BludgerTrack: 50.8-49.2 to Labor

With the only new poll being a status quo result from Essential Research, it’s a dull old week for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only new poll this week was the regular weekly finding from Essential Research, which produced an essentially status quo result. With earlier polling that was stronger for Labor washing out of the system, the latest reading on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a minor continuation of the trend to the Coalition, who are up 0.2% on two-party preferred. There is also a one-seat shift on the seat projection to the Coalition, who make a gain in New South Wales. For what it’s worth, this leaves the numbers looking very much as they did at the 2010 election. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,845 comments on “BludgerTrack: 50.8-49.2 to Labor”

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  1. Spot on Socrates @1498

    I attended a very large protest at Maroochydore (Sunshine Coast) in 2003. We knew exactly what we thought the invasion would lead to. The right wing toadies said we were wrong so they knew the discussion was there, too. They are totally discredited.

  2. Spot on Socrates @1498

    I attended a very large protest at Maroochydore (Sunshine Coast) in 2003. We knew exactly what we thought the invasion would lead to. The right wing toadies said we were wrong so they knew the discussion was there, too. They are totally discredited.

  3. guytaur

    I am going out shortly for the whole day and evening and will likely miss 60 minutes. So i will have to play catch up later on tonight to see if anything of substance happens

  4. victoria

    Have a good day. The good part is you will get any news if there is substance as twitter will explode and all media will have to cover.

    A case of where catch up may actually be better than live 🙂

  10. shellbell

    Did you not say that the filming was done yesterday in front of the supreme court. I may be mistaken, but I thought the case was never before the supreme court, but the federal court

  11. Thanks for the compliment kevjohnno @1505,

    It arrived on my face book site overnight. I’m sure my friend deb will catch up with it. For far-fetched stuff it almost equals some of the garbage that comes out of the mouths of certain LNP leaders. Strangely millions fall for that stuff.

  14. Vic @1510

    If there was an injunction to stop the show it would explain the Supreme Court but one would expect to have heard about an injunction by now.

  17. ausdavo

    Would you expect the Murdoch press to report anything on this matter now that it is supposedly done and dusted.

    The outcome was achieved. Slipper was destroyed. Mal Brough got his seat and is again an MP. The Gillard govt was damaged.
    Ashby dropped proceedings back in June. There is no reason for this matter to be raised again. I find it passing strange that the cashed up backers of the LNP, have not done their duty for their puppet Ashby to ensure his continued loyalty.
    Obviously there are some power plays and distraction strategies being employed in this whole saga. I am just not sure which direction it is coming from as yet.

  20. vic @1517

    Is it a possibility the “cashed up backer” was Palmer? Maybe no-one has picked up the tab since he pulled out? Maybe Ashby now, in desperation, wants revenge and cash from this different source?

  21. ausdavo

    Anything is possible. We shall see. I am prepared to be disappointed, but still crossing fingers!

    Anyhoo have a good day all. Talk later

    🙂

  24. AUSDAVO – My guess is that Ashby has now got massive legal bills to pay (his own and Slippers) and feels like he’s been used!

  25. Good fuacking grief Gerard Henderson is a sad bad joke. Just saw him raising the spectre of “dirty bombs” being set off in Australian cities.

  26. [ Good fuacking grief Gerard Henderson is a sad bad joke. Just saw him raising the spectre of “dirty bombs” being set off in Australian cities. ]

    Is “dirty bomb” a euphemism for an Abbott “brain fart”?

    If so, he’s probably correct – we’re in for many more of them.

  27. poroti @1525

    Well if Henderson could analyse properly, that should be a criticism leveled against Abbott for raising Australia as a target.

  28. [1524
    KEVIN-ONE-SEVEN
    Posted Sunday, September 7, 2014 at 11:48 am | PERMALINK
    AUSDAVO – My guess is that Ashby has now got massive legal bills to pay (his own and Slippers) and feels like he’s been used!
    ]

    All Ashby’s legals were picked up ‘pro boner’ by his backers in the QLD LNP. As we know, this cosy cabal has fallen apart with chief cocky Clive splitting off publicly, though the tension between the Old Nats and Liberal Spivs has never been settled.

  31. Off now to take 13yo step-daughter and friends to see the latest movie release up here. It’s called “If I stay”. I certainly hope Abbott doesn’t.

  33. Did anyone else hear Abbott “live” a little while ago? He got that strange smirk on his face and answered a question wtte “we always act within the law”. The journo pursued with another Q and got a bigger smirk and a repeat.

    Now I know Abbott’s expression when he’s weaselling out of something. (sorry weasels)

  36. Re Sprocket_ @1534: yes, a dodgy, photoshopped picture of a passport. Anyway, he was born in London, not Newry. The photoshopper forgot to fix that. The only place called Newry in the UK is in Northern Ireland.

  39. [Australian strategist Lynton Crosby lobbied the British government against plain packaging for cigarettes just weeks before he was hired by the Conservative Party, which shelved plans to ban branding.

    Mr Crosby made the case in November 2012 to Lord Marland, who was then parliamentary undersecretary for intellectual property, British newspaper The Observer reports.

    The Australian’s lobbying firm was working for tobacco giant Philip Morris at the time.]
    https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/world/a/24918498/crosby-lobby-claim-on-uk-tobacco-packaging/

    The unelected swill at work behind the scenes doing the dirty work for their vested interests backers.

  45. GG

    You know how in the US there is a big kerfuffle about Native American mascots being racist, esp the Washington Redskins, do we have any indigenous/ potentially dodgy names?

  48. GG

    SA is a non-convict state, hence Mike Rann’s comment that we didn’t have corruption like the convict states so we didn’t need an ICAC.

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