Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Newspoll tells a familiar tale, with the two-party vote unchanged over four successive polls, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal decline levelling off, and Bill Shorten continuing to rise.

The latest Newspoll for The Australian is the fourth successive result from the pollster showing Labor leading 51-49 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Coalition 41% (steady), Labor 36% (down one) and Greens 11% (steady). Leadership ratings echo other pollsters in finding Malcolm Turnbull levelling off after a steep decline in the early months of the year, with approval steady at 38% and disapproval up one to 50%, and Bill Shorten continuing to improve, with approval up four to 37% and disapproval down three to 49%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 49-27 to 46-31. Expectations of a Coalition in have diminished considerably since the question was last asked in March, with 44% now favouring a Coalition win (down 11%) and 33% favouring Labor (up eight). The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1709.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,704 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

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  1. West Australian Premier Colin Barnett has accused Prime Minister and Liberal Party colleague Malcolm Turnbull of showing a lack of leadership on the issue of GST distribution, saying the Commonwealth has shown a “lack of intellect”.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-05-24/pm-lacks-leadership-on-gst-says-wa-premier-barnett/7443002

    Shot in the intellect. That will dent Malcolm’s pride a little, not that anyone seems to listen to Premier Barnett any more.

  2. Actor Johnny Depp has told American late-night television that Australia’s Deputy Prime Minister looks like he was “inbred with a tomato” in the seemingly never-ending saga over the actor’s dogs.

    I agree with the quarantine rule, but Barnaby didn’t accompany it with tact or even much explanation.

    http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/johnny-depp-mocks-barnaby-joyce-he-looks-somehow-inbred-with-a-tomato-20160524-gp30wd.html

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