A fourth successive move against Labor on the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate brings the Coalition’s two-party lead near to its previous peaks after the carbon tax slide of early 2011 and Kevin Rudd leadership challenge of February 2012. The latest update includes new figures from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential, while the state results have been updated with the Newspoll quarterly aggregates. This gave Labor a particularly bad result in Western Australia, reducing them to one seat on the seat projection for the first time since BludgerTrack commenced last November. The projection also has Labor dropping two seats in New South Wales and one in Victoria compared with last week’s result, while gaining one in Queensland.
Very technical note: Sharp-eyed observers will note that the two-party preferred change recorded in the sidebar table for this week is slightly lower than the primary votes suggest it should be. This is due to a methodological tweak that has brought my national and state projections into line, correcting slight anomalies caused by differences between the two data sets. The biggest of these was an inflated others vote in the state estimates, the removal of which has added about 0.2% to the final national calculation of Labor’s two-party preferred vote.
TLBD
You’re on.
William Bowe@1940
Demonstrating his grasp of fundamental math.
(counting the minutes before and after 7 pm)
Cassidy praying Rudd gets a poll bounce.
Phillip Coorey @PhillipCoorey 22s
Rudd sources dispute reports he has settled on an August 24 election
57/45 Marius Benson reporting.
So whoever votes for Kevin in the caucus is automatically a misogynist ?
Rudd won but he ain’t PM .. yet .. maybe never
Sunday, June 9
Insiders, ABC TV
“I am now strongly of the view that Julia Gillard will not lead labor to the election.”
Barrie Cassidy.
Reputation intact.
see post:
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2013/06/26/bludgertrack-56-8-43-2-to-coalition/?comment_page=27/#comment-1678211
56/45
Yay. Karma. Victory!!!!
Here we go!
Rudd! Well, folks. Count me out of the Labor Party.
K Rudd PM lol
Confirmed Rudd returned.
New thread.
57 to 45
Get their names!!
57-45 straight from returning officer
Meguire Bob Jinxed Gillard…
Can we have your next prediction please?
A blank ballot from me
bw
Going where Green?
LOL. The spokesperson doesn’t even know what is happening to the Deputy position. Do we have a Deputy Prime Minister or not?
“@thomasjohn86: Women’s Weekly promised me a picture of the Prime Minister knitting. I want Kevin doing a double stitch and I want it now.”
g
The Greens policies are an utter shambles.
Well, Kevin is being put in to “save the furniture”.
Good luck to him, and I actually hope he wins – but he’ll have to do it without my vote. I cannot in all conscience support a party – either party for that matter – that shows such duplicity.
Onwards and upwards!
To think I froze my arse off doing pre-polling for Kelly in Cooma.
Thanks a lot for nothing.
The long heralded and denied Ruddstoration is now complete. It’s time to unify and get behind Kevin Rudd to beat Tony Abbott.
It’s a victory for the True Deceivers
S38
Repay four years of disloyalty, feeding Murdoch, leaking and white-anting? No way, pal. You can have him.
bw
Yeah I know your opinions but what alternatives do progressives have?
Boewar, coming from you that’s quite a compliment for the Greens.
Your political intuition is very average and your continued stooping to ad hom reveals what a nasty piece of work you are.
Now for Swan …
Congratulations to Julia Gillard for her pioneering role as Australia’s first female PM. She has been attacked incessantly by the media and by the public. It seems clear that the country was not ready for a female PM.
May the next female PM be treated better.
g
None.
“@chrispytweets: Reports are that Wayne Swan and Stephen Conroy have both just quit cabinet as a result of tonight’s vote #ruddmentum #spill”
These people are idiots….Leigh sales didnt know who the returning officer was…the assembled press kept asking questions the RO couldnt answer because he was there talking to them….simkin toolhead smirking heads off
MB must have just swallowed his tongue ..
“@bennpackham: Cabinet Ministers Wayne Swan, Stephen Conroy, Craig Emerson, Bill Ludwig have quit the frontbench.”
F#ck the lot of them.
Player One@1974
Yep, this is the first time that a Federal Party has actually taken up the idea of “saving the furniture”.
It’ll be interesting to see how they go. I have pretty low expectations.
so what was all that about Ruddstoration again?
Sanity prevails.
Bilbo, you need some more hamsters tonight for your servers.
1988
Expected good news!
Well, the little twerp get s the top job for a brief time. I’m starting to come around to the idea that the populace needs a dose of the Fibs misrule to lance the boil that our body politic has become.
So, does Julia get to do a valedictory speech tomorrow?
GED for Gellibrand!
Piss off Feeney.
Or will it be Lalor?
Imacca, go on, vote for Abbott. You do have a propensity for backing losers!
[You do have a propensity for backing losers]
Hmmm..i see some pus is already leaking out.
What a night for QLD
You read it first, right here 10 nights ago 😎
Oh yeah 😛
Old Media go and get f…..!