Essential Research: 65-35 to Coalition in NSW

No polling respite whatsoever for Labor in New South Wales, with an Essential Research survey of 900 respondents conducted over the past three weeks among the worst the government has ever suffered: the Coalition primary vote on a possibly unprecedented 54 per cent against 24 per cent for Labor, with the two-party result at 65-35. The Greens vote is 12 per cent, similar to the 11 per cent from Newspoll last week, but whereas that represented a six point fall in Newspoll the Essential result is that same as their previous poll conducted in late January and early February.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

209 comments on “Essential Research: 65-35 to Coalition in NSW”

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  1. eddie at 200 – way ahead of you … but as a serious question and from western australia if you in NSW go from being a laughing stock to something much much worse well no biggy, but I’m really trying to understand … is it more than just old and stupid as the federal caucus with leaders?

  2. [and two levels below the Chernobyl disaster. While Japanese officials have attempted to downplay the scope of the crisis, in what the New York Times considers a bad sign, Japan plans to import 150 tons of boron from South Korea and France in order to spray on uranium fuel rods to stop them from melting. Efforts to cool down spent fuel reactors have made little progress, U.S. officials said yesterday, and the LA Times reports that cracks have been discoverd in a storage pool used to hold water. But on a more upbeat note, radiation measurements taken yesterday by American devices found that the worst radiation is still in the “immediate vicinity” of the plant. According to Japanese broadcaster NHK, about 10,000 people have fled their homes to get farther away from the Fukushima reactors.]



  3. [Officials say the number three reactor remains the priority. Mixed oxide (MOX) fuel rods, partly composed of especially toxic plutonium are partially exposed. Without water they will continue to heat and potentially spew radiation beyond the coastal facility.

    The Los Angeles Times and The New York Times newspapers report that there is a hole in either the floor or sides of the spent fuel pool of the Number 4 reactor. That would present another serious challenge to keeping the rods from being exposed.

    Japan’s government says although elevated levels of radiation are being detected kilometers away from the crippled plant, they do not pose a risk to human health.]

    double phew


    [Meanwhile, utility workers are extending an emergency power cable to the 40-year-old complex. That would allow a steady supply of electricity to run water pumps. But government officials say it could be Sunday before cooling units can be re-started at the number two and three reactors.]


    so the blowhards are talking out of their asses

    thought as much


  4. I think this election has made a serious dent in the credibility of Ben Raue’s club, sorry, site. You have to be fair dinkum about the shit you post online, or the greatest person’s time being wasted is your own. I couldn’t make up the crap I post if I tried.

    We truly have entered la-la land as a society – that’s Gerry Harvey’s business model and he’s doing alright – but the mining tax debate showed that governments, and voters, certainly don’t run Australia. I know everyone knows that, but how does that help me? Do I want to be living on a tip when I’m 65? I know it sounds romantic, but a degree of surety wouldn’t go astray, but governments can’t give assurance because everything from the roof over your head to the food you eat to the electricity you use is run by an unelected private sector, and the only thing they’re interested in is your capacity to pay. When you live on $20 an hour as I do, driving trucks and vans, that gives one pause for thought. I’m stuffed if I know how my colleagues with kids and a family manage it. After meditating on that, Ninos Khoshaba’s fate in Smithfield, or Mike Baird;s fate in Manly seems, well, silly. And it would be funny if it didn’t cost us all so much or impact on the lives our children will lead.

  5. ok Eddie when I said serious I didn’t mean that serious, but I understand fully.

    I work for part of the mining industry who could never pay a tax that was in a far fetched dream retrospective, if you looked at it from a very dishonest angle and ignored all the retrospective extra profit but that is still willing, nay eager to turn jobs it promised would be ‘permanent’ into ‘project’ meaning we only pay you as long as we want and no redundancy or any crap like that when we say so and no there will be no extra pay because you now have a very insecure job when you thought it was secure (ha ha ha silly you for believing us – integrity isn’t our middle name because we are actually honest) … but yes I still can’t see how a liberal government will make it better, your point is probably they can’t make it much worse but yet they always try …

  6. eddieward
    The outcome of the mining tax debate and the bullying of our gov’t with the mining companies’ advertising campaign was appalling. The ABC report last week (4c, I think) on coal seam gas mining was shocking to the core. We are going to end up like Nauru, if we don’t wake up. We have already let the few get rich through asbestos mining and processing, leaving this country rife with that poison.

  7. Puffy I can answer your question for the Brumby Government was never called corrupt, inept, morally-bankrupt state government.

    I also do not recall Wran or Dunsten being called and even the Bligh Government.

    The term corrupt is over used in Australian politics, just because the Government does something someone doesn’t like, does not make it corrupt

    If our pollies are quilty of anything then it could be of being short sighted but then again that is nothing new. our political process is one of the best in the world but many year just refuse to expect that maybe the process isn’t the problem but the communities expectations.

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