Two days late with this one, but let the record note that a Galaxy poll of 800 respondents shows the LNP retaining a huge lead of 59-41 on two-party preferred and 49 per cent to 32 per cent on preferences. This does represent a narrowing on the previous such poll, conducted in mid-November, which had two-party at 62-38 and the primary votes at 28 per cent and 50 per cent. Anna Bligh has also had a slight improvement on personal ratings which are now almost respectable: 43 per cent approval (up two) and 50 per cent disapproval (down three). Campbell Newman however outstrips her with 48 per cent approval (up one) and 37 per cent disapproval (steady), and leads 49-40 as preferred premier (51-40 last time). The poll was conducted by phone on Tuesday and Wednesday nights and has a margin of error of about 3.5 per cent.
Also:
Ashgrove (Labor 7.1%): Brisbane lord mayor Graham Quirk has ruled out standing aside to allow for Campbell Newman to return to his old job if he fails to win Ashgrove. This possibility was created by the new election timetable which pushes the council elections out to April 28. A troubling precedent for Newman is the difficulty long-term Labor lord mayor Clem Jones had trying to win state and federal seats in the early 1970s old stagers recall that the Liberals did well telling voters they should vote against Jones because he was needed at city hall. Campbell Newman meanwhile has taken offence at Labor flyers linking him to the infamous newspaper column by Cairns LNP candidate Gavin King, in which King argues women who are raped while drunk are partly to blame for their own misfortune.
Dalrymple (LNP 15.8%): The Tablelands Advertiser reports that Rosa Lee Long, One Nation member for Tablelands from 2001 to 2009, says the LNP approached her to stand as its candidate. Long contested Dalrymple after Tablelands was abolished at the 2009 election, but was defeated by Shane Knuth, who had held the abolished Charters Towers for the LNP and has since jumped ship for Katter’s Australian Party. The LNP candidate is Liz Schmidt, who has a high profile locally as a livestock transport operator.
Nanango (Independent 2.9% versus LNP): The Australian reports the LNP is insisting it is on track to win both Dalrymple and Nanango, the latter to be contested by former test cricketer and local farmer Carl Rackemann following the retirement of long-serving independent Dorothy Pratt.
Mount Isa (Labor 5.7%): Labor on the other hand reportedly concedes Bob Katter’s son Robbie Katter will be hard to beat in Mount Isa, where he will attempt to unseat Labor’s Betty Kiernan. Robbie Katter is another who claims he was approached by LNP talent scouts. His father meanwhile is predicting his party will win at least 20 seats, which not too many would credit.
Logan (Labor 13.9%): LNP candidate Peter Anderson-Barr, a police sergeant, has withdrawn after media reports from 2004 were circulated regarding an incident in which he allegedly struck a person at the Surfers Paradise police post.
Mundingburra (Labor 6.6%): Former Thuringowa councillor David Moyle will run for Katter’s Australian Party after the withdrawal of their original candidate Jason Grigg. Moyle admits to having variously been a member of Labor, Liberal and the Nationals, and sought Nationals preselection for Thuringowa in 2006.
Lawyers have dustup:
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/seqwater-drops-dirty-tricks-allegations-20120208-1repw.html
The female vote in Ashgrove:
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/newman-gets-top-women-to-sing-praises/story-fnbt5t29-1226266190157
ReachTEL poll in Ashgrove:
http://www.couriermail.com.au/questnews/west/newman-maintains-his-lead-in-ashgrove/story-fn8m0u4y-1226242471821
Opposition Leader Seeney could struggle to beat Katter Party in Callide:
fears that the Katter Australian Party might repeat the One Nation Party’s 1998 electoral success when it gained 25 per cent of the vote, are an exaggeration,” Professor Prasser wrote in a Democratic Audit discussion paper on the upcoming state election
The next fortnight might be significant, University of Queensland’s Ian Ward said when asked about the minor party’s chances.
“I think at this stage there isn’t enough polling or similar evidence to be confident that they will make a significant impact at the next election,” Dr Ward said.
“But we should not dismiss the lessons of 1998 where suddenly and unexpectedly One Nation emerged to win 11 seats.
“So how the campaign plays out in the next week or two may be significant.”]
Read more: http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/state-election-2012/katter-is-no-one-nation-say-pundits-20120208-1rfbb.html#ixzz1lp486i85
60 wowsers:
Read more: http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/state-election-2012/im-not-a-wowser-newman-tells-christians-20120208-1rfe3.html#ixzz1lpEhiwln
104
If Newman was defeated in Ashgrove and Seeney was defeated in Callide who would be LNP Leader?
Today’s Flood Commission of Inquiry Transcript. The Commission will set tomorrow (Saturday), Tuesday and Wednesday next week.
http://www.floodcommission.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/11521/2012-02-09-QFCI-Day-66-Brisbane.pdf
Home away from Home by Channel seven’s State Political reporter:
http://au.news.yahoo.com/opinion/post/-/blog/patrickcondren/post/124/comment/1
Newman spoke a lot and said nothing:
http://twitter.com/#!/Janeisawake/status/167377316211724289/photo/1
Kelly HigginsDevine interviews Lord Mayor Quirk and local councillor Nicole Johnston on Mirvac deal at Budget time last year. A good performance from Nicole Johnston who cuts through the normal political conserativism of local ABC in Brisbane.
http://blogs.abc.net.au/queensland/2011/06/questions-over-tennyson-land-buyback.html?site=brisbane&program=612_drive#
The Mirvac Flood Commission transcript:
http://www.floodcommission.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/10061/2011-10-06-QFCI-Day-43-Brisbane.pdf
http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/kate-jones-reduces-campbell-newmans-lead-in-ashgrove
AndrewFraserMP Andrew Fraser
Since sept Kate primary vote up 6% Newman vote down 5.6%, gap closed by nearly 12%. 2pp gap now just 2% #wakeupjeff
50 minutes ago
Centrebet latest odds:
Ashgrove Electorate – Winning Candidate
NEWMAN, Campbell (LNP) 1.18
JONES, Kate (Labor) 4.35
ANY OTHER CANDIDATE 21.00
Dangerman_2 Col Smith
@
@jackpiggott The question then is how much has @reachtel underestimated the Greens and will those votes exhaust? #qldpol #qldvotes
42 seconds ago
danielhurstbne Daniel Hurst
@
@Dangerman_2 @jackpiggott When GRN c’date excluded in ’09, ALP got 1954 (51.4%) of his 3801 votes, LNP 568 (14.9%), & 1279 (33.6%) exhausted
14 minutes ago
Candidates for the Queensland election in a final photoshoot.
http://twitter.com/#!/tomforbes72/status/167108012375412738/photo/1
A fiery bunfight has broken out over water policy between the Greens and the LNP in Noosa.
http://www.sunshinecoastdaily.com.au/story/2012/02/09/no-plan-flog-unitywater-lnp/
Cairns Pink Vote Forum:
http://www.cairns.com.au/article/2012/02/10/204941_local-news.html
Townsville infrastructure:
http://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/article/2012/02/10/304631_news.html
Syphilis numbers rise in North West Queensland:
http://www.northweststar.com.au/news/local/news/general/rise-in-syphilis-cases-has-health-experts-worried/2450730.aspx
Housing plan for Moranbah:
To view the plan, visit http://www.dlgp.qld.gov.au/miw.
http://www.dailymercury.com.au/story/2012/02/09/plan-eases-the-squeeze/
Solid Queensland Financial figures:
http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/story/2012/02/10/qld-leading-business-confidence-australia/
Social media and political campaign:
http://www.frasercoastchronicle.com.au/story/2012/02/10/candidate-shares-naked-truth/
South West towns still struggling with effects of floods:
http://www.thechronicle.com.au/story/2012/02/10/wait-goes-on-for-residents-st-george-floods/
Oh Dear! More pious LNP windbagging, LORA NORA BOOGEYMAN UNLEASHED:
http://www.jplangbroek.com/pages/mr-090212.php
Katter on ABC radio this morning:
Read more: http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/state-election-2012/we-want-34-per-cent-katter-20120210-1sbv1.html#ixzz1lw7v3sYs
couriermail couriermail.com.au
Mr Babister agrees flooding “inevitable”. Says some weather events simply beyond capacity of flood mitigating dams. #floodinq
59 minutes ago
Antony Green on Ashgrove poll.
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2012/02/how-should-reachtels-ashgrove-polls-be-interpreted.html
Brisbane still suffering from Newman’s dodgy financial credentials:
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/free-clem7-tunnel-trips-for-motorists-with-automatic-debit-on-credit-cards/story-e6freoof-1226268006005?from=public_rss
TheQldPremier Premier Anna Bligh
by Dangerman_2
St George evacuation order has been lifted & residents can now safely return home
2 hours ago
Today’s Floods Commission of Inquiry transcript:
http://www.floodcommission.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0012/11541/2012-02-10-QFCI-Day-67-Brisbane.pdf
Guy Fawkes would be proud of the plan and dedication to the cause.
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/state-election-2012/no-plan-b-we-dont-get-another-shot-at-this-its-all-or-nothing-20120210-1sn89.html
It will be interesting to learn on what basis the Candidate for Ashrove believes that if he does not win Ashgrove the LNP can not win the election in Queensland. There has never been any evidence to support such a claim. In fact the state may well be better off if Ashgrove was to be won by anybody else.
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/newman-cagey-on-leadership-options/story-fnbt5t29-1226268282240
The Nightmare of Premier Seeney.
http://www.goldcoast.com.au/article/2012/02/11/389741_sue-lappeman-opinion.html
MP money making scheme upsets neighbours:
http://www.goldcoast.com.au/article/2012/02/11/389941_gold-coast-queensland-state-election.html
Professor Performance Poet Porkies:
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/state-election-2012/labor-will-lose-every-seat-palmer-20120211-1sy0b.html#ixzz1m2Cpdv6o
Now the Chief LNP cheerleader is claiming to be privy to internal party polling.
madonnamking Madonna King
by DesHoughton
@SmartState1 @billmcdonald1 Internal party polling puts Ashgrove safer for the LNP: about 53 to 47 #qldvotes
2 hours ago
Today’s Floods Commission of Inquiry transcript and closing statement from the Commissioner Cate Holmes.
COMMISSIONER: All right. Well, there being no objection,
those are my directions then.
I do want to make a closing statement. I’m sorry to hold you
up a bit longer but it won’t be too long.
I want to make some points before closing the hearing. I have
heard the suggestion made – I don’t know how seriously or with
what motivation – that because it’s been necessary for the
Commission to reconvene and re-examine the question of dam
strategies, anything the Commission says about anything is now
in doubt.
In response, I invite the public at large, really, and the
media also, to look at what the Commission has actually been
doing. Take a look at the interim report and read the
recommendations it produced, many of which are well and truly
in place. There is increased swift water rescue personnel and
equipment and training; warning systems for rising waterways;
disaster management group organisation; how the evacuation
centres are set up and managed and made known to the public;
and, on this very topic of dams, there was a recommendation
for a lowering of the Wivenhoe level to 75 percent, which is
likely to have preserved the piece of mind of a lot of people
over the January rain, and another for a complete overall of
the Flood Mitigation Manual based on up-to-date science. They
are just a few examples.
The Commission, since the delivery of the interim report, has
been dealing with insurance and land planning and the second
of those topics, in particular, is a large and fundamental
one. The Commission has devoted a large amount of its time to
reviewing land planning laws, policies, instruments and
practices, to work out how the prospect of flooding can be
dealt with in land planning in Queensland. It was a massive
task. It would be very foolish to disregard all of that
though.
When this Commission was set up, it was not intended as a
means of conducting forensic investigations into whether all
those connected with the flood response were telling the truth
and had given consistent accounts of their actions. The focus
a year ago was on whether the dam operators had let out enough
water when they were operating under the W3 strategy; whether
they had moved to W4 early enough and whether they had taken
forecast rainfall into account in the process, not whether
they had been in those strategies at all at the time they said
they were. That, of course, has emerged as the issue here.
And this, of course, was not just – and I refer to the
Commission’s work and terms of reference – this was not just
an inquiry about dam operation. There are six other terms of
reference, all just as important. If the Commission had set
about reviewing all available documentation to check that
everything everyone had said on oath before it on important
topics was consistent with anything else that could be found
in the thousands of documents before the Commission, there
would’ve gone most of the time allotted, most of the year
allotted for the Commission. This was not a Fitzgerald
Inquiry.
Make no mistake, I do not warrant that the Commission has
checked that all of what Emergency Management Queensland, the
SES, the Police, the Bureau of Meteorology, DERM, each of the
Councils throughout Queensland, or anyone else has told the
Commission is true and correct, particularly not where it has
been the subject of sworn evidence.
This Commission was set up to look to how things are managed
for the future, which is a sensible approach. My task, as set
out in the terms of reference, was not to search out culprits
but to make recommendations to improve preparation and
planning for flood threats, emergency response, and any
changes to legislation to better protect life and property in
natural disasters. That’s what we have been spending our time
on. It’s a rational application of resources.
That’s not to say I’m not grateful for the work put in by
Mr Thomas and any individual who may have assisted him in
identifying the questions which were explored in the last ten
days or so. They are fundamental. They have to be resolved
for the very reason that a Commission like this, reporting in
the timeframes it has to observe, must be able to rely on what
is said to it on oath. It goes to the heart of how
commissions function if that reliance can’t be placed on sworn
evidence. That’s the very question to be determined here and
I have yet to resolve it. But it would be a tragedy if the
focus on this discrete set of issues led people to lose sight
of the rest of the work of the Commission because that may
mean that things which are designed to improve the safety of
lives and property of people in Queensland are pushed aside.
Thank you for your time. We will adjourn, subject to the
matter of whether we need to resume to consider any objections
to evidence, thank you.
THE COMMISSION ADJOURNED AT 4.51 P.M.
http://www.floodcommission.qld.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0013/11542/2012-02-11-QFCI-Day-68-Brisbane.pdf
The interim report of the Flood Commission of Inquiry is here:
http://apo.org.au/research/queensland-floods-commission-inquiry-interim-report