The latest result from Essential Research has both major parties a point down on the primary vote, in both cases from 40% to 39%. This makes room for increases of one point for the Greens and two points to others, both now at 10%, while Palmer United is now at 2%, which I believe to be a new low. Also featured are Essential Research’s regular monthly personal ratings, which offer yet another belting for Tony Abbott, who is down seven points on approval to 32% and up five on disapproval to 55%. Bill Shorten is down two on approval to 35% and up one on disapproval to 39%, and has opened up a 36-31 lead on preferred prime minister after trailing 36-34 last time.
There’s also results on how various politicians have performed over the past year, which are predictable in direction but very interesting in degree. Tony Abbott, Joe Hockey and, more excusably, Christine Milne have equally poor net ratings of minus 22%, minus 24% and minus 23% respectively (Milne having an undecided rating quite a bit higher than the other two). The big eye-openers are Clive Palmer at minus 50% and Julie Bishop at plus 28%. Rather less interestingly, Bill Shorten is at minus 5%.
The poll also finds the issues respondents most want addressed over the coming year are improving the health system and reducing unemployment, with less concern for public transport investment, environmental protection, investment in roads and, in last place, free trade agreements. Respondents also deem it to have been a bad year for pretty much everything, most especially “Australian politics in general” at minus 53% (which is still an improvement on minus 62% last year”), the only exceptions being large companies and corporations (plus 14%) and “you and your family overall” (plus 3%).
A semi-regular question on same-sex marriage records weaker support than the particularly strong showing in June, at 55% (down five) with 32% opposed (up four).
[Both are anti-Labor.]
They’re all different parties and in competition with each other – is this a surprise?
I guess there are now enough Greens in the vic Parliament to actually have a shag on a rock, if they suddenly had the urge.
Boer War must be cheering.
[Looks like the s.a fairness police didn’t do the job properly in fisher.]
By S.A. Fairness police you of course mean the Liberal Party of Australia (South Australian Division).
Well exactly bugler 150 you described the role of the sa fairness police .
You’ve always been a slow learner showson.
Mark kenny seems fo think Liberals have lost the seat of Fisher
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/abbott-government-forced-into-submission-after-shock-loss-in-south-australia-20141209-123j0l.html
Vic @ 155 – so does that mean that they’ve actually won it?
Juless
Latest report shows Liberals ahead by either 14 or 17 votes
SNIP: See #169.
[He sounds as if he’d be right at home in the Labor Party.]
I don’t think it’s possible to grow up playing Rugby League in Queanbeyan without ending up being right at home in the Labor Party.
158 went way too far.
Wow, 158, super classy stuff.
Here’s to Richatrd Flanagan too.
Regardless of whether ESJ is a woman or not, a conservative or not or right or wrong about anything, that is some sexist bullshit right there @ 158.
boooo! 158
[Bugler
Posted Tuesday, December 9, 2014 at 10:43 pm | PERMALINK
158 went way too far.
161
Patrick Bateman
Posted Tuesday, December 9, 2014 at 10:45 pm | PERMALINK
Wow, 158, super classy stuff.]
OMG! You actually think Edwina is a woman instead of a troll?
SNIP
[OMG! You actually think Edwina is a woman instead of a troll?]
What does it matter? What you said is unacceptable. If I can get a homophobic dickhead who works at the same factory as me to pull his head out of his arse why should I treat you differently? You know better.
Showson your the Paul Spector of Pollbludger.
It doesn’t matter ShowsOn. What if some young woman with a growing interest in politics, or any woman for that matter, is not familiar with the petty internecine sniping that takes place on PB had seen that? How would they have felt, thinking that if they expressed an opinion you didn’t agree with, you might call them a b*tch or a sl*t? It’s degrading language, regardless of who it’s intended for.
[Showson your the Paul Spector of Pollbludger.]
You’re the Dr Robert Elliott of the world.
[What does it matter? What you said is unacceptable.]
So piss off then.
[If I can get a homophobic dickhead who works at the same factory as me to pull his head out of his arse why should I treat you differently? You know better.]
What the farq does this have to do with the price of eggs?
On that unsavoury note – for those interested – Neil Pharaoh, the Labor candidate for Prahran, is selling his remaining campaign t-shirts due to popular demand. Proceeds have been nominated to go to Minus18, a charity which helps same-sex attracted, transgender and intersex young people.
(Conflict of interest: I have friends who volunteer for said charity).
Just saw Pyne’s ad on channel 12 (One). Funny, it said nothing about cuts to Federal funding of higher education or fee increases.
Bugler – whereabouts is he selling them? I checked his FB page but there’s nothing there about selling them.
Steve777 – you have to wonder, given the ads address absolutely no part of the actual legislation, how these ads actually qualify for public funding?
Jimmy,
Not sure – just heard through the grapevine. I’m from the outer east I just went to a few of his events (got to meet Tanya 🙂 ). Perhaps PM the page?
Thanks Bugler. Plibers? Gotta love her. I may have begrudgingly accepted Shorten, but Plibersek remains my number choice for Leader.
Love is better than hate showson.
[Love is better than hate showson.]
I know, that’s why I love hating you.
Jimmy,
Yes, Plibersek. She was lovely, and made a terrible, and hilarious joke about David Davis (Pharaoh worked for Plibersek when she was Health Minister, I believe). She’s my first choice, too. I feel she isn’t interested right now but is interested for the future, and she seems to like working with Shorten.
I prefer Shorten over Albanese but I don’t think either have the political stature of either Gillard or Rudd. Plibersek, Clare and Bowen are the ones to watch, IMO (especially now Smith has gone). Shorten until the next election, not that I really have a problem with him, he’s the best option we have now before the others are ready. If NSW Labor had more Plibers and Clares, that would be nice.
Nicholas@142
Not clinging to it grimly. Abbott simply doesn’t let go. He’s manic in his pursuit of victory no matter how long it takes or by what means. This is his strategy. It’s always been his strategy, and he knows exactly what he’s doing. A relentlessly vindictive man with zero scruples, determined to have his way.
I miss Combet. Damned fine man.
Bugler – Yeah agreed, although I think Shorten’s stolidness is actually a great asset after the instability of Rudd/Gillard and now Abbott.
Gecko – yeah Combet was great.
Good night 🙂
“Piss off slut” @ 158. I thought I was pretty unshockable, but that really disgusted me. Even by your standards, that’s bad.
Tony Abbott has not given you a Christmas bonus in scrapping his widely disliked co-payment plan – he’s given himself one: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/tony-abbotts-gp-copayment-plan-clever-politics-but-it-will-cost-you-20141209-123je1.html
Victoria
[Latest report shows Liberals ahead by either 14 or 17 votes]
Yeah I know, it was more a comment about Mark Kenny than the actual results. Personally I think Andrew Elder has too high an opinion of Mark Kelly.
In 1999 in Victoria Labor won 43 out of 88 seats. “Anti-Labor” candidates won 45, a majority. I’m glad that Steve Bracks and co. negotiated with some of those “anti-Labor” MLA’s and formed government, bringing the Kennett era to an end.
I can imagine some other people may have done things very differently.
Rumours are flying around that Christopher Pyne is starting a petition to have Adelaide exempted from the $7, sorry $5 GP Tax.
(Kidding).
Sorry, got my numbers wrong – Labor won 42 in 1999, and “Anti-Labor” won 46.
Whereas in 2010 Labor won 43 and “Anti-Labor” won 45.
188
The ALP won 41 seats at the general election, 1 seat at Frankston East, gained the confidence of the 3 independents and won then won Burwood after Kennet resigned (and Benalla in early 2000). So technically they did win 43 seats in 1999 but they only had 42 of them when the negotiated government.
158.
That was well done. Hope ya mum’s proud.
Adam Carr is calling Greens supporters the wealthy inner city elite on his Facebook.
Paul
Well they do now represent half of Toorak. The Greens generally supported by people on higher income.
Election day 1999, such a shocking bad day, the night was not so bad.
194
Prahran does not cover half of Toorak. Before the redistribution, it covered a bit over a third but it now covers less than a third.
High income people tend not to vote Green, they heavily vote Liberal.
The Greens do have a more educated voting base, which means that they are a bit more middle income than lower income, leading to it looking like they are comparatively richer.
Adam Carr was born in 1953 and grew up in the 1960s… he probably doesn’t have a good grasp of younger voters and what they want, anyway.
Tom
True, I’ve just been looking at the map and it only covers the area east of Grande Road or the eastern end of Toorak village.
By having support amongst higher income voters is more a reference to seats like Melbourne and Richmond where the Greens tend to do better amongst higher income voters than the ALP does.
And no the Green voters are not the highest educated
Who has the highest educated base, has that ever really been tested as the Greens don’t hold the highest educated seats although Prahran changes this somewhat has it has one of the higher levels of education.
east of grande road should have been west of grande road.