The latest result from the Essential Research fortnightly rolling average finds the Coalition down two points on the primary vote to 39%, but with Labor’s 51-49 lead on two-party preferred unchanged. Labor and the Greens are both unchanged, at 36% and 10% respectively. There are some interesting findings in the supplementary questions:
• Malcolm Turnbull is rated by 30% as best to lead the Liberal Party, down nine since March, with Julie Bishop up four to 16% and Tony Abbott steady on 9%.
• Conversely, Bill Shorten has done very well out of the election campaign, with 27% rating him best to lead Labor, up 12% since March, while Tanya Plibersek is down two to 12%, Anthony Albanese is down three to 11%, and Chris Bowen is down to 3%.
• Thirty-seven per cent say the found Senate voting more difficult under the new system compared with 19% for easier; 20% found the outcome more democratic, 15% less democratic, and 39% that it made no difference.
• The current state of the Australian economy is rated by 30% as good, 26% as poor and 41% as neither; 33% as heading in the right direction and 35% in the wrong direction; 27% as likely to improve over the next 12 months, versus 41% for worse.
• Fifty-five per cent said they would support a national ban on greyhound racing, versus 27% opposed.
2,599 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”
Be warned about the U.S. Libertarians. In the past their presidential runs have been used to draw votes from the Democrats, not the Republicans.
Read this from 2012
And see this Youtube chat from May this year
AP_Politics: Sanders says Clinton will make an outstanding president. apne.ws/2a7uzTD pic.twitter.com/JXesQesQaa
daretotread @ #2538 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 1:18 pm
Yes, that’s kinda what I was saying. You’d need to see my original post. Such diagnoses would not surprise me but I am certainly not one to be making them. I have a fascination though with people who lack empathy and have no conscience as a victim of trauma. I once was so naive I believed everyone was like me. What a silly little idealistic twit I was. I should not be so hard on myself I suppose. I just wanted to see the best in everyone. A tough live and learn, that one.
So anyone that professes to follow Senator Sanders will vote for Hillary Clinton for President. If they don’t they don’t follow Senator Sanders its that simple.
For those who don’t know the late Don Dale was a CLP politician, who was so slimy and appalling that senior members of the CLP residing in his electorate voted either Labor or invalid.
On the face of it a separate RC is required because the issues go way beyond both sexual abuse, and this local level abuse. But I also don’t trust the current federal or NT governments to give it the charter & resources to properly investigate all relevant matters.
vanOnselenP: So the dumped minister in NT remains AG, Justice & Disability Services minister & wait for it, Children & Family & Mental Health minister!
Philipptg: @harperkiwibird @craigjack36 @GChristensenMP @corybernardi If they remain silent then they expose themselves as being morally blind.
mcleaway: It’s not looking good for the TPP in US Congress lowyinterpreter.org/post/2016/07/2…
Sorry posted wrong tweet. Still a valid point was made of course. This is what I was I intended to post.
No TPP I think is great news. Means less isolation for China.
That suggests to me that they knew the system was completely broken.
Without getting all Godwin’s it’s hardly a new phenomenon. In a system that supports people to be caring, considerate etc, and sanctions violence and offence most people conform to the dominant mores.
When the system’s restrictions and rewards are reversed most people can be found to adapt to that by playing the game even if that means unspeakable acts committed on other people. All the system needs do is identify the ‘others’ so that they can be dehumanised and have enough sanctions in place to scare most out of questioning what they’re doing.
It happens everywhere all the time, Nazi Germany and most other oppressive dictatorships are just the extreme examples. It’s a common danger in military and military like systems where there is a strict hierarchy and strong sanctions against ‘following orders’.
Obviously the NT situation is something similar. If it was just a few rogues there would be comprehensive filmed evidence. This was obviously just part of the job. “It’s what we do”.
Hopefully it gives us all pause, and especially a government running very secretive offshore detention centres, to critically think about some of the systems we have in place, not just in juvenile detention, and make sure these systems rewards and sanctions are properly aligned with the sort of standards we really want to see. The kind of fear mongering and dehumanising of ‘other’ people we see so much of lately is exactly the sort of environment that allows these broken and abusing systems to thrive.
AusHumanRights: NT Government ‘shouldn’t be part of juvenile detention royal commission’ abc.net.au/news/2016-07-2… via @ABCNews
steve777 @ #2482 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 11:18 am
guytaur @ #2556 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 1:42 pm
This makes me so sad but then comes anger. How long til they get kicked to the kerb? Not long I hope.
kayjay @ #2490 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 11:35 am
I don’t think the Right will be that patient.
Labor presser on 24 now
From Essential Today
Two Party Preferred: 26 July 2016
[Elferink was born in the Netherlands]
The simple and obvious solution is to ban all migration from Holland.
[Elferink graduated with a Bachelor of Laws from the University of New England]
Even I was offered a place to study at that Law School. Rather low TER requirement from memory.
jolyon wagg @ #2502 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 11:51 am
That highlights the major problem with first past the post.
If two candidates split the Left or Right vote then the opposite candidate is hugely advantaged.
greg mcauliffe @ #2565 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 2:01 pm
If one thing emerged during the election campaign, it was voter-fatigue with politics-as-usual. Ns sooner has the election been held – though still not actually decided – and the LNP have immediately resumed exactly that game.
Now that campaign messaging has been suspended and normal broadcasting has resumed, we should expect the slide in the popularity of the LNP to also re-commence.
I think 1 August – ie exactly 30 days
You really should have a look at this magnificent and inspiring video promotion for the Rio Paralympics.
Scullian another waste of space using the Sgt Shultz defence presser re 4 CNRS more ums and ahs than a novice at a Toastmasters seminar and as much sense where do the Libs/Nats find them. No wonder the Noalition want to remove the abc from the media circus when it brings it to our screens. If the abc aired this 2-3 weeks ago is might have removed the abbort/turncoat to the dustbin.
Four Corners: I can’t see reason, I can only feel anger. And sometimes that’s better
Nigel Scullion ‘not piqued’
sprocket_ @ #2574 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 2:45 pm
a feeling of anger, especially caused by damage to your feeling of being proud of yourself
Making Justice Work have a FB page. Good press conference on ABC24
This NT issue is going to put Manus firmly in the spotlight. If this sort of abuse can slide under the radar, how can the government possibly justify the secrecy shrouding operations in offshore detention?
Mark David has a series of tweets (7 cartoons) on how the media works. Very clever.
Child abuse didn’t excite Scullion’s interest?
This is the equivalent of don’t know, don’t care.
No wonder people are dissatisfied with him. But Malcolm reappointed him.
bk @ #2571 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 2:28 pm
BK – If you have done this with the sole aim of making me cry – you have been a big success. Thank you.
PvO calling for Scullion’s resignation.
The first Report was shelved under Macklin’s regime as relevant minister.
boerwar @ #2581 Tuesday, July 26, 2016 at 3:02 pm
This is the least that should be required.
The scope of the RC should be widened to include the whole range of policing, judicial processes, imprisonment and post-imprisonment of Aboriginal people in all the jurisdictions, including, not least, the existence and application of mandatory detention laws. These laws should be repealed but in any case the effects of these and allied laws and practices should be the subject of open scrutiny.
I was similarly affected. Especially with the deaf /mute person.
Linda Burney come on down!
And that would be things that occurred under the watch of the Coalition government over the last 3 years. A Coalition that Stan wanted to become a part of.
As no one else has made the comment yet….
Doesn’t it speak volumes about the CLP Senator for the Northern Territory and Minister for Indigenous Affairs that, on the night that a special report was going to be aired into HIS area of responsibility, his interest wasn’t ‘piqued’ enough to cancel a dinner engagement with his staff member and their family and stay home and watch that episode of 4 Corners!?!
Everyday there is a little gem on here, this is it.
New thread links straight to Essential?
William’s new thread link goes directly to the Essential PDF.
C.mon William – lift your game. LOL
I’ll put it down to stress or fatigue.
BK…yes. She has to be much more than a token voice. I hope she can be a force for change, along with Pat Dodson. This is so overdue.
It really is time to stand up. We have to extend the reach of Reconciliation to include acts of Restoration…acts that will reinstate the rights and powers of Aboriginal people…In my heart-of-hearts, I think this is fundamental to our democracy, to citizenship, to our continuing self-determination. We should recognise that what has been revealed on 4C is not exceptional. It is only an extension of everything that has come before. Until we resolve to recognise the dispossession of the first peoples and resolve to rescind their oppression, we will be domed to repeat it.
And Ken Wyatt, the only Indigenous Member of the federal Coalition has said what about last night’s episode of 4 Corners?
C’mon folks. Obviously Sophie retired form politics to concentrate on commentary just so BK could feature her rantings in the Dawn Patrol everyday.