A fourth successive move against Labor on the weekly BludgerTrack poll aggregate brings the Coalition’s two-party lead near to its previous peaks after the carbon tax slide of early 2011 and Kevin Rudd leadership challenge of February 2012. The latest update includes new figures from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential, while the state results have been updated with the Newspoll quarterly aggregates. This gave Labor a particularly bad result in Western Australia, reducing them to one seat on the seat projection for the first time since BludgerTrack commenced last November. The projection also has Labor dropping two seats in New South Wales and one in Victoria compared with last week’s result, while gaining one in Queensland.
Very technical note: Sharp-eyed observers will note that the two-party preferred change recorded in the sidebar table for this week is slightly lower than the primary votes suggest it should be. This is due to a methodological tweak that has brought my national and state projections into line, correcting slight anomalies caused by differences between the two data sets. The biggest of these was an inflated “others” vote in the state estimates, the removal of which has added about 0.2% to the final national calculation of Labor’s two-party preferred vote.
CC
I understand that he referrred to your posts as being a deciding factor in his decision to change his mind and to support a sociopath.
Will Crikey be able to handle ? or will it eat more posts???
Boerwar @1582 I’m not kicking – a gentle ribbing is how I see it.
Well looks like at this stage is PM Rudd.
I really hope that the decisions by the likes of Mr Shorten are validated,
For me it really is anyone but Abbott.
The policies of Labor are what count to me for the governing party.
Yes, Shorten is for Shorten. He should wear a toga, not a suit.
Frankly, I think Shorten – and all the rest, no matter which side they choose – are to be shown some understanding. Labor faces electoral annihilation. The LNP is populated with zealots who intend to disable the unions, cripple the ALP and undo a generation of social reforms. The caucus faces a genuine existential threat and should be permitted to make its choices without pressure or recrimination. Few of them will ever make a more difficult decision.
This is totally freaking stupid.
Labor are guaranteed a big loss if they keep Gillard. Have some slight chance of a win with Rudd, and will save lots of furniture.
That the result could be in doubt just shows how totally corrupt Labor is.
[so what do you call what happened in June 2010 then ?]
And I was just as unhappy about it then.
Was Shorten promised Swan’s job???
T.P.
Hey pal. You won. You got your sociopath. Be happy.
The fact Rudd is running at all tells me he thinks he has the numbers. If he wasn’t sure he wouldn’t bother.
Whoever wins I will be voting Labor. An Abbott Government has the real potential to destroy my family if and when I lose my job and am left unemployable in the eyes of many (If have a better chance of funding a new job if I said my last seven years had been in gaol rather than the APS, such is the common view of public servants).
BTW, I don’t really blame Shorten for what he has done. In his position, I’d have seriously considered doing the same. The Rudd stuff has been tearing Labor apart and isn’t really going to stop even if Gillard wins tonight.
The behaviour of Rudd and his backers has been absolutely appalling, but sometimes it’s better to negotiate with the enemy and bring an end to the war.
MB
Honestly!
[Shorten sounded like Gillard has won]
Do you understand what you say?
[A lot of reputations being trashed this week.]
Were all trashed three years ago. Bill just got his back.
Player One.
Thank you so very much. The letter arrived today, as did the other item.
The shop will unbox it tonight, for collection tomorrow.
Will update.
CC
‘Boerwar @1582 I’m not kicking – a gentle ribbing is how I see it.’
Well, that is alright, then.
So, if Shorten ever becomes Leader, can he demand loyalty? He certainly hasn’t earnt any.
I’ve said before I admire JG. She’s done well in difficult circumstances. The people won’t vote for her however and I want Labor to win. Therefore I hope KR wins for the Labor party.
10 LONG Minutes!!
rudd is for murdoch……
but, murdoch is for abbott, the annointed one…..
So.
murdoch is for rudd, but only to benefit abbott, the annointed one.
therefore rudd is for abbott, and also for murdoch.
rudd is rooted, in any case.
rudd, murdoch recruited, rudd, murdoch rooted, rudd, murdoch booted.
murdoch’s form.
murdoch’s desire.
murdoch’s bequest.
The Red Wedding……
Bill to Kevin (after lifting his veil)- ‘Do you approve of me, my lord?”
“KEvin to Bill (unbuckling his belt) – ‘ You are a delight to me !!”
let the festivities begin
two bobs worth
Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 6:49 pm | PERMALINK
MB
Honestly!
Shorten sounded like Gillard has won
Do you understand what you say?
————-
Yes shorten has given up his ministry
Btw, very sad to see Windsor announce his retirement. He will be sorely missed by our parliament, even more so because his retirement paves the way for that fool Barnaby to enter the lower house.
Part of me wants Gillard to win so she and her cabal get to wear the massive loss they will cause.
Crikey
😀
mb
‘The behaviour of Rudd and his backers has been absolutely appalling, but sometimes it’s better to negotiate with the enemy and bring an end to the war.’
It is always amusing seeing reasonable and sensible people trying to be reaonsable and sensible around sociopaths. The take home message is that this simply does not work.
Guytaur @1604
Well said. That is a very principled, decent statement. Plenty should follow your lead if things unfold as seem quite likely.
Boerwar
And when the Coalition are in the depths of internicene warfare, as they will be in the future no doubt, I’m sure you’ll return the compliment.
crikey whitey@1615
Well, at least we have some good news today 🙂
T.P.
‘Part of me wants Gillard to win so she and her cabal get to wear the massive loss they will cause.’
Go on, you can let go of your anger now. You have your pet sociopath back. Be happy.
[1609
womble
Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 6:48 pm | Permalink
Was Shorten promised Swan’s job???]
Yes
9
Conroy and swan resign and the election is a done deal.
two bobs worth
shorten sounded like cream, tried to flushed rudd out once for all
Shorten looked like a man who is backing a losing side with rudd
[1609
womble
Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 6:48 pm | Permalink
Was Shorten promised Swan’s job???]
Shorten…among others… 🙂
[So Ruddy gets in on the back of the factions]
OC How ironic! Will he declare them null and void if wins. I hope Caucus has worked out how to control him.
Gecko Keep on with your lovely TLC. xx
MB
Has he? Maybe he wants to remain in the Ministry do you think?
CC
‘Boerwar
And when the Coalition are in the depths of internicene warfare, as they will be in the future no doubt, I’m sure you’ll return the compliment.’
True. Enjoy your hubris while ye may.
[Andrew Elder @awelder Protected account 13m
Just got off the phone from my mate Paul, he reckons Bob Carr will come up through the middle. Disagree, but it’s on the record now]
😆
7
two bobs worth
Posted Wednesday, June 26, 2013 at 6:53 pm | PERMALINK
MB
Has he? Maybe he wants to remain in the Ministry do you think?
—————————-
we will see
6
Time to dust off the Kevin’O’Lemon ad’s…
5 MINUTES!!!
5
Are you predicting Gillard’s votes?
Meguire Bob, You’re a gem.
Shorten is very good as we have seen. He has handled Super well. He would make a good treasurer in my opinion as I do not see DPM Swan remaining in that position.
Easy headlines for newspapers tomorrow – just recycle 26 June 2010:
ALP’s faceless men and faction hacks from the unions roll elected PM and install their woman (change to “man” and add “again”).
And they’d be dead right. What a disgrace the ALP has become to its lofty principles of bygine days.
i will be back later or tomorrow