The News Limited tabloids bring a Galaxy poll, conducted between Tuesday to Thursday from 1000 respondents, which has the Coalition’s leading 55-45 from primary votes of 32% for Labor, 48% for the Coalition and 11% for the Greens. On the question of the Labor leadership, 32% believed the party should stick with Julia Gillard, 26% believed she should be replaced with Kevin Rudd, and 33% opted for “a fresh face such as Bill Shorten or Greg Combet”. Worryingly for the goverment, 59% nominated that the Coalition “would be ready” to govern against 36% who thought otherwise.
UPDATE (11/3): Essential Research provides further evidence that Labor’s slump has bottomed out and perhaps even reversed slightly. Labor is up two points on the primary vote to 34% with both the Coalition and the Greens down a point, to 48% and 9%, with the Coalition two-party lead back to 55-45 after two weeks at 56-44. Monthly personal ratings find Julia Gillard essentially unchanged after copping a hit last month, her approval steady at 36% and disapproval up one to 56%, while Tony Abbott is respectively up one to 37% and down two to 51%. Abbott has pulled level on preferred prime minister, which is at 39-39, after trailing 39-37 last time.
Essential has also performed one of its occasional experiments where it divides its sample in two and asks each differently worded questions, in this case relating to immigration. The money finding here is that 38% deem boat arrivals most important from a list of issues against 20% who nominate 457 visa, but this changes to 33% and 31% if the numbers involved (15,000 boat arrivals and 150,000 457 visas) are provided. Further questions find 22% broadly in favour of privatisation and 58% broadly against, with respondents also given a list of services and asked which should be run by the government and which privately. The evenly divided “Telecommunications (including broadband services)” was the only one for which being run by the government wasn’t heavily favoured.
Garrett looks like he is gonna smackdown that bloke later.
Apart from the absurdity of Pyne being Education Minister, Constable Dutton as Health Minister is far far worse.
guytaur@2287
Can’t tell if that’s reporting what she’s heard or extrapolating but a 2PP of 48 off a primary of only 34 would be rather odd.
Feisty young labor bloke there. Good work young fella, aim up.
I’ve just got back from a 4 hour stint fighting grass fire. Have I missed any fireworks from QandA. I just turned it on and nearly vomited when Pyne’s visage filled the screen.
Nice work BK
fran
I was wondering where you had been. Off scoping Olympic Dam Mine for closure were you? Working out how to flog off all our tanks, ships and FA18s? Working out the costings for accepting your 100,000 asylum seekers a year? Working out how to pay for an extra week’s leave at full pay for all Australian workers?
All that real progressive stuff that the Greens are so fond of.
BK,
Pyne is drowning, not waving.
Those who watched 4 Corners tonight would have heard Eddie Obeid give a little tutorial in how binding faction/ sub-faction voting worked in his favour.
Can’t see 48 off a primary of 34
He’s getting a nice bollocking BK so worth watching.
Lots of motherhood statements from Chrissy but not much fact.
Garrett doing well actually.
“@latingle: We will find out how good the source is shortly I guess….”
BH@2202
She will also be noted for setting back the cause of female leaders in politics by a long period.
“@timhollo: Ah, time and good pay. So I guess neither of them need money, do they, Christopher? #QandA”
Labor is cruising compared to our disgraceful cricket team.
[In one of the most dramatic days in Australian cricket history, coach Mickey Arthur dropped a bombshell on the team by dumping Watson, Mitchell Johnson, James Pattinson and Usman Khawaja for breaching team discipline.
The quartet were stood down from selection for one match for failing to take part in a peer review of the side’s dismal performance in the second Test.
But the team was rocked by a second ruction late tonight, with vice-captain Watson deciding to leave India to be with wife Lee, who is heavily pregnant and due to give birth.]
Boerwar
This idea that the Nationals are, or ever were, “agrarian socialists” is a silly joke.
Apart from the fact that they are really now a mining industry lobby group, having abandoned farmers for being too poor, the equating of pork-barralling with socialism is an expression of ignorance, ridicule or a poor sense of humour. I hope it’s the last. 🙂
“@senthorun: Anyone else wish that this “policy debate” had some NGO/community experts to add, I don’t know, critical content to the discussion? #qanda”
“@MartinGHodgson: Vote Abbott and you will see Pyne on your TV EVERY SINGLE NIGHT!!! Think about that… #QandA”
I will miss Shane Watson playing his 40th test and not scoring a century again
{…for failing to take part in a peer review …]
Is this Monty Python?
Sadly it’s the corporate world, infecting cricket.
Prima donnas Dio, prima donnas.
Watson is your Carl Hooper alrounder – batting average lower than his bowling average (getting there…).
Thanks Henry
In the five minutes I’ve been watching all I heard from Pyne, apart from his usual rude and incessant interruption, was motherhood and empty rhetoric
Diogenes
I’m with Warnie on it – a coach is something you travel on from the hotel to the ground.
Henry
I hope Ms Tingle is right on the money. A change of tone will be forced on the media.
the 3pt was referring to:
last Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition to 52-48 (now as tweeted by Laura Tingle) not the PV
Who cares what the latest Newspoll is?
Whatever its results it will be used by OM to whiteant the current Labor leadership.
Honestly, polls are used by today’s press gallery to generate stories, rather than be used as context to whatever story is in train.
Very disappointed to see Laura Tingle getting on the polling hyper speculation given the outlet she writes for is non Newspoll affiliated.
Bloody Stutchbruy and his debasement of the AFR.
[She will also be noted for setting back the cause of female leaders in politics by a long period.]
They once said the same thing about Rosemary Follett and Ros Kelly. And then Kate Carnell followed soon after, along with a string of women political leaders.
Honestly, you do talk rubbish, bemused.
That was no bipartisanship from Pyne then!
swamprat
Spoken like a Greens, I must say. If forced, I will go with poor sense of humour.
Shellbell – off topic but thanks for posting those fine words of Justice Keane the other day…got a good response from people to whom I sent it as well 🙂
Much as I used to respect Laura T, these days, apart from the occasional reminder of her good old days; she is in it for the sport and titillation like the rest of them.
It’s much easier that way. Less thinking required.
Cricketers being passed over for selection for not contributing to peer reviews – must be Gillard’s fault!
Boerwar
I am not a “green”. I did vote sometimes for them, but depending on circumstance one has few choices.
Garrett nailed it with the NBN then. Should have been his first answer though.
Hit him in the jugular – Mr Pyne wants to cancel the NBN, don’t you Mr Pyne?
Its basic politics, Garrett. Could see that one a mile away.
I support Watson leaving to be with his heavily pregnant wife. Win win. Good for his wife and good for Australian cricket.
“@justinbarbour: “good luck with that.” RT @JB_AU: What is the coalition’s policy for online education when they scrap the NBN? #QandA”
s
I understand, I believe. We seem only to have choices between lesser evils and much worser evils.
Jackol,
That cricket bid was totally weird. Not turning up to say how the series could be saved!
Bemused – I think you are wrong but as neither of us will likely be around to know or care, you being wrong and me right is largely irrelevant.
I went though a tedious exercise with alias asking him what Churchill would be remember for by most
*Imperialist warmonger
*Arch Conservative
*Saviour of the British nation.
Guess which?
In relation to Kevin Rudd, it will be hard to remember what he is remembered for other than defeating John Howard at an election.
All relative I suppose.
“@MaralynParker: Public schools educate 79% of the nation’s most disadvantaged students (bottom quarter SEA) #qanda”
“@MartinGHodgson: 5 years under @MikeKellyMP & our regional schools in EM have never been so good, that is a FACT! Indigenous kids benefitting greatly #QandA”
g
‘What is the coalition’s policy for online education when they scrap the NBN?’
Easy. Subsidise some to go to wealthy private schools and raise the masses on slates, and on recycled tins and string for comms.
@guytaur/2340
And yet Newman wants profiteering them?
… because the private schools can reject / surf students who are not “suitable”.
Tricot
Mr Rudd will be forever remembered in history as the PM who made the apology and signed the Kyoto Protocol starting on the carbon emission reduction path.
[… because the private schools can reject / surf students who are not “suitable”.]
And select and/or give scholarships to the more able students.
Who is Rudd again?
Laocoon
Here is the full ceremony with Mark Dreyfus QC’s speech
http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/other/HCATrans/2013/40.html
Tell you one thing that’s got me upset and my wife fuming lol
Scripture at NSW Public schools
Local approved church types come in and preach to kids every week. My wife found out about it the day before the first lesson and went off atheist style. Principle received a nice letter and asked how could a child marked down with no religion could be put into Scripture.
So Shane Watson only worked out his wife was pregnant AFTER he was sacked from the team.
Sounds like there is basically a mutiny going on over there.