ReachTEL: 55-45 to Coalition in New South Wales

A snap poll suggests Gladys Berejiklian is set to inherit a government in healthy electoral shape, with Labor crowded out by a surge to One Nation.

Seven News swung quickly into action in the wake of Mike Baird’s resignation yesterday, commissioning ReachTEL to conduct a poll overnight that shows the Coalition with a handsome two-party lead of 55-45. The primary votes cited by Seven are inclusive of a 7.1% undecided component – if this is excluded, the numbers are Coalition 42.7%, Labor 28.0%, One Nation an imposing 16.3%, and Greens 8.4%. I gather we will get full results on the ReachTEL website tomorrow.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

7 comments on “ReachTEL: 55-45 to Coalition in New South Wales”

  1. Relief at Baird’s exit no doubt, short lived unless Glady stomps on the hated policies of Council amalgamations etc. Hanson will flame out, NSW punters think QL parties are nutsoid.

  2. I think it’s time Luke Foley cashed in his chips and retired from the game. He’s been “the invisible man” for far too long.

    Where’s Rex when you need him? I guess he doesn’t do state politics.

  3. I think there could be a sympathy bounce for the circumstances of Baird’s exit but even so this is a lousy result for “the left” (noting that it may very well be questioned whether NSW Labor is even a left party). If you are 14.7 points behind on primaries under OPV you are a very long way from competitive.

  4. Lately it seems that Reachtel polls are coming in good for Coalition. I am not the guy who will say it is fake poll or doubt the authenticity but I just noticed all Reachtell state polls have been coming in good for Coalition as opposed to Newspoll and Essential but they are too few and far between to make much sense of it.

  5. Who is Luke Foley? asked about 98% of the voting public in NSW.

    Sure, it’s tough being a State opposition leader, but he’is labouring.

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