buying a home, with 50% opposed, and has a suite of questions on the American intervention in Syria: 41% approve of last week’s bombing with 36% opposed; 37% say they would support US ground troops being sent, with 39% opposed; and 31% saying they would approve of an Australian contribution, with 50% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,057 comments on “Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor”

  1. Meh.
    A job snob is a job snob is a job snob.
    We have around 760,000 job snobs snobbing around 10 job vacancies.
    They are slackarses living high and mighty off the hard-working negative gearing property mogul Australian Coalition MP working families who are snow jobbing…
    Oh, wait.

  2. bemused @ #1012 Saturday, April 22, 2017 at 1:48 pm

    grimace @ #982 Saturday, April 22, 2017 at 11:58 am

    bemused @ #944 Saturday, April 22, 2017 at 9:54 am

    zoidlord @ #899 Saturday, April 22, 2017 at 7:27 am

    @bemused,
    Which pretty much the same for a lot of public transport in NSW… Redfern is one, usually up to 5 minutes lates, no Disabled access, no elevator, lots of people in peak hour traffic.

    Yes, it seems all Australian cities have under-invested in public transport over many decades. But I would argue Melbourne in worse than Sydney in that respect. I am not familiar with other capitals so can’t offer any opinion.

    I’ve lived in 4 states. At least in areas where there are trams and trains I found Melbourne’s public transport to be the best in Australia. I have no experience of buses in Melbourne. Melbourne could talk to Perth about their SmartRider with a view to substantially improving Myki though.

    I don’t have a personal grievance as I have the good fortune to live reasonably close to a station on probably the least congested line in the Melbourne system.
    It also has a bus hub so there are busses a plenty!
    I try to view it as a system and that is where it fails.
    The railway system is entirely radial with all lines converging on the CBD so those journeys are OK except for peak hours overcrowding.
    But non-radial journeys are a different matter. Not so bad in the inner suburbs where there is a reasonable tram network, but further out the only option is busses.
    The State Govt / PTV have partially addressed the problem with the 901, 902 and 903 ‘orbital’ bus routes which stick to main roads and are fairly direct.
    Other bus routes are fine if you are not going very far or time does not matter to you. They just wander around back streets all over the place.
    My thought on this is that it arises from trying to serve two needs. Cross suburban travel and local short distance trips. I don’t think it works very well.
    I see the need for the suburban rail system to break out of its current radial straight jacket to facilitate reasonably swift cross-suburban travel in a network such as is seen in many overseas cities. This is a very long term project, but the goal should be set and all future works planned consistent with the long term goal.

    Metronet in WA, in the long term, is heading down the orbital route (https://www.markmcgowan.com.au/files/HeavyRailVision-small.pdf). Perth already does a very good job with bus interchanges at many train stations, particularly on the Clarkson (north) and Mandurah (south) lines.

  3. Just got home to see Mal the super Magnificent playing statesmen with another fraud.

    This will be lapped up by all media outlets and surely be worth a couple of points in Newspoll in conjunction with the Aussie first crap.

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