BludgerTrack: 51.3-48.7 to Labor

Another incremental move to Labor on the poll aggregate this week, though not enough to change the overall seat projection.

ReachTEL livened up the Newspoll off-week with a federal poll conducted last Thursday, putting extra ballast into this week’s BludgerTrack update along with the reliable weekly Essential Research result. However, the results have made next to no difference, with two-party preferred ticking 0.2% to Labor and the total seat projection unchanged. ReachTEL in particular provides substantial new data for the state breakdowns, which have accordingly shifted to the extent of Labor gaining seats in New South Wales and Queensland and losing them in South Australia and Tasmania. Nothing new this week on personal ratings. Next week should be a big one, with the debut federal Fairfax-Ipsos poll in the pipeline, together I presume with the fortnightly Newspoll and Morgan and weekly Essential Research.

Note new posts below on New South Wales and Victorian state polling.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,403 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.3-48.7 to Labor”

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  1. Channel 9 did a superb beatup featuring Brandis’ remarks tonight, affording them a fair bit of weight. Coupled with a few shots of Gillard but more importantly showing a non commenting Abbott in a favourable light.
    It struck me as a template for the next election- an allegation a day which the media can gorge on giving them their next excuse not to examine an Abbott who will be shown Prime Ministerially above such tawdriness.

  2. [It struck me as a template for the next election- an allegation a day which the media can gorge on giving them their next excuse not to examine an Abbott who will be shown Prime Ministerially above such tawdriness.]

    Yes, I’d expect something about this lamearsed from the LNP. No chance of vision.

    The ALP will need to be proactive, setting agendas for debate. The LNP will fall over if they have to think on their feet.

  3. This article presents the social and economic benefits of year-round daylight saving. It also addresses the arguments against daylight saving. First, many farmers oppose the shifting back and forth between daylight saving and ordinary time, not daylight saving itself. Second, daylight saving simply means that farmers will begin their tasks when the clock shows a higher digit, but it doesn’t affect their ability to do the job. The main problem they experience is the disruption to cows’ milking schedules when time gets shifted from daylight saving to ordinary time and back again. Year-round daylight saving avoids that problem. Some farmers’ tasks have to be completed within regular business hours (e.g. dealing with suppliers) but in general farmers are much less locked in to business hours than everyone else. Second, the problem of children going to school in the dark can be fixed by making the school day start later. The school day starts too early as it is, particularly for adolescents who need to be able to sleep in till about eight in order to attain maximum alertness and concentration at school.

    http://www.vox.com/2014/10/29/7083837/daylight-saving-time-year-round

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