BludgerTrack: 50.8-49.2 to Labor

With the only new poll being a status quo result from Essential Research, it’s a dull old week for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only new poll this week was the regular weekly finding from Essential Research, which produced an essentially status quo result. With earlier polling that was stronger for Labor washing out of the system, the latest reading on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a minor continuation of the trend to the Coalition, who are up 0.2% on two-party preferred. There is also a one-seat shift on the seat projection to the Coalition, who make a gain in New South Wales. For what it’s worth, this leaves the numbers looking very much as they did at the 2010 election. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,845 comments on “BludgerTrack: 50.8-49.2 to Labor”

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  2. [It will have no effect – explosive or otherwise – on “the Abbott government”. Pyne will obfuscate. The caravan will move on. ]

    Yes, that’s pretty much how it was always going to be. The Ashby/Slipper thing was related to the previous govt, therefore it became a non issue following the election.

    Nothing to do with the current mob in govt. Nothing at all whatsoever.

  7. At this rate, the next 60 Minutes exclusive will be an interview with Kevin Rudd, where he reveals that he was a tad put out about being deposed as PM…

  9. Ashby didn’t do himself any favours doing that dreadful interview. It shows how terrible our media is that they would pay for that crap.

    There was a Ch 9 ad about Gillard giving a tell all interview in the near future.

  10. [ Helen Sykes
    Posted Sunday, September 7, 2014 at 9:28 pm | Permalink

    Note to self: next time Channel 9 tells me there is something I should watch: ignore them.

    I should have known better. ]

    Indeed! 🙂

  11. “@SwannyQLD: Lots of questions raised tonight about what senior Libs really knew in Ashby case. Abbott & Pyne need to explain any role #60Mins”

  12. [FORMER prime minister Julia Gillard hand-picked Ray Martin as her journalist of choice for her first television interview on her time in office.

    Martin pitched the exclusive interview to Seven, Nine, Ten and the ABC, with an asking price of about $20,000. All three commercial networks were keen to broadcast Gillard’s first interview, but the ABC rejected it outright.]

    [Martin will interview Gillard after she appears at the royal commission into union governance, and it will go to air on September 23 at 7pm, a few days ahead of the release of her book ]

  17. guytaur@1761

    “@SwannyQLD: Lots of questions raised tonight about what senior Libs really knew in Ashby case. Abbott & Pyne need to explain any role #60Mins”

    Swanny obviously hasn’t read PB or he would know that nothing of value was disclosed.

    People here are so much smarter than people like Swanny. 😐

  18. sprocket

    [Sadly, an hour of my life wasted by OldMedia click bait]

    Clickbait it is, ACA, TT, SN, 60 Minutes, they all do the same thing. I remembered 60 minutes had a lot more than this way in the past.

  19. On Scotland leaving the sinking ship:

    [After polling announced last night said there was, for the first time, a majority of voters intending to back Yes, the Unionist campaign went into overdrive in predictably self destructive fashion. The Observer announced that there would be an offer “within days” of a meeting with Scotland’s governing party “invited to take part.” How inclusive of them. Meanwhile Ed Miliband riffed on the possibility of border guards in the Mail on Sunday and Gordon Brown wrote in the Mirror that it’s all the Tories’ fault.]

    [Will Hutton, writing in the Observer, says there are now 10 days left to find a settlement to save the Union. He doesn’t realise the Union is already dead, we now have to decide whether to stay in it or go about building our own, functioning country.]

    http://bellacaledonia.org.uk/2014/09/07/save-the-union/

  21. [Swanny’s just going through the motions. Good for him. But it won’t do any good.]

    Didn’t Pyne tell parliament he knew nothing of the Ashby sexual harassment claims until he read them in the media?

    Can’t see any movement in MSM.

  29. “@nicchristensen: Channel Nine declining to comment on whether it paid for Ashby interview. Network says it has a policy of not commenting on whether it paid.”

  30. On Ed Millibands suggestions that Labour in UK (England) would put border guards and such on the English border with Scotalnd.

    A quote in a Scottish on-line blog:

    [I’m a wee bit tickled by Ed’s border guards. The notion of fences, barbed wire, machine gun towers, searchlights, goons with Uzi’s (Atos obviousment) patrolling the marches in the snow seems a fitting end destination for New Labour

    Question is are they keeping us in or preventing the English escaping?]

  34. [“@nicchristensen: Channel Nine declining to comment on whether it paid for Ashby interview. Network says it has a policy of not commenting on whether it paid.”]

    So soon he 60 minutes story has turned to this????

  37. Scotland would be a perfectly viable independent nation if that’s what they want. There is no shortage of examples of small, successful nations with populations of about 5 million: Denmark, Norway, Finland, Slovakia, NZ, Ireland.

  43. This about sums it up:

    Tony The Geek Rulz ‏@geeksrulz 30m

    It appears that Justice Rares had more investigative journalism in his little finger than the entire press gallery combined. #auspol

  44. [ SUNSHINE Coast member for Fisher and former Howard-era minister Mal Brough has conceded that he asked Peter Slipper’s former staffer James Ashby to procure copies of Mr Slipper’s diary.

    It is the latest revelation in a 60 Minutes “special report” with journalist Liz Hayes interviewing Mr Slipper’s former advisor James Ashby.]

    http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/news/james-ashby-claims-sexual-advances-peter-slipper/2378667/

    Only it’s not a revelation. We knew this before.

  45. Steve777

    [Scotland would be a perfectly viable independent nation if that’s what they want. There is no shortage of examples of small, successful nations with populations of about 5 million: Denmark, Norway, Finland, Slovakia, NZ, Ireland.]

    I believe small independent states are MORE successful than large states.

    The BIG at any cost impulse in Australia is counter productive.

  46. confessions@1794

    SUNSHINE Coast member for Fisher and former Howard-era minister Mal Brough has conceded that he asked Peter Slipper’s former staffer James Ashby to procure copies of Mr Slipper’s diary.

    It is the latest revelation in a 60 Minutes “special report” with journalist Liz Hayes interviewing Mr Slipper’s former advisor James Ashby.


    http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/news/james-ashby-claims-sexual-advances-peter-slipper/2378667/

    Only it’s not a revelation. We knew this before.

    You knew of suspicion or allegations. Now it is admitted.

    Spot the difference?

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