Morgan state polling: December 2015

Morgan’s latest state polling finds Labor up in Queensland and Western Australia, and down everywhere else.

Morgan has unloaded one of its occasional SMS polls on state voting intention nationwide. Full detail is available here, with the topline figures as follows:

New South Wales: The Coalition’s lead is unchanged at 60.5-39.5. The sample in this case was 1084.

Victoria: Labor’s lead narrows from 55.5-44.5 to 53.5-46.5. Sample: 1082.

Queensland: Labor leads 51.5-48.5 after trailing 51-49 last time. Sample: 929.

Western Australia: Labor leads 50.5-49.5, after trailing 51.5-48.5 last time. Sample: 487.

South Australia: The Liberals lead increases from 51-49 to 54-46. The Nick Xenophon Team is included in the primary vote questionnaire for the first time, recording 18% of the vote. Sample: 679.

Tasmania: The Liberals are up two to 44.5%, Labor is down four to 25.5% and the Greens are up 1.5% to 25%. Sample: 369.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

10 comments on “Morgan state polling: December 2015”

  1. The increased sample size of the Tassie figures hasn’t stopped them from being an even bigger load of rubbish than normal (Greens 25? hardly) and Morgan’s interpretation from being even worse.

  2. And Winterfalls clearly gets the prize for heading into orbit somewhere or being a computer commentator – historic State polling figures clearly relevant to performance recently of Mal and Bill.

  3. Poor Wakefield does not get the point that mal has had shocking news cycle, mass division yet he is still ahead he must be doing something right.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *