The Essential Research fortnightly rolling average looks like the only poll we’ll be getting this week, as its rivals hold their fire ahead of tonight’s budget. The poll has ticked a point to the Coalition on two-party preferred, bringing Labor’s lead down to 52-48. The primary votes are 41% for the Coalition (up one), 39% for Labor (steady), 11% for the Greens (up one) and 1% for Palmer United (steady). Also featured are monthly leadership ratings, which find Tony Abbott continuing to improve – he’s up three on approval to 36%, and down four on disapproval to 54%. Bill Shorten’s ratings are stable, with approval and disapproval both down a point to 32% and 41%, which on recent form would be a relief for him. However, Abbott now leads as preferred prime minister, Shorten’s 35-32 a lead of month ago having reversed.
As Joe Hockey prepares to bring down his second budget, the poll shows that his ratings too are slightly less bad than they were, with approval on 30% and disapproval on 48%, respectively up three and down three compared with the last time the question was asked in March. He is now clearly ahead of Chris Bowen on trust to handle the economy, his 26-25 lead opening to 30-22, with “don’t know” still running extremely high. The poll also finds support for the government’s tighter assets test on pensions – 56% in favour, with 30% opposed.
Tim Hammond is the candidate for ALP President that I know nothing about.
But I did get an email invitation to meet him recently. Must dig it out and re-read.
I thought the email came from left sources so not sure about him being tagged as right.
victoria
Reportedly Hardly Normal and JB-HiFi shares went up a fair bit today.
As for the “each item ” item bit . Ya reckon a few over $20,000 items will be split into sub $20k parts ? 😉
[lizzie
Posted Wednesday, May 13, 2015 at 6:29 pm | PERMALINK
http://www.theage.com.au/world/some-are-already-dead-rohingya-muslims-stranded-at-sea-by-indonesia-and-malaysia-20150513-gh0f8j.html
Bangkok: Thousands of migrants and asylum seekers are stranded in boats at sea with no place to go as Indonesia and Malaysia refuse to offer them refuge in an escalating humanitarian crisis in South-east Asia.
Now a 15-year-old Rohingya asylum seeker has told how he is stranded with dead people on a fishing trawler that Malaysia and Thailand are refusing to allow to come ashore.
“There are 400 on board. Some are already dead but I cannot tell you how many because I do not have the strength to move around the ship,” Abdul Rahamad told a journalist from the Phuketwan online news website by mobile phone.
“We have been at sea for a month,” he said in a weak voice in the Rohingya language.]
Well at least they aren’t drowning. Much better to let them die of hunger and thirst. Tony and Scott would be proud of the example they have set.
Steve777@1001
Moddy fits to a tee!
Shows On deals with her appropriately IMHO.
Darn@1004
That point should be repeated endlessly by Labor.
Morrison and the rest of the Abbott gang have set a terrible example to other countries and we now see it playing out.
Damn them. I wish I believed in hell so I could be comforted by knowing where they will end up. 😡
Bemused
Tim Hammond was a prominent and able lawyer doing asbestos litigation for victims of asbestos diseases in WA, among other things
Bemused Comrade #1005
Precisely and precisely.
Although sometimes ModLib posts comments of some (low) substance as she attempts to justify her support for the shambolic Abbotteers, as compared to TBA who is not concerned about posting absolute crap 100% of the time.
Ctar, Lizzie and Barney #960, #961, #962 …… For a shorter version of those 3 posts combined see Bemused #1005
While ML likes to needle ‘lefties’, I don’t think she fits the definition of a troll.
shellbell@1007
Thanks for that.
Would he make a good President of the ALP?
Steve777@1009
You have just fallen under suspicion yourself if you think that. 😛
I am what I appear to be.
Steve777@1012
😆
ReachTel in field:
Federal vote 1st pref.
Better PM: Abbott or Shorten
Rate TA performance.
Rate Shorten performance.
Employment status.
Better off financially from this budget?
Better budget than last year’s? (Didn’t quite get the wording of that one.)
Best job promoting budget: Abbott, Hockey, Morrison?
Who benefits most from this budget? Families or business?
{The last two offered no other options and so were forced answers, which I think is dodgy.
Answered Joe to the first, to help keep him in the job working hard for Labor. 🙂 }
Sorry mistake Butler is on the left ticket.
http://www.alp.org.au/national_president_ballot
Pinskier Henry
Doesn’t seem to be doing much. A doctor. Right
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/alp-settles-faction-fracas/2005/08/23/1124562863575.html?from=moreStories
Butler Mark
http://markbutler.alp.org.au/
Lawyer. left.
Pratt Louise
Very capable women in my view. Left. Members more say.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louise_Pratt
Hammond Tim
Members more say. Right.Lawyer.
Garrett Jane
Only person to campaign to members using the net. State member of parliament. Left BA
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jane_Garrett
From what I’ve been seeing on Facebook, Twitter and here I’m going to go out on a limb and say this budget will neither strengthen or weaken the LNP’s standing in the polls. A real Seinfeld budget.
poroti
Ripe for rorting me thinks
[Just Me
Posted Wednesday, May 13, 2015 at 7:34 pm | PERMALINK
ReachTel in field:]
Reachtel will be very interesting. They’ve had Labour at 54-46 for a while now. Doubt it will be that good this time though.
[cityboy
Posted Wednesday, May 13, 2015 at 7:43 pm | PERMALINK
From what I’ve been seeing on Facebook, Twitter and here I’m going to go out on a limb and say this budget will neither strengthen or weaken the LNP’s standing in the polls. A real Seinfeld budget.]
Hope you’re right cityboy. That would be seen as a fail by the Liberals and increase the heat on Abbott and Hockey.
Well good evening all.
I return to see what the reaction to the Budget has been and all I read is commentary about me!
LOL
:devil:
Dan @ 1019
Me too. I still worry about the stupidity of the Australian people.
[A grenade throwing attention seeker.]
It’s just a pity that the attention seeking works. Why people bother responding to the clear provocation is beyond me. The very definition of boredom and futility IMHO.
cityboy
From what has been rolled out that is probably right. However their real problem will be them still counting into the budget many of the nasties from last year getting up.
2014 Budget will be the crocodile chasing the LNP Cpt. Hook. Tick tock tick tock……
[davidwh
…If ML is a real forum troll then she is the most level headed troll I have come across. I think we do have a bit of a troll lurking at present but it isn’t ML.]
[Diogenes
..ML is an agent provocateur/gadfly rather than a troll.]
[Carey Moore
…ESJ is a troll. TBA seems like one. ML (I assume that’s Mod Lib/Happiness) isn’t. Sometimes ML’s a shit-stirrer but not a troll.
In fact, if her posts were pro-Labor, most here would be slapping their knees over her stirring posts.]
[Steve777
..While ML likes to needle ‘lefties’, I don’t think she fits the definition of a troll.]
Thanks all (Dio, not sure about your comments, but what the heck, you too!!)
[cityboy
…From what I’ve been seeing on Facebook, Twitter and here I’m going to go out on a limb and say this budget will neither strengthen or weaken the LNP’s standing in the polls. A real Seinfeld budget.]
If the general vibe on Facebook, twitter and PB is neutral, its a MASSIVE MASSIVE win for the LNP.
Budget may have inspired a second series of Hollowmen
I’k cranky about having to be cranky all the time…
[The Baird government has appealed to its Queensland counterpart for help with the “emergency water issue” facing Broken Hill, Menindee and parts of the Darling River.
The request comes as the Abbott government succeeded on Wednesday in its efforts to abolish the National Water Commission, an independent science body overseeing water management, when it secured enough Senate votes.
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/parched-nsw-seeks-help-as-national-water-commission-axed-20150513-gh0ork.html ]
Bloody typical.
$20,000; 100% tax deduction; no company tax for me this year.
[Liberal senator Arthur Sinodinos has taken a swipe on Sky News at the way his party has been selling the change.
“It’s not a good look to be having a go at the young mothers or new mothers of Australia,” he said.
“I think some of the language has been a bit unfortunate, we could be a bit more empathetic.”]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-05-13/budget-2015-pm-denies-ministers-called-mums-rorters-fraudsters/6467676
cityboy@1021
Exhibit 1 – Happiness/Mod Lib.
[[I return to see what the reaction to the Budget has been and all I read is commentary about me!]
LOL.
What’s that famous quote wtte great minds talk about ideas, average minds talk events while the truly small minded talk about others. 😀
Happiness@1024
You left me off your list. I am heartbroken. 😥
[Bushfire Bill
….I’k cranky about having to be cranky all the time…]
Come join us….we are always happy! 🙂
[If the general vibe on Facebook, twitter and PB is neutral, its a MASSIVE MASSIVE win for the LNP.]
Unless people are simply not listening anymore and no longer care what the govt announces.
[Exhibit 1 – Happiness/Mod Lib.]
Exhibit 2 – those who respond.
You think I am going to thank you for your contribution bemused?
You, Ctar1 and psyclaw showed a distinct lack of grace in relation to me.
Its almost like your sense of right and wrong is party political dependent and not pure.
confessions@1031
And the truly deranged talk about themselves.
Looking at you Moddy. 👿
poroti@1003
That occurred to me also!
front 1/3 of car = $20 000
middle 1/3 of car = $20 000
back 1/3 of car = $20 000
Ta daaaaa!
Happiness @ 1025
Unimpressed is more like it. Just feels like voters have disengaged again and the needle will be stuck where it is.
Happiness@1036
Projection on your part Moddy – as usual.
FWIW not many people at work today discussing the budget. There is a pregnant woman in my area, but her baby is imminent so she won’t be affected by the changes to PPL.
[ Come join us….we are always happy! ]
Do we get a tax break on lobotomies now?
Mod Lib does a lot of trolling here on PB, but, given the nature of this place, there’s probably good reasons why. In amongst it all, there are some circumspect moments that Mod Lib offers, which I sometimes enjoy.
So, Mod Lib trolls, but not necessary “a troll”.
No, but it would make you eligible to join the ALP if you haven’t already.
🙂
necessarily
The reason some of you think I am a troll is that I don’t wholeheartedly agree with everything you think.
Given the inability to even allow yourselves to hear anyone who doesn’t agree wholeheartedly with everything you think (Bolt, Insiders, Lomborg etc) having someone here who posts things from a different perspective is unbearable.
[ The reason some of you think I am a troll is that I don’t wholeheartedly agree with everything you think.
Given the inability to even allow yourselves to hear anyone who doesn’t agree wholeheartedly with everything you think (Bolt, Insiders, Lomborg etc) having someone here who posts things from a different perspective is unbearable. ]
No, the reason is that you can’t seem to see the problem with relying on discredited sources like Bolt or Lomborg.
[BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto face mounting political pressure in Australia over taxes and flooding the global iron ore market while the price of the steel-making commodity plummeted.
Independent federal Senator Nick Xenophon has called for an inquiry into the impact on the Australian economy of falling prices caused by oversupply.
Xenophon, who is on the powerful Economics Committee, said he will put the inquiry to a vote in the senate on Thursday.]
https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/business/a/27885611/bhp-rio-tinto-face-political-heat-in-australia-over-strategies/
I expect that vote for the inquiry should pass, but on the surface of the reporting, how is this not anti competition collusion?
When have I used Bolt or Lomborg as a source?
Listening to a variety of opinions is a sophisticated approach.
Listening only to your side and refusing to hear anything else is what Fox News does.
This Budget actually looks like one delivered by Howard and Costello. Splash a bit of money around to people they like. It looks lime an election budget. So what happens if we don’t go to the polls before next year’s budget.
One thing is beyond doubt – if another ‘Tampa’ sails over the horizon in the next 8 months or so, in whatever form, it’s on.
[If the general vibe on Facebook, twitter and PB is neutral, its a MASSIVE MASSIVE win for the LNP.]
Don’t know where you get that from ML. If they don’t get the three or four percent (2pp) they need to get back comfortably in front from the budget where is it going to come from?