Morgan: 51.5-48.5 to Labor

The first poll conducted since the government’s Gonski reversal finds, not unexpectedly, a sharp move to Labor.

The fortnightly Morgan poll, conducted from a sample of 2018 by face-to-face and SMS, provides further support for the recently recorded move against the Coalition, perhaps exacerbated by the Gonksi debacle. Labor is up no less than six points on the primary vote to 38.5%, with the Coalition down only a point to 41.5% off a below-par base from the previous poll. That leaves the Greens to fall 2.5% to 8.5%, with the Palmer United Party down 1.5% to 3.5% and others down one to 8%. This translates to a 51.5-48.5 lead to Labor on both respondent-allocated and 2013 election preferences.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

931 comments on “Morgan: 51.5-48.5 to Labor”

  1. Boerwar@885

    OP doing sphagetti: might have hooked a big ‘un.

    If so, it has been on the hook all day, and showing no signs of flagging. I’ve been following it.

    I still like BK’s comment, re ‘the track of a fly sprayed with Mortein’.

    Hope it doesn’t turn turtle and buzz!

  2. [ When has the Labor Party ever called The Australian or The Daily Telegraph a “right wing” newspaper?]

    The Daily Telegraph is a newspaper? Doesn’t a newspaper have to include… news?

  3. Puff, the Magic Dragon.@860

    I am immune to such insults. I pity anyone who was taken in by The Great Termite. Bemused and I agree on a lot of things. I just do not share his admiration for that traitorous sociopath.

    I do not admire Gillard or Abbott.
    Yes, we do agree on a lot of things. 😛

  4. BW

    [Cross-examining the chimps is going to be how tootment.]

    Doubtless, but as we know, court cases are sometime run on behalf of poeople not in adequate condition to speak on their own behalf.

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